08/09/2013 4:26PM

Tioga: Sunday 8/11 Analysis


Best Bet: SHEBESTINGIN (6th)

Spot Play: TREVORS BEBE (1st)

Race 1

(2) TREVORS BEBE demolished a field the last time she was at this level. I think this daughter of Bettor’s Delight is a bit faster than these. (6) SEAFOOD ANNIE always brings a decent effort against this type. (3) THAT’S MY DREAM seems to be coming into her own.

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Race 2

(1) TRACK MASTER D gets some major class relief and has no excuses not to wake up in a big way. (8) IM THE REAL MAJOR has the speed to overcome the outside draw; dangerous. (3) RANCH HAND finally draws better; using underneath.

Race 3

(9) MINDSET should destroy this field. (2) PARTY WITH ARTIE, (5) BULLVILLE KYLE & (1) SAWBUCK HANOVER all have some early zip in their arsenals and should vie for the place spot.

Race 4

(6) THE BAD DEPUTY is still looking for his first win of the year, but this is a pretty soft spot. If he is going to win, this is the week. (2) RUSH RULES qualified back well for a trainer with a solid record. (7) ART N CHARM drops back down and should get a big piece.

Race 5

(3) LEAP OF FAITH has found his ‘A’ game lately and should get a good pace to close into. (1) IDEAL WIZARD finds a great spot to make one quick brush to the lead. Will he last? (9) HUMILITY figures to be flying off the gate; dangerous.

Race 6 -  Empire Breeders Classic 3 Year Old Fillies

(5) SHEBESTINGIN is one of the best 3-year-old pacing fillies in the country. She lays over this field. (3) SOCIAL SCENE does her best work with Brennan in the bike; possible threat on best. (7) BETTOR THINK TWICE has some early speed and shows some races that could make her competitive.

Race 7

(3) VENUS DELIGHT has won six straight starts and has plenty of versatility. (1) RIVER RISING usually performs well in this Excelsior class; must use. (5) ART FRENZY is another on a roll. I think the top two might be a step faster, but this guy adds Brennan. (2) MAEJUSMAC is another getting a new driver.

Race 8

(7) BRICKYARD BREWER had no chance last time from post nine. Gelding moves in a few posts and drops way down this week. (2) FINE FINE FINE only needs smooth sailing to get a big piece. (6) AUTOMATIC SLIMS raced big on arrival despite a tough trip. (1) MY BUDDY MASON is off a win and retains Gingras.

Race 9 -  Empire Breeders Classic 3 Year Old Colts

(5) ODDS ON EQUULEUS might have drawn more to the outside of the gate, but that should suit this guy just fine. His best game seems to be following horses and hopefully he’ll get to follow Vegas Vacation today. (1) SUNFIRE BLUE CHIP is the clear one to beat after his Adios win a couple of weeks back. (4) VEGAS VACATION was super in his elimination. My issues with him are a likely uncovered trip or possibly setting the pace with Sunfire on his back. I would have liked him more from post six.

Race 10

(4) ROCHAS HANOVER broke in her last try at this level, but her prior effort was a good closing fourth at a big price back in June; upset chance. (3) ARIA J remains at a winning level. (7) AMERICAN IN PARIS may be the favorite but hardly deserves the accolade off his recent miles.

Race 11

(4) EYES ONLY FOR YOU flashed some speed two starts back, so you know he isn’t as dull as he appears on paper. Barn change today! (2) SCORPIONETTE comes out of similar fast races at Pocono as the top choice. (9) SPAGO HALL has plenty of speed; maybe. (5) ROCKY REGAL is off a good mile and drops today.


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