09/02/2006 11:00PM

Spa Babies for Sunday

Email

Welcome to Spa Babies! Saratoga is famous for its top-notch racing for two-year-olds so I'll break down the numbers for every juvenile maiden race at the meet in the hope of finding a winner, and perhaps, a future star.

Saturday's results: 3-2-2, +$63.40

Meet results: 66-9-35, +38.90

Sunday, September 3, 2006

Race 5
1 1/16 Miles (Turf)
Maiden Special Weight
2-year-olds
Purse $48,000

Analysis:

Despite having a barn full of promising youngsters, Bill Mott only has one juvenile debut winner at the Saratoga meet. He'll try to get another on Sunday with the coupled entry of YOU'RE THE MON and CURVATURE. The former is a half to a juvenile debut winner out of a route stakes-winner, and should save valuable ground from the inside post. Curvature is bred for turf on top of his pedigree, and his dam was a multiple stakes-placed runner. NARTHAX didn't do much in off-the-turf debut, but barn sent out a 2-year-old winner here on Friday, and Narthax is a half to multiple Grade 1 winner Heritage of Gold (first-turf winner). Expect an improved performance on the stretchout. ROYAL WAR ACADEMY is bred both sides for grass, and the barn sent out a longshot 2-year-old winner on the turf earlier in the meet. STORM SCENE is the first foal out of Stormy Pick, a Grade 1 winner on the main track here as a two-year-old. Barn can pop at a price on the lawn. REGAL OFFICER's dam liked to route, and he has shown flashes of ability of the main track. Barn sent out a longshot juvenile winner on Saturday. MONT JULEPS goes two sprints to a route, and reunites with Channing Hill. Should be a pace presence after chasing sub 45 second half-mile last time.

The Bet: You're The Mon to Win (2-1 odds or more)

Race 7
6 1/2 Furlongs
Maiden Special Weight
2-year-old fillies
Purse $47,000

IMPERIAL REIGN cost $1,000,000 earlier this year, and made a good impression in her career debut. She broke well, but was soon outsprinted while racing down on the rail over a speed-favoring track. She made a nice move on the turn, but was blocked in upper stretch, and that stopped her momentum. She came out of that race to work a sharp four furlongs, and looks like a prime contender. AUTOBAHN GIRL also attempted to rally against the bias on August 10, and she was stuck in and among horses going into the turn. She professionally rallied along the rail to grab the place, and Nick Zito is 16 for his last 63 (25%, $2.13 ROI with second-time juveniles on the dirt. BOCA GRANDE is out of multiple Grade 2 sprint winner Country Hideaway, but must deal with a difficult inside post position. SHESASINNER improved in first start with Lasix for Pat Biancone, and she has the experience edge over the other main contenders.

The Bet: Imperial Reign to Win (2-1 or more)

Race 9
7 Furlongs
Spinaway Stakes (Grade 1)
2-year-old fillies
Purse $250,000

Analysis:

Larry Jones has had a great deal of success in stakes races with fillies and mares (Hello Liberty, Wildcat Bettie B to name a couple), and he shows tremendous confidence in X STAR by sending her to this Grade 1 event off only one race at Delaware Park. X Star dominated maidens that day, adds Lasix, and should be sitting just off the pace. APPEALING ZOPHIE has high early speed, and is working very well for the red-hot Blasi barn. She comes out of a very fast race at Mountaineer Park, and may be in front when the field turns for home. RUBY CROWN draws a comfortable outside post position, and may sit a nice stalking trip while racing in the clear under the patient Leparoux. COTTON BLOSSOM may be overbet based on the Pletcher/Velazquez combination, and she'll have to prove herself at seven furlongs.

The Bet: X Star to Win (2-1 or more)