08/04/2006 11:00PM

Spa Babies for Sunday, August 6

Email

Welcome to Spa Babies! Saratoga is famous for its top-notch racing for two-year-olds so I'll break down the numbers for every juvenile maiden race at the meet in the hope of finding a winner, and perhaps, a future star.

August 6, 2006
5 Furlongs
Maiden Special Weight
2-year-olds

1. Elusive Value (Elusive Quality - Silver Tornado, by Maria's Mon)
Foal date: February 27, 2004
Foal state: Kentucky
Auction history: $500,000 weanling (Keeneland November 2004)
Notable siblings: None
Sire race record: 20-9-3-2, $413,284, multiple Grade 3 winner on turf, unraced at 2.
Sire win percentage with juvenile firsters: 24-115 (21%)
Dam race record: 8-4-0-0, $133,075, Grade 3 winner, 2-2 at 2.
Dam production record: 2 foals, 0 runners.
Trainer 5-year record with juvenile firsters: 5-74 (7%), $1.45 ROI
Trainer 5-year record with juvenile firsters in maiden special weight dirt sprints without Lasix: 1-10 (10%), $4.42 ROI
Trainer 5-year record with juvenile firsters at Saratoga: 1-16 (6%), $0.82 ROI
Workout analysis: None

2. De Lucia (Songandaprayer - Just Personal, by Personal Hope).
Foal date: April 21, 2004
Foal state: Florida
Auction history: Out yearling (Keeneland September 2005), $375,000 juvenile (OBS April 2006)
Notable siblings: None
Sire race record: 8-3-1-1, $380,480, Grade 1 route winner, 2-2 at 2.
Sire win percentage with juvenile firsters: 7-39 (18%)
Dam race record: Unraced.
Dam production record: This is her first foal.
Trainer 5-year record with juvenile firsters: 1-15 (7%), $0.79 ROI***
Trainer 5-year record with juvenile firsters in maiden special weight dirt sprints with Lasix: 1-9 (11%), $1.31 ROI
Trainer 5-year record with juvenile firsters at Saratoga: 1-4 (25%), $2.95 ROI
Workout analysis: Worked 1 furlong in 10:20 prior to selling as the second highest-priced juvenile at the April sale. July 17 workout matches barn's 2yo Chief's Lake (finished eighth in career debut on July 31 with 55 Beyer). July 17, July 10 workouts match barn's 2yo Zanjero (entered Saturday). June 27, June 21, June 15, June 7 workouts match barn's 2yo Ostenaco (finished tenth in career debut at Churchill on July 14 with 25 Beyer). May 31 work matches barn's 2yo Hallway (finished second in career debut at Louisiana on July 21 with 43 Beyer).
***Trainer is assistant to suspended Steve Asmussen, an excellent debut trainer.

3. Gowden Mile (Graeme Hall - Holy Belle, by Holy Bull)
Foal date: February 9, 2004
Foal state: Kentucky
Auction history: Out yearling (Keeneland September 2005)
Notable siblings: None
Sire race record: 22-7-7-1, $1,147,441, multiple Grade 2 winner, 1-5 at 2.
Sire win percentage with juvenile firsters: 4-10 (40%)
Dam race record: 12-2-1-2, $30,520, both wins routing, 0-2 at 2.
Dam production record: 2 foals, 1 runner, 1 juvenile runner
Trainer 5-year record with juvenile firsters: 91-377 (24%), $1.76 ROI
Trainer 5-year record with juvenile firsters in maiden special weight dirt sprints with Lasix: 64-279 (23%), $1.56 ROI
Trainer 5-year record with juvenile firsters at Saratoga: 18-89 (20%), $1.38 ROI
Workout analysis: July 4 workout matches barn's 3yo Barkdust (finished second in N1x allowance at Monmouth on July 23 with 87 Beyer).

4. Wollaston Bay (Sea of Secrets - Wollaston's Baby, by Wollaston).
Foal date: April 17, 2004
Foal state: Florida
Auction history: $8,500 yearling (OBS August 2005), withdrawn juvenile (OBS April 2006)
Notable siblings: None
Sire race record: 10-4-0-2, $155,757, all wins sprinting, Grade 2 winner, 2-2 at 2.
Sire win percentage with juveniles: 37-249 (15%)
Dam race record: 34-8-4-6, $159,275, 0-1 at 2.
Dam production record: 3 foals, 3 runners, 1 winner, 1 juvenile runner
Trainer 5-year record with juveniles: 3-93 (3%)
Trainer 5-year record with second-time juveniles in maiden special weight dirt sprints with Lasix and without blinkers: 0-6
Trainer 5-year record with juveniles at Saratoga: 1-14 (7%), $2.03 ROI
Workout analysis: None

5. Treasure Hunter (Storm Cat - Oyster Bay, by Saint Ballado)
Foal date: April 2, 2004
Foal state: Kentucky
Auction history: None
Notable siblings: None
Sire race record: 8-4-3-0, $570,610, Grade 1 winner at 2
Sire win percentage with juveniles: 256-1035 (25%)
Dam race record: 5-0-0-3, $15,585, 0-3 at 2.
Dam production record: This is her first foal
Trainer 5-year record with juveniles: 97-791 (12%)
Trainer 5-year record with second-time juveniles in maiden special weight dirt sprints adding Lasix, and racing without blinkers: 3-14 (21%), $1.94 ROI
Trainer 5-year record with juveniles at Saratoga: 15-142 (11%), $0.92 ROI
Workout analysis: July 29 workout went .01 slower than barn's 2yo Storm Force (56 Beyer). July 22, July 12 works match Storm Force. July 12, July 5 works match barn's 2yo Goleta Summit (finished fourth in July 30 maiden special weight at Arlington with 49 Beyer). June 28 work matches barn's 2yo First Degree (finished second in career debut at Churchill on July 2 with 70 Beyer). June 21 workout matches barn's 3yo McKenzie Pass (finished fourth in maiden special at Churchill on July 1 with 57 Beyer).

6. Temecula Creek (Gulch - Serenita, by Southern Halo)
Foal date: March 23, 2004
Foal state: Florida
Auction history: None
Notable siblings: None
Sire race record: 32-13-8-4, $3,095,521, multiple Grade 1 winner, 5-7 at 2, won debut
Sire win percentage with juvenile firsters: 25-241 (10%)
Dam race record: 9-4-1-1, $212,680, Group 1 winner in Argentina
Dam production record: This is her first foal.
Trainer 5-year record with juvenile firsters: 9-63 (14%), $1.44 ROI
Trainer 5-year record with juvenile firsters in maiden special weight dirt sprints with Lasix: 4-32 (13%), $1.17 ROI
Trainer 5-year record with juvenile firsters at Saratoga: 0-6
Workout analysis: None

7. Sammarco (Johannesburg - Lady Ballado, by Saint Ballado)
Foal date: February 4, 2004
Foal state: Kentucky
Auction history: $160,000 weanling (Keeneland November 2004), $240,000 yearling (Keeneland September 2005)
Notable siblings: None
Sire race record: 10-7-1-0, $1,014,585, multiple Group/Grade 1 winner at 2, won debut on grass in Europe.
Sire win percentage with juvenile firsters: 2-21 (10%)
Dam race record: Unraced
Dam production record: This is her first foal.
Trainer 5-year record with juvenile firsters: 7-40 (18%), $2.48 ROI
Trainer 5-year record with juvenile firsters in maiden special weight dirt sprints with Lasix: 6-28 (21%), $2.21 ROI
Trainer 5-year record with juvenile firsters at Saratoga: 0-9
Workout analysis: None

Analysis:

Not only does GOWDEN MILE have Todd Pletcher in his corner, but his exciting young sire has gotten off to an extremely fast start with his first crop. Bullet work at Monmouth should have him on his toes for his debut. WOLLASTON BAY ran well in career debut behind well-meant Pletcher firster, and he figures to show good early speed once again today. Gets major rider switch to Luzzi. SAMMARCO shows quick works for this, and barn has sent out some live runners at the meet. Sire Johannesburg was a brilliant juvenile. ELUSIVE VALUE and TEMECULA CREEK deserve added attention if they are bet hard early.

The Bet: Gowden Mile-Wollaston Bay exacta, and Gowden Mile-Sammarco exacta.