08/08/2006 11:00PM

Spa Babies for Thursday, August 10

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Welcome to Spa Babies! Saratoga is famous for its top-notch racing for two-year-olds so I'll break down the numbers for every juvenile maiden race at the meet in the hope of finding a winner, and perhaps, a future star.

August 10, 2006
6 Furlongs
Maiden Special Weight
2-year-old fillies
Purse $47,000.

1. Easy Start (Jump Start - Never Faulty, by Faltaat)
Foal date: March 27, 2004
Foal state: Kentucky
Auction history: None
Notable siblings: None
Sire's race record: 5-2-1-0, $221,265, both wins sprinting at 2, Grade 2 winner, won debut.
Sire's win percentage with juvenile firsters: 2-16 (13%)
Dam's race record: 8-1-1-0, $11,127, won sprinting in the mud, 0-1 at 2.
Dam's production record: 2 foals, 1 runner.
Trainer's 5-year record with juvenile firsters (overall): 0-6
Trainer's 5-year record with juvenile firsters with Lasix in dirt sprint maiden special weight: 0-5
Trainer's 5-year-record with juvenile firsters at Saratoga: 0-5
Family facts: Third dam a half to Beware of the Cat (22-4-0-2, $164,094, stakes-winner, 2yo debut winner, dam of Editor's Note, etc.) and Island Kitty (23-4-5-5, $104,236, Grade 1-placed at 2, dam of Hennessy, etc). Family of First Flight.
Workout analysis: June 30 workout matches barn's 2yo filly Tale of the Queen (finished second in career debut on August 3 with 68 Beyer). June 30 work went .10 faster than barn's 3yo Bird Charm (finished fourth in N1x allowance at Suffolk on July 31 with 50 Beyer) and barn's 3yo filly Swinging Maria (finished fourth in N1x optional claimer on July 12 with 61 Beyer).

2. Genuine Devotion (Rock of Gibraltar - Starlight Dreams, by Black Tie Affair)
Foal date: February 19, 2004
Foal state: Ireland
Auction history: $90,000 yearling (Keeneland September 2005), withdrawn juvenile (Keeneland April 2006)
Notable siblings: None
Sire's race record: 13-10-2-0, $1,888,048, multiple Group 1 winner in Europe, won career debut on grass in Europe at 2.
Sire's win percentage with juvenile firsters: This is his first starter in North America (7-36, 19% with juveniles in Europe, at least 4 debut winners on turf)
Dam's race record: 16-2-3-5, $57,760, both wins routing, unraced on dirt.
Dam's production record: 2 foals, 1 runner
Trainer's 5-year record with juvenile firsters (overall): 3-26 (12%), $2.17 ROI
Trainer's 5-year record with juvenile firsters with Lasix in dirt sprint maiden special weight: 1-10 (10%), $0.46 ROI
Trainer's 5-year-record with juvenile firsters at Saratoga: 1-5 (20%), $6.52 ROI
Family facts: Dam cost $20,000 as a yearling, and $27,000 as a juvenile. Dam half to Keswa (stakes-placed on turf in Italy), and Matahif (multiple stakes-winner on turf in Europe). Third dam was Group 3-placed on turf in France. Fourth dam was multiple stakes-winner at 2.
Workout analysis: June 9 workout matches barn's 3yo Fine With Me (finished tenth in maiden special at Churchill on June 17 with 42 Beyer).

3. Panty Raid (Include - Adventurous Di, by Private Account)
Foal date: March 8, 2004
Foal state: Kentucky
Auction history: $110,000 yearling (Fasig-Tipton July 2005), withdrawn (Fasig-Tipton February 2006), $260,000 juvenile (Keeneland April 2006).
Notable siblings: Franc (20-5-5-3, $153,198, Group 2 winner in France at 2, won debut on turf.
Sire's race record: 20-10-1-4, $1,659,560, Grade 1 route winner, 0-2 at 2.
Sire's win percentage with juvenile firsters: 2-16 (13%)
Dam's race record: 15-4-3-2, $63,630, stakes-placed on turf, 0-2 at 2.
Dam's production record: 5 foals, 4 runners, 3 winners, 2 juvenile runners, 1 juvenile winner.
Trainer's 5-year record with juvenile firsters (overall): 91-376 (24%), $1.77 ROI
Trainer's 5-year record with juvenile firsters with Lasix in dirt sprint maiden special weight: 64-278 (23%), $1.56 ROI
Trainer's 5-year-record with juvenile firsters at Saratoga: 18-88 (20%), $1.40 ROI
Family facts: Dam half to Danc'n Jake (38-7-6-7, $245,981, Grade 3 winner, 1-4 at 2, won debut), and Deputy Slew (29-7-1-2, $100,472, Grade 3-placed on turf, unraced at 2).
Workout analysis: Worked 2 furlongs in 21.60 prior to the April sale. July 15 work went .02 faster than barn's 2yo A P Dreamer (finished fourth in career debut on July 20 with 48 Beyer). June 20 work went .04 slower than A P Dreamer. June 13 work went .07 slower than barn's 4yo Coin Silver (99 Beyer top)

4. Autobahn Girl (A.P. Indy - Saoirse, by Cure the Blues)
Foal date: March 25, 2004
Foal state: Kentucky
Auction history: None
Notable siblings: Hide and Chic (12-3-4-0, $192,308, stakes-winning sprinter, 1-3 at 2, won debut), Saoirse Cat (10-3-2-1, $124,340, stakes-placed, 2-5 at 2, won debut).
Sire's race record: 11-8-0-1, $2,979,815, multiple Grade 1 winner, 3-4 at 2.
Sire's win percentage with juvenile firsters: 30-248 (12%)
Dam's race record: 18-8-2-2, $502,721, multiple Grade 3 winner, all wins sprinting, unraced at 2.
Dam's production record: 3 foals, 2 runners, 2 winners, 2 juvenile runners, 2 juvenile winners, 2 juvenile debut winners.
Trainer's 5-year record with juveniles firsters (overall): 14-183 (8%), $1.11 ROI
Trainer's 5-year record with juvenile firsters with Lasix in dirt sprint maiden special weight: 12-140 (9%), $1.11 ROI
Trainer's 5-year-record with juvenile firsters at Saratoga: 6-71 (8%), $1.25 ROI
Family facts: Second dam was multiple Grade 2 sprint winner. Family of Ponche, Fleetstreet Dancer, etc. A.P. Indy - Cure the Blues 'nick' produced Grade 1 router Golden Missile.
Workout analysis: None

5. Mostbeautifulstorm (Storm Boot - Mostbeautifulsound, by Miswaki)
Foal date: March 19, 2004
Foal state: Kentucky
Auction history: $100,000 yearling (Fasig-Tipton August 2005), $180,000 juvenile (Fasig-Tipton February 2006), out juvenile (Keeneland April 2006)
Notable siblings: None
Sire's race record: 14-4-3-1, $70,510, all wins sprinting, stakes-placed sprinter, unraced at 2.
Sire's win percentage with juveniles: 136-903 (15%)
Dam's race record: 8-1-1-1, $43,400, won on turf, unraced at 2.
Dam's production record: This is her first foal.
Trainer's 5-year record with juveniles (overall): 75-502 (15%), $1.43 ROI
Trainer's 5-year record with second-time juveniles with Lasix and without blinkers in dirt sprint maiden special weight: 6-38 (16%), $1.14 ROI
Trainer's 5-year-record with juveniles at Saratoga: 3-41 (7%), $0.90 ROI
Family facts: Dam a half to Balustrade (18-4-1-0, $141,638, stakes-winner, unraced at 2). Second dam was stakes-winner (2-5 at 2, won debut). Third dam was multiple stakes-winner. Fourth dam was stakes-winner.
Workout analysis: Worked 1 furlong in 10.60, and 2 furlongs in 21.60 prior to the February sale.

6. Go Michelle (Indian Charlie - Samantha Rose, by A.P. Indy)
Foal date: April 10, 2004
Foal state: Kentucky
Auction history: $47,000 weanling (Keeneland November 2004), $55,000 yearling (Keeneland September 2005), $100,000 juvenile (OBS February 2006)
Notable siblings: None
Sire's race record: 5-4-0-1, $616,120, Grade 1 route winner, 1-1 at 2.
Sire's win percentage with juvenile firsters: 13-97 (13%)
Dam's race record: 9-0-0-0, $1,275, 0-1 at 2.
Dam's production record: 2 foals, 1 runner.
Trainer's 5-year record with juvenile firsters (overall): 13-164 (8%), $0.96 ROI
Trainer's 5-year record with juvenile firsters without Lasix in dirt sprint maiden special weight: 1-39 (3%), $0.13 ROI
Trainer's 5-year-record with juvenile firsters at Saratoga: 0-8
Family facts: Dam cost $120,000 as a yearling. Second dam was multiple stakes-placed at 2 (won debut). Third dam was multiple stakes-winner (0-1 at 2). Fourth dam was stakes-placed.
Workout analysis: Worked 1 furlong in 10.80, and another furlong in 10.60 prior to the February sale. August 5 workout matches barn's 2yo filly Nordberg (16 Beyer). July 28 work matches barn's 2yo filly Bravo's Princess (finished fourth in career debut in 50K maiden claimer on August 4 with 55 Beyer).

7. Sharp Susan (Touch Gold - Winter's Gone, by Dynaformer)
Foal date: May 6, 2004
Foal state: Kentucky
Auction history: $340,000 yearling (Keeneland September 2005)
Notable siblings: Sharp Lisa (14-4-2-2, $633,100, Grade 1 winner, 1-4 at 2, won debut).
Sire's race record: 15-6-3-1, $1,679,907, multiple Grade 1 route winner, 1-4 at 2, won debut.
Sire's win percentage with juveniles: 43-323 (13%)
Dam's race record: 6-0-0-0, $2,610, 0-3 at 2.
Dam's production record: 5 foals, 5 runners, 4 winners, 3 juvenile runners, 1 juvenile winner, 1 juvenile debut winner.
Trainer's 5-year record with juveniles (overall): 70-516 (14%), $1.13 ROI
Trainer's 5-year record with second-time juveniles adding blinkers and Lasix in dirt sprint maiden special weight: 0-2
Trainer's 5-year-record with juveniles at Saratoga: 10-91 (11%), $1.09 ROI
Family facts: Dam a half to Dr Schwartzman (29-9-4-6, $380,362, multiple Grade 3 winner, 2yo stakes-winner), Fantasy Lover (28-6-5-6, $106,070, stakes-winner), and Bien Bien (26-9-8-1, $2,331,875, multiple Grade 1 turf winner). Second dam was stakes-winner.
Workout analysis: None

Analysis:

AUTOBAHN GIRL has plenty of class in her pedigree, and she shows a couple of bullet workouts for barn that sent out a juvenile debut winner last Saturday. SHARP SUSAN gets the blinkers and Lasix makeover for excellent second-out barn. Expect her to be up close to the pace while in racing in the clear. PANTY RAID worked swiftly prior to selling for 22 times the stud fee of sire Include. It's Pletcher and Velazquez so she would be no surprise. MOSTBEAUTIFULSTORM took lots of money for her career debut at Churchill, and battled hard for the early lead before fading. She'll likely be on the front once again.

The Bet: Autobahn Girl - Sharp Susan exacta, and Autobahn Girl - Panty Raid exacta.

Race 4
1 1/16 Miles (Turf)
Maiden Special Weight (New York Breds)
2-year-olds
Purse $48,000

1. Thunderestimate (Western Expression - Thunderously, by Wild Again)
Foal date: April 4, 2004
Auction history: None
Notable siblings: None
Sire's race record: 16-3-2-3, $140,114, Grade 1-placed sprinting, 0-1 on turf, unraced at 2.
Sire's win percentage with juvenile firsters: 4-47 (9%)
Sire's win percentage with first-time turfers: 4-37 (11%)
Dam's race record: 2-0-0-0, $0, unraced at 2, unraced on turf.
Dam's production record: This is her first foal
Trainer's 5-year record with juvenile firsters (overall): 3-57 (5%), $1.27 ROI
Trainer's 5-year record with juvenile firsters with Lasix in statebred maiden special weight turf route: 0-1
Trainer's 5-year-record with juvenile firsters at Saratoga: 0-8
Family facts: Second dam was a Grade 2 winner on dirt (0-4 on turf, 4-8 at 2). Third dam was multiple stakes-placed (0-1 on turf, 1-2 at 2). Fourth dam was Grade 1-placed at 2. Fifth dam was 2yo stakes-winner. Family of Speak John.
Workout analysis: July 16 work went .02 slower than barn's 5yo Incredible Speed (76 turf Beyer).

1a. Graduating Class (Western Expression - Class of Fifty Six, by Belong to Me)
Foal date: March 3, 2004
Auction history: None
Notable siblings: None
Sire's race record: 16-3-2-3, $140,114, Grade 1-placed sprinting, 0-1 on turf, unraced at 2.
Sire's win percentage with juveniles: 13-141 (9%)
Sire's win percentage with first-time turfers: 4-37 (11%)
Dam's race record: 15-1-0-2, $37,460, 1-7 on turf, 0-4 at 2.
Dam's production record: 2 foals, 2 runners, 1 winner, 1 juvenile runner, 1 turf runner, 1 turf winner, 1 first-turf winner.
Trainer's 5-year record with juveniles (overall): 8-119 (7%), $1.36 ROI
Trainer's 5-year record with juveniles going sprints to routes and switching to turf with Lasix (without blinkers) off 31-60 day layoff in statebred maiden special weight: 0-1
Trainer's 5-year-record with juveniles at Saratoga: 2-33 (6%), $2.91 ROI
Family facts: Dam cost $116,000 as a yearling. Dam a half to Track Topper (44-4-3-7, $147,272, stakes-placed, 0-3 on turf, unraced at 2), and Ms Litigator (19-2-0-3, $109,144, stakes-placed, 1-6 at 2, winless on turf).
Workout analysis: July 19 work went .01 slower than barn's 3yo filly Yes I May (finished seventh in N1x allowance on August 3 with 58 Beyer, unraced on turf).

2. Fortissi More (More Than Ready - Bappychew, by Affirmed)
Foal date: March 11, 2004
Auction history: $47,000 short yearling (Keeneland January 2005), $60,000 yearling (Fasig-Tipton August 2005), entered yearling (Fasig-Tipton October 2005)
Notable siblings: None
Sire's race record: 17-7-4-1, $1,026,229, Grade 1 sprint winner, unraced on turf, 5-7 at 2.
Sire's win percentage with juveniles: 52-317 (16%)
Sire's win percentage with first-time turfers: 12-73 (16%)
Dam's race record: 9-0-1-3, $26,040, 0-4 at 2, 0-2 on turf.
Dam's production record: This is her first foal.
Trainer's 5-year record with juveniles (overall): 25-153 (16%), $2.37 ROI
Trainer's 5-year record juveniles going sprints to routes and switching to turf with Lasix (without blinkers) off 31-60 day layoff in statebred maiden special weight: 1-1 (100%), $4.90 ROI
Trainer's 5-year-record with juveniles at Saratoga: 5-26 (19%), $3.83 ROI
Family facts: Second dam was multiple stakes-winner (0-1 on turf, 2-3 at 2). Third dam was 2yo stakes-winner.
Workout analysis: None

3. Sweep Bright (Bright Launch - I Sweep Again, by End Sweep)
Foal date: January 28, 2004
Auction history: None
Notable siblings: None
Sire's race record: 15-2-3-3, $129,297, Grade 2 sprint winner at 2, unraced on turf.
Sire's win percentage with juvenile firsters: 10-63 (16%)
Sire's win percentage with first-time turfers: 2-32 (6%)
Dam's race record: 4-0-1-1, $13,020, 0-1 at 2, 0-3 on turf.
Dam's production record: This is her first foal
Trainer's 5-year record with juvenile firsters (overall): 0-10
Trainer's 5-year record with juvenile firsters in turf route without Lasix in statebred maiden special weight: 0-2
Trainer's 5-year-record with juvenile firsters at Saratoga: 0-2
Family facts: Dam sold for $30,000 as yearling. Dam a half to Alert the Pilgrim (39-6-4-5, $65,647, multiple stakes-placed at 2, 0-7 on turf).
Workout analysis: None

4. Lights of Broadway (Catienus - On Broadway, by Rubiano)
Foal date: February 14, 2004
Auction history: Withdrawn yearling (Fasig Tipton August 2005)
Notable siblings: Kathern's Cat (17-4-3-2, $142,228, multiple stakes-winner, 1-3 on turf, first-turf winner, 2-5 at 2)
Sire's race record: 22-5-5-2, $370,386, stakes-winning router, 2-4 at 2 on turf in England.
Sire's win percentage with juveniles: 47-302 (16%)
Sire's win percentage with first-time turfers: 3-47 (6%)
Dam's race record: 9-2-1-0, $22,810, unraced on turf, unraced at 2.
Dam's production record: 3 foals, 3 runners, 2 winners, 2 juvenile runners, 1 juvenile winner, 2 turf runners, 1 turf winner, 1 first-turf winner.
Trainer's 5-year record with juveniles (overall): 75-502 (15%), $1.43 ROI
Trainer's 5-year record with second-time juveniles with Lasix (without blinkers) switching to turf and stretching out in statebred maiden special weight: None
Trainer's 5-year-record with juveniles at Saratoga: 3-41 (7%), $0.90 ROI
Family facts: Dam cost $70,000 as a yearling. Dam a half to Basic Concern (45-5-5-5, $126,204, stakes-winning sprinter, 0-1 on turf, 0-3 at 2), and New York Gold (35-10-7-5, $135,941, stakes-placed, unraced on turf, unraced at 2). Second dam was a Grade 2 winner at 2 (0-1 on turf). Third dam was Grade 3 winner. Fourth dam was stakes-winner in England on turf.
Workout analysis: None

5. Shifter (Vicar - Mime, by Cure the Blues)
Foal date: April 13, 2004
Auction history: Out yearling (Keeneland September 2005)
Notable siblings: Market Mover (32-6-3-6, $102,427, stakes-placed, 0-2 in Ireland)
Sire's race record: 17-4-2-3, $835,142, multiple Grade 1 route winner, unraced on turf, 2-3 at 2, won debut.
Sire's win percentage with juvenile firsters: 8-65 (12%)
Sire's win percentage with first-time turfers: 1-36 (3%)
Dam's race record: 17-4-3-3, $104,960, unraced on turf, unraced at 2.
Dam's production record: 9 foals, 7 runners, 3 winners, 3 juvenile runners, 1 juvenile winner, 1 juvenile debut winner, 4 turf runners.
Trainer's 5-year record with juvenile firsters (overall): 15-57 (26%), $2.13 ROI
Trainer's 5-year record with juvenile firsters in turf route without Lasix in statebred maiden special weight: 1-1 (100%), $7.40 ROI
Trainer's 5-year-record with juvenile firsters at Saratoga: 6-25 (24%), $1.77 ROI
Family facts: Dam half to Ten Cents a Dance (Grade 2-placed, dam of Versailles Treaty, etc.), General Assembly (multiple Grade 1 winner), and Expressive Dance (multiple Grade 3 winner, dam of Chief Honcho). Second dam was multiple stakes-winner. Family of Exclusive Native.
Workout analysis: August 5, July 23, July 14, June 24, June 17, June 10, June 3, May 28 works match barn's 2yo Indian Camp (finished seventh in career debut on dirt on August 7 with 50 Beyer). July 28 work matches barn's 2yo filly Miss Vanity (finished eighth in career debut on dirt on August 4 with 31 Beyer).

6. Admiral Bird (Royal Academy - Sea Puffin, by Mt. Livermore)
Foal date: February 26, 2004
Auction history: $50,000 yearling (Keeneland September 2005), $260,000 juvenile (Keeneland April 2006)
Notable siblings: None
Sire's race record: 7-4-2-0, $758,994, multiple Grade 1 turf winner, won debut at 2 on turf in Europe.
Sire's win percentage with juvenile firsters: 12-96 (13%)
Sire's win percentage with first-time turfers: 40-237 (17%)Dam's production record: 3 foals
Trainer's 5-year record with juvenile firsters (overall): 8-73 (11%), $1.44 ROI
Trainer's 5-year record with juvenile firsters in turf route without Lasix in statebred maiden special weight: 1-1 (100%), $11.00 ROI
Trainer's 5-year-record with juvenile firsters at Saratoga: 0-2
Family facts: Second dam was Grade 3-placed on turf (unraceda at 2). Family of Megaturn.

Workout analysis: Worked 2 furlongs in 21.20 over grass prio to the April sale. July 24 work went .07 slower than barn's 3yo filly April Storm (67 dirt Beyer, unraced on turf), and matched barn's 3yo Blue Rider (80 turf Beyer). July 24 work also went .01 slower than barn's 3yo filly Doryphar (68 turf Beyer).

7. Officer Macturf (Millions - Offtheturf, by Technology)
Foal date: February 17, 2004
Auction history: None
Notable siblings: None
Sire's race record: 14-3-2-1, $213,022, Grade 3 winner at 2, unraced on turf.
Sire's win percentage with juveniles: 8-60 (13%)
Sire's win percentage with first-time turfers: 0-3
Dam's race record: 41-7-3-0, $229,045, 4-18 on turf, 0-5 at 2.
Dam's production record: This is her first foal
Trainer's 5-year record with juveniles (overall): 1-58 (2%), $0.46
Trainer's 5-year record with juveniles going sprints to routes and switching to turf with Lasix and blinkers in statebred maiden special weight: None
Trainer's 5-year-record with juveniles at Saratoga: 0-9
Family facts: Dam sold for $8,000 as a yearling. Second dam a half to Rosedale (Grade 1 turf winner).
Workout analysis: None

8. Tobruk (Out of Place - Kristening, by Kris S.)
Foal date: February 20, 2004
Auction history: Withdrawn juvenile (OBS April 2006)
Notable siblings: Beijio (23-5-1-7, $208,497, multiple stakes-placed, 0-1 on turf, unraced at 2)
Sire's race record: 25-8-6-7, $733,450, Grade 3 route winner, unraced at 2, unraced on turf.
Sire's win percentage with juveniles: 122-902 (14%)
Sire's win percentage with first-time turfers: 10-2-5 (5%)
Dam's race record: 53-2-7-12, $84,685, 0-18 on turf, 0-5 at 2.
Dam's production record: 6 foals, 6 runners, 5 winners, 4 juvenile runners, 1 juvenile winner, 5 turf runners, 1 turf winner.
Trainer's 5-year record with juveniles (overall): 3-92 (3%), $1.89 ROI
Trainer's 5-year record with juveniles making first route start with Lasix and blinkers in statebred maiden special weight: None
Trainer's 5-year-record with juveniles at Saratoga: 1-13 (8%), $2.18 ROI
Family facts: Out of Place - Kris S. 'nick' has been very successful. Dam sold for $45,000 as juvenile. Dam a full to Always Be Mine (26-3-2-0, $42,855, 2yo stakes-winner, 0-4 on turf).
Workout analysis: None

Analysis:

THUNDERESTIMATE attracts Johnny V. for career debut, and draws cozy inside post position. Turf works looks solid as does that 5 furlong breeze over the Belmont training track on July 16. FORTISSI MORE has shown nothing on dirt, but is bred both sides for grass, figures to save valuable ground from inside post, and is trained by a very underrated horseman. There's price potential here. GRADUATING CLASS raced evenly on dirt, and Prado keeps the faith. Has turf on the bottom side of his pedigree, and adds depth to the entry. ADMIRAL BIRD goes out for top turf outfit, and he worked extremely well over the lawn before selling for a cool $250,000. TOBRUK faltered in lone turf try, but now drops in with statebreds. Eligible to show good speed stretching out from 6 furlongs.

The Bet: Thunderestimate to win at 5-2 or more

Race 6
5 1/2 Furlongs
Maiden Special Weight
2-year-old fillies
Purse $47,000.

1. Nickel Candy (Silver Deputy - Sugar Hill Chick, by Fit to Fight)
Foal date: March 13, 2004
Foal state: Kentucky
Auction history: None
Notable siblings: Summer Squeeze (21-4-1-4, $123,245, multiple stakes-placed, 2-8 at 2), Globalize (13-5-2-1, $623,650, Grade 2 route winner, 3-4 at 2, won debut)
Sire's race record: 2-2-0-0, $41,820, stakes-winner, both races sprinting at 2.
Sire's win percentage with juvenile firsters: 40-286 (14%)
Dam's race record: 51-5-6-6, $125,930, 2yo stakes-placed.
Dam's production record: 9 foals, 8 runners, 3 winners, 3 juvenile runners, 2 juvenile winners, 1 juvenile debut winner.
Trainer's 5-year record with juvenile firsters (overall): 3-57 (5%), $0.56 ROI
Trainer's 5-year record with juvenile firsters with Lasix in dirt sprint maiden special weight: 0-15
Trainer's 5-year-record with juvenile firsters at Saratoga: 0-13
Family facts: Dam cost $65,000 as a yearling. Dam half to Gerrie Singer (49-19-12-3, $360,211, Grade 3 winner). Second dam was stakes-winner.
Workout analysis: Several works match unraced 2yo filly Harmony Jane (Gulch - New Harmony, by A.P. Indy, bred in partership by Farish). Several works match unraced 2yo filly Lemon Meringue (Lemon Drop Kid - Classic Value, by Copelan, bred by Farish).

2. Whimsical Miss (Distorted Humor - Joi's Flame, by Strawberry Road)
Foal date: March 19, 2004
Foal state: Kentucky
Auction history: $145,000 yearling (Keeneland September 2005), withdrawn juvenile (OBS March 2006), out juvenile (Keeneland April 2006).
Notable siblings: None
Sire's race record: 23-8-5-3, $769,964, multiple Grade 2 sprint winner, unraced at 2.
Sire's win percentage with juvenile firsters: 25-130 (19%)
Dam's race record: 32-5-5-6, $218,040, multiple stakes-placed, 1-5 at 2.
Dam's production record: 2 foals, 1 runner, 1 winner
Trainer's 5-year record with juvenile firsters (overall): 21-162 (13%), $1.49 ROI
Trainer's 5-year record with juvenile firsters with Lasix in dirt sprint maiden special weight: 14-110 (13%), $1.38 ROI
Trainer's 5-year-record with juvenile firsters at Saratoga: 3-13 (23%), $2.83 ROI
Family facts: Dam half to Ulises (multiple 2yo stakes-winner in Panama), and Farallones (2yo stakes-winner in Panama). Second dam was a stakes-winner. Third dam was a 2yo stakes-winner. Fourth dam was multiple stakes-placed at 2. Fifth dam was multiple stakes-winner. Sixth dam was multiple stakes-placed.
Workout analysis: None

3. Orange Crush (Distorted Humor - Lake Travis, by Seattle Slew)
Foal date: February 26, 2004
Foal state: Kentucky
Auction history: None
Notable siblings: None
Sire's race record: 23-8-5-3, $769,964, multiple Grade 2 sprint winner, unraced at 2
Sire's win percentage with juvenile firsters: 25-130 (19%)
Dam's race record: Unraced
Dam's production record: 5 foals, 3 runners, 2 winners, 3 juvenile runners.
Trainer's 5-year record with juvenile firsters (overall): 18-203 (9%), $0.89 ROI
Trainer's 5-year record with juvenile firsters in dirt sprints without Lasix in maiden special weight: 7-99 (7%), $0.89 ROI
Trainer's 5-year-record with juvenile firsters at Saratoga: 5-50 (10%), $0.79 ROI
Family facts: Dam a full to Lakeway (14-7-3-3, $965,330, multiple Grade 1 winner, 1-1 at 2), and Devine (7-3-2-0, $94,575, stakes-placed router, unraced at 2). Dam half to Monarchoftheglen (36-7-9-4, $141,204, stakes-placed on turf in England at 2). Second dam a full to Saratoga Six. Third dam a full to Bold Forbes.
Workout analysis: August 6 work went .05 slower than barn's 2yo filly Win With a Wink (56 Beyer). July 8 work matches barn's 2yo filly Tiz Holly (finished ninth in career debut on July 27 with 36 Beyer).

4. Imperial Reign (Indian Charlie - V Sign, by Robellino)
Foal date: April 27, 2004
Foal state: Florida
Auction history: $67,000 yearling (Fasig-Tipton July 2005), $1,000,000 juvenile (OBS March 2006)
Notable siblings: V Formation (23-5-1-3, $155,618, multiple stakes-winner, 4-7 at 2, won debut), Sign of a Bird (83-9-15-12, $239,702, multiple stakes-placed, 2-12 at 2), My Silver Charm (10-1-6-1, $87,220, multiple stakes-placed sprinter, 0-2 at 2).
Sire's race record: 5-4-0-1, $616,120, Grade 1 route winner, 1-1 at 2.Sire's win percentage with juvenile firsters: 13-97 (13%)
Dam's race record: Unraced
Dam's production record: 7 foals, 6 runners, 5 winners, 4 juvenile runners, 2 juvenile winners, 1 juvenile debut winner.
Trainer's 5-year record with juvenile firsters (overall): 15-90 (17%), $1.28 ROI
Trainer's 5-year record with juvenile firsters with Lasix in dirt sprint maiden special weight: 14-84 (17%), $1.00 ROI
Trainer's 5-year-record with juvenile firsters at Saratoga: 2-9 (22%), $1.01 ROI
Family facts: Dam a full to Robellation (multiple Group 3-placed on turf in England), and is a half to Basualdo (Group 2-placed on turf in Germany).
Workout analysis: Worked 1 furlong in 21.20 prior to selling as the second highest-priced juvenile in the March sale.

5. All Giving (Allen's Prospect - Slew the Dragoness, by Slew City Slew)
Foal date: March 16, 2004
Foal state: Maryland
Auction history: $19,000 yearling (Fasig-Tipton October 2005), $75,000 juvenile (Fasig-Tipton May 2006)
Notable siblings: Sea Dragoness (9-2-1-3, $53,120, multiple stakes-placed sprinting at 2), War Native (12-3-1-3, $96,890, 2yo sprint stakes-winner, won debut).
Sire's race record: 7-3-1-2, $56,100, all wins sprinting, unraced at 2.
Sire's win percentage with juvenile firsters: 57-433 (13%)
Dam's race record: 13-2-1-2, $15,685, both wins routing, 0-4 at 2.
Dam's production record: 5 foals, 4 runners, 3 winners, 2 juvenile runners, 2 juvenile winners, 1 juvenile debut winner.
Trainer's 5-year record with juvenile firsters (overall): 3-23 (13%), $3.09 ROI
Trainer's 5-year record with juvenile firsters without Lasix in dirt sprint maiden special weight: 1-6 (17%), $1.20 ROI
Trainer's 5-year-record with juvenile firsters at Saratoga: 1-2 (50%), $3.60 ROI
Family facts: Dam cost $44,000 as a yearling. Dam half to Silent Roberto (36-6-5-3, $85,120, 2yo stakes-winner), and Song of Jove (48-9-9-5, $217,547, multiple sprint stakes-winner, unraced at 2).
Workout analysis: Worked 1 furlong in 10.80 prior to the May sale.

6. Five Star Daydream (Five Star Day - September Charmer, by Septieme Ciel)
Foal date: May 7, 2004
Foal state: Kentucky
Auction history: $55,000 yearling (Keeneland September 2005), $250,000 juvenile (Fasig-Tipton February 2006).
Notable siblings: None
Sire's race record: 16-6-5-0, $575,365, Grade 2 sprint winner, unraced at 2.
Sire's win percentage with juveniles: 16-79 (20%)
Dam's race record: 18-1-2-3, $16,724, won routing, unraced at 2.
Dam's production record: 4 foals, 3 runners, 2 winners, 2 juvenile runners.
Trainer's 5-year record with juveniles (overall): 28-143 (20%), $1.53 ROI
Trainer's 5-year record with second-out juveniles with Lasix (without blinkers) in dirt sprint maiden special weight: 1-10 (10%), $0.32 ROI
Trainer's 5-year-record with juveniless at Saratoga: 5-33 (15%), $2.27 ROI
Family facts: Dam cost $23,000 as a yearling. Dam a half to Taste of Paradise (28-6-3-4, $1,019,455, Grade 1 sprint winner, 0-1 at 2), and Crafty Tears (6-2-1-0, $44,092, sprint stakes-winner, 1-1 at 2).
Workout analysis: Worked 1 furlong in 10.60 prior to the February sale.

7. Infield Lake (Smoke Glacken - Fairway Meadow, by Meadowlake)
Foal date: February 16, 2004
Foal state: Kentucky
Auction history: None
Notable siblings: None
Sire's race record: 14-10-2-1, $759,560, Grade 1 sprint winner at 2.
Sire's win percentage with juvenile firsters: 29-163 (18%)
Dam's race record: Unraced
Dam's production record: This is her first foal
Trainer's 5-year record with juvenile firsters (overall): 0-6
Trainer's 5-year record with juvenile firsters with Lasix in dirt sprint maiden special weight: 0-5
Trainer's 5-year-record with juvenile firsters at Saratoga: 0-5
Family facts: Dam cost $125,000 as a yearling. Dam half to Michael's Choice (stakes-winner in Hong Kong), and Renaissance Fair (14-3-2-3, $44,350, turf stakes-placed, unraced at 2).
Workout analysis: July 28 work matches barn's 3yo Bird Mountain (57 Beyer top). July 28 workout went .11 slower than barn's 3yo filly Swinging Maria (finished seventh in N2L allowance on August 7 with 64 Beyer) and 2yo filly Tale of the Queen (finished second in career debut on August 3 with 68 Beyer). July 14, July 8 works match Tale of the Queen.

8. Gentle Persuasion (Montbrook - Cayla's Playmate, by Belek)
Foal date: January 20, 2004
Foal state: Florida
Auction history: $15,000 yearling (OBS August 2005)
Notable siblings: Lasting Kiss (32-12-6-4, $61,872, stakes-winner, 1-1 at 2)
Sire's race record: 8-5-0-1, $373,728, multiple Grade 3 sprint winner, unraced at 2.
Sire's win percentage with juvenile firsters: 25-214 (12%)
Dam's race record: 9-2-2-2, $10,791, both wins sprinting, 0-2 at 2.
Dam's production record: 5 foals, 4 runners, 3 winners, 4 juvenile runners, 2 juvenile winners, 1 juvenile debut winners.
Trainer's 5-year record with juvenile firsters (overall): 12-133 (9%), $1.53 ROI
Trainer's 5-year record with juvenile firsters with Lasix in dirt sprint maiden special weight: 3-26 (12%), $1.13 ROI
Trainer's 5-year-record with juvenile firsters at Saratoga: 4-36 (11%), $3.07 ROI
Family facts: Dam sold for $3,000 as a yearling. Dam half to April Alain (stakes-placed), Cherokee Circle (multiple stakes-winner), Miss Ultimo (21-6-3-6, $120,442, multiple stakes-winner at 2), and Jubilee Trail (82-15-7-14, $125,867, multiple stakes-placed at 2). Second dam was stakes-placed at 2.
Workout analysis: August 6 work went .03 slower than barn's 3yo filly Keep Your Day Job (68 Beyer top). July 12 work went .13 slower than barn's 3yo filly Fiddlers Song (finished seventh in maiden special weight at Monmouth on August 6 with 19 Beyer). July 6 went .04 faster than barn's 3yo Northern Blue (finished third in 35K maiden claimer on July 21 with 68 Beyer). June 6 work went .04 slower than Northern Blue (finished second in June 9 maiden special weight at Belmont with 52 Beyer).

9. Shesasinner (Eastern Echo - Superdor, by Cawdor)
Foal date: February 18, 2004
Foal state: Ontario, Canada
Auction history: $4,500 yearling (Keeneland September 2005)
Notable siblings: None
Sire's race record: 3-3-0-0, $93,960, Grade 1 sprint winner at 2, all races sprinting at 2.
Sire's win percentage with juveniles: 91-714 (13%)
Dam's race record: 13-0-2-3, $12,264, unraced at 2.
Dam's production record: 5 foals, 4 runners, 1 winner, 2 juvenile runners
Trainer's 5-year record with juvenile firsters (overall): 46-164 (28%), $1.86 ROI
Trainer's 5-year record with second-time juveniles adding Lasix off trainer switch in maiden special weight dirt sprint: None
Trainer's 5-year-record with juveniles at Saratoga: 15-51 (29%), $1.90 ROI
Family facts: Dam sold for $2,603 as a yearling, and $11,579 as a juvenile. Dam a half to Scotzanna (32-10-9-5, $570,789, Grade 2 winner).
Workout analysis: July 26 workout went .01 faster than barn's 2yo filly Meet the Cat (finished sixth in July 30 debut with 56 Beyer).

Analysis:

FIVE STAR DAYDREAM will take some beating off huge debut Beyer. She raced outside on a gold-rail day at Belmont, and a repeat of that race will make her awfully tough to beat. She will be a short price, though, and trainer Shug McGaughey is 1 for his last 28 with juvenile starters. WHIMSICAL MISS boasts a win-early pedigree, and she worked swiftly out of the gate at Churchill Downs on July 10. Dam was a winner at two, and had some quality. IMPERIAL REIGN cost a cool million at auction, and her sire gets debut winners in bunches. INFIELD LAKE shows several bullet works. SHESASINNER adds Lasix for second lifetime start, and that's a potent angle for maidens.

The Bet: Whimsical Miss to win and place (4-1 odds or more).