10/14/2015 4:30PM

Woodbine Harness: Friday 10/16 Analysis


Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

20-CENT PICK 5: 2,3,4/2,3,4,6/6,7/1/1,2,4,6 = $19.20

EARLY PICK 4:1/2,4,6/3,5,6/3,6,7,8 = $36

LATE PICK 4:1,6/1,2/2,4,5,6/5,8 = $32

MEET STATS: 28 - 86 / 150.20  BEST BETS: 2 - 7 / $6.60

SPOT PLAYS: 3 - 8 / 30.30

Best Bet: PURE COUNTRY (4th)

Spot Play: OLE BLACK MAGIC (5th)

Race 1

(3) REGAL LUCK was forced to pull first-over last week and provided perfect cover for the favored winner. That was a big effort and she figures highly here. (2) BETIT TO GETIT had big speed last time and only tired late. She could be better here with for having the race over the track. (4) D GS PESQUERO should get a minor share as she almost always does.

Race 2

(5) CALL ME QUEEN BE has shown she can leave and re-rally which will be an advantage on this track. (6) YANKEE MOONSHINE is only a two-time winner but seems to be improving at the right time. (3) ROCK ME BABY has won two straight, can take a lot of air and isn't out of this, obviously.

Race 3

(7) SOUTHWIND FRANK has used a variety of styles to win nine of 10 thus far and looks best but will be heavily-bet. (6) MILLIGANS SCHOOL is getting hot at the perfect time and looks like the main danger. (8) MUSCLES FOR LIFE is the strongest local hope but may be racing for third here.

Race 4

(1) PINE COUNTRY brings an unbeaten record into this Breeders Crown elimination and her main competition may be in the other elim. (8) DIME A DANCE was first up in an accelerating pace last time. She could be closer here if the trip is better. (4) DARLINONTHEBEACH stole a slow have which led to an easy victory last time. That same trip is unlikely here.

Race 5

(4) OLE JACK MAGIC broke early last time which will inflate his price here. He can rebound if he behaves. (6) WINDSUN REVENGE has returned to his best form and is the one to beat. (2) KINETIC KING takes a big class drop and should be on pick 4 and 5 tickets but will likely be overbet in the win pool.

Race 6

(3) CELEBRITY EVENTSY has won four times this year and those wins have all come in her last five starts; call to upset. (5) BROADWAY DONNA is the obvious choice and the one to beat with her perfect record. (6) HAUGHTY is also unbeaten and isn't without a shot with the speed she has shown.

Race 7

(3) YES YOU CAN raced well up near the front but was stuck in the pocket too long last time. She can rebound here. (6) SOUTHWIND GEISHA was an impressive first-over winner last week at a big price and is a threat to repeat here. (8) LOVELY ERIN went first up and stalled in the Grassroots final. Perhaps the broken equipment listed in her past performance line had something to do with that.

Race 8

(1) CAPRICE HILL gets Tetrick back here after drifting out on the final turn last week; top call. (6) ALL THE TIME wasn't beaten far by the top one three back. She is the main danger. (3) BLACK BROADWAY is two-for-two and has shown enough speed to compete with these.

Race 9

(1) AMERICAN PASSPORT has caught fire the past month and could upset the unbeaten favorite here at a decent price. (2) CONTROL THE MOMENT puts his perfect record on the line here following a break due to a vet scratch. He will likely get a strong challenge from the choice. (4) BETTING LINE was 2nd to the one above in the Metro final and isn't out of this.

Race 10

(2) SPIDER MAN HANOVER set a world record two back at Delaware then got beat by a very sharp colt that set some easy fractions. He is one of several that can take this. (4) RACING HILL has been very sharp in two starts this month and is another to consider for late pick 4 tickets. (5) TRAVEL PLAYLIST was beaten by the one above last time which was the first loss of his career; another contender.

Race 11

(8) BET YA drops to her lowest level in several starts and has won many times on the class drop already this year. She'll be tough in here. (5) LIGHTS GO OUT also drops but the choice has a tactical edge as she will be placed closer to the front early. (9) MISS COCO LUCK is racing well and could share at a big price starting farthest out.

Race 12

(3) MISS ALI MACH N had a useful comeback race from the 10-hole and should get a much better trip here. (1) NINETTE B has faced tougher recently and should get a good piece of this starting from the inside. (5) GREYSTONE LADYLIKE drops to the lowest level and could wake up here. (4) TRUE REFLECTION drops while making her fourth start off a break and should make the ticket. (7) MEA LILLEY MARK is another class dropper with a good shot in a very competitive race for High-5 jackpot wagers.

[DRF HARNESS LIVE: Real-time insights every Saturday night--Breeders Crown eliminations from Woodbine this Saturday--Starts at 7PM]