03/12/2017 10:45AM

Sunday’s TimeformUS Highlight Horse: Longshot Twofreeknights is in better form than it appears

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Aqueduct | Race 6 | Post Time 3:50 p.m. (ET) | Go to the TimeformUS PPs 

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I’m just not enamored with the favorites in this race. Jetsam Six (#1) is going to take plenty of play off the claim by Danny Gargan, who is dangerous in these situations. However, I’m not convinced that this filly really wants to go two turns, and she’s now lost as odds-on favorite in three consecutive races. I slightly prefer the other logical runners, Wonderful Savvy and Gobi, but I have an interesting longshot idea that I’d rather focus on.

TWOFREEKNIGHTS (#8) really improved stretching out in distance, and I’m not sure that’s as apparent as it should be in her past performances. When she broke her maiden two back, that was one of those weird situations we see from time to time in which the first race of the day came up exceptionally slow – perhaps too slow. After all, the second- and third-place finishers returned to significantly improve their speed figures in subsequent starts, indicating that perhaps Twofreeknights ran better than it appears. Then, last time, she was somehow three- to four-wide throughout on a day when there was an intense rail bias.

The Pace Projector is predicting a fast pace here and this is one of the few closers in the field. At a huge price, I’m taking a shot.

THE PLAY

Win/Place: 8

Exacta Key Box: 8 with 1,2,4,5

Trifecta: 1,2,4,5 with 1,2,4,5 with 8