01/13/2016 3:33PM

Woodbine Harness: Friday 1/15 Analysis

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Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

20-CENT PICK 5: 4/6,7,8/1,7/1,3,9/2,3,4,5,6,8 = $21.60

EARLY PICK 4: 1,3,9/2,3,4,5,6,8/1,3,5/1 = $54

LATE PICK 4: 1,4,8/4,8,9/3,7,10/3,4

MEET STATS: 192 - 584 / $1035.80  BEST BETS: 30 - 53 / $102.60

SPOT PLAYS: 16 - 53 / $183.80

Best Bet: SHADES OF BAY (1st)

Spot Play: FIVE BELOW (10th)

Race 1

(4) SHADES OF BAY was an easy winner in the opening leg of this series and returning to a 7-day cycle will likely make him even tougher; top call. (2) THREE TRUTHS got embroiled in some serious early battling in his Woodbine debut then took a late shuffle. He should get a better trip here. (1) BROWN DIRT COWBOY gets slices 66% of the time and should grab a share here.

Race 2

(6) MAPPOS MOENHAY moves into the top trainer's barn off the claim and she fits well in this class. (7) DONTTELLRUSS has raced well in her last two now comes up tagged here. She too fits this class and will likely be sent hard early by McNair. (5) ADAYMER SEELSTER drops into a claimer and isn't out of this.

Race 3

(7) RAFA has come back from a break in top shape and remains unbeaten. He will be tough to knock off here. (1) TOWER OF POWER raced well for 2nd behind a sharp winner and looks like the main danger. (6) SWAPPORTUNITY rarely misses the board and is a good one to toss on exotic wagers.

Race 4

(9) WHITEGLANCE looks much the best on paper here and may get a more aggressive steer to get position early. (1) IN THE SHADOWS drops to a level where she should wake up and produce a better effort. (3) TWIN B BREEZEWAY raced okay for third last time but might be overbet off that following trip.

Race 5

(6) MONTEZUMA BLUE CHIP drops in for a tag here and projects to get a good trip chasing quick splits; slight nod in a wide-open race. (8) JET AIRLINER is in great form and will likely bring a big price here on the class rise; using. (2) PIER HO TEMPTATION drops back to the class where he last won and gets the driver back that steered him to victory that night. Can history repeat?

Race 6

(5) SILENCE SON was sent hard last time then let one go that was taking a big class drop and followed her home. Expect an all-out speed try by A Mac here. (3) CAL CHIPS BROTHER is an infrequent winner but raced well last week and looks like one of the best ones in here. (1) UPFRONTLUCKYCAROL should race better here aided by post relief.

Race 7

(1) MUCH ADOO should enjoy getting away from Wanda Bayama here and likely controls things after making a move to the front on the backside after the dust settles. (6) SHOW SOME LEG is capable of much better and likely gets asked to make her move earlier starting from the middle of the gate here. (4) JORDIES HOPE went a tough first-over trip last week which isn't her trip. She could do here if she rides in the pocket of the choice most of the way.

Race 8

(1) MEGO MOSS went a big first-up trip last week only to be repelled by a huge favorite that was dropping several classes. A repeat of that effort gets the job done here. (4) R CHOOCHO CHARLIE faces easier than he did in a claiming handicap last week and should be tough in here. (8) ELDORADO OF GOLD looks best of the rest in what is mostly a weak bottom-level conditioned field.

Race 9

Both (8) DOCS HOLLYWOOD and (9) WILDCAT MAGIC closed well vs. a better field last time and should contend here. Nod to the former who has a better win record. (4) MARY CELESTE raced well at a huge price last time and could surprise here off a following trip from close range.

Race 10

(3) FIVE BELOW made an eye-catching move two back then was on too much slow-moving cover last week. This one's ready to pop soon; sticking with him. (10) DEMAND AN ANSWER raced well on the engine and is sharp but must overcome this post. (7) HILLSONATOR was an impressive winner off a break but took a big breather in the third 1/4. He won't be afforded that luxury here.

Race 11

(4) RUBIS PRESCOTT drops to the lowest level here and should get the job done vs. these. (3) NINETTE B gets Henry back and they have done good things together in the past. She has a chance to upset here. (6) TRUE REFLECTION dropped to the lowest level last week and took lots of action but disappointed. She could rebound here returning to a 7-day cycle. (7) TABOO SEELSTER should be passing many of these late for a share. (9) CALL IT COURAGE rarely wins but almost always shares at this level.

[DRF HARNESS LIVE: Real-time insights from the DRF Harness team this Saturday at 6:35 p.m.]