Updated on 09/15/2011 2:09PM

Woodbine analysis for 10/04

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BEST BET: CHARMING MELODY (1ST RACE)

First Race

1. CHARMING MELODY 2. SUPREME HI 3. FACTUAL DANCER

CHARMING MELODY got bogged down running on a dead rail while vying up front through moderate fractions when she faced the likes of Cosa Rara and Amazonian Racekey in her latest. She's exiting allowance company to compete with a tag for the first time in this $32,000 tilt, and should be tough while racing forwardly if she's anywhere near right. SUPREME HI was game in victory when she debuted off the claim in a similar event over a sloppy track Sept. 19, and would be troublesome on a repeat. FACTUAL DANCER was a fading third behind the latter most recently and could be an effective stalking presence for a pretty hot barn.

Second Race

1. CHEROKEE WIZARD 2. FLEET FORUM 3. HIGH SUPREME

CHEROKEE WIZARD backed up on the turn after dueling on the lead over a dead rail when he dropped from the maiden special ranks to $62,500 for his second start. He's taking another plunge in value while reportedly adding Lasix and blinkers, and has worked quickly for this engagement. First-timer FLEET FORUM drilled a fast half-mile from the gate Aug. 9 for a trainer who can have on ready. The son of freshman sire Open Forum is a half-brother to Star Shoot Stakes winner Diablo's Closer.HIGH SUPREME is going on Lasix while returning from a freshening and has been competitive in all four of his starts for trainer John Cardella. Shortening up from seven to five furlongs could be to his benefit.

Third Race

1. MAUDLIN MISS 2. PETALITE 3. REASON FOR JUSTICE

MAUDLIN MISS broke a bit slowly before mounting a four-wide rally for third when she moved out to seven-eighths while dropping two notches to $20,000 Sept. 12. She's doubling in value, but has some stamina in her pedigree and could find her calling around two turns. PETALITE raced five-wide until the far turn during her lackluster debut at this distance, in which she sent off at 2-1 while coupled with the more fancied OMSHANTI. She deserves another chance here following some good interim workouts. REASON FOR JUSTICE has earned a cheque in six of her seven outings and could hit the tri in her first attempt beyond 6 1/2 furlongs. She's bred to run long on top and short on the bottom of her family tree. Also consider ARAB QUEEN.

Fourth Race

1. ENDING WELL 2. OCEAN WILD 3. BOLD TO LOVE

ENDING WELL is winless in eight seasonal outings, but is continuing her descent in value and could find the mark in this $50,000 claimer. The daughter of End Sweep closed mildly over a speed-conducive track to end up third behind a sharp Greatballsoffire last time. OCEAN WILD was in too deep against the likes of stakes winner Sports Flashy and Cruel Dawn in a recent $80,000 optional claimer, and is dropping to a suitable spot. She's won two of her three starts at this distance and possesses a versatile running style, which has enabled her to win four of seven tries this year for the meet's leading trainer. BOLD TO LOVE is returning from a six-week vacation and should be a factor. The daughter of Bold Ruckus had a troubled trip in her dismal Aug. 23 race at the $62,500 optional claiming level, and has won more than she's lost this year.

Fifth Race

1. NORTHBOUND SALLY 2. REGAL STEP 3. SPIRITED ANGEL

NORTHBOUND SALLY is moving up a notch off the claim while out of jail, a positive sign, and should take some beating in this $32,000 event. All four of her career victories have been at this seven-furlong distance. REGAL STEP hasn't run a bad one since she was claimed for $15,000 in early July, and should be a dangerous front-running presence if the rail provides favorable footing. She'll form an entry with ADAGIO'S GEM, who's turning back from 1 1/16 miles off a win over conditioned foes. SPIRITED ANGEL is in good Fort Erie form, and was only beaten a neck by NORTHBOUND SALLY the last time she ran here Aug. 30.

Sixth Race

1. STRAIT FROM TEXAS 2. STYLELISTICK 3. EXPECTED ROLL

STRAIT FROM TEXAS is hard to go past in this preliminary allowance off her near miss in a division of the Grade 3 Natalma Stakes at this distance. She won her maiden in her penultimate appearance on the grass, and has clearly found a home on the green stuff. STYLELISTICK, a well-bred daughter of Storm Cat, improved by leaps and bounds when she moved to the grass last time, winning her maiden while earning a decent Beyer number. She could hook up with the pick on the front end in a fight to the finish. EXPECTED ROLL closed inside from just off the pace to graduate third-time out in her turf debut Sept. 15, and wouldn't be much of a surprise.

Seventh Race

1. SHEZA A NINE PLUS 2. LUVGETSMEEVERYTIME 3. PAYLITA

SHEZA A NINE PLUS rallied wide to come up just a half-length short when she returned from a two-month layoff in a Sept. 23 maiden special, and could have these $50,000 maidens within her sights. Talented turf rider Jono Jones takes over on the daughter of Spend A Buck. LUVGETSMEEVERYTIME was a lapped-on second under similar circumstances a month ago, and has worked five-eighths in the interim for a trainer who's done some damage in recent weeks. Clark is sticking with the 4-year-old. PAYLITA finished fifth behind the top choice last out, and was third the time before in a race won by Noble Strike, who came back to finish second in the Wonder Where Stakes.

Eighth Race

1. VICE N' FRIENDLY 2. LIL PERSONALITEE 3. DEVIL VALENTINE

VICE N' FRIENDLY has been victorious twice this year while stretching out from a sprint to a route, and will try to turn the trick again in this $62,500 optional claimer. The stakes winner has versatile speed and should have a good trip here under regular rider Walls. LIL PERSONALITEE is taking a noteworthy drop from the $100,000 plateau and should be a force to be dealt with. Trainer John Cardella sent out some live runners last week. DEVIL VALENTINE raced near a dull rail while setting slow fractions in the McLaughlin Handicap and came up flat in the drive, but wasn't beaten all that far. The sophomore is shortening up to a suitable distance while facing older foes, and is probably the one to catch.

Ninth Race

1. RUSSIAN ROYALTY 2. CASINO JACK 3. NORTHERN GOLD

RUSSIAN ROYALTY is plummeting in value while turning back to a long sprint and looks to have found a field he can handle. The son of Lord Carson showed inside speed over a track which favored outside closers before he folded like a cheap tent Sept. 21, and deserves a chance at redemption. CASINO JACK rallied four-wide for second over an inside-biased track when he cut back to this distance the other day, and would be tough on a repeat. NORTHERN GOLD closed belatedly for third on a speed-favoring track last time and is dropping to where he should be a factor. Toss STAR STEALER in the super.