05/25/2012 3:08PM

Tioga: Sunday 5/27 Analysis


MEET STATS: 16 - 38 / $84.90

Best Bet: MR HOLLYWOOD STARZ (7th)     Spot Play: STORYEUM (8th)

Race 1

(4) WHITING HANOVER woke up with some good speed last week and finds a field lacking much early zip. (5) HANDSOME HUSSY beat the former last time but might need to rely on a cover trip and decent pace this week. (3) QUIK CHANGE ARTIST comes off a decent try.

Race 2

(5) VIJAY STAR prompted a fast pace uncovered last week and now gets a class drop; obvious play. (4) THORS HAMMER should head to the front and get a nice piece. (6) RALLY BY THE RIVER has been pretty good this year.

Race 3

(2) CIANO MAN moves into a live barn that has done well this meet. That angle alone is enough to give him top honors in a field lacking much talent. (4) DRAFTMANIA and (5) DON'T STOP HERE are both dropping down and could perk up.

Race 4

WARNING! All of my top selections in this race are prone to making breaks. (6) SKIT ER DONE stayed flat last time and may be ready to turn the corner. (7) RED ROCKS added hobbles and made it around the track. (2) LANARK HALL kept his act together in his recent qualifier.

Race 5

(3) MATTOUTFLYING picked up his game a bit last week and now gets a class break, too. (2) ZARACHINO is another one dropping down the condition ladder; new driver. (6) MIKEY WANTS MORE has come back in 2012 in fine form; steps up. (9) CAMCRACKER DYNASTY ships in from Monticello where he was starting to show some life.

Race 6

(2) SASKIA LAVICTOIRE got parked out last week but won't have that problem in this spot. She should cruise to the front for new pilot Paquet and might steal the race. (4) QUANTUM STARSHIP drops down a couple of classes but is very unreliable. (3) LIKE A LAXIS has been facing tougher at Pocono. Main issue is he always comes away slowly from the gate. (1) CARBON FOOTPRINT gets a better post after getting caught in a fast mile last week.

Race 7

(3) MR HOLLYWOOD STARZ seems to be facing the same level of horse, but the foes at Pocono were much tougher than this bunch. (5) BLANCA RAYA should show speed and get a nice piece. (7) IDEALPOKEHER looks fast enough on paper, but I need to see this provisional driver win one before I put my money down.

Race 8

(1) STORYEUM drops down again and gets the rail, too. He should be ready to roll in his third start of the year. (3) BREAK EVEN gets some post relief. (8) RECENT NEWS faced better last time in a fast mile. He would be no shock.

Race 9

(1) WINBAK DIMENSIONS draws the rail this week and should be heading down the road. (2) HAY GOODLOOKING is likely to be chasing from the pocket or the three-hole. (6) VLOS has a decision on whether to leave. Either way, he has a shot.

Race 10

(7) VALLEY FEVER was facing better at Yonkers and should be leaving the gate. (5) FAREWELL SKY won convincingly last week. It looks like he is ready for the class jump. (3) RACING GRIN raced okay at this condition last week from post nine; moves inside.

Race 11

(5) ARTIFACT K looks awful on paper but stands out in here as a top contender. Make sense? Well, this is his second start off a long layoff and the competition he faced last week was much tougher. (6) THESEYESCRYING & (3) ERAGON are the main dangers. Both are dropping down and clearly fast enough.

Race 12

(4) SUES DESTROYER failed as the heavy chalk last week. Let's give him another shot at a better price. (6) SHAKEY SLIM should be leaving hard; big threat. (5) TOWNIE GUY beat the top choice last week.