10/04/2001 11:00PM

Woodbine analysis for 10/06

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First Race

1. RIGGO 2. RUFF TUFF STUFF 3. HIT THE THROTTLE

RIGGO beat the upwardly mobile Everyday Hero when he won his penultimate outing with a $35,000 tag, but got bogged down running on a dead rail most recently. He's taking a significant drop to $32,000, and should be the boss. RUFF TUFF STUFF toppled $25,000 non-winners of two while defeating next out winner Lemon Creek Sept. 15, and should be competitive in his first venture around two turns. The son of Bold Executive is the first foal from a mare who won two of her four route attempts. HIT THE THROTTLE is in decent form and could do some damage off the $25,000 claim.

Second Race

1. DEPUTY CARSON 2. END SWEEPS ADVANCE 3. WHITE ENSIGN

DEPUTY CARSON broke the longstanding six-furlong track record at Fort Erie while beating a good allowance field Sept. 9, and has breezed a quick five-eighths in the interim. He should be tough in this $40,000 claimer if he stays in the zone. END SWEEPS ADVANCE has filled the place position in each of his last four starts and, should be dangerous with the drop from $62,500. He runs wells with some space between his engagements, and has been absent for seven weeks. WHITE ENSIGN has been freshened since his Aug. 24 triumph over $32,000 foes, and rarely runs a bad one for his successful trainer/rider combo.

Third Race

1. SUSAN GRACEY 2. WINNING CHANCE 3. REAL DOLL

First-timer SUSAN GRACEY has prepped adequately for a trainer who can have one ready and is bred to be precocious. Her dam won first crack at 2 and has thrown two juvenile winners from as many starters. WINNING CHANCE finished fifth going five furlongs in a key maiden special when she debuted Aug. 31, and has since switched trainers to Roger Attfield. She's bred to go long, top and bottom, but could still threaten in this six-furlong dash. REAL DOLL, who's coupled with the latter in the Stronach Stable entry, is by a high-percentage debut sire and from a young mare who won two of three dirt sprints.

Fourth Race

1. MEKENA SOUTH 2. SYNDICATE BLUES 3. BETSY'S FORUM

MEKENA SOUTH raced wide while against a speed bias in a recent $32,000 claimer for sophomores, and wasn't beaten all the far while finishing seventh. He's facing older non-winners of three opponents in this $16,000 tilt, and should be a force to be reckoned with. SYNDICATE BLUES benefited from a bias which favored outside closers when he beat $12,500 non-winners of two Sept. 21, and could be in the thick of things with his confidence on a high. Kevin Attard takes over the training duties from father Tino, who's on suspension. BETSY'S FORUM dueled up front on a speed-conducive strip en route to a second-place finish in a similar event Sept. 20, and is a viable candidate for the bottom of exotic bets.

Fifth Race

1. DESERT EYES 2. ITS FOXY 3. SONHOUSE

DESERT EYES stalked a slow pace before retreating when he shortened up to six furlongs last out, and should be more effective running on the lead in this seven-furlong dash. ITS FOXY lost all chance when he broke about four lengths behind the field in his $20,000 debut, and deserves another chance in this much easier $16,000 maiden dash. The bug is sticking with the longshot. SONHOUSE faded to third despite running on a slow pace while saving ground over an inside biased track Sept. 26. He's had many chances, and should only be used underneath in exotics.

Sixth Race

1. MEADOW GEM 2. FEATHERS 3. BAHAMA DREAM

MEADOW GEM lost for the first time when she met older rivals in the Seaway Stakes, in which she battled on the lead through fast splits before ending up a neck back of El Prado Essence in second. She's worked bullets in the interim and should be the speed of the speed in this stakes prep. FEATHERS returned from a fourth-month break for an authoritative allowance victory at Fort Erie Sept. 8, and could be closing prominently if a suicidal pace materializes. She beat a good field, which included Torrid Affair, when she won the Grade 3 Bessarabian Handicap here last fall. BAHAMA DREAM rallied wide with the bias in the slop en route to a daylight tally in an $80,000 optional claimer last time, and could be along to pick up some of the pieces.

Seventh Race

1. HIGHLAND OCEAN 2. RECITE 3. WARPLANE

HIGHLAND OCEAN closed three wide from just off the pace for a workman like win over $40,000 maidens at this seven-furlong distance a month ago. He has lots of speed to run at in this allowance, and could be along in time. RECITE relished the slop when he graduated by 21 lengths while earning an inflated Beyer Figure in a $32,000 maiden tilt Sept. 19. He probably won't be able to duplicate such a performance over a fast track in this tougher spot, but should still make his presence felt. WARPLANE dropped from maiden special company to win his maiden for $62,500 three weeks ago, and could join the fray with another outside stalking trip under Shane Ellis.

Eighth Race

1. EL SOPRANO 2. FIRST CLASS HONORS 3. CLASSIC CASE

EL SOPRANO has captured both of his turf events by a neck, including the Grade 2 Summer Stakes, in which he was checked severely heading into the turn before mounting a sustained wide rally for the upset win over heavily favored Miesque's Approval. He's worked twice on the turf in the interim at Adena Springs North, according to trainer Kevin Attard, and deserves top billing in this restricted stakes. FIRST CLASS HONORS was blocked on the turn before he closed along the rail for a narrow maiden score over next out winner Tails of the Crypt when he switched to the grass for his second start. He has some speed to run at and should hit the money for Sam-Son Farm, which has won this race an astounding 12 times. CLASSIC CASE was a flat fifth last time in the Silver Deputy Stakes, but could turn things around on the grass, a surface he has yet to try. His dam won the Natalma Stakes on the local lawn.

Ninth Race

1. CHERRY TREE HILL 2. ROMANTIC REASON 3. REALLY KEEN

First-timer CHERRY TREE HILL cost $500,000 as a Keeneland September yearling and has a potent turf pedigree. She's a full sister to a stakes-placed runner on the sod, and is sent out by an accomplished debut trainer. ROMANTIC REASON rallied wide from far back after a troubled start in her most recent turf outing to end up second behind Bubbi Trap, who came back to garner some black type in the La Prevoyante Stakes. REALLY KEEN is a longshot possibility in her second start off the bench. She's exiting a difficult maiden special and is trying the green stuff for the first time. Her dam has produced three turf winners from six starters over that surface, and her trainer has had several long-priced grass winners at this stand.

Tenth Race

1. KELEN 2. GRUB FOR GOLD 3. SHARK ATTACK

KELEN plunged from $50,000 to this level for a second-place finish behind next out winner Sugarcreek Run Sept. 13, and could break through here with blinkers on. GRUB FOR GOLD has been a beaten favorite several times, but she resides in a hot barn and should be a front-running factor. She ran against a bias which favored outside closers Sept. 21, and was only beaten two lengths after surrendering a clear lead at the eighth pole. SHARK ATTACK is a longtime maiden with a good shot at rounding out the tri or superfecta.

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