08/18/2012 3:01PM

Tioga: Sunday 8/19 Analysis

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MEET STATS: 52 - 167 / $258.10

Best Bet: TACTICAL CAVIAR (8th)     Spot Play: STIR ME UP (7th)

Race 1

(7) SPICE IT UP LINDY keeps rolling along each week. There is no reason to jump ship. (4) ROMPAWAY ALVIN looks to be in against an easier group of Open types this week. (3) ARUBA VACATION is having a nice year and rarely misses the board.

Race 2

(7) SMASHING REVUE has early speed and comes off a decent race; sold! (9) ORPHAN VICTOR drops down one class; using. (3) DEEP SEAS was sharp at Vernon and doesn’t face any killers today.

Race 3

(8) WAR AND PEACE catches a weak field and can overcome the outside handicap. (7) IRON STONE WIZ arrives from Pocono looking for a better spot and may have found it. (3) HOLY BUCK has plenty of speed; gets a nice piece.

Race 4

(2) DOUBLE A GLORIA returns to Tioga at a reduced level and has every right to show more. (5) CHAPTER ELEVEN is another getting some class relief. I wish I knew if he was leaving. (6) MASTERS TRACKSTER ships in from Batavia and seems to have found a good spot.

Race 5

(6) REDESTRIAN certainly has form and I like that this 3-year-old can take some air and keep trucking. (9) FORWARD BLISS has been facing tougher. (4) STRONG LIKE BULL figures to make the lead; makes him a factor.

Race 6

(5) EXTREME YANKEE liked the added distance last time. I’ll stay here. (4) CLASSIC VIKING really picked up his game with Lasix added. (7) MR HOBBS might not jump off the page, but he is more than capable at this level.

Race 7

(2) STIR ME UP continues to be razor sharp and just could not handle the outside draw last time. Post 2 should be a big help. (4) NEWPORT VOLO is definitely facing easier this week. (3) WHAT ABOUT BRIAN won at this level last week but doesn’t have Brennan in the bike this time around. (5) GREY ICE & (7) SALOME MARVEL are each capable given a decent trip.

Race 8

(6) TACTICAL CAVIAR sticks out on paper off her last mile and Vernon and romped against lesser the last time she was here. (2) TYPICAL NEWYORKER makes an easy lead and sits a good trip. (9) MY BUDDY HALL LEE is on quite a roll but must overcome the outside post without much early speed in his arsenal.

Race 9

(9) MISTER T-REX hardly jumps off the page in this formless field, but does have plenty of early speed and should get the jump on them. (6) GLORS BOYS is hard to love at 1 for his last 37. That said, he is one of the few with any decent recent form. (8) ROLLED UP ACES drops down. Can he can into the race from this post?

 

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