07/23/2011 10:58PM

Spa Babies for July 24, Race 9


Welcome to Spa Babies! I'll break down the statistics for every juvenile contest at the meet and hope for a tidy profit.

In past years, I would list the stats for each horse before writing up my analysis, selections and wagering strategy. In order to streamline the content, this year's Spa Babies will showcase written analyses of each juvenile race. Each analysis will include relevant statistical information. Following the analysis, top three selections and wagering strategy will be provided.

Sunday, July 24, 2011

Race 9
6 Furlongs
Sanford Stakes (Grade 2)
Purse $150,000


OVERDRIVEN, a half-brother to three-time Grade 2 winner Smooth Air, earned a whopping 100 Beyer Speed Figure in an impressive debut try at Belmont.  That afternoon, he bobbled at the start and steadied slightly in the early going before rushing up to prompt a quick foe from the outside.  He collared that one in upper stretch before professionally striding out to win by 3 1/2 lengths.  Todd Pletcher won the Schuylerville on Opening Day with second-time starter Georgie's Angel, and Overdriven draws an excellent attack post.

POWER WORLD, a half-brother to Grade 2 winner Santa Catarina, rallied from well back to win his debut going 4 1/2 furlongs at Churchill Downs.  The colt he ran down in the stretch that day, She Digs Me, returned to graduate with a 74 Beyer Speed Figure.  Last time out, Power World rallied for second in the Grade 3 Bashford Manor Stakes.  He has an experience advantage over Overdriven and should be charging hard in the stretch.

JACK'S IN THE DECK won his maiden in the Grade 2 Futurity at Belmont on July 3, upsetting the field at 14-1 odds.  That field didn't look like the strongest in the world, however, and he could be taking a step up facing horses the caliber of Overdriven and Power World.  Still, he attracts Ramon Dominguez and could work out a nice stalking trip from the outside.

MOONRUSH is still a maiden for Mr. Lukas, but he adds Lasix this afternoon and has a hint of early speed.  Perhaps he'll be sent from the inside under Cornelio Velasquez.

TARPY'S GOAL raced greenly as the favorite in the Futurity before finishing evenly for third.  He rallied from off the pace to win his debut at Churchill Downs, but will have to work out a trip after breaking from the rail.

MAAN was bet hard for his debut at Churchill Downs and he didn't disappoint the public, defeating Moonrush by 1 1/2 lengths.  His dam, Ambition Unbridled, was a multiple stakes-winner of $278,286.

BLESS THE SOLDIER and BLACK RHINO, both trained by juvenile guru Wesley Ward, will go as an uncoupled entry.  The former won his debut over polytrack at Woodbine, but hasn't run since late May.  Black Rhino was well-beaten in his debut on dirt at Churchill before graduating by open lengths on the grass.  The runner-up from Black Rhino's win returned to score by 7 1/4 lengths with a 53 Beyer on turf at Indiana Downs.



1. Overdriven
2. Power World
3. Jack's in the Deck


The Play:
Overdriven - Power World Exacta
Overdriven - Jack's in the Deck Exacta




*Meet record based on starts, wins, top pick (after scratches) in the money, and profit/loss of that day's play ($2 wager):  3-0-0 (-$10)