10/30/2014 11:27PM

Vernon: Saturday 11/1 Analysis


Best Bet: A PENNY EARNED (10th)

Race 1

(1)WINDSUN GALLIANO drew off at will in a 1:57 1/5 score last week, holding sway for a similar win four back, also at this class.  Consistently strong $5k contender will need to show more speed to stay involved at the pegs, though. (8)PSYCHED sustained wide bids in his last three races to hit the board, closing well for a near miss three back.  If he can track cover provided by #3, #6, or #7, he stands a good chance to challenge late. (6)UPFRONT CAROL leveled off facing the breeze against second-level foes last week, but stays at this level while a few others in the field rise to this class.  She's good for a consistently strong effort, and can reasonably hold for a minor share.

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Race 2

(5)LAST CONQUEST just missed after shaking free last week, but has hit the board in six of his last seven races.  If he can get involved early on-as he's done consistently-he figures to remain in contention through the shortened stretch drive. (4)BEIGNET cuts back to a shorter event after a gutsy effort in first-level company last week.  After clearing from post 9 and setting strong fractions, he was collared in the final yards.  Midpack post should definitely suit him better. (6)FLOJO COPPERSTONE reeled off three straight ITM finishes this month, staying on well against first-level distaff company.  She's in against tougher tonight, but having one less furlong of ground to cover should work to her advantage.

Race 3

(2)DRAGON FEVER won four of his last five against top-level optional claimers, controlling the terms before kicking clear last week.  He figures to be lone speed, and he's been consistently good.  Seek value in exotics. (4)UF BETTORS HANOVER re-rallied to save second last week after a mild shuffle on the far turn.  He's been second at this level in two of his last three, rallying well from just off the pace.  Rate him stronger if the pace is quicker initially. (7)ASSET MANAGEMENT faces the boys tonight, beating top-level conditioned mares two back in 1:52.4.  She's got the raw speed to contend, but will need room to rally late off a ground-saving trip.  Minor consideration.

Race 4

(5)POUNCE K drops in from the Open ranks, only beaten 3-1/2 lengths last week.  He's back a winning level, scoring off a middle move five back and sustaining an extended wide bid to take second the week prior.  Must use. (2)FRANKLIN M HANOVER also returns to a winning level, but shows his best from off the pace.  Given a general lack of speed in this race, he'll have to beat a ninth rival in the likely pace scenario of this race. (3)JAIPUR steps up off a narrow win, showing decent late trot in recent efforts but often coming up short in situations where he fell victim to traffic trouble.  Can stay on for a minor.

Race 5

(7)SPICEY VICTOR was elevated to second after a mild late rally last week, pushed off the course the week prior after making a strong effort to clear.  He should do better on the cut back in distance, as he's able to show good bursts of speed. (4)MAJESTIC LAD never got involved last week, but was making his first start back off a six-week layoff.  He's beaten tougher foes as recently as September, and looks to regain some of that form tonight.  Will need to be involved from early on. (5)FUNNY PHOTO faded off a first-over try last week, but was a winner at this level five back in going-away fashion.  He doesn't have the same sudden bursts of speed as the two above, but he's capable enough just the same.

Race 6

(1b)ANNDROVETTE re-rallied to save second at Philly after being shuffled last week, hitting the board in the Milton and Lady Liberty in prior efforts.  Give her a pass in the Allerage, as she cleared from post 10 to set a wicked pace, pushed to a lively three-quarter split. (3)SOMWHEROVRARAINBOW kicked clear at will in last week's Philly Open, showing a return to old form in that 17-1 triumph.  She's capable enough, but needs to get involved from the outset. (2)ROCKLAMATION just missed off a cover trip in the Allerage, but won the Lady Liberty and Golden Girls at the Meadowlands this summer.  She can rally off cover well, or she can grind out a first-over trip.  Versatility is a plus.

Race 7

(4)FRENCH LAUNDRY earned multiple Kindergarten prelim wins, drawing off to a clear win at Lexington two back.  Among his five wins is a strong Champlain triumph off a middle move at Mohawk.  Strong form is an absolute plus. (2)BOOTS N CHAINS turned aside a challenge on the far turn before kicking clear to an 8-3/4 length Simpson win last week, asserting himself at last after a string of near misses and gritty first-over tries.  He's no doubt got the ability, but can likely find himself chasing late again to round out the exacta. (5)WICKER HANOVER hasn't been lacking for late trot, but seems to require a close cover trip for optimal results.  Given a contested pace, he could strike late at a price, but can still stay close enough to round out exotics if mired in traffic on the far turn.

Race 8

(8)BEE THE QUEEN is tasked with overcoming post position 9, but has multiple Kindergarten preliminary wins to her credit and a 1:54.1 lifetime mark taken at Lexington.  If she can vault clear and control the terms, she'll be tough to beat given her strong record all year. (5)LADY CLARABELLA returns off a front-trotting track-record effort at Vernon, taking her fourth career win in 1:54.2.  Past prelims at Lexington were plagued by traffic and trip trouble, but she also won off a stalking trip at Tioga in August.  Capable enough, and suitably versatile. (2)ALLERAGE STAR just missed in the Simpson stakes last week, earning wins in a Kindergarten prelim and the Reynolds in September.  Consistently able to rally, her recent off odds haven't yielded the best value.  Don't exclude from exotics, however.

Race 9

(6)BEE A MAGICIAN kept close to hold third in the International Trot Preview at Yonkers last week, outkicked from off cover by Mistery Woman in the Allerage at Lexington the week prior.  Bee a Magician gets the nod tonight by virtue of that first-over trip, not to mention her ability to compete with the boys. (7)CLASSIC MARTINE narrowly won the Miss Versatility final at Delaware in September, just holding off a late charge from Charmed Life on the half-mile oval.  Since then, she rallied off cover to take third in the Allerage.  This year, she's only missed the board twice, having won 9 of 15 races.  Capable enough, but may prove an underlay. (3)PERFECT ALLIANCE comes back to the races off a three-month layoff, having won 11 of her 14 races so far this year.  She's qualified well on two occasions coming back to this race, but comes back into a stacked field.  That said, based on her earlier success this spring, she's got to have a spot in exotic plays.

Race 10

(4)A PENNY EARNED took last week's Open in 1:54.3, chasing Ma Chere Hall in a second-place effort the week prior.  This consistent Open contender has enjoyed recent improvement, never lacking for late trot.  Plenty to like. (5)QUICK DEAL broke on the far turn at Philly last week, having shown good effort to control the terms up to that point.  He's been largely overmatched in stakes company, but scored a win against Open company at Yonkers in July.  No doubt capable in this group. (3)HELIOS wasn't lacking for late trot in a seventh-place effort last week, hitting the board in four straight Open events prior to that.  Strong contender for a minor share, considering his ability to either rally from off the pace or stay on from a tracking trip.

Race 11

(6)FULL CIRCLE SPIRIT made up over 10 lengths through the middle half last week, but faded off that sustained push.  Prior to that, he won four straight races.  He's back at a winning level tonight by way of the optional $5k tag. (9)MOGUL HANOVER stayed on well to hold third in a fast mile behind Firethorn and Donna's Scape last week, showing good late pace off close stalking trips.  A strong start from the far outside will be key for him to be in contention late. (2)FAST HEAT wasn't lacking for pace in a third-level event last week, but struggled to get involved from the far outside.  He drops back to a winning level too, and his inside draw should prove far kinder.