06/16/2012 10:38AM

Tioga: Sunday 6/17 Analysis


MEET STATS: 23 - 75 / $120.70

Best Bet: FOUR DAMSALS (3rd)     Spot Play: MUSCLE SOURCE (4th)

Race 1

(4) ALL MUNKY BUSINESS comes off a pair of wins and seems to be a nice fit for the conditions of this series. (3) KENDALL BLUE has also been racing well; main danger. (1) UP FRONT STRIKING should save ground and hang around for a decent piece.

Race 2

(4) A GENTLEMAN might be an interesting play at a price here. He dropped to this level last week and got parked out from post eight. Now he finally gets a decent post. (7) QUANTUM LIGHTNING perked right up when moved into this barn; one to beat. (2) HEIDI FALLS is on quite a roll; must use.

Race 3

(5) FOUR DAMSALS only has herself to beat. If she trots, she wins handily. (3) LEAHS EX gets a nice driver switch to Tetrick. That could move her up. (4) IMA QUE T doesn’t win often but knows how to get onto the ticket.

Race 4

(6) MUSCLE SOURCE steps up today but seems to be within his comfort zone; Miller in the bike a plus. (2) GLIDE SPEED raced evenly in his 4yo debut. He could show more now. (3) MY COUSIN LINDY picks up Tetrick. That could certainly help.

Race 5

(6) TOO SALTY moved up off the claim and faded late; drops today. (8) SMALL BILLS was second in his last start at this level. (1) EARLVIC has the class and a good post.

Race 6

(7) LADY ANDI gets my narrow call in a close-knit contest. She comes off a solid second in a fast mile. (3) BLUE MUSCLES was impeded last time; prior start okay. (5) SOUTHWIND MONI lured Miller off a few others. He had four choices in this race.

Race 7

(4) DREAM OF WINNING was in pretty tough at Pocono last time. This looks like a better spot. (3) JK FINE ART should make the top easily enough and sit no worse than a pocket trip. (6) AIR GUITAR HANOVER has faced some fast foes lately.

Race 8

(7) RIVERFEST simply looks faster than her competition. ((4) CANT HAVE MY MONI raced pretty well in her 2012 debut and could certainly improve with that start under her belt. (5) COWGIRL HALL fits with these but would be higher on my list with a catch-driver.

Race 9

(2) QUANTUM CONFIDENT comes off a nice score. A repeat effort would mean a victory. (1) OPINION HANOVER has won out of the pocket in the past and it seems likely he could be in that spot this week. (3) MR FENWICK is very sharp now but might be buried on the cones in third. (9) P L EUREKA gets a new driver this week.

Race 10

(4) FEARLESS DIABLO has already posted the fastest mile of this group in 2012. All due respect to Vic Kirby, but the switch to Tetrick makes a huge difference for me. (2) E STREET PLAN looks to be the fastest off the gate; speed and form. (1) EASTEND EDDIE certainly has a chance; can’t toss.

Race 11

(1) CURRENT IMAGE drops down and gets a nice driver switch to Brett Miller. (3) UP TEMPO was okay in his first start since October of last year. I’d expect more now. (8) GREY ICE also drops down. He could sneak into the number at a decent price.

Race 12

(5) KEMPER HALL has been a bit flat for trainer Ron Burke lately, but does seem to be in an easier spot. (1) MYSTICAL MUSCLES has yet to lose. (6) RED LIGHT looks like the probable favorite; no lock.