07/23/2011 9:48PM

Spa Babies for July 24, Race 2

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Welcome to Spa Babies! I'll break down the statistics for every juvenile contest at the meet and hope for a tidy profit.

In past years, I would list the stats for each horse before writing up my analysis, selections and wagering strategy. In order to streamline the content, this year's Spa Babies will showcase written analyses of each juvenile race. Each analysis will include relevant statistical information. Following the analysis, top three selections and wagering strategy will be provided.

 

Sunday, July 24, 2011

Race 2
5 1/2 Furlongs
Maiden Special Weight (New York-breds)
2-year-olds
Purse $40,000

 

Analysis:

CYBERTRON (Whywhywhy - Victory's Sister, by Cryptoclearance, April 15, 2009) is by a Grade 1-winning juvenile sprinter that is 9-124 (7%) with juvenile debut runners (1-19, 5%, $1.17 ROI with all debut runners in 2011, older winner).  The dam, a $20,000 yearling, was placed routing (0-10, 0-2 sprinting) and has foaled 1 winner from 2 runners, 0-2 with juveniles).  This is the female family of Grade 2 winner Miss Indy Anna (7-10, 349K, 5-8 sprinting) and Grade 2 sprint winner Time Limit (5-13, 379K, 3-8 at two, won debut).  The June 15 workout went .01 faster than entrymate The Prize Fighter (finished second with 67 Beyer in career debut at Belmont on July 1).  The June 28 workout matches The Prize Fighter.   Trainer Phil Serpe sent out longshot juvenile debut winner Pure Gossip here on Opening Day with Lasix for this owner.


THE PRIZE FIGHTER (Pure Prize - Miss Winning Sweep, by End Sweep, April 10, 2009) is by a Grade 2 route winner (5-17, 475K, 1-3 at two, 0-4 sprinting) that is 75-434 (17%) with juveniles.  The Prize Fighter is a half-brother to Grade 3-placed juvenile sprinter Winning Expression (1-5, 78K) and stakes-placed router Shrewd Ice (2-8, 134K, 1-1 at two, 1-4 sprinting).  The dam, a $75,000 yearling, was a sprint winner (2-5, 54K, 1-3 at two) and has foaled four winners from five runners (2-4 with juveniles). This is the female family of Precisionist (20-46, 3.4M, 3-5 at two, 3-9 sprinting).  Serpe is 1-18 (6%, $1.55 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles.


UTOPIAN DREAM (Utopia - Point Reyes, by Subordination, March 17, 2009, Withdrawn OBS Open yearling, August 2010; $20,000 OBS Spring juvenile, April 2011) worked a quarter-mile in 21.1 prior to the April auction.  He is by a multiple Grade 1 winner in Japan (9-34, $4.9M, 3-4 at two, 2-3 sprinting) that is 0-7 with juvenile debut runners from his first crop of 2011.  The dam was stakes-placed sprinting at two (3-5, 41K, juvenile debut winner) and has foaled a runner that did not win (0-1 with juveniles).  Trainer Colum O'Brien is 1-53 since January 1, 1998 with first-time starters.  The dam is a half-sister to stakes-placed sprinter Premier Peak (2-11, 69K, 2-4 at two).  The July 9 workout went .02 faster than O'Brien's 3-year-old filly Wedding in Sorano (67 Beyer top).  The July 16 workout went .02 slower than O'Brien's 5-year-old mare Enniskillen (68 Beyer top).


HALF LIT (Half Ours - Lady Corona, by D'Hallevant, April 30, 2009, $80,000 OBS Select juvenile, March 2011) worked a furlong in 10.1 prior to the March auction. His sire was a Grade 2 sprint winner (5-7, 319K, 2-2 at two) that is 3-8 (38%, $1.98 ROI) with juvenile debut runners from his first crop of 2011.  The dam, a $38,000 juvenile, was placed sprinting at two (0-3) and has foaled three winners from four runners (2-4 with juveniles, 1 juvenile debut winner).  The dam is a half-sister to multiple Grade 2 winner Unfinished Symph (6-18, 651K, 0-1 at two, 2-5 sprinting).  Trainer Bruce Brown is 2-16 (13%, $2.02 ROI) over the past year with debut runners. The May 13 workout went .01 faster than Brown's 4-year-old filly Awakened Beauty (finished first in 'n1x' allowance on turf at Belmont on May 29 with 72 Beyer, has 44 Beyer on dirt). June 19 workout went .01 slower than Brown's 3-year-old filly Nice Stuff (finished seventh in $16,000 beaten claimer on grass at Belmont on June 30 with 72 Beyer, has 53 Beyer on dirt).


DEHERE OF THE CAT
(Discreet Cat - Dehere of the Dog, by Dehere, March 24, 2009, $80,000 Keeneland September yearling 2010) is by a Grade 1 route winner (6-9, $1.6M, 1-1 at two, 2-3 sprinting) that is 2-12 (17%, $1.37 ROI) with juvenile debut runners from his first crop.  The stakes-placed dam (3-21, 63K, 0-1 at two, 3-14 sprinting), a $90,000 yearling, has foaled two winners from four runners (0-2 with juveniles).  The dam is a half-sister to Grade 3 juvenile sprinter Sunray Spirit (4-13, 201K, 4-14 sprinting) and Grade 3 turf winner Ballymore Lady (7-20, 323K, 0-1 sprinting).  Trainer Michael Trombetta is 9-60 (15%, $1.47 ROI) over the past year with debut runners. The June 4, June 11, June 18, June 25 workouts match up with Trombetta's 2-year-old High Heat (finished fifth in career debut at Delaware on July 12 with 41 Beyer).  The June 4, June 11, and June 18, June 25 workouts match up with Trombetta's 2-year-old Yes He Did (finished first in career debut at Monmouth for $50,000 maiden claiming on July 15 with 37 Beyer).  The June 18 workout matches Trombetta's 3-year-old filly Pixie Hollow (finished fifth in career debut over Tapeta at Presque Isle Downs on June 28 with 42 Beyer).


READTHEBYLINE
(Read the Footnotes - Seattle Byline, by Slew City Slew, April 28, 2009, $3,500 Fasig-Tipton Select yearling, October 2010; Out Fasig-Tipton Spring, May 2011) is by a multiple Grade 2 route winner (5-8, 450K, 4-5 at two, won debut, 2-2 sprinting) that is 5-63 (8%) with juvenile debut runners (1-12, 8%, $0.85 in 2011, older debut winner).  Readthebyline is a half-brother to stakes-winner The Holy One (5-11, 138K, 1-2 at two, 2-4 sprinting).  The dam, a $22,000 yearling, was a winner (5-44, 63K, 0-10 at two, 1-16 sprinting) that has foaled four winners from five runners (1-4 with juveniles).  The dam is a half-sister to stakes-winning juvenile Lt. John (9-37, 75K), multiple stakes-winner Writin' Mama (15-58, 317K, 2-8 at two, 0-1 sprinting), and stakes-placed turfer Little Mandy (1-10, 11K, 1-2 at two).  Trainer Richard Schosberg is 3-15 (20%, $4.16 ROI) over the past four years with juvenile debut runners.  The June 26 workout was .02 slower than Schosberg's 2-year-old Backnbiz (finished sixth in career debut at Belmont on July 9 with 8 Beyer).  The July 10 workout went .02 slower than Schosberg's 3-year-old filly All Quiet (finished fifth in $20,000 'n2L' claimer on grass at Belmont on July 17 with 66 Beyer, has 66 Beyer on dirt).


TUG OF WAR (Smarty Jones - Lake Champlain, by War Chant, May 5, 2009, $6,000 RNA Keeneland November weanling 2009; Withdrawn OBS Spring Juvenile, April 2011) is by multiple Grade 1 route winner (8-9, $7.6M, 2-2 at two, 2-2 sprinting) that is 11-65 (17%) with juvenile debut runners (2-26, 8%, $1.27 ROI with all debut runners in 2011 (both older winners).  Tug of War is a half-brother to stakes-placed Icelain Dan (1-7, 28K, 0-2 at two, 1-5 sprinting).  The dam, a $200,000 yearling, was placed sprinting at two (0-9) and has foaled two winners from two runners (0-2 with juveniles). The dam is a half-sister to stakes-placed juvenile sprinter Skipping Stars (0-8), Grade 1 sprint winner Forest Danger (5-8, 423K).  Trainer Ramon Hernandez is 1-40 (3%, $0.51 ROI) over the past five years with debut runners. The June 19 workout matches Hernandez' 2-year-old filly Hall of Flame (finished seventh in career debut at Belmont on July 10 with 35 Beyer).  The July 3 workout went .02 faster than Hall of Flame.


SWAG DADDY (Scat Daddy - Mrs. Filio, by Eastern Echo, May 3, 2009, $72,000 Fasig-Tipton Preferred yearling, August 2010; $170,000 OBS Select juvenile, March 2011) worked a furlong in 10.3 prior to the March auction.  He is by a multiple Grade 1 route winner (5-9, $1.3M, 3-5 at two, won debut, 2-3 sprinting) that is 3-19 (16%, $1,35 ROI) with juvenile debut runners from his first crop of 2011.  Swag Daddy is a half-brother to Grade 3-placed juvenile What a Tale (3-10, 128K, 3-8 sprinting) and route stakes-placed juvenile Anjorie (2-13, 102K, 2-9 sprinting, juvenile debut winner).  The dam, a $36,000 yearling, was a winner (3-21, 39K, 1-8 at two, 1-14 sprinting) and has foaled six winners from nine runners (3-8 with juveniles, 1 juvenile debut winner).  The dam is a half-sister to multiple stakes-placed Saratoga Madame (1-14, 44K, 1-6 at two, 1-9 sprinting), and stakes-placed juvenile It's Chemistry (5-26, 98K, 2-12 sprinting).  Trainer Derek Ryan is 1-42 (2%, $0.21 ROI) over the past two years with debut runners.


MISSILEWHILEUWORK (Golden Missile - Carr Queen, by Carr de Naskra, March 12, 2009, Out Fasig-Tipton Select yearling, October 2010; $56,000 OBS Spring juvenile, April 2011) worked a furlong in 10.2 prior to the April auction.  He is by a Grade 1 route winner (7-25, $2.1M, 0-1 at two, 0-1 sprinting) that is 15-199 (8%) with juvenile debut runners (1-12, 8%, $0.73 ROI with all debut runners this year, older winner).  The dam, a $67,000 yearling, was a sprint winner (8-47, 48K) and this is her first starter.  Second dam is Grade 3-placed Pamzig (3-10, 61K, 1-1 at two, 2-5 sprinting).  Trainer Dominic Galluscio (7-47, $1.23 ROI) over the past two years with debut runners.

 

Selections:
1. Cybertron
2. The Prize Fighter
3. Utopian Dream

 

The Play:
Flying Zee entry - Utopian Dream
Flying Zee entry - Half Lit