07/27/2013 4:08PM

Steven Crist's Saratoga graded stakes analysis: Amsterdam


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Sunday’s Saratoga feature is the Grade 2 Amsterdam Stakes for 3-year-old males at 6 1/2 furlongs, which leads to the seven-furlong, Grade 1 King’s Bishop on the Travers undercard Aug. 24, one of the few Grade 1 opportunities for 3-year-old sprinters.

This year’s edition drew a field of seven with three key players: Forty Tales and Declan’s Warrior, who ran 1-2 in the Grade 2 Woody Stephens going seven furlongs on Belmont Stakes Day, and the unbeaten speedball Rainbow Heir, a five-length winner of the Grade 3 Jersey Shore at Monmouth last time out in his stakes debut.

Rainbow Heir is a danger to get loose, but might face early pressure from Mentor Cane and Black Cat Hurricane, both of whom have set sub-45-second paces. So I will hope for some early heat and stick with the two emerging from the Woody Stephens, with a slight preference for Declan’s Warrior off an arguably tougher tougher trip that day.

Forty Tales lost more ground rallying wide on the far outside, but Declan’s Warrior had to navigate traffic twice in the stretch, moving around in search of a seam and altering course without breaking stride. With a cleaner trip in a smaller field, it might be his turn.

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Ronald Dodgen More than 1 year ago
The favorites are weak or shall i say a weak division that's why the New Jersey bred wins no one else can run with him early and his times are better.
Ronald Dodgen More than 1 year ago
Mentor Cane was hardly asked in last and he's a huge horse the rail and his lack of seasoning will cost him.
Scott Henderson More than 1 year ago
Watch out for #7
Jonas More than 1 year ago
Crist it seems to me that your analysis was more shorthand than anything ,whats wrong dude did someone steal your story.
Electrocutionst More than 1 year ago
It does say, "this content is PART of a free preview"
Joe Rockhold More than 1 year ago
Great screen name. Electrocutionist was a monster and died right in the prime of his career. Still bummed to this day.
Harvey Savitsky More than 1 year ago
He uses a different spelling!
Wonderagain More than 1 year ago
It's Mr. Crist to you, Jonas.
Harvey Savitsky More than 1 year ago
At least he writes without saying 'you know' constantly as he does on 'Talkin' Horses'! Add Eric Donovan and Dave Litfin to the contributors on the show who have poor speaking skills! Do they not realize they repeat it constantly? Guess not, you know!