12/14/2016 5:09PM

Woodbine Harness: Friday 12/16 Analysis


Race 1 - $40,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

PICK 5: 3,4,6/2,3,4/2,6,8/1,5/5 = $10.80

EARLY PICK 4: 1,5/5/1,3,6,7,9/6,10 = $20

LATE PICK 4: 6,10/3,6,8/1,7/2,3,4,8 = $48

MEET STATS: 50 - 197 / $276.20   BEST BETS: 8 - 19 / $25.80

SPOT PLAYS: 4 - 19 / $15.20

Best Bet: DELIGHTFUL HILL (5th)        

Spot Play: ABC WINNER (6th)

Race 1

(3) ODDS ON AMETHYST has the speed to overpower this group if he has things straightened out. Notice the 27 1/5 third 1/4 in his December 8th qualifier. (4) JUSTICE JET powered home to just miss last time. He appears to be the one to beat and the track has been kind to closers lately. (6) ADVERSITY won last time he raced in this class and he is a must-use in the Pick 5 here. (8) STUARTS DYNASTY tipped that he may finally be coming back to form last time out. He could crash the exotics at a price here.

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Race 2

(2) HOT SPOT HANOVER was overtaken late on a track that wasn't kind to front enders last week. She can bounce back here if conditions are fair. (4) ICTHELIGHTHANOVER has sharp speed both early and late to beat the choice. She should be tough here, again. (3) ART ANGEL BABY couldn't advance first-over vs. a strong leader last time. She could win this with the right trip. (5) DEWAR N SODA figures to take a smaller share.

Race 3

(6) JIMBELINA paced a huge mile in victory on a night where the track was playing against her racing style. She is hard to go past here. (8) DOCS SAUSALITO looks like the only real threat to the choice here. (2) NEVER ANY DOUBT should improve making her third start back following a vet scratch; exacta factor. (4) QUEENOFTHEJUNGLE can take a slice off a following trip this time.

Race 4

(1) SENSELESS BEAUTY finds a cozy spot to resume her career and she looks well-prepped; top call. (5) ADMIRALS LADY REI ships in from Northfield in excellent form and her good tactical speed should play well from a good post; using. (4) WARAWEE STAR gets off the rail which should help and she can contend for a slice here. (10) DANCING SHADOWS K has already beat maidens down south, but from post 10 she is likely one to watch here with an eye to a future play.

Race 5

(5) DELIGHTFUL HILL was a strong second in a class that was essentially a mares Preferred last time. There is an excellent chance she will lead these on a merry chase. (3) LOVETHEWAYYOULOOK closed mildly into a quickening late pace last week. She could be closer if she trips out near the front here. (6) DAZZLING ROCKETTE could improve sharply here returning to a 7-day cycle. (2) POP GOES THEWEASEL is in solid form but missing a week could leave her a bit short here.

Race 6

In a race that screams upset when you glance at the page, I'll take a swing with (9) ABC WINNER, who shows the fastest final 1/4's by far. Hopefully his recent out-of-the-money finishes help his price. (6) FIVE BELOW is capable but erratic. He should contend if he stays trotting. (7) DEWEYKEEPUMNWHY is another that can contend if he trots the whole way, but that is hard to predict. (3) SOUTHWIND ALICE could be a front end threat here.

Race 7

(10) BRING ME DIAMONDS goes for the highest tag here but she is the best filly in here and she has already shown she can overcome this post; top call. (6) SR BEACH BABE just missed last time vs. a weaker group but that came after missing a month's action; using. (2) VERA BON should be an early presence and stick around for a share. (7) MISS JONES SHOOTER was no match for the choice in the past two; minor share predicted.

Race 8

(8) BERNADETTE was sharp in defeat last time. Making her second start back off a break, she could get more aggressive early here. (6) KILLEAN FINALE goes for three straight, but her racing style makes her hard to single; using. (3) LADY JEN continues to try hard every week. She isn't out of this. (2) DIXIE LULLABY should get a better trip here and she can close late for a share.

Race 9

(7) JIMMYS LITTLE GIRL went a long trip but stayed game last week. Stepping up one class could help her price here; slight nod. (1) I WISH YOU WELL looks best on paper and should be right there if driven more aggressively this time. (5) TWO SIDES OF LOVE steps up off her maiden win where she showed some grit holding off a closer late. She is a contender vs. these. (9) MADDYS CREDIT passed all but the one above last time. She likely finishes on the fringes this time.

Race 10

(3) KISS ME OR NOT finished fast after taking a shuffle last week. She should be a big threat on or near the lead this time. (2) KIWI FOCUS N ships in with good form but is still only a one-time winner this year. She can threaten, but also seems a bit win-shy; your call. (8) WHISTYS PARADISE was impressive closing to beat weaker last week. When she gets good, she can string a few top efforts together. (4) ARTISTIC MADISON tired late on a speed-killing track last time. Toss her on Pick 4 tickets. (1) SHOW SOME LEG should take a smaller share off an inside following trip here.

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