07/25/2006 11:00PM

Spa Babies for July 27

Email

Welcome to Spa Babies! Saratoga is famous for its top-notch racing for two-year-olds so I'll break down the numbers for every juvenile maiden race at the meet in the hope of finding a winner, and perhaps, a future star.

July 27, 2006 - Race 2
5 1/2 Furlongs
Maiden Special Weight
2-year-old fillies
Purse $47,000.

1. Quality Affair (Elusive Quality - Affair With Aflair, by Well Decorated)
Foal date: January 23, 2004
Auction history: $285,000 weanling (Keeneland November 2004)
Notable siblings: Lady Aflair (21-3-2-3, $91,392, stakes-placed, 2yo winner)
Sire race record: 20-9-3-2, $413,284, multiple Grade 3 winner.
Sire win percentage with juveniles: 58-301 (19%)
Dam race record: 17-4-3-1, $99,732, multiple stakes-winner, 2yo debut winner.
Dam production record: 4 runners, 3 winners, 2 juvenile runners, 0 juvenile winners.
Trainer 5-year record with juveniles (overall): 35-214 (16%), $1.74 ROI
Trainer 5-year record with second-time juveniles on dirt without Lasix: 5-44 (11%), $1.04 ROI
Trainer 5-year-record with juveniles at Saratoga: 5-36 (14%), $3.03 ROI
Family facts: Dam cost $42,000 as 2yo. Dam is half-sister to Chasing Stars (22-6-3-1, $126,373, stakes-winner on turf) and Buzz Song (4-2-0-1, $94,450, 2yo stakes-winner). Second dam a full sister to Buzz My Bell (Grade 1 winner at 2, dam of Kentucky Derby and 2yo debut winner Grindstone). Third dam was stakes-placed.
Workout analysis: None.

1a. This Just In (Pulpit - Glitter Woman, by Glitterman)
Foal date: March 1, 2004
Auction history: Out yearling (Keeneland September 2005)
Notable siblings: Political Force (5-1-3-0, $66,285, Grade 3-placed 2yo)
Sire race record: 6-4-1-0, $728,200, multiple Grade 2 winner.
Sire win percentage with juveniles: 50-312 (16%)
Dam race record: 23-10-9-3, $1,256,805, Grade 1 winner, 2yo debut winner
Dam production record: 3 runners, 1 winner, 2 juvenile runners, 1 juvenile winner.
Trainer 5-year record with juveniles (overall): 35-214 (16%), $1.74 ROI
Trainer 5-year record with second-time juveniles on dirt without Lasix: 5-44 (11%), $1.04 ROI
Trainer 5-year-record with juveniles at Saratoga: 5-36 (14%), $3.03 ROI
Family facts: Dam cost $7,000 as short yearling, and $8,000 as yearling. Dam is a half sister to Unbridled Elaine (11-6-2-1, $1,770,740, Grade 1 winner, multiple 2yo winner). Second dam was a multiple stakes-winner at 2.
Workout analysis: None.

2. Orange Crush (Distorted Humor - Lake Travis, by Seattle Slew)
Foal date: February 26, 2004
Auction history: None
Notable siblings: None
Sire race record: 23-8-5-3, $769,964, multiple Grade 2 winner.
Sire win percentage with juvenile firsters: 25-127 (20%)
Dam race record: Unraced
Dam production record: 3 runners, 2 winners, 3 juvenile runners, 0 juvenile winners.
Trainer 5-year record with juvenile firsters (overall): 19-204 (9%), $0.95 ROI
Trainer 5-year record with juvenile firsters on dirt without Lasix: 10-126 (8%), $0.88 ROI
Trainer 5-year-record with juvenile firsters at Saratoga: 6-51 (12%), $1.04 ROI
Family facts: Dam a full sister to Lakeway (14-7-3-3, $965,330, multiple Grade 1 winner, 2yo debut winner), and Devine (7-3-2-0, $94,575, stakes-placed). Dam is a half-sister to Monarchoftheglen (stakes-placed at 2 in England).
Workout analysis: July 8 workout matches entrymate Tiz Holly.

2b. Tiz Holly (Tiznow - Catspaw, by Storm Cat)
Foal date: March 1, 2004
Auction history: $170,000 yearling (Keeneland September 2005)
Notable siblings: None
Sire race record: 15-8-4-2, $6,427,830, multiple Grade 1 winner
Sire's win percentage with juvenile firsters: 2-32 (6%)
Dam race record: 5-1-0-0, $16,431, won sprinting
Dam production record: This is her first foal.
Trainer 5-year record with juvenile firsters (overall): 19-204 (9%), $0.95 ROI
Trainer 5-year record with juvenile firsters on dirt without Lasix: 10-126 (8%), $0.88 ROI
Trainer 5-year-record with juvenile firsters at Saratoga: 6-51 (12%), $1.04 ROI
Family facts: Dam is a half sister to Strollin Slew (21-2-7-5, $129,608, stakes-placed). Second dam was multiple stakes-winner and 2yo debut winner. Third dam was multiple stakes-winner and multiple 2yo winner. Tiznow - Storm Cat 'nick' produced Folklore (multiple Grade 1 winner at 2).
Workout analysis: July 8 workout matches entrymate Orange Crush.

3. Indian Love Call (Cherokee Run - Mood Music, by Kingmambo)
Foal date: March 3, 2004
Auction history: None
Notable siblings: None
Sire race record: 28-13-5-5, $1,531,818, Grade 1 winner, 2yo debut winner
Sire win percentage with juvenile firsters: 20-212 (9%)
Dam race record: 6-0-0-1, $8,030
Dam production record: This is her first foal.
Trainer 5-year record with juvenile firsters (overall): 11-62 (18%), $1.99 ROI
Trainer 5-year record with juvenile firsters on dirt without Lasix: 6-38 (16%), $2.22 ROI
Trainer 5-year-record with juvenile firsters at Saratoga: 4-23 (17%), $2.90 ROI
Family facts: Dam is a half sister to Gold Fever (18-7-4-1, $480,712, Grade 1 winner, multiple 2yo winner), and Emanating (18-4-5-2, $273,030, stakes-winner, multiple 2yo winner). Second dam was Grade 3 winner on turf. Second dam is a half sister to Out of Place (Grade 3 winner) and Frolic (Grade 1-placed). Third dam was Grade 1-placed at 2. Third dam a half-sister to Versailles Treaty (multiple Grade 1 winner, 2yo debut winner). Fourth dam was Grade 2-placed. Fourth dam a half sister to multiple Grade 1 winner General Assembly. Fifth dam a stakes-winner. Fifth dam kin to Exclusive Native (multiple stakes-winner).
Workout analysis: June 17 work was .04 seconds slower than barn's 2yo Consecration (finished second in career debut with 85 Beyer Speed Figure). May 7 work was .06 seconds faster than Consecration. May 1 work equals that of Consecration.

4. Silver Fountain (Forest Wildcat - Cordoba, by Unbridled)
Foal date: January 28, 2004
Auction history: None
Notable siblings: None
Sire race record: 20-9-2-1, $478,862, multiple Grade 3 winner, multiple 2yo winner.
Sire win percentage with juvenile firsters: 33-214 (15%)
Dam race record: 8-3-1-2, $104,427, stakes-placed, 2yo debut winner
Dam's production record: This is her first foal.
Trainer 5-year record with juvenile firsters (overall): 18-76 (24%), $2.62 ROI
Trainer 5-year record with juvenile firsters on dirt without Lasix: 13-54 (24%), $2.61 ROI
Trainer 5-year-record with juvenile firsters at Saratoga: 3-12 (25%), $2.07 ROI
Family facts: Dam a half sister to Along the Sea (5-1-1-2, $168,800, multiple Grade 1-placed 2yo, won debut). Second dam was Grade 3-placed as well as a 2yo debut winner.
Workout analysis: July 14, July 20 workouts match barn's 2yo Golden Age (entered in Wednesday's fifth race). July 2 workout was .09 seconds faster than barn's 2yo filly Trippiontherug (ran fifth in July 14 debut with 63 Beyer). June 26 workout was .07 seconds slower than Golden Age.

5. K K's Kitty (Yes It's True - Kit Kat Kitty, by Pentelicus)
Foal date: March 27, 2004
Auction history: $80,000 short yearling (OBS January 2005), $140,000 yearling (Keeneland September 2005), $140,000 juvenile (OBS March 2006)
Notable siblings: Testimony (Grade 2-placed in United Arab Emirates, 2yo winner)
Sire race record: 22-11-2-3, $1,080,700, Grade 1 winner, 2yo debut winner, all wins sprinting.
Sire win percentage with juvenile firsters: 17-92 (18%)
Dam race record: 43-7-10-5, $140,990, 2yo debut winner.
Dam production record: 2 runners, 2 winners, 2 juvenile runners, 2 juvenile winners, 1 juvenile debut winner.
Trainer 5-year record with juvenile firsters (overall): 13-72 (18%), $1.43 ROI.
Trainer 5-year record with juvenile firsters on dirt with Lasix: 10-57 (18%), $1.45 ROI
Trainer 5-year-record with juvenile firsters at Saratoga: 2-17 (12%), $1.49 ROI
Family facts: Dam cost $70,000 as yearling. Dam a half to Call Fiorello (76-17-14-7, $249,481, stakes-placed 2yo). Third dam was Grade 1 winner. Yes It's True - Pentelicus 'nick' also produced Qureall (Grade 2-placed).
Workout analysis: Worked 1 furlong in 10.40, and 2 furlongs in 22.20 at the March sale. July 22 work went .02 seconds faster than barn's 2yo filly Velvet Charm (60 Beyer top).

6. Somethingaboutyou (Double Honor - Finally a Birdie, by Proud Birdie)
Foal date: February 23, 2004
Auction history: $27,000 yearling (OBS August 2005), $130,000 juvenile (Fasig-Tipton April 2006)
Notable siblings: None
Sire race record: 8-2-2-1, $251,612, Grade 3 winner at 2, won debut.
Sire win percentage with juvenile firsters: 14-154 (9%)
Dam race record: 5-1-0-1, $16,670, 2yo sprint winner.
Dam production record: 4 runners, 3 winners, 4 juvenile runners, 1 juvenile winner.
Trainer 5-year record with juvenile firsters (overall): 12-134 (9%), $1.52 ROI
Trainer 5-year record with juvenile firsters on dirt with Lasix: 3-28 (11%), $1.05 ROI
Trainer 5-year-record with juvenile firsters at Saratoga: 4-36 (11%), $3.07 ROI
Family facts: Dam cost $40,000 as a yearling. Dam a half to Flying Circus (71-8-10-7, $50,182, stakes-placed 2yo, debut winner), and Satellite Nealski (32-6-2-3, $178,076, stakes-winner).
Workout analysis: Worked 1 furlong in 10.40 at the April sale. July 17 work was .13 seconds slower than barn's 3yo filly Daytime Promise (88 Beyer top).

7. Cool the Economy (Mazel Trick - Muskoka Ice, by It?s Freezing)
Foal date: May 10, 2004
Auction history: $75,000 yearling (Keeneland September 2005), Withdrawn juvenile (OBS March 2006)
Notable siblings: None
Sire race record: 10-6-2-1, $435,640, Grade 2 winner.
Sire win percentage with juveniles: 34-258 (13%)
Dam race record: 30-1-6-1, $48,167, 0-7 at 2.
Dam production record: 6 runners, 4 winners, 4 juvenile runners, 2 juvenile winners.
Trainer 5-year record with juveniles (overall): 49-263 (19%), $2.43 ROI
Trainer 5-year record with juveniles on dirt with Lasix: 40-198 (20%, $2.77 ROI)
Trainer 5-year-record with juveniles at Saratoga: 10-45 (22%), $3.76 ROI
Family facts: Dam cost $24,000 as a weanling, and $37,000 as a yearling. Dam a half to Karmani (53-11-12-11, $369,147, multiple stakes-winner on turf) and Tuva (105-12-21-15, $97,874, stakes-placed 2yo, won debut). Second dam was multiple stakes-winner.
Workout analysis: None.

8. Steel Millie (Cherokee Run - Exotic Moves, by Miswaki)
Foal date: March 11, 2004
Auction history: $120,000 yearling (Keeneland September 2005)
Notable siblings: Tap Your Feet (10-3-4-0, $125,930, stakes-winner)
Sire race record: 28-13-5-5, $1,531,818, Grade 1 winner, 2yo debut winner
Sire win percentage with juvenile firsters: 20-212 (9%)
Dam race record: 42-8-6-10, $221,854, stakes-winner, 2yo winner.
Dam production record: 5 runners, 2 winners, 1 juvenile runner, 0 juvenile winners.
Trainer 5-year record with juvenile firsters (overall): 21-161 (13%), $1.50 ROI
Trainer 5-year record with juvenile firsters on dirt with Lasix: 19-150 (13%), $1.46 ROI
Trainer 5-year-record with juvenile firsters at Saratoga: 3-11 (27%), $3.35 ROI
Family facts: Dam a half to Windedawler (44-5-7-4, $93,236, multiple stakes-placed, 2yo winner), and Angel in the Night (17-13-0-0, $192,000, multiple stakes-winner, 2yo debut winner). Second dam a full sister to Honorable Miss (Grade 2 winner). Third dam was stakes-placed.
Workout analysis: None.

9. Mary's Prayer (Songandaprayer - Froze, by It's Freezing)
Foal date: March 5, 2004
Auction history: $40,000 yearling (Keeneland September), $90,000 juvenile (OBS March 2006)
Notable siblings: Dry Ice (78-21-9-8, $254,819, multiple stakes-winner, 0-5 at 2)
Sire race record: 8-3-1-1, $380,480, Grade 1 winner, 2yo debut winner
Sire win percentage with juvenile firsters: 7-38 (18%)
Dam race record: 34-6-6-8, $150,697, multiple Grade 3-placed, 2yo debut winner.
Dam production record: 7 runners, 4 winners, 5 juvenile runners, 0 juvenile winners.
Trainer 5-year record with juvenile firsters (overall): 5-47 (11%), $1.18 ROI
Trainer 5-year record with juvenile firsters on dirt with Lasix: 4-41 (10%), $0.89 ROI
Trainer 5-year-record with juvenile firsters at Saratoga: 1-14 (7%), $0.30 ROI
Family facts: Dam cost $25,000 as short yearling, $27,000 as yearling, and $70,000 as juvenile.
Workout analysis: Worked one furlong in a bullet 10 seconds flat at the March sale.

10. Imperial Reign (Indian Charlie - V Sign, by Robellino)
Foal date: April 27, 2004
Auction history: $67,000 yearling (Fasig-Tipton July 2005), $1,000,000 juvenile (OBS March 2006)
Notable siblings: V Formation (23-5-1-3, $155,618, multiple stakes-winner, 2yo winner), Sign of a Bird (83-9-15-12, $239,702, multiple stakes-placed, multiple 2yo winner), My Silver Charm (9-1-6-0, $81,720, multiple stakes-placed, 0-2 at 2).
Sire race record: 5-4-0-1, $616,120, Grade 1 winner, 2yo debut winner
Sire win percentage with juvenile firsters: 13-96 (14%)
Dam race record: Unraced.
Dam production record: 6 runners, 5 winners, 4 juvenile runners, 2 juvenile winners, 1 juvenile debut winner.
Trainer 5-year record with juvenile firsters (overall): 15-91 (16%), $1.26 ROI
Trainer 5-year record with juvenile firsters on dirt with Lasix: 15-89 (17%), $1.29 ROI
Trainer 5-year-record with juvenile firsters at Saratoga: 2-7 (29%), $1.30 ROI
Family facts: Dam a full to Robellation (multiple Group 3-placed in England), and a half to Basualdo (Group 2-placed in Germany). Lots of European influence in pedigree.
Workout analysis: Second highest-priced baby at OBS March worked 2 furlongs in 21.20 at the sale. No workout in the last 17 days as of this writing.

11. Carson's Dane (Carson City - Silken Sash, by Danehill)
Foal date: February 19, 2004
Auction history: None
Notable siblings: None
Sire race record: 15-6-2-0, $306,240, multiple Grade 2 winner, 2yo debut winner.
Sire win percentage with juveniles: 283-1391 (20%)
Dam race record: 8-1-2-1, $11,917 in Europe, won on grass, 0-4 at 2.
Dam production record: This is her first foal.
Trainer 5-year record with juveniles (overall): 45-155 (29%), $1.94 ROI
Trainer 5-year record with juveniles on dirt adding Lasix: 5-14 (36%), $4.29 ROI
Trainer 5-year-record with juveniles at Saratoga: 14-42 (33%), $2.17 ROI
Family facts: Dam cost 175,000 Irish guineas. Second dam was 2yo stakes-winner in Ireland.
Workout analysis: None.

12. Featherbed (Smart Strike - Favorite Feather, by Capote)
Foal date: March 17, 2004
Auction history: $170,000 yearling (Keeneland September 2005)
Notable siblings: Little Cliff (11-3-0-2, $149,935, Grade 3-placed, multiple 2yo winner)
Sire race record: 8-6-1-0, $337,376, Grade 1 winner.
Sire win percentage with juvenile firsters: 25-139 (18%)
Dam race record: Unraced
Dam production record: 1 runner, 1 winner, 1 juvenile runner, 1 juvenile winner.
Trainer 5-year record with juvenile firsters (overall): 89-372 (24%), $1.72 ROI
Trainer 5-year record with juvenile firsters on dirt adding Lasix: 70-296 (24%), $1.64 ROI
Trainer 5-year-record with juvenile firsters at Saratoga: 16-84 (19%), $1.25 ROI
Family facts: Dam half to In On The Secret (23-2-6-4, $86,371, stakes-placed at 2), Bright Feather (17-3-3-1, $105,870, stakes-placed, dam of Albert the Great), Marie J (11-2-1-3, $139,800, Grade 3-placed, 2yo winner), Chekhov (11-1-2-1, $158,366, Grade 3-placed). Second dam was multiple stakes-winner and 2yo debut winner. Third dam was multiple stakes-placed. Fourth dam was a 2yo stakes-winner. Fifth dam was a stakes-winner. Sixth dam was multiple stakes-winner.
Workout analysis: June 13 work was .11 seconds slower than barn 2yos Air Lord (won July 13 debut with 94 Beyer) and A P Dreamer (finished fourth in July 20 debut with 48 Beyer), and was .06 seconds slower than barn 3yo Throng (finished third in Delaware stakes race on June 26 with 87 Beyer). June 13 work was also .02 seconds slower than barn's 4yo filly Stormina (57 dirt Beyer, much better on turf). Also seen several times on worktab with unraced 2yo filly Awesome Ashley (Unbridled's Song - Queens Court Queen, by Lyphard).

13. Kauai Calls (Fusaichi Pegasus - Collect Call, by Meadowlake)
Foal date: January 29, 2004
Auction history: $2,000,000 yearling (Fasig-Tipton August), out yearling (Keeneland September)
Notable siblings: None
Sire race record: 9-6-2-0, $1.994,400, Grade 1 winner, placed at 2..
Sire win percentage with juvenile firsters: 7-50 (14%)
Dam race record: 17-3-3-5, $434,000, Grade 3 winner, 2yo debut winner.
Dam production record: This is her first foal
Trainer 5-year record with juvenile firsters (overall): 0-8 (0%)***
Trainer 5-year record with juvenile firsters on dirt adding Lasix: 0-5 (0%)***
Trainer 5-year-record with juvenile firsters at Saratoga: 0-1 (0%)***
Family facts: Dam cost $250,000 as juvenile. Second dam a half to Mitterand (Grade 1 winner).
Workout analysis: July 18, July 12, June 14 works match barn's 2yo filly Angel Island (entered in Schuylerville on Wedenesday). July 5 work matches barn's 2yo Hallway (finished second in July 21 debut at LAD with 43 Beyer).
***Trainer is the assistant for suspended Steve Asmussen, an excellent debut trainer.

Analysis:
This is an extremely contentious group of babies, and handicappers may want to go deep in multi-race wagers. SOMETHINGABOUTYOU should go off at a good price, and it's encouraging to see the string of 5 furlong works leading up to her debut. Gary Contessa and Eibar Coa teamed up for a debut winner here in 2005, and their charge sold for over 37 times the sire's stud fee. She's certainly not a lock, but will offer value at 20-1 on the morning line. THIS JUST IN looks like the horse to beat for Allen Jerkens. Her dam was a very good runner, and This Just In showed good agility after breaking poorly in her career debut. A repeat of that 82 Beyer Speed Figure makes her a logical threat. INDIAN LOVE CALL has tons of class in her female family, and her workouts aren't bad either. She draws a tough inside post position, but don't be surprised if she's quicker than her works imply. SILVER FOUNTAIN shows strong workouts for her debut. K K'S KITTY, MARY'S PRAYER, IMPERIAL REIGN, and ORANGE CRUSH all have precocious pedigrees. Check the early tote action to see if they're live.

The Bet: Somethingaboutyou to win and place (12-1 or more)

Race 8 - Saratoga
Sanford Stakes (Grade 2)
2-year-olds
Purse $150,000

Analysis:
In terms of depth, this is one of the weakest Sanfords in memory. SCAT DADDY is the most likely winner for the Pletcher barn, but he'll offer no value. WAR WOLF has the experience edge over his main foe, and goes out for Blasi/Asmusen, a potent 2-year-old outfit. War Wolf won't offer much value in this short field filled with maidens, but he'll be a better price than Scat Daddy. He gets a very timid nod from this corner. TRIP TO THE BANK chased Scat Daddy in vain last time out while TEUFLESBERG figures to face intense pace pressure from the inside post.