11/16/2016 3:45PM

Woodbine Harness: Friday 11/18 Analysis


Race 1 - $40,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

PICK 5: 1,2,5/3,7/2/6,9,10/1,3,5,8 = $14.40

EARLY PICK 4: 6,9,10/1,3,5,8/1,4,7,9/2 = $48

LATE PICK 4: 1,2,3,7/1,4,5/4,8/1,3,6 = $72

MEET STATS: 10 - 42 / $61.30  BEST BETS: 2 - 4 / $6.00

SPOT PLAYS: 0 - 4 / $0.00


Spot Play: RIDE AWAY SHARK (5th)

Race 1

(2) ST LADS PENNY LANE was game in defeat in conditions that didn't favor closers last time. She has a big shot here if the track is playing fair. (5) LIGHTS GO OUT should wake up with the class drop here and Saftic has been known to drive her very aggressively in this class; using. (1) REGAL LUCK got way too far back early last time on a track that was playing to speed. A rebound effort is very possible here. (4) BIG TSUNAMI is a threat with the late speed she has been showing of late.

Race 2

(3) SAFEKEEPING keeps rolling and can win using various styles; sticking with her. (7) MAJOR MUSCLE was just short vs. the choice last time when caught just before the wire. This looks like another two-horse race. (1) WINDSONG MAGIC should leave in the top flight and stick around for a share. (2) MOONLIGHT COCKTAIL is another that should be close early and may stay for a smaller slice.

Race 3

(2) GEORGIES POCKETS has dominated this series to this point and there is no reason to believe it will stop here. (3) MONOPOLY raced well for Jamieson last time and he sticks here; consider for exotics. (1) JLS BAD MOON RISIN is always passing horses and is a good one to use in your tri bets. (6) MOONSTAR MISSION can threaten if he stays flat, but the break in stride last time raises concerns.

Race 4

(9) BRING ME DIAMONDS comes up tagged for the first time here and she should be put into the race immediately; top call. (6) MISS JONES SHOOTER reversed her form with the drop into claimers last week. Keep her on your multi-race tickets. (10) JUMP JIVE AND JAM can be a lot closer here with the drop into a claimer. (4) CHARMING HILL takes slices frequently and she should share here, too racing from close range.

Race 5

(3) RIDE AWAY SHARK raced great last time against the speed bias. With the drop in class, expect a much more aggressive steer this time. (8) TWIN B INSPIRING also drops and she could take these a long way on the front end of she can clear quickly. (5) GREYSTONE LADYLIKE has taken her season mark here the past two years and a wakeup is very possible here with the class drop and move to the middle of the gate. (1) REGAL ROXY moves up off a sharp win and she is not impossible here in her current good form.

Race 6

(4) DOCS SAUSALITO can lay much closer early here and capitalize on what should be a hot early pace in this stakes series final; call to upset. (7) QUEENOFTHEJUNGLE stayed in last week, but was prominent in the first leg of the series and is another to consider at a price here. (9) TEMPUS SEELSTER rates highly on form and current condition, but this post may work against her. (1) NEVER ANY DOUBT tripped out perfectly to win last week and another golden trip isn't out of the question here in a highly-contentious dash.

Race 7

(2) SENIOR K went a long trip last week and was still close at the finish. Look for him to try to control things here. (7) P L JACKSON had an eventful trip himself last week and was live at the wire. His consistency and sharpness can't be ignored here. (6) TWOMACSONEMACH capitalized chasing a hot pace last week, but he could get a similar scenario here; respect. (5) THINK ON IT is on a roll, but he is unlikely to be left alone on the lead this time.

Race 8

(1) MANOFMANYIMAGES closed well on a speed-biased track last week. Expect him to make his move much earlier here. (3) MERCHANDISER could show much more early speed here starting from the inside and he is a threat to lead all the way. (2) HONOR ABOVE ALL will be passing foes late and could threaten for the win if his trip works out. (7) ALLIES GIFT has been hot at Flamboro and she beat a pretty good Preferred field two back. She can share here.

Race 9

(4) SELLING THE DREAM should be closer early here leaving from an improved post and she should get an honest pace to chase here. (5) STONEBRIDGE QUEST should be the main speed threat again and the weather conditions often make the front the place to be on this track. (1) RUBIS PRESCOTT should be leaving hard on the class drop here and if she lands in the pocket early, she will be tough. (9) LINWOOD BEACHGIRL will likely be overbet dropping out of the Breeders Crown and post 9 isn't great for her. I will play against her.

Race 10

(4) MAJESTIC PRESENCE made tow moves last week and was nailed only late. She should be prominent throughout here. (8) TRUMPETS comes off a sharp win and her improved form should be respected here. (5) DEVILS ADVOCATE was improving for Vanderkemp before she broke last time. She should be a contender if she stays flat. (2) WHAMBAMTHANKUMAAM is another that blew up early last time that figures to make the ticket if she can stay trotting here.

Race 11

(3) NINETTE B drops in class, gets a good post and looks as good as any in a head-scratcher to end the card. (6) WILDCAT BEAUTY also figures on the class drop, but notice the weak win record. (1) KISS ME OR NOT should contend if she can get away close to the top from the tricky inside post. (8) SHOW SOME LEG closed well off a good trip last week, but the move outside here makes it tougher for her. (9) ARTISTIC MADISON is a shell of her former self at this point but her last race wasn't bad and she may improve as the weather gets colder.

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