09/30/2015 4:08PM

Woodbine Harness: Friday 10/2 Analysis


Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

20-CENT PICK 5: 6/5,7,9/6/ALL/2,3,4 = $14.40

EARLY PICK 4: 1,2,3,4,5,7/2,3,4/3,4,9/4 = $54

LATE PICK 4: 4,9/8/3,4,6,8/2,6,10 = $24

FINAL MOHAWK MEET STATS: 360 - 1131 / $2039.20  BEST BETS: 50 - 101 / $159.90

SPOT PLAYS: 16 - 97 / $162.30

Best Bet: WORLD CLASS IZZY (1st)

Spot Play: YES YOU CAN (3rd)

Race 1

(6) WORLD CLASS IZZY had no shot in the Grassroots Final with the trip she got from the worst post. Many factors here point to her bouncing back with a top effort. (1) TYMAL SIGNATURE raced very well here earlier in the year and gets a positive driver change; wakeup possibility. (4) SHEGUINDAH has been racing well when she behaves and her good early speed is an asset here.

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Race 2

(5) ST LADS PIXIE drops back into a claimer and should get an aggressive steer here; top call. (7) SUCKITUPBUTTERCUP drops too and should also be sent early for good position which makes her a strong factor. (9) WHISTYS PARADISE motored home last week in a conditioned event and isn't without a chance but needs to get moving early in the mile.

Race 3

(6) YES YOU CAN ships in, moves into Moreau's barn and faces easier; top call. (4) LITTLE MISS SPORTY has been racing well and finishing strongly at the end of her miles. She could upset these with a decent trip. (5) ANISTON SEELSTER was beaten only a length in the Grassroots Final and is another contender in a filled with many.

Race 4

(5) HIS BOY ELROY has been powering home and should get a quick pace to chase here. (3) MIKES POWERHOUSE has faced the same razor-sharp winner in his past three and shaking him here can only help. (4) P L IDAHO should like Woodbine but has missed some time; mixed signals from him.

Race 5

(3) DEWEYKEEPUMNWHY has been facing better and should be able to handle this group if provided with a reasonable trip. (2) TORNADO TIM raced better last time and is a threat here if he trots the entire mile. (4) O U SEXY GUY faced much better in his first start off the claim and now drops back to a level where he can compete.

Race 6

(9) CAJON LIGHTNING has been very sharp recently but may also be overbet here based on the time of his last mile. Top call, but beware taking a short price. (3) R U MACHIN ME was hung the mile last time pressuring the choice. He should get a better trip here and can threaten for the win. (4) C L ART MAGIC has a perfect record this year and can likely drop a few seconds with the move to the big track; don't sell too short.

Race 7

(4) D GS PESQUERO was motoring late vs. better last time and Drury will likely move her earlier here. (9) ONYOURMARKNATAVA is a sharp contender who never gets bet; using. (5) HAT TRICK HONEY fits in this class but has only won 3 of her last 56 starts; minor award predicted.

Race 8

(4) PUT YOUR BAD ON switched barns and drivers and raced to a predictable win last time out; call to repeat. (9) HAZMATT seems to race better from off the pace but may have too much to do late here if the choice sprints away on the final turn. (5) OK HEARTBEAT has faced some tough ones in Grassroots action lately and should go better here.

Race 9

(8) REVEREND HANOVER has returned to action in the best from of his career and should make short work of these. (5) PHYSICALLYINCLINED is also very sharp and likely completes a chalky exacta here. (6) JACK REACHER closed impressively to win in his debut on this circuit and can get a good piece of this OSS Gold purse.

Race 10

(3) BET YA does her best work when she drops in class and makes her second start off a break, too; top call. (8) MILEYS BIG WORLD has been a great claim and can't be discounted in her excellent form. (4) ARTISTIC MADISON drops in class and loves Woodbine. Don't underestimate her here.

Race 11

(2) DIANNA SANTANNA fired a fast last 1/4 in her most recent start which signals a return to form. She did well at the last Woodbine meet and should work out a good trip here. (10) NAT A VIRGIN is a bit of a head-scratcher in that she can display high speed - see the 1:51 flat qualifier - but also is very erratic. She can win this if she behaves. (6) FOOLISH MIND raced okay from the 10-hole last time and could share here in only her 7th start of the year. (1) MACARENA MAMA has yet to win this year but could share here from the rail. (4) SHELLYSSILVERMOON typically grabs a check when she starts from an inside post.

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