Updated on 05/22/2015 9:56AM

Watchmaker Watch: Weekly divisional ratings


Updated: May 18, 2015. Weekly Thoroughbred racing divisional ratings by Mike Watchmaker, national handicapper for Daily Racing Form. Horses must have at least one start in North America.

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Older Males

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1 – Shared Belief,
by Candy Ride
Out for year; will be overtaken on this list
2 – California Chrome,
by Lucky Pulpit
Very nice effort in Dubai; now in England
3 – Bayern,
by Offlee Wild
His return at CD was too bad to be believed
4 – Tonalist,
by Tapit
Couldn't have asked for a better 2015 bow

5- Constitution,
by Tapit
8- Moreno,
by Ghostzapper
6- Lea,
by First Samurai
9- Palace Malice,
by Curlin
7- Race Day,
by Tapit
10- Commissioner (new),
by A.P. Indy

Older Females

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1 – Beholder,
by Henny Hughes
Just loved her comeback in the Santa Lucia
2 – Untapable,
by Tapit
Nice step forward winning Apple Blossom
3 – Don't Tell Sophia,
by Congaree
Excellent last year; focusing on fall campaign
4 – Warren's Veneda,
by Affirmative
Believe she's better than she showed in Vanity

5- Stopchargingmaria,
by Tale of the Cat
8- Gold Medal Dancer,
by Medaglia d'Oro
6- Molly Morgan,
by Ghostzapper
9- Judy the Beauty,
by Ghostzapper
7- Sheer Drama,
by Burning Roma
10- Dame Dorothy,
by Bernardini

3-Year-Old Males

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1 – American Pharoah,
by Pioneerof the Nile
Will he make history and sweep Triple Crown?
2 – Dortmund,
by Big Brown
We know he is much better than his Preakness
3 – Firing Line,
by Line of David
Like Dortmund, I'm just ignoring his Preakness
4 – Frosted,
by Tapit
The only one to rally signifcantly in Derby

5- Materiality,
by Afleet Alex
8- Upstart,
by Flatter
6- Competitive Edge,
by Super Saver
9- International Star (10),
by Fusaichi Pegasus
7- Carpe Diem,
by Giant's Causeway
10- Kentuckian (new),
by Tiznow

3-Year-Old Females

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1 – Lady Eli,
by Divine Park
Unbeaten and untested turfer is very special
2 – Lovely Maria,
by Majesticperfection
Kentucky Oaks winner currently top dirt filly
3 – I'm a Chatterbox,
by Munnings
Dirt fillies may take turns beating each other
4 – Stellar Wind,
by Curlin
Californian didn't bring "A" game on the road

5- Shook Up,
by Tapit
8- Promise Me Silver,
by Silver City
6- Take Charge Brandi,
by Giant's Causeway
9- Condo Commando,
by Tiz Wonderful
7- Birdatthewire,
by Summer Bird
10- Angela Renee,
by Bernardini

Turf Males

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1 – Main Sequence,
by Aldebaran
His Dubai outing is best completely ignored
2 – Wise Dan,
by Wiseman’s Ferry
Rooting for past champ to come back strong
3 – California Chrome,
by Lucky Pulpit
He'll use his turf option, and at Royal Ascot
4 – Imagining,
by Giant's Causeway
Bad trip makes his Man o' War a throw out

5- Twilight Eclipse,
by Purim
8- Mshawish,
by Medaglia d'Oro
6- Finnegans Wake,
by Powerscourt
9- Seek Again,
by Speightstown
7- Bal a Bali,
by Put It Back
10- Big Blue Kitten,
by Kitten's Joy

Turf Females

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1 – Stephanie's Kitten,
by Kitten's Joy
Powerful comeback; scratched on Derby Day
2 – Ball Dancing,
by Exchange Rate
Much the best in the Wiley, flattering top one
3 – Euro Charline,
by Myboycharlie
We would welcome this top-notcher back here
4 – Crown Queen,
by Smart Strike
Perfect at 3; her best races are in front of her

5- Coffee Clique,
by Medaglia d'Oro
8- Tepin,
by Bernstein
6- Lady Lara,
by Excellent Art
9- Discreet Marq,
by Discreet Cat
7- Sandiva,
by Footstepsinthesand
10- Rosalind,
by Broken Vow


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1 – Work All Week,
by City Zip
Reigning champ is 10 for 10 on dirt tracks
2 – Secret Circle,
by Eddington
Did America proud with his Dubai victory
3 – Private Zone,
by Macho Uno
Think he's at his best going 6 and 7 furlongs
4 – Salutos Amigos,
by Salute the Sarge
Was flattered by the oddly run Carter result

5- Palace,
by City Zip
8- Kobe's Back,
by Flatter
6- Wild Dude,
by Wildcat Heir
9- Masochistic,
by Sought After
7- Conquest Two Step,
by Two Step Salsa
10- Dads Caps,
by Discreet Cat


john g 5 days ago
Is most Belmont's won by a horse on the lead, a stalker, or a closer? I've head people say it fools you and it's mostly a horse on the lead, or close to it, but when I looked at some of the charts, it seemed to be mostly stalkers and closers.
Joel Firsching 6 days ago
Did you forget to ask churchill if it okay to take wagers on the derby and oaks ? That is a drf plus
Frank Reach 7 days ago
Madefromlucky should be on the 3 year old list somewhere. His Peter Pan win was impressive and in my opinion he will be formidable in the Belmont Stakes.
tommy 12 days ago
I'm betting the Preakness !!!! American pharoah and Dortmund will lose !!!!!!!!!!! I will do WIN BETS on firing line, Danzig moon, and divining rod !!!!!!!! I will also have firing line, Danzig moon, and divining rod on top in superfecta !!!!! Firing Line : has highest vo2 max in this race Divining rod : has highest lactate threshold in this race American pharoah : at odds of 4-5 and not possessing the highest vo2 max or lactate threshold, I wouldn't put my money on him. He does posses the 2nd highest vo2 max and 2nd highest lactate threshold but firing line and divining rod have huge advantage over him along with having better jockeys !!!!!!! Danzig moon : Barn has connections east coast! Wouldn't be surprised if he is given EPO and wins as a long shot!!! He is fit having decent lactate threshold and with epo he will win big as a long shot!!!
Michael Snyder 7 days ago
Nice pick tommy!!!
Meydan Rocks 6 days ago
H I L A R I O U S!!!!! Makes for amusing comedy. SMH
Bob 12 days ago
How do people use Beyer numbers when he picked Upstart to win the Derby. It's a joke and I said it before the race.
Vick Harris 13 days ago
tommy 13 days ago
Who needs Beyer speed figures when I calculate the vo2 max !!!!!!!! I don't read and pay drf racing program !!! Go equibase !!!!!!
Mary Sivak 14 days ago
Next we will have to pay for entries results and horses numbers the drf +.
Vick Harris 14 days ago
Joseph Bahadoor 14 days ago
Why all the excuses for so called top horses on your list??? Let me guess Your a west coast homer that will make excuses for performances of your top horses that run somewhere else will be considered nothing else but average at best!!!!!
tommy 16 days ago
I don't like made from lucky , but his stat today is outrageous !!!!!!!!! Made from lucky is last years tonalist !!!!!!!! I think materiality can still take him or mubtaahij and frosted !!!!!!!