05/18/2012 3:40PM

Tioga: Sunday 5/20 Analysis


MEET STATS: 12 - 25 / $66.60

Best Bet: SUES DESTROYER (13th)       Spot Play: LEGAL JUSTICE (3rd)

Race 1

(5) TRENTO raced well off the bench at 12-1. The price should be much shorter today. (7) CONWAY CODE ships east for a good barn and looks good enough to compete. (8) WYGANT PEARL has been facing better.

Race 2

(6) NANCYS SKYSCAPE made up a bunch of ground after an early miscue in his career debut. This field came up light. Let’s take a chance. (7) ARTS BAD BOY & (5) PHIL HARMONIC both have speed and either could last.

Race 3

(1) LEGAL JUSTICE came down and won at first asking for the Brainard barn. Don’t be shocked if this gelding handles the class jump. (5) DUTCH RICHMAN is certainly fast enough and qualified well; maybe. (7) JETTIN JUSTIN finds an easier spot this week but drew worst.

Race 4

(6) FIREYOURGUNS comes off a nice win at Buffalo; edge over (3) CUMULUS HANOVER, who was facing tougher at Pocono. (7) MAJOR SPEED moves into a new barn which has started the meet off hot. (2) SODYS TUFFTRIFECTA can compete with this group.

Race 5

(5) BAILEYS PHOTO has a propensity for breaking but really stands out in this field. If she trots, she should win. (6) MMS MISS DISCREET qualified okay and certainly fits at this level. (3) WINSOME MONI seems likely to set the pace; dangerous.

Race 6

(5) CLASSIC CAMELOT finds a more comfortable level. Expect him to be carving out the fractions. (2) JOVIAL JESTER N chased nicely in his latest race. (7) MY TIME HANOVER closed well last week.

Race 7

(2) MAJOR WORK OF ART couldn’t hold on last week but finds an easier spot this time around. (5) ALEXPANDERTHEGREAT drops down and could perk up. (9) EVERMILEAMEMORY is another getting some class relief. She draws poorly but has the early speed to get involved.

Race 8

(8) THESEYESRCRYING came back from a long layoff at a reduced level and simply played follow the leader in an even effort. He drops again today and should show more. (2) DASH AWAY ALL gets Noble and finds a good spot. (3) TIZA MOJO finally draws well. (4) IDEAL SMILE steps up off a win.

Race 9

(5) SPLENDID KISSER wired them last time and doesn’t face much tougher this week; again. (9) EASTEND EDDIE drops out of the Open ranks but draws outside. He is going to pop a big mile sooner or later. (8) SAND SAVAGE should be leaving the gate; capable.

Race 10

(5) GOLDEN TERROR almost won here two starts back. It seems like there is a good deal of speed signed on to this race. That could set this guy up. (7) WINBAK DIMENSIONS got back in the win column last week. He does some of his best work at Tioga. (2) SHEER BRILLIANCE should get away close to the front and take home a big piece. (3) VOICE OF TRUTH is hard to toss.

Race 11

(4) IDEAL IKE has a couple of 2012 starts under his belt; time to roll. (1) STEUBEN JUMPINJACK bumps up in fine form. (3) BITTERSWEET CHAMP had no chance in his first start for this barn from post nine; I’m using him. (9) BREAK EVEN was listed with a curious driver for this barn. Not sure what to make of that choice.

Race 12

(7) MCTOOTSIE slips into this race under the sub condition. She has speed and can take charge. (4) DISTINCT COLOR won’t have to work to make the lead this week and should sit no worse than a pocket trip. (9) MAGNUM drops way down and adds Noble; very playable.

Race 13

(1) SUES DESTROYER drops and pops today. (9) BIG GUS is back in for a tag. He can certainly go with this bunch. (2) CEE PEE BUSH moves back to an inside post; threat.