11/18/2015 3:51PM

Woodbine Harness: Friday 11/20 Analysis


Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

20-CENT PICK 5: 6,7/1/1,7/1,5,10/ALL = $21.60

EARLY PICK 4: 1,5/2,3,7/5,8/2,5,7,9 = $48

LATE PICK 4: 2,6,8/1,6/1,5/5,6,7 = $36

MEET STATS: 85 - 293 / 433.70  BEST BETS: 14 - 26 / $46.80

SPOT PLAYS: 7 - 26 / $85.00


Spot Play: PINKY TUSCADERO (7th)

Race 1

(6) ANISTON SEELSTER raced well last week only to be chased down by one that saved ground and closed off her helmet late. She looks tough here. (7) DOUBLE OLIVES has gone two big first-up trips in a row and is too sharp to leave out of the opening leg of the Pick 4. (9) LITTLE MISS SPORTY has improved in her last couple and will be passing many of these late for a share.

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Race 2

(1) THE MURMURING PAN raced so well last week that it's hard to imagine her losing to this group if she stays flat; Pick 5 single. (2) HURRICANE HAZEL backed up abruptly in the stretch last time in miserable weather conditions. She can bounce back here and will be a better price. (4) ASPEN CALIFORNIA raced evenly off the layoff last time and it's reasonable to expect a better effort here.

Race 3

(7) TYMAL FIREITUP closed strongly last week and is likely sent hard here by Filion. (1) KADDY was thwarted by the ferocious headwind in deep stretch and couldn't reach the winner last time. She's in with a good chance here. (5) P L INDYANACA looks best of the rest to complete the tri.

Race 4

The opening leg of this Pick 4 looks like it comes down to the two class-droppers, (1) REGALLY READY and (5) BRESCIA SEELSTER. Slight nod to the former based on driver and quicker final quarters. (10) APPLE PIE ANGLE switches barns and gets the leading driver but may need one from this post before producing her best.

Race 5

(2) HOPE FOR PADDY should get plenty of early pace to chase here and Filion can work out the winning trip; slight preference in a contentious field. (3) NAT A VIRGIN motored home last week to nab 2nd behind a sharp winner who was taking her 3rd win in a row; using. (7) MARQUISE DE SARAH likes this track and cold weather. She will pop soon.

Race 6

(5) DICKS SECRET was hard-used early by Henry last week and prevailed for the win. She can repeat if driven similarly here. (8) JOSEPH GERARD raced evenly off a month break last week and should be far more dangerous here. (7) KONA enters a new barn off the claim and adds Lasix. He should be competitive here.

Race 7

(5) PINKY TUSCADERO has been racing great out of town now takes a crack at some bigger purses. She could do at a square price here. (9) ST LADS GIDGET was producing big speed at Northfield and is another to consider at a price here. (2) DONTBRUISECARRIE was the only one that was racing close to the lead that stuck around at the finish last time. Further improvement is possible here.

Race 8

(2) FATHERS AMIGA was too far back last time to make an impact. She should move earlier here in a field where she rates highly. (6) DONCANGO had a very long trip last time and he could go better here leaving from the middle of the gate. (8) HER NAME IS LOLA raced well of a five-week break and would be no surprise here.

Race 9

(6) LIGHTS GO OUT got an aggressive steer and buried the field last week. A similar drive can yield the same result here. (1) MEA LILLEY MARK drops and should get a good trip leaving from the inside. (4) TRUE REFLECTION has raced well at this meet but seems destined for lesser shares most nights.

Race 10

(5) BAROCKEY drops and is one of few speed threats here. She could take this group coast-to-coast. (1) FOOLISH MIND raced big from the 10-hole last week and is the main threat here. (3) DIANNA SANTANNA looks best of the rest and will be closing for a minor share.

Race 11

(7) DILLY DALI follows a similar formula for this trainer as several winners last year at this time...claim at the end of the Hoosier meet and ship in. Top call. (6) PASSIONATE BEAUTY raced well but was beaten by a razor-sharp foe last week. She is the main danger. (5) SOUTHWIND GLORIA was an impressive debut winner in tough conditions. Don't sell her too short. (4) HAMMER DOWN is a speed threat but is likely to have trouble with the top two, at least. (9) ARRIVISTA HANOVER should hit one of the lower rungs of the exotics.

[DRF HARNESS LIVE: Watch all of the Meadowlands stakes action live this weekend + real-time insights from the DRF Harness team.]