11/04/2015 3:33PM

Woodbine Harness: Friday 11/6 Analysis


Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

20-CENT PICK 5: 1,7/1,/1,2,3,6,7/2,3,4,6/1,2,4,5 = $32

EARLY PICK 4: 2,3,4,6/1,2,4,5/5,9/5 = $32

LATE PICK 4: 4/1,3/6/ALL = $20

MEET STATS: 58 - 209 / 264.80  BEST BETS: 9 - 18 / $33.10

SPOT PLAYS: 4 - 19 / 38.00

Best Bet: KISS ME OR NOT (10th)


Race 1

(7) HIGH FASHION MEL is a 7-time winner in 13 starts coming off a break and her qualifier indicates she should be ready to roll. This isn't the toughest field; top call. (1) PUT YOUR BAD ON is sure to get a more aggressive steer from McNair here and looks like the main threat. (2) DOUBLE OLIVES was on a good roll until two back when she started to experience gait issues. She may need this start but should be passing many of these late if she behaves.

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Race 2

(1) KATIES BEACH made two moves to win last time and went a big trip from the 10-hole two back. She has really improved since she broke her maiden five weeks ago and will take some beating here. (6) HAZMATT has failed in two straight off first-over trips. Look for Jamieson to work out a different trip here. (2) TWIN B HONOUR should get a good following trip here and stick around for a share.

Race 3

(2) SOUTHWIND GEISHA fell victim to a slow first 1/2 last week and couldn't close on the leader. There should be more action early here which would make her task a bit easier. (6) GRACIES PARADE tried unsuccessfully to close from far back in the same mile and should get a better setup here for her late charge. (7) RIDE AWAY SHARK rode a soft half to a season's-best score and will be winging early again here. Any breather makes her extra dangerous.

Race 4

(2) CLASSIC COMEDY raced well first up last week and should be able to work out a good trip here; top call. (6) CAMPS BAY moves into Zeron's barn here but has missed almost a month. She's capable if ready. (3) WEEKLY SPECIAL moves inside as she makes her third start off a lengthy layoff. She could wake up at a big price here for a trainer known for bringing them back slowly.

Race 5

(5) UTOPIA chased the same tough winner the past two starts in improved efforts for him. He should get a good trip on or near the lead here. (4) DICKS SECRET moves inside which should allow him to lay closer early and get on some cover; using. (2) BLAZING SHOT ships in with good form and moves right into a claimer. He should fit here.

Race 6

(5) LIGHTS GO OUT reversed tactics last week but got burned trying to make the front and stopped late. She gets to drop another class here and may take these coast-to-coast. (9) I GOT TO BOOGIE pressured the choice on the backstretch and hung on decently for third. She is the main threat here. (1) ALIBI TERROR showed nothing from an outer post last time but could pace a mile closer to her win two back here which would make her a threat.

Race 7

(5) MARQUIS VOLO shoots for his 5th straight win here and looks very tough to get it done. (4) IRISH SCOTCH tired late on a wet track last time and could go better here but will need more late speed to threaten the choice. (10) SWAN ON ONE is one of the better closers in the field and could make the bottom of the tri or super at a big price.

Race 8

(4) BRESCIA SEELSTER takes a class plunge here and should be able to handle this group. (7) MACHET ROCKET set a quick pace last time and didn't tire badly considering. She could be right there with more careful rating. (5) MEA LILLEY MARK took a shuffle in behind the one above and is another in with a shot from close range.

Race 9

(3) FATHERS AMIGA was a solid winner in his Woodbine debut and is a good bet to repeat here as likely favorite. (1) STAN THE MAN drops in class and moves inside which should be the recipe for a better result; using. (8) ZUKAV was 2nd to the choice in an improved effort. He should make the triactor here again.

Race 10

(6) KISS ME OR NOT takes a massive class drop here and should blitz these. (3) TABOO SEELSTER also drops slightly and adds Lasix which should help. (2) HAT TRICK HONEY is yet another class-dropper who has done well in this class but history suggests a slice is more likely here.

Race 11

(4) SHUTTHEFRONTDOOR was trapped in the pocket for the entire stretch last week and had plenty of pace but no means to use it. She is sharp and ready to win. (5) GREYSTONE LADYLIKE drops and makes her fifth start off a break. She fits this class and should be competitive on or near the pace. (9) OCEANVIEW BINDI drops and will likely be sent early for as far as she goes. (10) WILDCAT BEAUTY also drops and could crack the super at a price. (3) BLACK MAGIC EYES ships in and seems to fit the class. She is another threat in a contentious dash.

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