09/21/2006 11:00PM

Subway Series odds draw lots of action


The Yankees officially clinched their ninth division title on Wednesday, and with the Mets also already in the playoffs, Baccellieri has a prop on whether or not there will be a Subway Series in New York. The Palms opened the "no" at -430 and the "yes" at +370.

"They bet the no at -430 and -460 and it got as high as -475 with the yes at +425, and then the money came pouring in on the yes," said Baccellieri, who said "they" are the professional bettors while those taking the yes are recreational bettors. "We now have a ratio of 7-1 in the number of bets on the yes and we're down to +420 and we'll probably have to lower it again."

Baccellieri said he expects high volume on this prop and will be able to keep it going until one of the New York teams gets eliminated.

Back to our regularly scheduled column . . .

Despite my 2-8 start, I'm not feeling gun-shy about Sunday's NFL card because I like more games than either of the past two weeks. My leans on the rest of the NFL slate (again, either to back or fade) can be found at drf.com/football.

Jets (+6) at Bills

Both teams are 1-1 with losses to the Patriots - in which both played better than expected. That might be more of an indictment of the Pats, which I will discuss more in their game below - with the Jets picking up a win over the Titans and the Bills knocking off the overrated Dolphins. The Jets showed in their loss to the Patriots that they're not going to give up. This is mostly about line value. I don't think the Bills are good enough to be laying this many points to anyone except the very dregs of the league, which doesn't include the Jets. If this was lined around a field goal I would probably pass, but I have to take the additional points.

PLAY: Jets for 1 unit.

Titans (+11) at Dolphins

If the Bills are overpriced, then the Dolphins - the team the Bills shut down last week - are way overpriced here, even against the Titans. Tennessee has also rid itself of a little clubhouse cancer called Billy Volek. Whether it was his fault or not, the situation was obviously a distraction and the team should be better by having a clear-cut one-two distinction at the quarterback position (or a 1 and 1A as coach Jeff Fisher has shown that he's going to use Kerry Collins and Vince Young).

PLAY: Titans for 1 unit.

Bengals at Steelers (-2)

After the Steelers got shut out last Monday night by the Jaguars, the whole world has been lining up behind the Bengals in this key AFC North battle. But the Steelers are still the defending champs and will be out to defend their turf. Despite the loss, Ben Roethlisberger will certainly benefit from having played that full game and should be back in form. And the defense, the true key to Pittsburgh's success, is at the top of its game. The fact that unit only allowed nine points to Jacksonville seems to have been overlooked.

PLAY: Steelers for 1 unit.

Jaguars (+7) at Colts

The world is getting on the Jaguars' bandwagon after Monday night's game, too, and the the Jaguars always seem to play the Colts tough (5-2-1 against the spread in their last eight meetings). I love how Jacksonville's defense matches up with Indy, so I will join the bandwagon this time.

PLAY: Jaguars for 1 unit.

Broncos (+6 1/2) at Patriots

Neither team is playing up to its potential so far. The Broncos lost their opener to the Rams and then barely got by the Chiefs 9-6 at home last week. The Patriots are 2-0 but haven't shown that killer instinct of years past. I think the Broncos will put it all together this week and catch New England at less than its best in a game that could very well be a playoff preview.

PLAY: Broncos for 1 unit.

Last week: 0-5 for a net loss of 5.5 units (based on risking 1.1 units to win 1). NFL season record: 2-8 for a net loss of 6.8 units.