10/07/2015 2:51PM

Woodbine Harness: Friday 10/9 Analysis


Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

20-CENT PICK 5: 1,3,4,7/1,4,6/2,3,6/1,2,5/1,5 = $43.20

EARLY PICK 4: 1,2,5/1,5/1,4,10/2,6,9 = $54

LATE PICK 4: 1,4,6/2,3,8/1/1,2,4,8,10 = $45

MEET STATS: 10 - 42 / 59.10  BEST BETS: 1 - 4 / $4.60

SPOT PLAYS: 2 - 4 / 25.10

Best Bet: REGAL LUCK (10th)

Spot Play: LETS WAIT AND SEE (4th)

Race 1

(1) DUBLIN ROSE enters this fresh off a new life's mark in her Grassroots Final win and should work out a good trip here; top call. (3) SHUTTHEFRONTDOOR was given an aggressive steer from the 10-hole last week and just failed to last. She could do here with a better trip. (4) ARTIAWITCHTOYOU is too sharp to ignore, but she could set the table for the choice.

Race 2

(6) WILD AND CRAZY GUY had plenty of trot to offer last week but couldn't use it until very late because he was trapped by a gapping pocket-sitter and a non-advancing first-over rival. He should be a square price here; Spot Play. (1) WINDSUN REVENGE left then took a shuffle in his return race. Expect improvement here. (4) RIVETING ROSIE has faced better and will likely try to take these coast-to-coast. Any breathers make her extra dangerous.

Race 3

(6) ARTISTIC MADISON is a win machine, loves Woodbine and rarely gets bet. Add all of that up and we'll make her our top call here. (3) HOPE FOR PADDY roared up late last week in a return to her best form and is the one to beat. (2) MARLEE B has hit the board in 14 of 22 tries this year, drops out of the Ellamony and is another in with a good shot in this competitive dash.

Race 4

(2) LETS WAIT AND SEE returns from a break showing quick first and last quarters in his qualifier. Don't underestimate anything trainer Brealey sends out at this meet. (1) NEWBIE has fired identical 26 4/5 kickers in his last two starts but was too far back to make a big impact. Expect a more aggressive steer here. (5) SHOE SHINE was flying late last week and is another to use on pick 4 and pick 5 tickets.

Race 5

(5) ADVERSITY was coming on late last week after having followed poor cover. He is coming back around now and likely sitting on a win. (1) FLYHAWK EL DURADO was only a length behind the choice and the move inside should help him start more alertly. (3) MUSICAL SPELL likes Woodbine and showed improvement back on this oval last week.

Race 6

(4) MACARENA MAMA raced better last week against a very sharp winner and may be ready to win her first of the season here. (10) MISS ALI MACH N returns from a break, faces easier, had a sharp qualifier and goes for a trainer noted for having them ready off layoffs; using. (1) DIANNA SANTANNA tried it first up last week which isn't her trip. She can be closer here off cover.

Race 7

(6) CATCH THE DREAM raced great last week considering the glacial middle 1/2 worked totally against him. Give him a slight edge over (2) DAMFOOLRMILLIONAIR who sat the pocket in the same race and finished just ahead of him. (9) INTIMIDATE gets Lasix and faces easier. He's hard to leave out despite the post and time missed.

Race 8

(6) AINSLEYNOELLE raced tough in the Grassroots Semi-Final and Final and should be tough in here with the late speed she has been producing. (4) HAZMATT has won powerfully twice straight and has a quick lethal brush that makes her a tough foe. (1) HOLLYROCKER could trip out from the better post; don't underestimate.

Race 9

(8) POWER MOVE raced better last time and was a frequent Woodbine winner at the last meet; top call. (3) CAL CHIPS BROTHER has been racing well and will get there one of these times. (2) ANDOVERS TOUCH will be competitive if he can stay flat - which is an iffy proposition.

Race 10

(1) REGAL LUCK faces her easiest field in weeks. Last time she faced similar, she won by more than 6 lengths. Beat her to greet the cashier. (7) NAT A VIRGIN was an impressive winner last week but is also erratic and unpredictable. (2) TRUE REFLECTION has raced well here in the past and has been showing signs of improving form recently.

Race 11

(1) LEAFS AND WINGS was only beaten a neck when last in this class. He should get a good trip here; on top. (10) HIT AND GIGGLE A qualified sharply free-legged and is a threat to take these all the way. (4) CAMAES FELLOW has missed almost a month but can share here. (8) DERBY DYLAN was claimed by a high % barn and isn't without a shot here. (2) REASONABLE FORCE usually grabs a check at this level and is capable of bettering this prediction.

[ RED MILE: Watch the International Stallion Stakes action Friday--Live on DRF!]