05/09/2017 7:28AM

TimeformUS Speed Figure Report for week ending May 7, 2017

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Each week, TimeformUS Chief Figure Maker Craig Milkowski takes a look back at the weekend’s graded stakes and releases the TimeformUS Speed Figures for these races.

Churchill

Grade 1 Kentucky Derby

1/2    152

3/4    141

Fin    121

Top 3: Always Dreaming 123, Lookin At Lee 118, Battle of Midway 115

Note: All fractions in red from TimeformUS denoting very fast pace; top three finishers all ran career-best TimeformUS Speed Figures, the only horses in the field to do so; race was run over a track labeled wet-fast, but it was on the slow side for Churchill

Grade 1 Kentucky Oaks

1/2    154

3/4    135

Fin    113

Top 3: Abel Tasman 113, Daddys Lil Darling 111, Lockdown 113

Note: All fractions in red from TimeformUS denoting very fast pace; Abel Tasman had top TimeformUS Late Pace Rating in a race predicted by Pace Projector to have a fast pace; top three betting choices were 1-2-3 early - none finished better than eighth

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Grade 1 Woodford Reserve Turf Classic

1/2    122

3/4    123

Fin    125

Top 3: Divisidero 127, Beach Patrol 125, Oscar Nominated 122

Note: First win in last five tries for Divisidero, last win was in same race last year with 128 TimeformUS Speed Figure; game effort for Beach Patrol resulted in career-best figure; Oscar Nominated was very wide, but that may have been best part of course

Grade 1 Humana Distaff

1/4    102

1/2    99

Fin    114

Top 3: Paulassilverlining 108, Finest City 107, Carina Mia 107

Note: All fractions in blue from TimeformUS denoting slow pace; second Grade 1 score for winner since training taken over by Chad Brown

Grade 1 La Troienne

1/2    103

3/4    100

Fin    112

Top 3: Big World 108, Romantic Vision 108, Streamline 106

Note: 7-1 winner ran best last-out TimeformUS Speed Figure - this was first Grade 1 try; she has won seven of her last nine starts

Grade 2 Churchill Downs

1/4    142

1/2    143

Fin    117

Top 3: Limousine Liberal 127, Awesome Slew 115, Tom’s Ready 115

Note: All fractions in red from TimeformUS denoting very fast pace; first stakes win in 11 tries and lifetime best TimeformUS Speed Figure for Limousine Liberal

Grade 2 Alysheba

1/2    133

3/4    133

Fin    118

Top 3: Bird Song 123, Honorable Duty 119, International Star 115

Note: Winner chased fast fractions when wide last out at Keeneland, better trip today; favorite American Freedom (wide, fast pace) and second choice Breaking Lucky (bumped start, steadied) both had an excuse, should improve next time

Grade 2 American Turf

1/2    145

3/4    122

Fin    115

Top 3: Arklow 115, Good Samaritan 113, Big Score 114

Note: Arklow 2 for 2 on turf after beginning career on dirt 0 for 5; BC Juvenile Turf winner Oscar Performance has failed to hit the board in either 2017 start, both as the favorite

Grade 2 Churchill Distaff Turf Mile

1/2    124

3/4    132

Fin    125

Top 3: Roca Rojo 127, Believe in Bertie 127, Linda 120

Note: First stakes win since shipping to US by Roca Rojo; missed by a nose with 128 TimeformUS Speed Figure last out in Grade 1 Matriarch

Grade 2 Eight Belles

1/4    126

1/2    122

Fin    111

Top 3: Benner Island 116, Union Strike 109, Laney 108

Note: Pace hot – half-mile coded red in TimeformUS PPs; winner 3 for 3 in one-turn dirt races, 0 for 5 in others

Grade 3 Pat Day Mile

1/2    129

3/4    125

Fin    120

Top 3: Wild Shot 121, No Dozing 113, Uncontested 116

Note: Winner was pacesetter in Grade 2 Blue Grass last start; decent run for favored No Dozing but continued streak of no runner from the 2016 Remsen at Aqueduct winning a subsequent stakes race

Grade 3 Twin Spires Turf Sprint

1/4    134

1/2    122

Fin    122

Top 3: Green Mask 122, Latent Revenge 118, Why Two 113

Note: First graded stakes win in eighth try for Green Mask; career-top TimeformUS Speed Figure in 24th start for 6-year-old gelding

Grade 3 Edgewood

1/2    136

3/4    123

Fin    110

Top 3: La Coronel 111, Dream Dancing 110, Sweeping Paddy 110

Note: Pace swift despite seemingly slow fractions - turf labeled good, might have been softer than that; 1-2 finishers were coupled

Belmont

Grade 2 Sheepshead Bay

1/2    na

1m    na

Fin    126

Top 3: Sea Calisi 126, Suffused 123, Apple Betty 110

Note: No TimeformUS Pace Figures, distance never previously run over this course with rail at 18 feet; winner took this race last year off similarly long layoff

Grade 3 Westchester

1/2    136

3/4    128

Fin    131

Top 3: Connect 130, Virtual Machine 125, Frammento 110

Note: First start since winning the Grade 1 Cigar Mile in November for Connect, has now matched or exceeded previous TimeformUS Speed Figure in all eight career starts

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Grade 3 Fort Marcy

1/2    125

3/4    119

Fin    124

Top 3: Smooth Daddy 125, Time Test 128, Messi 124

Note: Heavy favorite Time Test dropped back to last in first U.S. start for some reason, made big move but hung big late

Grade 3 Vagrancy

1/4    118

1/2    129

Fin    124

Top 3: By the Moon 125, Pretty N Cool 125, Quezon 112

Note: Track coded red by TimeformUS - speed did much better than expected; winner has three wins and a second in four Belmont dirt starts

Santa Anita

Grade 3 Adoration

1/2    118

3/4    121

Fin    121

Top 3: Vale Dori 120, Skye Diamonds 119, Sensitively 112

Note: Six consecutive wins for Vale Dori ranging from 116 to 122 TimeformUS Speed Figures, five coming in graded stakes

Grade 3 Senorita

1/2    91

3/4    94

Fin    104

Top 3: Sircat Sally 106, Beau Recall 109, Pacific Wind 104

Note: All fractions in blue from TimeformUS denoting very slow pace; Sircat Sally remained undefeated after six races

Lone Star

Grade 3 Steve Sexton Mile

1/2    126

3/4    127

Fin    131

Top 3: Mor Spirit 130, Texas Chrome 122, Iron Fist 121

Note: Third consecutive lifetime best TimeformUS Speed Figure for Mor Spirit; one of 10 horses to hit the 130 mark in 2017