01/20/2016 5:04PM

Woodbine Harness: Friday 1/22 Analysis


Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

20-CENT PICK 5: 3,4,5/2,4/2,5,6/2,3,6,7/3,8 = $28.80

EARLY PICK 4: 2,3,6,7/3,8/4,6,8/3,5,9 = $72

LATE PICK 4: 2,4,5/2,3,6/3/2,3,4,5,6 = $45

MEET STATS: 206 - 625 / $1101.90  BEST BETS: 33 - 57 / $112.90

SPOT PLAYS: 16 - 57 / $183.80



Race 1

(5) COTTONWOOD CREEK has been competitive vs. better in the past and looks well-prepped for her return to the races; slight nod in a wide-open curtain raiser. (3) CHEEKIE finished strongly in her qualifier and also faces easier here. Look for her late. (4) NEVERSAIDIWASSWEET was claimed off a trainer that can move one up immediately; don't discount.

Race 2

(2) HILLSONATOR has been razor-sharp winning his past two starts and a third straight looks likely here. (4) DEMAND AN ANSWER raced well from the 10-hole last time and moving inside makes him more of a threat to the choice here. (6) MACHO MASS closed powerfully last week but was beaten by a pylon-skimmer that enjoyed a better trip. He should share here.

Race 3

(5) MEGO MOSS has raced well in his past two starts in this class and could break the extended goose egg here. (2) ROCKY DE VIE didn't appear to like the wet track last week and gets to drop back down to a level where he almost won two back. He is a contender in this field. (6) MY KID SISTER gets to race at the lowest class for a second week and can threaten this time if she stays flat.

Race 4

(6) CRACKLIN ROSIE was super in victory last week, firing the fastest final 1/4 of the night to beat the heavy favorite. She is the 'now' filly in this series; top call. (7) DOUBLE OLIVES raced off a helmet - which is a better style for her - and got up late last week. She should have plenty of early pace to chase here. (2) AMAZING CONTROL was picked off late but perhaps the slowing of the pace worked against her late. She can't be tossed here.

Race 5

(8) OCEANVIEW BINDI drops and if you look 5 races back in her charts you'll see she beat better than these easily on December 4. Drury should be sending here early here. (3) YOUR MY SECRET was making a threatening move on the final turn last week but was pushed extra-wide in the process. She merits inclusion on early pick 4 tickets considering her current form. (10) MAPPOS MOENHAY moves up off a lifetime-best score but exits the top barn. She could get a minor share at a price here.

Race 6

(8) MONTEZUMA BLUECHIP raced decently in his first start at this class and should be tough here. (4) READ THE PROPOSAL qualified okay on a good track and should be ready for an all-out speed try here. (6) STEVES LEGACY got hung the route last time and still wasn't beaten that far. A slightly better trip puts him right there.

Race 7

(3) RAFA brings an unbeaten record to this Snowshoe series final and seems to get better every time out; slight nod. (9) SHADES OF BAY has been on a real roll and can win from anywhere it seems. He's the one to beat (5) TOWER OF POWER raced tough vs. his stablemate last week and has a puncher's chance at upsetting the two favorites here.

Race 8

(2) DOCS HOLLYWOOD has been racing well and getting closer to a win. She can take this if put into the race a bit earlier. (5) MUCH ADOO missed 3 weeks prior to last week's start and should be tighter and sharper here. (4) MISCHIEVIOUS GIRLS faces easier and will be closing late.

Race 9

(6) RUBIS PRESCOTT was nailed very late last time and is obviously now sharp enough to win. She has always raced better out of the pocket and could land there this time. (2) MARY CELESTE has taken a shuffle two weeks in a row. She is good enough to win off a reasonable trip and never gets bet. (3) WILDCAT MAGIC was compromised by one that pulled in front of her on the backstretch then stopped last time which likely cost her the win. She is in with a good chance here.

Race 10

(3) SANDBEWEENURTOES is the class of this field and doesn't seem bothered racing only once a month; top call. (6) BETIT TO GETIT is as tough as they come but note she was easily handled by the choice three starts back. (5) GREYSTONE LADYLIKE does better when she closed from the back which is a style she will likely employ here.

Race 11

(4) MACHET ROCKET changes trainers here and qualified well enough to compete with these. This looks like a leg where deep Pick 4 coverage is required, however. (6) TABOO SEELSTER should get a slower late pace to close into this week; using. (5) JEREMEYES JEWEL moves up off a tripped-out win but could get a similarly-good journey here. (2) CALL IT COURAGE had a brutal trip last week and the better post will help here but notice her week win record. (3) WAR FILLY is capable of a nice closing brush on her best day but has had several breaks in racing activity; longshot chance.

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