01/21/2015 4:41PM

Woodbine Harness: Friday 1/23 Analysis


Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool


1,2,3,4,5,6 / 1,10 / 1,5 / 7 = $24

Best Bet: TOTAL LEE (7th)

Spot Play: TRUE REFLECTION (8th)

Race 1

(6) ABC MUSCLES BOY had plenty of trot in the lane last week but was kept trapped in long enough in the pocket by the leader to thwart his late bid. He should handle this group. (8) TWIGGYS TWIG left hard for position early then rallied after some mid-race shuffling for third in the same dash. This one might turn the tables on the choice with the right trip. (4) EXQUISITE GLIDE blew up the tote thanks to a perfect steer from Jamieson then missed a week. He is more likely for a minor award here.

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Race 2

(5) LETS WAIT AND SEE made two moves for the lead but was repelled by a class-dropping winner Monday night. Conditioner Brealey jams him right back in against beatable foes; top call. (4) WINDSUN CHEYENNE showed some talent last year making the exacta in 50% of his starts. It looks as though Tackoor has this one ready to fire immediately off the break; beware.(2) DRAGON WAVE chased an overpowering winner in the Snowshoe Series but couldn't keep up late. These are more within his range.

Race 3

(8) JUST CALL ME LADY was a predictable and impressive winner when claimed Monday night. Auciello brings her back quickly in a NW3 dash and although these are tougher than that weak group, she may be up to it. (1) LATOKA, a winner of 3 of his last 4 looks for his final win in this class before being forced out of it; he is the one to fear most. (9) CAL CHIPS BROTHER consistently fires sub-29.0 kickers when he behaves. He will be closing for a piece as usual.

Race 4

All of these raced in the preliminary legs of the Snowshoe series but failed to make the final. We like the way (6) CREDIT REFUSAL has been finishing his past couple of miles and call him to upend this group. (1) TURBO MACH gapped his cover in a quickening third 1/4 last week but should go better here from the rail. (4) NEWBIE made the board in both his series starts despite overland journeys and is one of many with a chance at the top prize. (5) ER TRUEVALUE closed nicely down the lane last week and could click at a price if kept in closer range early. This is the leg to go deep in the early pick 4.

Race 5

(10) BAGS FOR ALL has fired two very impressive winning miles since shipping in from Chicago. The 10-hole should help get an acceptable price as he shoots for three. We're sticking with him. (1) CLIMB HIGHER provided cover for the choice and was circled by him; the posts could even things out a bit here. (7) STUARTS DYNASTY was beaten in the final strides by an absolute perfect trip winner. He should share but the top two are tougher company for him.  (4) IM NOT VANILLA while winless is a great one to use for the bottom of tri and super wagers as he always seems to get a small share at a big price.

Race 6

(1) RAMBLINGAMBLINMAN performed as expected last week off his monster first-up mile the week previous. He will be very tough to beat here in the Snowshoe Final. (5) A BOY NAMED SUZZ powered away from his rivals in a quick third 1/4 as Drury was more aggressive and was rewarded. He looks like the main danger - especially if he makes another big third 1/4 brush again. (9) YS LOTUS finished with good energy but couldn't threaten the winner. He likely will be closing later in the mile but should get on the ticket. (4) KINDOFABIGDEAL disappointed last week but he didn't need that win really, did he?

Race 7

(7) TOTAL LEE went a totally phenomenal mile last week making two moves to the front early, relinquishing the lead twice then escaping a blindswitch in the lane and blasting up the rail to win. She is impossible to overlook in her current form; the night's best bet. (2) DOUBLE JOY proved last week that she needs a trip to beat the choice. Expect Waples to look for a covered trip this time. (9) DIANNA SANTANNA was patiently driven last week to get up to win late. The switch in posts neutralizes any chance of threatening the top pick. She should get a piece though.

Race 8

(4) TRUE REFLECTION came home in 55 4/5 last week and closed a gap on the leaders. She can lay closer here from a better post and topple this group. (1) BOAT HOUSE ROW looks the main danger plunging in class and must be on the late pick 4 ticket. (8) TRAUMA UNIT is an in-and-outer that usually tips her hand by showing gradual improvement. If a hot early pace develops this one could motor by these late at a price.

Race 9

The Blizzard Series Final will likely have a prohibitive favorite win considering (5) ARTISTIC FUSION hasn't been threatened in the slightest in the preliminary legs. She's hard to go against here. (2) ONYOURMARKNATAVA has shown good late energy in both legs and Zeron may try to leave a little closer this time. (9) DEUCES FOR CHARITY was a game winner after putting up solid fractions and should be on the ticket providing MacDonell gets a spot up near the front early as he should. (10) ALL THE LADIES is likely the 2nd best mare in here but the post does her no favors; tough call.

Race 10

(1) DGS PESQUERO showed enough spark late in the mile last week to suggest she might be able to take down the streaking favorite (2) MARQUISE DE SARAH who shoots for five straight scores. Call DGS for the upset. (5) WAASMULA closed latest and widest and is an obvious contender but she always seems to be overbet. Let price be your guide.

Race 11

(2) JANIE BAY shipped in from New Jersey and was conservatively driven off a 35-day break in racing action. We expect a more aggressive steer here and a contentious effort. (1) MISS POPPYCOCK circled up past winded leaders to get up late and is an obvious threat but she seems to depend on a slowing pace to aid her rally. (6) LANESIDE LEXUS, the obvious class of the field, got around and recorded a clean line last week. Dramatic improvement here isn't out of the question. (3) HAT TRICK HONEY has performed better when dropped to the lowest conditioned class and could also spring an upset given the right trip. (5) ADAYMER SEELSTER is a one-paced sort that typically sticks around for a check.

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