10/21/2015 3:37PM

Woodbine Harness: Friday 10/23 Analysis


Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

20-CENT PICK 5: 1,5,6,8/1,5,6/3,4/1,2,7/7,9 = $28.80

EARLY PICK 4: 1,2,7/7,9/1,7,8/2,4,8 = $54

LATE PICK 4: 5,7,8/1,2,6/1,6,8,9/6 = $36

MEET STATS: 37 - 121 / 181.80  BEST BETS: 5 - 10 / $15.20

SPOT PLAYS: 3 - 11 / 30.30


Spot Play: MEA LILLEY MARK (5th)

Race 1

(1) TWIN B HONOUR raced okay off a month break last time, closing seven lengths in the back half. She should be more forwardly placed early here and should be a good price. (5) ANISTON SEELSTER has won two straight easily in this class and is the one to beat. (8) MACH MAGIC has also paced to two easy wins in a row but now faces tougher.

Race 2

(5) ELDORADO OF GOLD was too far back early last time perhaps in part to the off track. He can leave more alertly here and get back on track with a win. (6) SWAN ON ONE improved for Zeron last week and will be passing horses late again. (1) E L LOVE went out too fast early on the wet track and should bounce back with a good effort here.

Race 3

(3) ULTIMATE BEACHBOY makes his third start for Burke here after just missing the Breeders Crown final. He can take this group. (4) ELLIS PARK has been racing great for several starts now comes into this off a three-week break; mixed signals. (5) ATOMIC MILLION AM was beaten by a classy sophomore last time but closed well for 2nd. He should be passing most of these late for a share.

Race 4

(2) BAROCKEY has returned to action in razor-sharp condition and should be able to handle this slight class-rise; top call. (1) WITCH DALI gets class relief here and should rebound from two sub-par performances. (7) SHUTTHEFRONTDOOR can unleash a wicked kick from the back and has upset possibilities here.

Race 5

(9) MEA LILLEY MARK seems to have the early lead available for her taking here and if Saftic rolls here out of there she could go down the road here. (7) MISS ALI MACH N makes her third start off a break and could show more early speed here. (1) NINETTE B has win 13 of her last 38 starts and is facing many that are win-shy types. She needs a trip here but is in with a shot.

Race 6

(1) PHYSICALLYINCLINED beat a field of mostly elders last week fairly easily and looks good to double up here back with sophomores. (7) MAKE SOME LUCK was in the choice's pocket the entire way and hung on for third. He has been sharp for a long time and could get a similar trip here. (8) ARQUE HANOVER was a decent 4th in the Little Brown Jug final heat and just missed the Breeders Crown final. He could better this placing with a good trip.

Race 7

(4) TWIN B INSPIRING showed marked improvement last time out in his 2nd start for trainer Waxman. Don't be shocked if he knocks another couple of seconds off here. (8) JENNA CASIMIR has two solid starts over this track and should be right in the mix again here. (2) WHISTYS PARADISE goes for conditioner Puddy first off the claim here and is one to use on pick 4 tickets.

Race 8

(5) ANDOVERS TOUCH trotted a 27 1/5 third quarter to get close enough to make a late charge at the leader last week but his rally fell short. Expect a more aggressive drive from Filion here. (7) GRANA PADANNO is always dangerous in this class with his good gate speed. He's the one to catch. (8) MY KID SISTER nosed out the choice two back then lost by a nose herself in her next start. She fits this class like a glove and is a must-use in the late Pick 4.

Race 9

(1) BROOKDALE SHADOW continues to start and finish quickly in her miles and her style is conducive to getting good results on this track; she should get a good trip here. (6) ARTISTIC MADISON has been leading her miles and tiring late. She has used a closing style effectively in the past and may revert to that approach here. (2) MARLEE B motored past her rivals late last week after leaving from the 10-hole and is a threat to repeat.

Race 10

(6) YES YOU CAN was forced to pace a 27 flat third 1/4 to get in contention and ended up providing perfect cover for the winner. Those roles could be reversed here. (1) ARTIAWITCHTOYOU was the beneficiary of the choice's cover and drove away late. She's too sharp to leave out. (9) LOVELY ERIN was set back for interference after an eventful trip. She has a chance at the upset here if she can latch onto some cover.

Race 11

(6) WINDSUN REVENGE has hit his best stride now as he makes his 4th start off a break. He stands a good chance of repeating here despite the slight class rise. (2) MUSCLE MATTERS faced much better last week and understandably backed up late. He can rebound here at a price. (4) MR LOVER has developed a wicked late kick that makes him dangerous every time out.

Race 12

(5) PRESCOTTS HOPE returns from a break after having gait issues. If he has the problem righted, he can take this field coast-to-coast. (1) THORN IN YOUR SIDE has been racing very well and rarely gets bet. He has very high speed when he is on his game which he obviously is at this time. (7) THUNDER STEELER vaulted past winded leaders at the top of the stretch and won for fun last week. He could repeat but will likely be overbet off that tripped-out win.

Race 13

(3) LIGHTS GO OUT should be competitive here but you never know what kind of drive she'll get it seems. With the class drop it's reasonable to expect more aggression. (1) BEACH GAL also drops in class and should get a good trip on or near the front here. (2) ONYOURMARKNATAVA has had poor trips her past two and has a chance to hit this ticket at a big price. (5) TRUE REFLECTION improved last time and has raced well at this meet in the past. She should make the Super ticket. (6) B SANTANNAS LOVE rarely missed a check and is a good one to toss on the bottom of your tickets.

[DRF HARNESS LIVE: Real-time insights & Live Video for Saturday's Breeders Crown Finals at Woodbine--Starts at 6:15 p.m.]