09/02/2006 11:00PM

Spa Babies for Monday

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Welcome to Spa Babies! Saratoga is famous for its top-notch racing for two-year-olds so I'll break down the numbers for every juvenile maiden race at the meet in the hope of finding a winner, and perhaps, a future star.

Saturday's results: 3-1-3, -$4.00

Meet results: 69-10-38, +34.90

Happy to say that we'll make a profit for the meet.

Monday, September 4, 2006

Race 2
1 1/16 Miles (Turf)
Maiden Special Weight
2-year-old fillies
Purse $48,000

Analysis:

VOWEL broke poorly in well-bet debut for Bill Mott, then was forced out widest on the turn before finishing mildly. She earned a solid Beyer Speed Figure that day, and the first foal from stakes-placed turf runner Tell It should improve. SOPHIE'S SALAD was scratched from a stakes race here to await this easier spot, and she made a big move in her debut. She gets the total makeover with blinkers and Lasix added to the mix, but trainer Jimmy Toner is 1-60 with juvenile runners over the past five years. Still, she's a must-use in multi-race wagers and exotics. PAY WRIGHT has yet to run a bad race, and earned stakes-placed status at Monmouth last time out. She makes the important third start of the form cycle, but may be caught chasing the pace while wide if she breaks in from the also-eligible list. MAMA BEAR goes out for barn that is 4-8 with a $3.24 ROI over the last five years with second-time juveniles on the turf, and the daughter of million-dollar juvenile purchase Marie J raced evenly in her debut. Don't think she had as much trouble as the trouble line indicates, however, as she had every chance at the quarter pole, and was checked after she had already called it a day. SAINT CHI CHI is a half to multiple Grade 2 winner Two Item Limit (juvenile debut winner) as well as one turf winner, but she doesn't show a published workout in the past three weeks.

The Bet: Vowel to Win (2-1 odds or more)

Race 4
7 Furlongs
Hopeful Stakes (Grade 1)
2-year-olds
Purse $250,000

Analysis:

SCAT DADDY blew away maidens in his debut for the all-star team of Todd Pletcher and John Velazquez, then showed his class in taking the Sanford on opening weekend. He looked hopelessly beaten at the eighth pole of the Sanford, but kicked it into gear late to nail the speedy Teuflesberg on the line. He'll have to deal with the inside post as well as the stretchout to seven furlongs, but none of his rivals have run as fast as any of his two races to date. Entrymate CIRCULAR QUAY doesn't have Scat Daddy's Beyers, but he showed an explosive turn of foot in both of his wins at Churchill Downs. He's bred to run all day so the stretchout won't be a problem. UNBRIDLED EXPRESS finished ahead of a pair of next-out winners at Churchill Downs, and one of those horses, Kon Krete Kid, came back to win maiden here at 54-1 odds. May sit a nice trip stalking the pace from the outside. IRISH ACE gets class test after blowing away maidens over this track. PEGASUS WIND was well-hyped for debut in Grade 3 stakes before being beaten by Circular Quay. Came back to dominate maidens, and handles an off-track.