10/26/2006 12:00AM

Super Natascha over Glacken's Mark?


Based on her 4-for-5 record locally, which includes back-to-back stakes victories, and the fact she is trained by Todd Pletcher, whose horses are winning at a 32 percent clip at the meet, the 2-year-old filly Glacken's Mark could go off at less than the track's 2-1 morning-line odds in Saturday's $100,000 Blue Hen Stakes at Delaware Park.

Value-oriented horseplayers who pay close attention to track bias, however, may gravitate toward Super Natascha, a filly the Blue Hen favorite has already beaten.

Super Natascha, trained by Michael Matz, rallied along the rail to finish second, a length behind Glacken's Mark in the one-mile Irish Sonnet on Oct. 2. Her performance, in which she gained three lengths from the eighth pole to the wire, was impressive, considering how tilted toward speed Delaware's main track was that day.

Seven of the nine winners of dirt races on that program were either first or second at the first call, including wire-to-wire winner Glacken's Mark.

Given a track that's less speed-oriented and an extra half-furlong of distance, Super Natascha figures to have a good shot to turn the tables in the 1 1/16-mile Blue Hen.

Miss Goodnight, listed at 8-1 on the morning line, also might offer value for those looking for an alternative to the short price on Glacken's Mark.

A daughter of the hot sire Johannesburg, Miss Goodnight will stretch out after earning a well above par 91 Beyer Speed Figure for a 9 1/4-length win over maidens going six furlongs. Her pedigree indicates Miss Goodnight should adapt well to the longer distance.

Changeisgonnacome, who appeared to dislike Polytrack last time out, is dangerous moving back to natural dirt.

Changeisgonnacome, from the high-percentage barn of Mike Trombetta, won her first two starts on dirt, including a minor stakes at Saratoga, before stopping badly in her first route attempt in the Grade 3 Mazarine at Woodbine.

If she is not scratched, My Kitty would be coming back just a week after finishing a close second in the Maid of the Mist for New York-breds at Belmont Park. Her trainer, Gary Contessa, is 7 for 34 with horses returning in seven days or less the past two seasons.