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Updated on 09/15/2011 2:09PM
Woodbine analysis for 10/05
Best Bet: Amy's Falcon (6th Race)
1. ARCOLA CREEK 2. SPANISH JOHNNY 3. LAZER SPEED
ARCOLA CREEK made a three-wide bid before tiring in the final furlong when he tried the turf in a one-mile maiden special Sept. 16. He's taking a significant drop to $40,000 while switching back to the main track and has probably found his probably place in the scheme of things. SPANISH JOHNNY raced wide before lugging in during the early portion of the stretch run en route to a fourth-place finish in his $62,500 debut. He could move forward with the stretchout to a distance which he's bred to handle. LAZER SPEED improved first time off the claim when third in a seven-furlong dash at this price Sept. 8. He's bred to run long on top and short on the bottom of his pedigree.
1. CHEROKEE DAWN 2. JARRET'S ODYSSEY 3. WILDISTHEWIND
CHEROKEE DAWN was blocked during most of the stretch run and may have been best while checking in fourth in a similar condition race Sept. 22. He could end a winless drought here if things go his way. JARRET'S ODYSSEY gave up a three-length lead at the eighth pole when he was beaten a half-length in his last main-track outing at this level June 24. He's in good turf form and should be dangerous in his second start off the claim. WILDISTHEWIND benefited from an inside bias when he plunged in value and wired $25,000 non-winners of two Sept. 26. He could be the dominant speed in this $32,000 tilt for non-winners of three.
1. MISS GRINDSTONE 2. ELLA'S FORUM 3. HUGS FOR TERRY
MISS GRINDSTONE dusted $40,000 maidens when she debuted over a sloppy track last month, and should be a major player in this $50,000 claimer. Moving out from five to six furlongs could work in her favor. ELLA'S FORUM saved ground over a dead rail when she was a non-threatening sixth in a recent allowance, but should fare better with these. HUGS FOR TERRY was a fading fifth after a three-wide stalking trip in the aforementioned allowance, and has to be considered.
1. REAL PERFECT 2. CALLING CODE 3. SILVER CHAMP
REAL PERFECT ran against a speed bias when fifth in a key five-furlong dash at this level Sept. 7, a race which produced next out winners Saudi Sadie and Virginia Forum. The daughter of freshman sire Siphon should be troublesome in her second start off a freshening with the new bug taking over for trainer Kevin Attard. CALLING CODE stalked a slow pace over a speed-conducive track when second at this price Sept. 20, and should be in the thick of things with Montpellier taking over. SILVER CHAMP ended up third behind the latter after pressing the early pace in that same race, and is a logical candidate for the bottom of tri combos.
1. ORCHARD STREET 2. BOW SPRAY 3. WORLD VISION
ORCHARD STREET is worth a flyer in his first attempt on the grass, since he's by the country's premier turf sire. He showed some ability by finishing second in a July 27 maiden special, and is taking that all-important drop here to a maiden claimer. BOW SPRAY is also competing with a tag for the first time in this $50,000 event and should be a factor. His closing bid was hampered by a slow pace when he finished fourth last time out. Longtime maiden WORLD VISION just missed in his penultimate outing, and wasn't far behind BOW SPRAY in sixth most recently. Toss SHARP FORTY NINER and SENT PACKING in the tri.
1. AMY'S FALCON 2. PLATEL 3. MISS NOIRE
AMY'S FALCON saved ground on a dead rail before she closed four-wide in the stretch to finish fourth in a recent allowance, which was won by the promising Boston Twist. She graduated at five furlongs in her only other appearance, and should do some damage at a square price in this 5 1/2-furlong allowance. PLATEL will be favored off her superb sprint record, which includes a front-running score in the key Ontario Debutante Stakes. However, her speed could be dulled a little from running long last time in the Grade 1 Mazarine, in which she was rank in the early stages before she weakened in the stretch and ended up fourth. MISS NOIRE added Lasix when she triumphed a month ago in the slow Muskoka Stakes, a restricted seven-furlong dash. She figures to be closing for a share in her second try on the diuretic.
1. COLEBROOK RUCKUS 2. PROSPECT MARK 3. CALLER AGAIN
COLEBROOK RUCKUS comes off a fourth-place finish in a difficult $100,000 event, and could have these $62,500 rivals over a barrel if he runs anywhere close to his best. He won his penultimate outing with a $75,000 tag at this seven-furlong distance. PROSPECT MARK ran over a dull rail while setting the early pace before hitting a brick wall when he experimented around two turns in allowance company Sept. 9. He's turning back to the distance at which he graduated, and should be a speed threat with Luciani taking over. CALLER AGAIN has been on the shelf since he toppled $50,000 opponents in his third start of the year Aug. 8, and has worked solidly for his return.
1. JULIE'S WITT 2. SERENA'S TUNE 3. SPORTS FLASHY
JULIE'S WITT was a very determined winner on the main track the last time she saw action at this class Aug. 2. She dueled through quick fractions in that seven-furlong dash, and held off a closing Cryptic Response to prevail a head while earning a good Beyer Figure. She's equally adept on either surface, and is capable of running well when fresh. SERENA'S TUNE faded to finish on the fringes in each of her last two outings at a mile on the grass, and is probably at her best as a front-running sprinter on the lawn. She might have to deal with SPORTS FLASHY here in a front-end confrontation. The latter prevailed over a mediocre field of $80,000 optional claimers going seven furlongs on the dirt last out. She won a minor stakes on turf in July for trainer Earl Barnett, who has begun to heat up lately.
1. COMMITTAL 2. ATTAWAPISKAT 3. CLOSER TOTHE HEART
COMMITTAL tends to run well with some space between his races, and has had five weeks off since he wired his rivals while setting rapid fractions at this level Aug. 26. The veteran drilled a quick half-mile from the gate the other day, and should take some catching in his first try for new interests. ATTAWAPISKAT has run two solid races since he was claimed in August and is dropping to a new low. Trainer Vito Armata continues to grind out the winners on a regular basis, and has several live runners on this card. CLOSER TOTHE HEART, who was beaten a pole in a recent $62,500 optional claimer, is taking an appropriate drop and should be heard from, especially if he gets a wet track. Toss SHAHNANA'S WEST in the superfecta.
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