Updated on 05/02/2016 10:21AM

Watchmaker Watch: Weekly divisional ratings


Updated: May 2, 2016. Weekly Thoroughbred racing divisional ratings by Mike Watchmaker, national handicapper for Daily Racing Form. Horses must have at least one start in North America.

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Older Dirt Males

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1 – California Chrome,
by Lucky Pulpit
His Dubai World Cup was his best race yet
2 – Effinex,
by Mineshaft
Solid; has more speed now than he ever did
3 – Melatonin,
by Kodiak Kowboy
Game effort at Oaklawn proves he's for real
4 – Frosted,
by Tapit
Certainly better than his flat DWC effort says

5- Mshawish,
by Medaglia d'Oro
8- Hoppertunity,
by Any Given Saturday
6- Firing Line,
by Line of David
9- Eagle,
by Candy Ride
7- Texas Red,
by Afleet Alex
10- Noble Bird,
by Birdstone

Older Dirt Females

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1 – Beholder,
by Henny Hughes
So looking forward to champ's return in June
2 – Stopchargingmaria,
by Tale of the Cat
Will benefit from sharp 2016 debut in Madison
3 – Sheer Drama,
by Burning Roma
Edged No. 2 in the Madison; they're close
4 – Stellar Wind,
by Curlin
Showed she can compete with elders in BC

5- Forever Unbridled,
by Unbridled's Song
8- Wavell Avenue,
by Harlington
6- I'm a Chatterbox,
by Munnings
9- Carrumba,
by Bernardini
7- Curalina,
by Curlin
10- Tara's Tango,
by Unbridled's Song

3-Year-Old Males             

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1 – Nyquist,
by Uncle Mo
Easily best in Fla. Derby; Ky. Derby favorite
2 – Mohaymen,
by Tapit
Florida Derby flop was too bad to be believed
3 – Exaggerator,
by Curlin
How much was huge SA Derby win slop-aided?
4 – Mor Spirit,
by Eskendereya
Expecting a big improvement on a fast surface

5- Creator,
by Tapit
8- Cupid,
by Tapit
6- Destin,
by Giant's Causeway
9- Danzing Candy,
by Twirling Candy
7- Unified,
by Candy Ride
10- Brody's Cause,
by Giant's Causeway

3-Year-Old Females

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1 – Songbird,
by Medaglia d'Oro
Champ will miss the Ky. Oaks due to illness
2 – Rachel's Valentina,
by Bernardini
Gutsy effort in Ashland in her 3-year-old debut 
3 – Cathryn Sophia,
by Street Boss
Changed plans, and is now Ky. Oaks bound
4 – Land Over Sea,
by City Zip
Her FG Oaks win certainly flattered Songbird

5- Weep No More,
by Mineshaft
8- Go Maggie Go,
by Ghostzapper
6- Catch a Glimpse,
by City Zip
9- Lewis Bay,
by Bernardini
7- Carina Mia,
by Malibu Moon
10- Terra Promessa,
by Curlin

Turf Males

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1 – Flintshire,
by Dansili
Big man here off excellent international form
2 – Big Blue Kitten,
by Kitten's Joy
Eclipse winner will return for yet another go
3 – The Pizza Man,
by English Channel
He's obviously better than he showed at GP
4 – Bolo,
by Temple City
Out of position early when second in Kilroe

5- Flamboyant,
by Peer Gynt
8- Heart to Heart,
by English Channel
6- Obviously,
by Choisir
9- What a View,
by Vronsky
7- Grand Arch,
by Arch
10- Lukes Alley,
by Flower Alley

Turf Females

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1 – Tepin,
by Bernstein
Nothing short of brilliant in winning the Wiley
2 – Miss Temple City,
by Temple City
Best over good males in the Maker's 46; wow!
3 – Lady Eli,
by Divine Park
Fingers crossed for a storybook comeback
4 – Lady Shipman,
by Midshipman
No Dubai bounce for this turfer, nice Belmont win

5- Photo Call,
by Sadler's Wells
8- Dacita,
by Scat Daddy
6- Isabella Sings,
by Eskendereya
9- Olorda,
by Lord of England
7- Wekeela,
by Hurricane Run
10- Celestine,
by Scat Daddy


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1 – Runhappy,
by Super Saver
The clear boss here until proven otherwise
2 – Private Zone,
by Macho Uno
He'll win plenty if he's kept under a mile
3 – X Y Jet,
by Kantharos
Brutal beat in Dubai, chipped a knee, too
4 – Kobe's Back,
by Flatter
San Carlos win was very good; in career form

5- Marking,
by Bernardini
8- Appealing Tale,
by Tale of the Cat
6- Salutos Amigos,
by Salute the Sarge
9- Limousine Liberal,
by Successful Appeal
7- Favorite Tale,
by Tale of the Cat
10- Subtle Indian,
by Indian Charlie


JDS0810 9 hours ago

I am just wondering why every major handicapper has Mor Spirit on their top 5. 

This horse has done nothing but lose.  If this horse was trained by a small barn instead of Bob Baffert he would not be on anyone's radar.

At this point in the year, Unified and Cupid should not be on this list.  There are more deserving horses.  Gun Runner?????  3 Graded Stakes at two turns, third choice in the Derby???

How is Unified (2 races, 2 wins, 1 stake win at 7f) ranked above Gun Runner???

Nakia Towery 2 days ago
I think Im going to go with Gun Runner. To me it seems he will get a Great Trip n most years the Derby has more speed. I really like Nyquist think he has a great chance but Im looking for Value n it seems Gun Runner has that. I believe he will get over looked. I mean 15-1 on a horse that his only loss came in the slop. I will also box a tri Gun Runner Mo Tom Nyquist Danzig Candy Mor Spirit Exxagarator. Im not real high on the closers seems theres to many in the field. Chances they get a great trip r slim. If i do add one it will probally be Suddenbreaking news or Brodys Cause.
Tony 2 days ago
I believe that Brody's Cause is being completely overlooked by everyone.Watch out !
john g 2 days ago
I think the Cal. colts will dominate the Derby, and no I don't live out west, but my Ky. Derby exacta is Exaggerator, Mor Spirit, Nyquist and Danzing Candy. x how ever much I can put on it.
Rodger 3 days ago
Could you do your videos with a little more background noise please?
john g 2 days ago
especially in the work out videos for the Derby with Mike Welsch of DRF, if it's not a leaf blower, a back-up beeper on a truck, or a loud speaker it's something else. You can barely understand him, very annoying.
Barbara Ellmaker 3 days ago
Cupid? He's been slated for surgery for days?
Martin Jschiff 5 days ago
Julie Davis 5 days ago
Why is Dortmund is off the Older Males list? He is back in training at Los Alamitos.
Joey Dekarski 12 days ago
Mo Tom with a clean trip will be on top of your list for 3yr olds...The distance is his advantage ..
Pete Gold 13 days ago
How the hell can you have Cupid on there n not Gun Runner?