08/20/2006 11:00PM

Spa Babies for Monday


Welcome to Spa Babies! Saratoga is famous for its top-notch racing for two-year-olds so I'll break down the numbers for every juvenile maiden race at the meet in the hope of finding a winner, and perhaps, a future star.

Full statistical analysis and meet recap will return for Wednesday's card.

Monday, August 21, 2006

Race 4
5 1/2 Furlongs (Turf)
Maiden Special Weight
Purse $47,000


REGAL OFFICER has displayed some ability in his career. In his debut, the colt raced greenly in a race that graded out faster than a juvenile stakes at 5 furlongs on the same card. In his second start, he didn't like getting the dirt kicked back in his face while rallying in the upper stretch yet still galloped out well after the race. Last time, he chased a well-regarded runaway winner. He tries grass on Monday, and although he draws widest, he may be able to rally while free of traffic trouble. He's worth a play at a price. TRIPLE NINE FIVE goes out for an underrated barn, and is the first foal out of a mare that was Grade 3-placed on the lawn. Tab the early tote action for more clues. THREE LIONS looked like a strong stretch threat in career debut for Pletcher, but ducked out badly causing Velazquez to lose his irons. Once he figures this game out, the son of Grade 2-placed turfer Beefeater Baby will be a factor. WESTERN BLUFF is the first foal out of Megans Bluff, a Grade 2 winner that bankrolled over $400,000 on the sod. The Weaver barn can pop with a firster on the grass. NARTHAX is a half to Heritage of Gold (multiple Grade 1 winner on dirt, Grade 2 winner on grass). The Nicks barn has been cold at the meet, but Edgar Prado takes the mount. THUNDER RISING took money for his debut, and was placed in a good forward position before his rider lost the irons on the turn. He should be a pace factor from the inside post with Lasix added to the arsenal.

The Bet: Regal Officer to Win and Place (8-1 or more).

Race 6
6 1/2 Furlongs
Maiden Special Weight (New York Breds)
Purse $47,000


The handsome FREUDIAN sold for $400,000 earlier this year, and wasn't disgraced after a wide trip from the far outside post in his career debut. He's a half to stakes-winning sprinter Multiplication out of a multiple stakes-winning dam, and should appreciate the extra furlong presented to him on Monday. MOTOR WEST showed some early speed in his debut, and may find himself in a great stalking spot while clear of trouble. He loses Bejarano to the top pick, but Allen Jerkens has been hot lately. MOR CHANCES finished behind the top choice when disregarded at almost 50-1 odds, but came back with a solid work, and figures to be charging hard late. The dam was stakes-placed, and the sire adds speed to a pedigree. LANDOFOPPORTUNITY has sneaky speed, and might attempt to grab the pacesetter position under Leparoux. Hertler's juveniles have been running at the meet. BURN ONE TURN ONE showed speed on Lone Star sod, and now goes out for operation that excels with young horses. Likely to be a pace factor. GALAXY EXPRESS has a precocious pedigree, and one of his half-brothers was stakes-placed. Must overcome inside post position, but Johnny V. is intrigued. RAVEN H is bred both sides for speed, and trainer Tom Bush is quietly having a great meet.

The Bet: Freudian - Motor West exacta