08/03/2006 11:00PM

Spa Babies for Saturday, August 5

Email

Welcome to Spa Babies! Saratoga is famous for its top-notch racing for two-year-olds so I'll break down the numbers for every juvenile maiden race at the meet in the hope of finding a winner, and perhaps, a future star.

August 5, 2006 - Race 2
6 1/2 Furlongs
Maiden Special Weight
2-year-olda
Purse $47,000.

1. Pink Viper (Smoke Glacken - Iridescence, by Mt. Livermore)
Foal date: March 10, 2004
Foal state: Kentucky
Auction history: $130,000 weanling (Fasig-Tipton November 2004), $100,000 RNA yearling (Fasig-Tipton July 2005)
Notable siblings: Flashy Bull (12-1-4-3, $199,250, multiple Grade 2-placed router, 1-6 at 2).
Sire's race record: 14-10-2-1, $759,560, Grade 1 winner sprinting at 2.
Sire's win percentage with juveniles: 105-582 (18%)
Dam's race record: 10-2-1-2, $68,228, both wins sprinting, unraced at 2.
Dam's production record: 3 foals, 3 runners, 2 winners, 3 juvenile runners, 1 juvenile winner
Trainer's 5-year record with juveniles (overall): 0-4
Trainer's 5-year record with second-time juveniles sprinting in dirt maiden special with Lasix and without blinkers: 0-1
Trainer's 5-year-record with juveniles at Saratoga: 0-1
Family facts: Dam sold for $150,000 as a juvenile. Third dam a multiple stakes-winner. Fourth dam a multiple stakes-winner.
Workout analysis: None

2. Marina Market (A.P. Indy - Poolesta, by Hero's Honor)
Foal date: April 8, 2004
Foal state: Kentucky
Auction history: $250,000 juvenile (OBS March 2006)
Notable siblings: Arbiter (30-6-3-3, 197,990, stakes-winner, unraced at 2).
Sire's race record: 11-8-0-1, $2,979,815, multiple Grade 1 winner, 3-4 at 2.
Sire's win percentage with juvenile firsters: 30-247 (12%)
Dam's race record: 27-7-8-6, $342,039, multiple Grade 3 winner, Group 1-placed at 2 on turf in Europe.
Dam's production record: 10 foals, 8 runners, 5 winners, 4 juvenile runners.
Trainer's 5-year record with juvenile firsters (overall): 2-22 (9%), $1.99 ROI
Trainer's 5-year record with juvenile firsters in maiden special weight dirt sprints without Lasix: 2-14 (14%), $3.22 ROI
Trainer's 5-year-record with juvenile firsters at Saratoga: 1-8 (13%), $0.85 ROI
Family facts: Dam a full to Home of the Free (28-9-3-5, $457,144, multiple Grade 3 turf winner, 0-2 at 2), and is a half to Desert Fox (stakes-winner in Hong Kong). Third dam a Grade 3 winner. Fourth dam a multiple stakes-winner. Descends from Vagrancy.
Workout analysis: Worked 2 furlongs in 22 flat prior to March sale. Several workouts match unraced 2yo Port Clyde (Gone West - Ms Louisett, by Siphon).

3. Irish Ace (Grand Slam - Heartful Lady, by Irish River)
Foal date: March 28, 2004
Foal state: Kentucky
Auction history: None
Notable siblings: None
Sire's race record: 15-4-5-2, $971,292, multiple Grade 1 winner at 2, won debut.
Sire's win percentage with juvenile firsters: 23-183 (13%)
Dam's race record: 2-0-1-0, $8,138, all races sprinting at 2.
Dam's production record: This is her first foal
Trainer's 5-year record with juvenile firsters (overall): 14-184 (8%), $1.10 ROI
Trainer's 5-year record with juvenile firsters sprinting on dirt in maiden special weight with Lasix: 12-141 (9%), $1.10 ROI
Trainer's 5-year-record with juvenile firsters at Saratoga: 6-72 (8%), $1.23 ROI
Family facts: Dam cost $165,000 as a yearling. Dam half to Shebane (stakes-winner on turf in France).
Workout analysis: None

4. Zanjero (Cherokee Run - Checkered Flag, by A.P. Indy)
Foal date: February 25, 2004
Foal state: Kentucky
Auction history: $700,000 yearling (Keeneland September)
Notable siblings: Victory Lap (19-5-2-2, $190,811, all wins on turf, multiple stakes-winner, 0-6 at 2).
Sire's race record: 28-13-5-5, $1,531,818, Grade 1 sprint winner, 5-7 at 2, won debut.
Sire's win percentage with juvenile firsters: 20-214 (9%)
Dam's race record: Unraced
Dam's production record: 2 foals, 1 runner, 1 winner, 1 juvenile runner.
Trainer's 5-year record with juvenile firsters (overall): 1-15 (7%), $0.79 ROI*
Trainer's 5-year record with juvenile firsters in dirt sprint maiden special weight with Lasix: 1-9 (11%), $1.31 ROI*
Trainer's 5-year-record with juvenile firsters at Saratoga: 1-4 (25%), $2.95 ROI*
Family facts: Dam a half to Raft Trip (stakes-winner in Malaysia), Rose Violet (stakes-winner on turf in Italy), and Storm Creek (14-4-2-3, $183,887, Grade 3 winner, 2-6 at 2). Second dam a stakes-winner. Third dam was stakes-placed. Fourth dam was multiple stakes-winner.
Workout analysis: None
*Trainer is assistant to Steve Asmussen, a high-percentage trainer of juvenile first-time starters.

5. Flashstorm (Storm Cat - Kristi, by St. Jovite)
Foal date: May 21, 2004
Foal state: Kentucky
Auction history: None
Notable siblings: None
Sire's race record: 8-4-3-0, $570,610, Grade 1 winner at 2.
Sire's win percentage with juveniles: 256-1034 (25%)
Dam's race record: 11-2-3-1, $84,525, both wins on turf, 0-2 at 2.
Dam's production record: 2 foals, 2 runners, 0 winners, 1 juvenile runner.
Trainer's 5-year record with juveniles (overall): 96-789 (12%), $1.01 ROI
Trainer's 5-year record with juveniles in dirt sprint maiden special weights with Lasix and without blinkers: 13-98 (13%), $1.38 ROI
Trainer's 5-year-record with juveniles at Saratoga: 15-141 (11%), $0.99 ROI
Family facts: Dam half to Geri (19-9-4-3, $1,707,980, Grade 1 route winner, unraced at 2), Clure (stakes-winner on turf), Stage Shy (12-4-0-1, 132,906, Grade 3-placed on turf), and A.P. Arrow (9-2-3-0, $259,965, Grade 2-placed routing, unraced at 2). Third dam was multiple stakes-winner. Family of Shuvee and Sacahuista.
Workout analysis: July 25 workout matches barn's unraced 2yo Westwon (Gone West - Biogio's Rose, by Polish Numbers). July 17 workout matches barn's 2yo First Degree (finished fourth in Saratoga maiden special on July 26 with 66 Beyer).

6. Quasicobra (Wild Rush - Mutton Maniac, by Wolf Power)
Foal date: February 23, 2004
Foal state: Kentucky
Auction history: Withdrawn short yearling (Keeneland January 2005), $300,000 yearling (Fasig-Tipton August), out yearling (Keeneland September 2005)
Notable siblings: Love Power (16-2-1-1, $59,560, stakes-placed, 0-3 at 2).
Sire's race record: 16-8-0-3, $1,386,302, multiple Grade 1 winner, 1-1 at 2.
Sire's win percentage with juvenile firsters: 9-122 (7%)
Dam's race record: 44-9-3-8, $153,108, stakes-winner, 1-1 at 2.
Dam's production record: 6 foals, 5 runners, 4 winners, 1 juvenile runner
Trainer's 5-year record with juvenile firsters (overall): 15-54 (28%), $2.25 ROI
Trainer's 5-year record with juvenile firsters in dirt sprint maiden special weight without Lasix: 12-39 (31%), $2.31 ROI
Trainer's 5-year-record with juvenile firsters at Saratoga: 6-22 (27%), $2.01 ROI
Family facts: Dam sold for $12,000 as a yearling. Dam a full to Trace of Wolf (stakes-placed in Venezuela).
Workout analysis: July 12 workout matches barn's 2yo City Snitch (won maiden special weight here on July 26 with 99 Beyer).

7. Meritocracy (Grand Slam - King's Love, by Kingmambo)
Foal date: April 23, 2004
Foal state: Kentucky
Auction history: $170,000 yearling (Keeneland September 2005)
Notable siblings: We Brothers (14-5-1-2, $32,488, stakes-winner, unraced at 2).
Sire's race record: 15-4-5-2, $971,292, multiple Grade 1 winner at 2, won debut.
Sire's win percentage with juvenile firsters: 23-183 (13%)
Dam's race record: Unraced
Dam's production record: 2 foals, 1 runner, 1 winner.
Trainer's 5-year record with juvenile firsters (overall): 91-377 (24%), $1.76 ROI
Trainer's 5-year record with juvenile firsters in dirt sprint maiden special weights with Lasix: 64-279 (23%), $1.56 ROI
Trainer's 5-year-record with juvenile firsters at Saratoga: 18-89 (20%), $1.38 ROI
Family facts: Dam a half to Takeawakatlove (49-9-9-2, $246,002, stakes-winning sprinter, unraced at 2). Third dam a multiple Group 3 winner on turf in Ireland at 2. Family of El Gran Senor, Try My Best, Compliance, etc.
Workout analysis: July 21 workout matches barn's 2yo Northern Duke (finished sixth in career debut on July 26 with 54 Beyer). July 15 work went .15 slower than barn's 2yo filly Featherbed (finished fourth in career debut on July 27 with 64 Beyer). July 6 workout matches barn's 2yo Air Lord (won debut on July 13 at Belmont with 94 Beyer). June 20 work went .02 slower than barn's 2yo Jocassee (finished sixth in July 28 debut with 33 Beyer). Several works match unraced 2yos Open Sleigh (Touch Gold - Call Now, by Wild Again) and Turbulent Storm (Storm Creek - Goulash, by Mari's Book).

8. Sightseeing (Pulpit - Resort, by Pleasant Colony)
Foal date: April 1, 2004
Foal state: Kentucky
Auction history: None
Notable siblings: None
Sire's race record: 6-4-1-0, $728,200, multiple Grade 2 route winner, unraced at 2.
Sire's win percentage with juvenile firsters: 17-128 (13%)
Dam's race record: 19-4-2-4, $247,730, multiple Grade 1-placed router, 1-2 at 2.
Dam's production record: This is her first foal
Trainer's 5-year record with juveniles (overall): 11-62 (18%), $1.99 ROI
Trainer's 5-year record with juvenile firsters in dirt sprint maiden special weight without Lasix: 5-35 (14%), $2.13 ROI
Trainer's 5-year-record with juvenile firsters at Saratoga: 4-23 (17%), $2.90 ROI
Family facts: Dam half to Living Vicariously (15-5-3-2, $356,843, Grade 2 route winner, 1-5 at 2), and With Distinction (29-6-9-2, $447,717, Grade 3 sprint winner, unraced at 2). Third dam was Grade 1 winner at 2. Fourth dam was multiple stakes-winner. Fifth dam was multiple stakes-winner at 2.
Workout analysis: July 7 workout matches unraced 2yo Deliberately (A.P. Indy - Hidden Reserve, by Mr. Prospector, bred by Phipps). June 22 workout went .01 slower than barn's 3yo filly Altesse (finished fourth in June 29 'N1x' optional claimer with 70 Beyer).

Analysis:

Both of QUASICOBRA's parents were juvenile debut winners, and he'll make his debut for the high-percentage Biancone barn. That gate work on July 12 looks mighty impressive so don't be surprised if this guy has early speed. MARINA MARKET worked quickly prior to his juvenile sale, and shows a quick gate drill in preparation for this. Have to respect anything Darley puts on the track. FLASHSTORM has the experience advantage, and was stuck in a tough post last time out. SIGHTSEEING has loads of class in his pedigree, and wouldn't be a surprise for Shug. MERITOCRACY is another in a long line of Pletcher/Velazquez babies.

The Bet: Quasicobra to win and place (5-2 odds or more)