08/09/2006 11:00PM

Spa Babies for Friday, August 11

Email

Welcome to Spa Babies! Saratoga is famous for its top-notch racing for two-year-olds so I'll break down the numbers for every juvenile maiden race at the meet in the hope of finding a winner, and perhaps, a future star.

Friday, August 11, 2006

Race 2
5 1/2 Furlongs
Maiden Special Weight (New York Breds)
2-year-old fillies
Purse $47,000.

1. Nordberg (Precise End - Mayicutin, by Robyn Dancer)
Foal date: May 19, 2004
Auction history: Withdrawn yearling (Keeneland September 2005), $45,000 juvenile (OBS March 2006)
Notable siblings: None
Sire's race record: 9-4-1-4, $225,941, Grade 3 sprint winner, 3-7 at 2
Sire's win percentage with juveniles: 29-185 (16%)
Dam's race record: 36-2-9-5, $62,420, both wins sprinting, 0-3 at 2.
Dam's production record: 3 foals, 3 runners, 1 winner, 1 juvenile runner.
Trainer's 5-year record with juveniles (overall): 114-819 (14%), $1.39 ROI
Trainer's 5-year record with second-time juveniles adding blinkers without Lasix in statebred maiden special weight dirt sprint: None
Trainer's 5-year-record with juveniles at Saratoga: 2-19 (11%), $1.28 ROI
Family facts: Dam sold for $37,000 as a juvenile. Dam half to Candyman Bee (64-16-26-9, $426,860, stakes-winner), and Shoot the Jukebox (37-5-6-7, $103,453, stakes-winner, 1-8 at 2)
Workout analysis: Worked 1 furlong in 10.80 prior to the March sale. August 5 work matches barn's 2yo filly Go Michelle (entered in Thursday's second race).

2. Kall Me K (Kelly Kip - Folly Go Rightly, by Distinctive Pro)
Foal date: April 29, 2004
Auction history: None
Notable siblings: Carlow (21-6-2-5, $211,163, multiple stakes-winner, 1-9 at 2)
Sire race record: 31-15-3-4, $1,157,142, multiple Grade 2 winner, 4-5 at 2, debut winner, all wins sprinting
Sire win percentage with juveniles: 13-85 (15%)
Dam race record: Unraced
Dam production record: 8 foals, 8 runners, 5 winners, 6 juvenile runners, 2 juvenile winners
Trainer 5-year record with juveniles (overall): 8-53 (15%), $1.46 ROI
Trainer 5-year record with second-time juveniles adding Lasix in statebred maiden special weight dirt sprint: None
Trainer 5-year-record with juveniles at Saratoga: 0-1
Family facts: Dam a full sister to Jon Dark (10-1-1-2, $67,565, stakes-winning router, 0-2 at 2), and Pro Flight (23-3-6-2, $330,110, route stakes-winning 2yo).
Workout analysis: None

3. Precious Too (Precise End - Strong Little Girl, by Wolf Power)
Foal date: April 2, 2004
Auction history: $100,000 juvenile (OBS March 2006)
Notable siblings: None
Sire's race record: 9-4-1-4, $225,941, Grade 3 sprint winner, 3-7 at 2
Sire's win percentage with juvenile firsters: 13-53 (25%)
Dam's race record: 28-6-3-7, $183,820, all wins sprinting, 0-3 at 2.
Dam's production record: 3 foals, 2 runners, 1 winner, 1 juvenile runner
Trainer's 5-year record with juvenile firsters (overall): 3-23 (13%), $3.09 ROI
Trainer's 5-year record with juvenile firsters with Lasix in statebred maiden special weight dirt sprint: None
Trainer's 5-year-record with juvenile firsters at Saratoga: 1-2 (50%), $3.60 ROI
Family facts: Second dam was multiple stakes-winner.
Workout analysis: Worked 2 furlongs in 21.40 prior to the March sale. Several works match unraced 2yo Mint Slewlep (Slew City Slew - Cry Me a River, by Gilded Time).

4. All Fired Up (Good and Tough - Fire Breath, by Salt Lake)
Foal date: March 9, 2004
Auction history: $4,000 short yearling (Keeneland January 2005)
Notable siblings: None
Sire's race record: 23-9-5-2, $809,341, Grade 2 sprint winner, unraced at 2.
Sire's win percentage with juvenile firsters: 9-56 (16%)
Dam's race record: 5-1-2-0, $16,960, won sprinting, unraced at 2.
Dam's production record: 2 foals.
Trainer's 5-year record with juvenile firsters (overall): 2-12 (17%), $4.43 ROI
Trainer's 5-year record with juvenile firsters with Lasix in statebred maiden special weight dirt sprint: 0-3
Trainer's 5-year-record with juvenile firsters at Saratoga: 0-3
Family facts: Dam sold for $90,000 as a weanling, and $160,000 as a yearling. Dam half to Swede (9-4-3-0, $106,400, sprint stakes-winner, 1-3 at 2, won debut). Second dam was stakes-placed (0-1 at 2). Third dam was stakes-placed router (1-1 at 2).
Workout analysis: None

1a: My Kitty (Catienus - Private Stash, by Private Account)
Foal date: January 26, 2006
Foal state: New York
Auction history: $15,000 yearling (Fasig-Tipton August 2005), withdrawn juvenile (OBS April 2006), $40,000 juvenile (Fasig-Tipton May 2006)
Notable siblings: None
Sire race record: 22-5-5-2, $370,386, stakes-winner.
Sire win percentage with juveniles: 47-302 (16%)
Dam race record: 25-6-5-2, $90,508, multiple stakes-placed, unraced at 2
Dam production record: 4 foals, 4 runners, 2 winners, 2 juvenile runners
Trainer 5-year record with juveniles: 50-422 (12%), $1.39 ROI
Trainer 5-year record with second-time juveniles removing blinkers with Lasix in statebred maiden special weight dirt sprint: None
Trainer 5-year record with juveniles at Saratoga: 7-84 (8%), $1.71 ROI
Family facts: Second dam a multiple route stakes-winner.
Workout analysis: Worked 1 furlong in 10:80 at the May sale.

6. Sagamoon (Malibu Moon - Hey Up There, by Cormorant)
Foal date: April 7, 2004
Auction history: None
Notable siblings: None
Sire's race record: 2-1-1-0, $33,840, both races sprinting at 2
Sire's win percentage with juvenile firsters: 8-63 (13%)
Dam's race record: 6-2-1-0, $49,236, both wins routing at 2.
Dam's production record: 3 foals, 2 runners, 3 winners
Trainer's 5-year record with juvenile firsters (overall): 2-23 (9%), $1.90 ROI
Trainer's 5-year record with juvenile firsters without Lasix in statebred maiden special weight dirt sprint: 1-3 (33%), $2.27 ROI
Trainer's 5-year-record with juvenile firsters at Saratoga: 1-9 (11%), $0.76 ROI
Family facts: Dam half to Ewer All Wet (37-11-7-7, $435,882, multiple stakes-winner, 2-7 at 2). Second dam was stakes-winner (1-2 at 2, won debut). Family of Native Dancer.
Workout analysis: Several workouts match unraced 2yo filly Allude (Orientate - Ed's Holy Cow, by Bet Big).

7. Caught Red Handed (Officer - Shannonaire, by Phone Trick)
Foal date: May 6, 2004
Auction history: $32,000 yearling (Fasig-Tipton August 2005), $45,000 RNA juvenile (OBS February 2006), $55,000 juvenile (Barretts May 2006)
Notable siblings: None
Sire's race record: 9-6-1-1, $804,090, Grade 1 mile winner at 2, won debut.
Sire's win percentage with juvenile firsters: 7-19 (37%)
Dam's race record: 7-1-2-0, $27,380, won on grass at 2
Dam's production record: 4 foals, 3 runners, 2 winners, 2 juvenile runners, 1 juvenile winner, 1 juvenile debut winner
Trainer's 5-year record with juvenile firsters (overall): 12-37 (32%), $2.34 ROI
Trainer's 5-year record with juvenile firsters with Lasix in statebred maiden special weight dirt sprint: 3-11 (27%), $1.15 ROI
Trainer's 5-year-record with juvenile firsters at Saratoga: None
Family facts: Dam cost $57,000 as a weanling. Dam half to Northern Wolf (20-7-1-2, $461,107, multiple stakes-winner, 2-7 at 2). Second dam was stakes-winner.
Workout analysis: Worked 1 furlong in 10.40, and 2 furlongs in 22.20 prior to the February sale. Worked 2 furlongs in 21.60 prior to the May sale.

8. Dontdrinkthepunch (Two Punch - Holdyoursuspicions, by Hold Your Peace)
Foal date: April 9, 2004
Auction history: $39,000 RNA yearling (Fasig-Tipton October 2005)
Notable siblings: Instant Panic (72-15-4-9, $149,400, stakes-placed, 1-2 at 2)
Sire's race record: 8-4-0-1, $89,795, stakes-winning sprinter, 1-3 at 2, won debut
Sire's win percentage with juveniles: 167-1023 (16%)
Dam's race record: 5-0-0-0, $1,440, unraced at 2.
Dam's production record: 13 foals, 11 runners, 7 winners, 7 juvenile runners, 3 juvenile winners, 1 juvenile debut winner
Trainer's 5-year record with juveniles (overall): 16-152 (11%), $1.54 ROI
Trainer's 5-year record with second-out juveniles in statebred maiden special weight dirt sprint: 1-15 (7%), $0.87 ROI
Trainer's 5-year-record with juveniles at Saratoga: 1-12 (8%), $0.85 ROI
Family facts: Dam half to West Coast Native (Grade 1-placed), Shamrock Mcgroder (Grade 3-placed), and Leo Castelli (11-3-3-1, $274,497, Grade 2 router winner, 0-1 at 2). Dam full to Meadowlake (3-3-0-0, $308,580, Grade 1 sprint winner at 2).
Workout analysis: July 31 workout went .10 slower than barn's 3yo filly (81 Beyer top).

9. Icy City (Carson City - Icy Chris, by Dispersal)
Foal date: March 6, 2004
Auction history: None
Notable siblings: Ice Cool Kitty (4-2-1-0, $72,684, stakes-placed sprinter).
Sire race record: 15-6-2-0, $306,240, multiple Grade 2 winner, 2 wins at 2.
Sire win percentage with juveniles: 295-1398 (20%)
Dam race record: 10-2-0-1, $36,880, 2-6 at 2, both wins sprinting.
Dam production record: 2 foals, 2 runners, 1 winner, 1 juvenile runner
Trainer 5-year record with juveniles (overall): 0-2
Trainer 5-year record with juveniles on dirt adding Lasix in statebred maiden special weight dirt sprint: None
Trainer 5-year-record with juveniles at Saratoga: 0-1
Family facts: Dam cost $18,000 as a yearling. Dam a full sister to Cold Snap (13-4-2-0, $74,596, 2yo stakes-winner), and is a half sister to Plenty of Light (7-5-1-1, $510,420, Grade 1 winner, 2yo winner), and Rule Brittania (7-3-2-1, $158,771, multiple stakes-placed, 2 wins at 2). Second dam was multiple stakes-winner and 2yo winner.
Workout analysis: None

ANALYSIS:

Trainer Robert Bailes sent out Jimmy's Pride to win his juvenile debut at Saratoga in 2005, and he may have another live first-time starter in PRECIOUS TOO. The $100,000 purchase is by an excellent debut sire, and should show some speed in this spot. CAUGHT RED HANDED goes out for underrated first-out barn, and she is bred for speed on both sides of her pedigree. ICY CITY looks best of those with racing experience, but is stuck outside. DONTDRINKTHEPUNCH should improve off rail-skimming debut.

The Bet: Precious Too to Win (7-2 odds or more).

Race 7
6 Furlongs
Maiden Special Weight (New York Breds)
2-year-olds
Purse $47,000.

1. All in C. J. (Gone for Real - Final Style, by Smart Style)
Foal date: February 22, 2004
Auction history: None
Notable siblings: Uncle Camie (22-8-3-2, $321,442, Grade 3 sprint winner, unraced at 2).
Sire race record: 15-6-5-1, $173,230, Grade 3 turf winner, unraced at 2.
Sire win percentage with juveniles: 7-32 (22%)
Dam race record: Unraced
Dam production record: 4 foals, 4 runners, 3 winners, 1 juvenile runner.
Trainer 5-year record with juveniles (overall): 14-106 (13%), $1.52 ROI
Trainer 5-year record with second-time juveniles with Lasix (without blinkers) in statebred maiden special weight dirt sprint: 1-7 (14%), $0.90 ROI
Trainer 5-year-record with juveniles at Saratoga: 2-22 (9%), $0.45 ROI
Family facts: Fourth dam a full sister to Secretariat.
Workout analysis: None

2. Takmeoutodabalgame (Take Me Out - Vivaling, by Explodent)
Foal date: March 7, 2004
Auction history: None
Notable siblings: None
Sire race record: 32-8-12-4, $794,044, multiple Grade 3 winner, 1-5 at 2.
Sire win percentage with juvenile firsters: 15-123 (12%)
Dam race record: 18-3-2-3, $61,885, 1-2 at 2, won debut.
Dam production record: 6 foals, 5 runners, 4 winners, 4 juvenile runners, 3 juvenile winners.
Trainer 5-year record with juvenile firsters (overall): 6-31 (19%), $4.07 ROI
Trainer 5-year record with juvenile firsters with Lasix in statebred maiden special weight dirt sprint: 3-16 (19%), $3.69 ROI
Trainer 5-year-record with juvenile firsters at Saratoga: 2-8 (25%), $7.80 ROI
Family facts: Third dam a half to Ginevra (Group 1 winner on turf in England).
Workout analysis: Several works match unraced 3yo Phlippin Liar (Is It True - Stunt Girl, by Clever Trick).

3. Plunder an Pillage (Catienus - Santo Mio, by Southern Halo)
Foal date: March 26, 2004
Auction history: $20,000 RNA yearling (Fasig-Tipton October 2005)
Notable siblings: None
Sire race record: 22-5-5-2, $370,386, stakes-winner, 2-4 on turf in England at 2.
Sire win percentage with juveniles: 47-302 (16%)
Dam race record: 19-2-3-3, $94,020, both wins sprinting, 0-3 at 2.
Dam production record: 3 foals, 3 runners, 1 winner, 2 juvenile runners
Trainer 5-year record with juveniles (overall): 75-508 (15%), $1.41 ROI
Trainer 5-year record with juveniles on dirt with Lasix in statebred maiden special weight dirt sprint: 1-9 (11%), $1.20 ROI
Trainer 5-year-record with juveniles at Saratoga: 3-44 (7%), $0.84 ROI
Family facts: Dam sold for $40,000 as a yearling. Fourth dam was a Grade 2 winner at 2. Fifth dam was a stakes-winner. Sixth dam was a stakes-winner.
Workout analysis: None

4. Your Hour's Up (Freud - Gray Lady Type, by Zen)
Foal date: January 25, 2004
Auction history: $50,000 yearling (Fasig-Tipton August 2005), withdrawn juvenile (OBS April 2006)
Notable siblings: Capeside Lady (21-8-3-3, $809,540, multiple Grade 2 winner, 3-4 at 2, won debut)
Sire race record: 12-1-2-1, $44,016, Group 2-placed on turf in Ireland, 0-3 on turf at 2 in Europe.
Sire win percentage with juveniles: 13-79 (16%)
Dam race record: 19-2-2-4, $53,695, sprint stakes-winner at 2
Dam production record: 5 foals, 5 runners, 2 winners, 4 juvenile runners, 1 juvenile winner, 1 juvenile debut winner.
Trainer 5-year record with juveniles (overall): 274-1005 (27%), $1.84 ROI
Trainer 5-year record with second-time juveniles with Lasix in statebred maiden special weight dirt sprint: 4-19 (21%), $1.43 ROI
Trainer 5-year-record with juveniles at Saratoga: 49-186 (26%), $2.11 ROI
Family facts: Dam sold for $5,000 as a yearling. Dam a full sister to Magnetic Type (64-13-10-15, $370,737, multiple stakes-winner), and Unique Type (43-14-12-5, $456,736, multiple stakes-winner, 2yo debut winner). Dam a half to Electronic Type (110-14-19-18, $202,171, stakes-placed), and Liberada (40-7-6-2, $258,876, multiple stakes-winner, 1-6 at 2). Second dam was stakes-placed.
Workout analysis: August 6 work matches barn's 4yo Ramazutti (45 dirt Beyer, 99 on turf). July 24 work matches barn's 3yo filly Unobstructed View (77 Beyer top).

5. Restless Mind (Precise End - Re Re Be Be, by Sheikh Albadou)
Foal date: March 27, 2004
Auction history: None
Notable siblings: None
Sire race record: 9-4-1-4, $225,941, Grade 3 sprint winner, 3-7 at 2.
Sire win percentage with juvenile firsters: 13-53 (25%)
Dam race record: 9-1-0-0, $14,195, won sprinting at 2.
Dam production record: 3 foals, 2 runners, 2 winners, 1 juvenile runner, 1 juvenile winner.
Trainer 5-year record with juvenile firsters (overall): 0-26
Trainer 5-year record with juvenile firsters with Lasix in statebred maiden special weight dirt sprint: 0-13
Trainer 5-year-record with juvenile firsters at Saratoga: 0-9
Family facts: Dam a half to Space Above (85-12-18-16, $233,750, stakes-placed, 2-9 at 2), Nowhere Man (60-10-8-10, $183,588, multiple stakes-placed sprinter, 0-1 at 2), and Parlay (17-6-3-1, $237,400, Grade 2 winning sprinter, 2yo debut winner).
Workout analysis: None

6. City Dealer (City Zip - Call Your Dealer, by Far Out East)
Foal date: March 31, 2004
Auction history: $9,000 RNA yearling (Fasig-Tipton August 2005), $55,000 juvenile (Fasig-Tipton May 2006)
Notable siblings: None
Sire race record: 23-9-5-4, $818,225, Grade 1 sprint winner at 2.
Sire win percentage with juvenile firsters: 7-48 (15%)
Dam race record: 43-6-4-3, $107,100, 1-10 at 2.
Dam production record: 8 foals, 6 runners, 5 winners, 2 juvenile runners, 1 juvenile winner
Trainer 5-year record with juvenile firsters (overall): 2-23 (9%), $1.90 ROI
Trainer 5-year record with juvenile firsters on dirt without in statebred maiden special weight dirt sprint: 1-3 (33%), $2.27 ROI
Trainer 5-year-record with juvenile firsters at Saratoga: 1-9 (11%), $0.76 ROI
Family facts: Dam a half to Coco Cameo (20-1-2-1, $10,642, route stakes-placed, 0-5 at 2).
Workout analysis: Worked 2 furlongs in 22.60 prior to the May sale.

7. Lunatrick (Phone Trick - Artiste, by Norquestor)
Foal date: March 28, 2004
Auction history: $32,000 weanling (Keeneland November 2004), $37,000 RNA (Fasig-Tipton August 2005), $25,000 juvenile (OBS March 2006)
Notable siblings: Leedle Dee (17-3-4-1, $157,224, route stakes-winner at 2)
Sire race record: 10-9-1-0, $395,112, multiple Grade 2 sprint winner, unraced at 2.
Sire win percentage with juveniles: 245-1490 (16%)
Dam race record: 22-3-2-7, $28,761, all wins sprinting, 0-2 at 2.
Dam production record: 5 foals, 4 runners, 1 winner, 3 juvenile runners, 1 juvenile winner.
Trainer 5-year record with juveniles (overall): 4-63 (6%), $1.30 ROI
Trainer 5-year record with juveniles on dirt adding Lasix in statebred maiden special weight dirt sprint: 0-1
Trainer 5-year-record with juveniles at Saratoga: 0-2
Family facts: Dam sold for $7,000 as a weanling, and for $26,000 as a juvenile. Dam a half to Banner Hit (23-3-2-1, $166,815, multiple stakes-winner at 2), and Anacreontic (39-6-8-6, $146,990, stakes-winning sprinter at 2). Second dam was stakes-placed at 2.
Workout analysis: Worked 2 furlongs in 22.80 prior to the March sale.

8. Bad Boy Rising (Freud - Cool Ghoul, by Silver Ghost)
Foal date: April 4, 2004
Auction history: None
Notable siblings: None
Sire race record: 12-1-2-1, $44,016, Group 2-placed on turf in Ireland, 0-3 on turf at 2 in Europe.
Sire win percentage with juveniles: 13-79 (16%)
Dam race record: 10-1-1-0, $10,910, won sprinting in the mud, 0-2 at 2.
Dam production record: This is her first foal
Trainer 5-year record with juveniles (overall): 50-206 (24%), $1.98 ROI
Trainer 5-year record with second-time juveniles on dirt adding Lasix in statebred maiden special weight dirt sprint: 2-6 (33%), $1.17 ROI
Trainer 5-year-record with juveniles at Saratoga: 3-25 (12%), $1.00 ROI
Family facts: Dam sold for $145,000 as a yearling. Dam a half to Comeonmom (7-2-3-0, $230,350, Grade 2 route winner at 2). Second dam was a Grade 1 winner.
Workout analysis: July 31 work went .02 slower than barn's 4yo Wild Desert (105 Beyer top). July 17 work went .04 faster than barn's 2yo Pacific Sun (finished ninth in career debut on July 26 with 42 Beyer).

9. Tricky Tuck (Phone Trick - Tucky's Girl, by Mt. Livermore)
Foal date: May 6, 2004
Auction history: $40,000 yearling (Fasig-Tipton August 2005), entered yearling (Fasig-Tipton October 2005), withdrawn juvenile (OBS March 2006)
Notable siblings: None
Sire race record: 10-9-1-0, $395,112, multiple Grade 2 sprint winner, unraced at 2.
Sire win percentage with juveniles: 245-1490 (16%)
Dam race record: 11-2-2-0, $35,053, sprint stakes-winner at 2.
Dam production record: This is her first foal
Trainer 5-year record with juveniles (overall): 3-30 (10%), $2.10 ROI
Trainer 5-year record with second-time juveniles adding Lasix in statebred maiden special weight dirt sprint: None
Trainer 5-year-record with juveniles at Saratoga: 0-2
Family facts: Dam sold for $11,000 as a yearling. Dam half to Downtown Clown (64-21-14-12, $320,451, multiple stakes-winning sprinter). Second dam was a stakes-winner.
Workout analysis: None

10. Lorccan (Aptitude - Designer Phone, by Phone Trick)
Foal date: February 1, 2004
Auction history: out yearling (Keeneland September 2005), withdrawn yearling (Fasig-Tipton October 2005), $20,000 RNA juvenile (Fasig-Tipton May 2006)
Notable siblings: None
Sire race record: 15-5-4-2, $1,965,410, multiple Grade 1 route winner, 0-2 at 2.
Sire win percentage with juvenile firsters: 2-37 (5%)
Dam race record: 17-3-5-2, $139,265, 1-6 at 2.
Dam production record: This is her first foal.
Trainer 5-year record with juvenile firsters (overall): 0-7
Trainer 5-year record with juvenile firsters on dirt without Lasix in statebred maiden special weight dirt sprint: 0-4
Trainer 5-year-record with juvenile firsters at Saratoga: 0-1
Family facts: Dam sold for $140,000 as a yearling. Third dam was Grade 3 winner. Fourth dam was Group 3 winner in Europe at 2.
Workout analysis: Worked 1 furlong in 11.40 prior to the May sale. July 7 work matches barn's 3yo filly Princess Corrigan (finished 12th in 45K MCL on turf on July 20 with 18 Beyer - 39 Beyer on dirt).

Analysis:

RESTLESS MIND is by a high-percentage first-out sire out of a dam that won at two. Shows some solid works, and may offer value. CITY DEALER's sire is rock-solid with firsters, and the barn has been very hot. BAD BOY RISING raced greenly on dead rail after missing the break in debut. A must-use in multi-race wagers adding Lasix for Dutrow. YOUR HOUR'S UP almost overcame speed-favoring track in debut. It's Pletcher and Velazquez again. LUNATRICK adds Lasix, and can factor in the exotics at a price.

The Bet: Restless Mind to Win and Place (6-1 odds or more).