09/03/2007 12:00AM

Spa Babies for 9/3

Email

Welcome to Spa Babies! I'll break down the statistics for every juvenile maiden contest at the meet, and hopefully will end up with a tidy profit.

Monday is the last day of the meet, and it looks like we’ll show a profit for the second straight year. Thanks for reading!

Sunday’s results:
Race 2: Rollers finished first
Race 4: Moon de French finished first
Race 6: Irish Smoke finished first

Monday, September 2, 2007
Race 2
6 Furlongs
Maiden Special Weight (New York Breds)
2-year-old fillies
Purse $56,000

1. City of Lights (City Zip – Perfect Mount, by Claramount)
Trainer: Anthony Dutrow
- Foaled April 28
- $32,000 RNA juvenile (OBS April 2007)
- sire was a Grade 1 sprint winner at two (23-9-5-4, $818,225, 5-11 at two, 9-16 in dirt sprints, 1-1 in mud/slop)
- sire is 12-75 (16%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 5-36 (14%, $1.08 ROI) with debut runners in 2007
- dam was unraced
- this is dam’s first runner
- Claramount is 1-4 (25%, $2.25 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2007
- trainer is 21-129 (16%, $1.14 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 0-3 with debuting Spa Babies
- trainer is 3-37 (8%, $0.91 ROI) with debut runners in 2007
- worked one furlong in 10.80 prior to the April sale
- July 3 workout matches barn’s juvenile filly Sherine (finished third in career debut on July 11 with 47 Beyer; subsequently won maiden, and stakes-placed on turf with 77 Beyer)

2. Princess Marly (Outofthebox - Private Pouf, by Private Terms)
Trainer: Dominic Galluscio
- Foaled January 20
- $22,000 juvenile (OBS April 2007)
- half-sister to multiple stakes-placed Private Opening (60-8-14-11, $262,110, 0-5 at two, 8-44 in dirt sprints, 2-6 in mud/slop), and multiple route stakes-winner Successful Affair (33-8-9-6, $322,877, 0-1 at two, 0-3 in dirt sprints, 0-6 in mud/slop)
- sire was a Grade 1 route winner (16-5-4-1, $734,008, 2-5 at two, won debut, unraced in dirt sprints, 2-3 in mud/slop)
- sire is 6-55 (11%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 8-40 (20%, $3.27 ROI) with debut runners in 2007
- dam was a route winner (12-2-1-1, $28,025, 0-1 at two, 0-4 in dirt sprints, 1-2 in mud/slop)
- dam has six runners, six winners, five juvenile runners, one juvenile winners
- dam a half-sister to multiple stakes-winner Maryland Moon (40-7-5-10, $420,223, 0-4 at two, 1-5 in dirt sprints, 0-1 in mud/slop), multiple stakes-winner Full Brush (61-9-14-12, $412,082, 0-3 at two, 0-4 in dirt sprints, 1-2 in mud/slop), multiple stakes-winner Certantee (28-7-6-3, $279,880, unraced at two, 0-2 in dirt sprints, 0-2 in mud/slop), stakes-winner Media Access (24-4-3-8, $211,372, unraced at two, 1-3 in dirt sprints), and Grade 3 winner Foufa’s Warrior (34-4-4-11, $528,630, 2-2 at two, 0-1 in dirt sprints, 0-1 in mud/slop)
- Private Terms is 2-32 (6%, $2.46 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2007
- trainer is 3-63 (5%, $0.86 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 3-23 (13%, $2.36 ROI) with debuting Spa Babies
- trainer is 2-16 (13%, $2.72 ROI) with debut runners in 2007
- worked a quarter-mile in 23 flat prior to the April sale

3. Winning Punch (Two Punch – Intend to Win, by Housebuster)
Trainer: John Kimmel
- Foaled February 14
- $60,000 yearling (Fasig-Tipton Preferred August 2006)
- $145,000 juvenile (OBS February 2007)
- half-sister to Grade 2 sprint winner Josh’s Madelyn (27-8-6-2, $480,309, 0-5 at two, 7-20 in dirt sprints, 1-5 in mud/slop)
- sire was a stakes-winning sprinter (8-4-0-1, $89,795, 1-3 at two, all races in dirt sprints, 0-2 in mud/slop)
- sire is 175-1083 (16%) with juvenile runners
- dam was a stakes-placed router (14-4-2-1, $79,869, unraced at two, 4-11 in dirt sprints, 1-1 in mud/slop, cost $60,000 as a yearling)
- dam has four runners, three winners, three juvenile runners, no juvenile winners
- dam is a half-sister to Grade 3 winner Gone for Real (15-6-5-1, $173,230, unraced at two, 0-2 in dirt sprints, 1-1 in mud/slop), and juvenile stakes-winning sprinter Crafty Buzz (5-2-0-0, $40,700, all races at two, 2-4 in dirt sprints)
- trainer is 9-66 (14%, $1.13 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles
- trainer is 2-12 (17%, $2.07 ROI) with second-time Spa Babies
- worked one furlong in 10.40 prior to the February sale

4. Golden Vista (Gold Token - Vistula, by Posen)
Trainer: Thomas Bush
- Foaled April 26
- sire was a multiple stakes-winner (26-7-6-2, $320,368, unraced at two, 5-18 in dirt sprints, 2-8 in mud/slop)
- sire is 6-51 (12%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 1-12 (8%, $0.41 ROI) with debut runners in 2007
- dam was 0-4 on turf in England (unraced at two, unraced in dirt sprints)
- dam has six runners, four winners, two juveniles, no juvenile winners
- dam a half-sister to turf stakes-winner Golden Tajniak (17-3-4-6, $139,444, 2-10 at two, unraced in dirt sprints), multiple stakes-winner Kilshannig (in India), and multiple stakes-winner Master of the Rolls (in India)
- trainer is 6-52 (12%, $2.22 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 2-15 (13%, $3.45 ROI) with debuting Spa Babies
- trainer is 4-20 (20%, $1.57 ROI) with debut runners in 2007
- August 13 workout matches barn’s three-year-old filly Intrique (finished sixth in career debut on August 26 with 43 Beyer)
- August 26 workout matches barn’s juvenile Another Gulch (49 Beyer)

5. Jovanna (Minardi - Witchkin, by Salem)
Trainer: Richard Dutrow Jr.
- Foaled February 12
- withdrawn juvenile (Fasig-Tipton May 2007)
- half-sister to stakes-placed router Eddie White Sox (45-7-6-3, $148,160, 0-5 at two, 1-8 in dirt sprints, 1-8 in mud/slop), and juvenile stakes-placed sprinter Bella Dorato (14-1-7-3, $103,420, 0-6 at two, 1-13 in dirt sprints, 0-4 in mud/slop)
- sire was a multiple Group 1 winner on turf in Europe at two (8-2-1-1, $291,017, unraced in dirt sprints)
- sire is 2-29 (7%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 3-15 (20%, $3.74 ROI) with debut runners in 2007
- dam was a sprint winner (6-1-1-1, $5,232, 0-3 at two, 1-5 in dirt sprints, 0-1 in mud/slop)
- dam has seven runners, seven winners, four juvenile runners, one juvenile winner
- dam a half-sister to multiple stakes-placed Sir Wexford (33-6-7-5, $115,878, unraced at two, 2-10 in dirt sprints, 1-3 in mud/slop)
- trainer is 22-92 (24%, $2.66 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 4-17 (24%, $1.94 ROI) with debuting Spa Babies
- trainer is 14-32 (44%, $4.05 ROI) with debut runners in 2007
- August 9 workout matches barn’s juvenile Friendslikethese (finished first in 50K maiden claimer on August 31 with 55 Beyer)

6. Upper Level (Hook and Ladder – Tammany Hall, by Clever Trick)
Trainer: Gary Contessa
- Foaled April 5
- $5,500 yearling (OBS August 2006)
- half-sister to stakes-winner No Reason (17-6-2-0, $318,456, 1-3 at two, 3-7 in dirt sprints, 2-2 in mud/slop)
- first-crop sire was a Grade 2 sprint winner (19-6-2-3, $388,120, 1-1 at two, 6-18 in dirt sprints)
- sire is 6-26 (23%) with juvenile runners
- dam was a sprint winner (24-2-1-4, $14,893, unraced at two, 2-22 in dirt sprints, 0-7 in mud/slop)
- dam has three runners, two winners, three juvenile runners, two juvenile winners
- second dam is multiple stakes-winner Tammi’s Pal (25-5-6-1, $110,206, 1-3 at two, 4-19 in dirt sprints, 2-5 in mud/slop)
- trainer is 16-127 (13%, $1.25 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles
- trainer is 2-28 (7%, $0.88 ROI) with second-time Spa Babies

7. Fairy Godmother (Victory Gallop – Bewitchingly, by Alydeed)
Trainer: Carlos Martin
- Foaled February 14
- sire was a multiple Grade 1 route winner (17-9-5-1, $3,505,895, 3-5 at two, 2-3 in dirt sprints, 0-1 in mud/slop)
- sire is 51-394 (13%) with juvenile runners
- Victory Gallop – Alydeed ‘nick’ produced juvenile route stakes-winner Speedy Deedy (13-3-0-1, $91,674, 2-3 at two, 0-1 in dirt sprints)
- dam was unraced (cost $85,000 as a yearling)
- dam has three runners, two winners, two juvenile runners, no juvenile winners
- dam a half-sister to juvenile stakes-winner Arctic Enchantress (21-3-3-2, $48,715, 2-7 at two, 1-6 in dirt sprints, 1-2 in mud/slop), and multiple stakes-winner Thetruthisoutthere (27-5-3-5, $174,798, unraced at two, 4-11 in dirt sprints, 0-1 in mud/slop)
- trainer is 2-23 (9%, $0.84 ROI) over the past five years with juveniles getting blinkers for the first time
- trainer is 0-2 with that angle with Spa Babies

8. Reversible Error (Western Expression - Margin for Error, by Dixie Brass)
Trainer: Karl Grusmark
- Foaled April 18
- sire was a Grade 1-placed sprinter (16-3-2-3, $140,114, unraced at two, 3-10 in dirt sprints)
- sire is 21-202 (10%) with juvenile runners
- dam was placed sprinting (16-0-2-1, $14,210, 0-2 at two, 0-14 in dirt sprints)
- dam has two runners, one winner, two juvenile runners, no juvenile winners
- dam a full sister to stakes-placed sprinter Clear Margins (35-3-4-5, $116,487, 1-8 at two, 3-27 in dirt sprints, 0-1 in mud/slop)
- trainer is 2-18 (11%, $0.78 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles
- trainer is 0-1 with second-time Spa Babies

9. Supporter (Hook and Ladder – Loyal American, by Quiet American)
Trainer: Ramon Hernandez
- Foaled April 11
- first-crop sire was a Grade 2 sprint winner (19-6-2-3, $388,120, 1-1 at two, 6-18 in dirt sprints)
- sire is 6-18 (33%, $4.47 ROI) with juvenile debut runners
- dam was a route winner (31-3-5-3, $77,500, 0-4 at two, 0-7 in dirt sprints, 2-15 in mud/slop)
- this is dam’s first runner
- second dam is stakes-placed sprinter Obligated Sue (37-4-8-10, $158,810, unraced at two, 4-34 in dirt sprints, 0-3 in mud/slop)
- Quiet American is 2-38 (5%, $0.36 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2007
- trainer is 6-38 (16%, $3.03 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 3-13 (23%, $5.09 ROI) with debuting Spa Babies
- trainer is 1-9 (11%, $2.29 ROI) with debut runners in 2007
- August 6 workout went .01 slower than barn’s juvenile filly Slipstone (finished first in career debut on August 10 with 46 Beyer)
- August 15 workout went .02 faster than barn’s juvenile filly Madam Commander (finished second in maiden special weight on August 22 with 48 Beyer)

Analysis:
JOVANNA was entered in the Jena Jena Stakes as a first-time starter before trainer Dutrow decided that discretion was the better part of valor. She shows a solid gate work on August 9, and followed that one up with a bullet on August 23, and Dutrow’s stats with firsters is otherworldly.
WINNING PUNCH was pocketed down on a deep and tiring rail when well-bet for career debut, then raced greenly when switched out for the stretch drive. She should benefit from that experience, and trainer John Kimmel has sent out live babies at this meet. FAIRY GODMOTHER adds blinkers for the second start of the form cycle after finishing four lengths behind Winning Punch. Expect better early speed this time around.
CITY OF LIGHTS and SUPPORTER both boast speedy pedigrees, and will debut for good first-out connections. UPPER LEVEL took all the money for her career debut, then lost all chance when missing the break. She rallied nicely in the lane, and shouldn’t be ignored.

Selections:
1. Jovanna
2. Winning Punch
3. Fairy Godmother

The play: Jovanna to win at 7-2 odds or more

***

Race 5
1 1/16 Miles (Turf)
Maiden Special Weight
2-year-olds
Purse $63,000

1. Big Brown (Boundary - Mien, by Nureyev)
Trainer: Patrick Reynolds
- Foaled April 10 in Kentucky
- withdrawn yearling (Keeneland September 2006
- $60,000 yearling (Fasig-Tipton October 2006)
- $190,000 juvenile (Keeneland April 2007)
- sire was a Grade 3 sprint winner (8-6-1-1, $217,777, unraced at two, unraced on turf)
- sire is 32-129 (25%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 23-162 (14%) with first-turf runners
- sire is 4-18 (22%, $2.41 ROI) with debut runners in 2007
- dam was a turf winner (2-1-0-0, $14,250, unraced at two, 1-1 on turf)
- dam has one runner, one winner, no juvenile runners, one turf runner, no turf winners
- second dam is British juvenile stakes-placed turfer Miasma (19-2-4-1, $58,534, 1-6 at two, 2-17 on turf)
- Nureyev is 4-25 (16%, $1.40 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2007
- trainer is 0-1 over the past five years with debuting juveniles on turf
- worked a quarter-mile in 21.20 prior to the April sale

2. Globalization (Touch Gold – In the Limelight, by Polish Navy)
Trainer: Richard Violette Jr.
- Foaled April 9 in Kentucky
- $120,000 yearling (Keeneland September 2006)
- $250,000 juvenile (OBS March 2007)
- half-brother to multiple Grade 1 winner (Puerto Rico) Minister Margaret (65-34-11-10, $508,009, unraced at two, unraced on turf), and multiple stakes-winner Cash On the Run (31-9-5-2, $180,558, 5-6 at two, unraced on turf, 0-5 in mud/slop)
- sire was a multiple Grade 1 route winner (15-6-3-1, $1,679,907, 1-4 at two, unraced on turf)
- sire is 63-447 (14%) with juvenile runners
- sire is 14-155 (9%) with first-turf runners
- dam was unraced (sold for $155,000 as a weanling)
- dam has eight runners, six winners, five juvenile runners, two juvenile winners, two turf runners, no turf winners
- second dam is stakes-placed router After the Show (12-2-2-0, $46,270, 1-6 at two, 0-2 on turf, 1-2 in mud/slop)
- female family of Grade 1 winner Devil’s Orchid, and Grade 3 winner Double Sixes
- trainer is 2-22 (9%, $1.65 ROI) over the past five years with juveniles trying turf for the first time
- trainer is 0-8 with that angle with Spa Babies
- worked one furlong in 10.40, and another furlong in 10.20 prior to the February sale

3. Incalzando (Giant’s Causeway – It’s Our Time, by Seeking the Gold)
Trainer: Sal Russo
- Foaled March 7 in Kentucky
- $225,000 yearling (Keeneland September 2006)
- withdrawn juvenile (Keeneland April 2007)
- sire was a multiple Group 1 winner on turf in Europe (13-9-4-0, $3,078,989, 3-3 at two, 9-12 on turf)
- sire is 26-184 (14%) with juvenile runners
- sire is 111-598 (19%) with turf runners
- Giant’s Causeway – Seeking the Gold ‘nick’ has produced stakes-winner Scholastic Giant (10-3-1-2, $114,120, 1-3 at two, 1-5 on turf), and Grade 1-placed Carriage Trail (7-3-0-2, $139,181, 1-1 at two, 1-4 on turf)
- dam was a sprint winner at two (3-1-0-0, $31,225, 1-1 at two, unraced on turf, 0-1 on mud/slop, cost $735,000 as a yearling)
- this is dam’s first runner
- dam a half-sister to Group 2-placed juvenile turfer Leo’s Luckyman (22-4-2-4, $119,451, 1-4 at two, 4-16 on turf), Group 2 juvenile turf winner Gaudeamus (11-3-0-1, 3-7 at two, all races on turf), and stakes-placed router Leo’s Pegasus (17-3-6-5, $175,572, unraced at two, 0-1 on turf)
- trainer is 2-17 (12%, $0.81 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles
- trainer is 0-2 with second-time Spa Babies

4. Hidden Glance (Kingmambo – Casual Look, by Red Ransom)
Trainer: Neil Howard
- Foaled April 10 in Kentucky
- out yearling (Keeneland September 2006)
- sire was a multiple Group 1 winner on turf in Europe (13-5-4-2, $733,139, 1-7 at two, all races on turf)
- sire is 33-238 (14%) with juvenile runners
- sire is 156-1148 (14%) with turf runners
- dam was a Group 1 winner in England (12-2-2-3, $602,657, 1-5 at two, all races on turf)
- this is dam’s first runner
- dam a full sister to French stakes-winning turfer Shabby Chic (7-2-1-1, $113,150, unraced at two, all races on turf), Grade 2-placed router American Style (37-5-7-2, $282,233, 1-3 at two, 0-1 on turf, 0-3 on mud/slop), and French stakes-placed turfer Saville Row (12-2-1-1, $44,777, 2-4 at two, all races on turf)
- trainer is 7-44 (16%, $1.08 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles
- trainer is 0-4 with second-time Spa Babies

5. Doctor Cal (Distorted Humor – Fancy Clancy, by Rahy)
Trainer: William Mott
Foaled January 30 in Kentucky
- sire was a multiple Grade 2 sprint winner (23-8-5-3, $769,964, unraced at two, unraced on turf, 0-2 in mud/slop)
- sire is 101-527 (19%) with juvenile runners
- sire is 11-155 (7%) with first-turf runners
- dam was a turf winner (9-3-1-0, $67,210, unraced at two, all races on turf)
- dam has three runners, one winner, two juvenile runners, no juvenile winners, two turf runners, one turf winner
- dam is a half-sister to French turf stakes-winner Fabuleux Dancer (5-1-2-0, $21,895), French Group-3 placed turfer Danseur Fabuleux (13-0-4-3, $25,353, dam of multiple Grade/Group 1 juvenile winner Arazi and Group 1 turf winner Noverre), Grade 3 winner Doubles Partner (12-6-1-0, $180,629, 1-2 at two, 2-4 on turf, first-turf winner, 1-2 in mud/slop), French stakes-placed juvenile turfer Sakura Patrick (10-2-1-1, $35,091), and Grade 1 turf winner Joyeux Danseur (14-8-0-1, $645,228, unraced at two, 8-13 on turf)
- trainer is 6-20 (30%, $3.27 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles switching to turf
- trainer is 1-7 (14%, $0.96 ROI) with second-time Spa Babies switching to turf
- August 26 workout went .01 slower than barn’s three-year-old filly Ruban Bleu (89 turf Beyer)

6. Wotan (Dynaformer - Rhineland, by Mr. Prospector)
Trainer: Claude McGaughey III
- Foaled February 23 in Kentucky
- half-brother to stakes-placed Cologne (21-2-4-3, $121,305, unraced at two, 2-17 on turf, first-turf winner, 0-2 in mud/slop)
- sire was a multiple Grade 2 winner (30-7-5-2, $671,207, 1-5 at two, 2-7 on turf, 1-3 in mud/slop)
- sire is 33-311(11%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 83-553 (15%) with first-turf runners
- sire is 2-31 (6%, $1.87 ROI) with debut runners in 2007
- Dynaformer - Mr. Prospector ‘nick’ has produced Grade 2 turf winner Masseuse (12-5-2-2, $434,312, 0-3 at two, 5-10 on turf), Grade 1 turf winner Film Maker (27-8-8-7, $2,203,730, 0-1 at two, 8-26 on turf)
- dam was unraced
- dam has three runners, three winners, one juvenile runner, no juvenile winners, two turf runners, two turf winners, one first-turf winner
- dam a half-sister to juvenile Grade 2 route winner Saarland (21-5-5-1, $595,250, 2-5 at two, 0-1 on turf, 1-5 in mud/slop)
- Mr. Prospector is 4-55 (7%, $0.64 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2007
- trainer is 1-10 (10%, $1.14 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners on turf
- trainer is 1-5 (20%, $2.28 ROI) with debuting Spa Babies on turf
- August 3, August 13 workouts match barn’s juvenile Cosmic (finished third in career debut on turf on August 19 with 68 Beyer)

7. Why Can’t I (Crafty Friend - Ivory Perfection, by Sir Ivor)
Trainer: Timothy Ritvo
- Foaled April 22 in Kentucky
- $2,000 short yearling (Keeneland January 2006)
- $12,500 yearling (OBS August 2006)
- out yearling (Keeneland September 2006)
- withdrawn juvenile (OBS April 2007)
- sire was a multiple Grade 2 winner (35-8-10-5, $967,700, 1-5 at two, 0-1 on turf, 1-4 in mud/slop)
- sire is 12-94 (13%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 5-69 (7%) with first-turf runners
- sire is 2-21 (10%, $1.24 ROI) with debut runners in 2007
- dam was a turf winner (11-1-1-2, $23,580, 0-1 at two, 1-8 on turf, 0-1 in mud/slop, cost $30,000 as a yearling)
- dam has seven runners, six winners, three juvenile runners, no juvenile winners, six turf runners, one turf winner
- second dam is Grade 2-placed juvenile Bequa (5-2-0-1, $21,599)
- Sir Ivor is 1-12 (8%, $0.63 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2007
- trainer is 0-6 over the past five years with juvenile debut runners on turf
- trainer is 0-1 with debuting Spa Babies on turf
- trainer is 2-25 (8%, $0.62 ROI) with debut runners in 2007

8. Valadour (Volponi – Thinkinaboutyou, by Wild Again)
Trainer: Jamie Sanders
Foaled January 31 in Kentucky
- $5,000 short yearling (Fasig-Tipton February 2006)
- withdrawn juvenile (Fasig-Tipton April 2007)
- half-brother to multiple stakes-placed Doc Davis (22-4-4-2, $52,644, 3-6 at two, 0-2 on turf, 0-2 in mud/slop), multiple stakes-winner Lost Again (75-14-16-13, $152,432, 2-4 at two, 0-1 on turf, 0-3 in mud/slop), and juvenile route stakes-winner Wildaboutyouagain (8-2-1-2, $44,000, 2-6 at two, unraced on turf, 1-2 in mud/slop)
- first-crop sire was a Grade 1 route winner (31-7-12-5, $3,187,232, 1-5 at two, 2-10 on turf, 0-1 on mud/slop)- sire is 4-36 (11%) with juvenile runners
- sire is 2-3 (67%) with first-turf runners
- dam was unplaced (2-0-0-0, $1,163, 0-2 at two, unraced on turf, 0-1 on mud/slop, cost $46,000 as a yearling)
- dam has seven runners, five winners, five juvenile runners, three juvenile winners, three turf runners, no turf winners
- dam a full sister to multiple stakes-placed Malagot (50-7-9-9, $138,514, 1-5 at two, unraced on turf, 1-6 on mud/slop)
- trainer is 1-16 (6%, $5.94 ROI) over the past five years with juveniles trying turf for the first time
- trainer is 1-6 (17%, $15.83 ROI) with Spa Babies trying turf for the first time

9. Motor Patrol (Cherokee Run - Hansel’s Girl, by Hansel)
Trainer: Roger Horgan
- Foaled May 7 in New York
- $150,000 yearling (Keeneland September 2006)
- half-brother to stakes-placed router Chestertown Slew (15-4-1-1, $138,966, unraced at two, 4-11 on turf, first-turf winner, 0-1 in mud/slop)
- sire was a Grade 1 sprint winner (28-13-5-5, $1,521,818, 5-7 at two, unraced on turf, 4-6 in mud/slop)
- sire is 154-962 (16%) with juvenile runners
- sire is 22-201 (11%) with first-turf runners
- dam was a Grade 2-placed router (29-5-4-6, $237,980, 1-6 at two, 0-1 on turf, 0-2 in mud/slop, cost $80,000 as a yearling)
- dam has two runners, one winner, one juvenile runner, no juvenile winners, one turf runner, one turf winner, one first-turf winner
- dam a full sister to multiple Grade 2 route winner Guided Tour (30-12-8-1, $1,964,253, 0-1 at two, 1-6 on turf, 1-2 in mud/slop)
- dam a half sister to Grade 3-placed router Open Sesame (26-8-4-5, $346,178, unraced at two, unraced on turf, 1-2 in mud/slop), and turf stakes-winner Primetimevalentine (18-3-2-2, $138,589, unraced at two, 3-15 on turf, first-turf winner)
- trainer is 0-1 over the past five years with all second-time starters trying turf for the first time

10. Trust N Dustan (Trust N Luck - Lorraine, by Western Playboy)
Trainer: Stanley Hough
- Foaled April 8 in Kentucky
- first-crop sire was a Grade 1 route winner (12-5-3-1, $727,484, 4-8 at two, unraced on turf, 1-1 in mud/slop)
- sire is 4-33 (12%) with juvenile runners
- this is sire’s only turf runner
- dam was stakes-placed (29-5-6-6, $180,990, 0-2 at two, 0-1 on turf, 0-7 in mud/slop)
- this is dam’s first runner
- trainer is 10-60 (17%, $1.34 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles
- trainer is 1-9 (11%, $0.61 ROI) with second-time Spa Babies

11. Born to Glory (Honour and Glory - Miss Glitter, by Glitterman)
Trainer: Olan Scheff
- Foaled April 20 in Kentucky
- $9,000 RNA yearling (Fasig-Tipton October 2006)
- sire was a Grade 1 route winner (17-6-5-2, $1,202,942, 2-4 at two, unraced on turf, 0-1 in mud/slop)
- sire is 33-254 (13%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 21-206 (10%) with first-turf runners
- sire is 7-52 (13%, $4.67 ROI) with debut runners this year
- dam was unraced
- this is dam’s first runner
- second dam a sprint-winning half-sister to stakes-placed Beholdtheprincess (20-7-2-3, $132,105, unraced at two, 2-5 on turf, 1-4 in mud/slop), and juvenile stakes-placed Improviser (30-3-9-2, $89,009, 0-5 at two, 2-6 on turf, 0-2 in mud/slop)
- Glitterman is 1-23 (4%, $0.23 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2007
- trainer is 0-4 over the past five years with all runners

Analysis:
DOCTOR CAL’s dam won on the lawn, and she has already foaled a turf winner. The female family is chock-full of powerhouse grass influences, and trainer Bill Mott specializes in turf runners. Doctor Cal was no match for impressive debut winner Sargent Seattle here on Opening Day, but came back with an excellent workout on August 26, and looms an interesting contender from stalking range.
HIDDEN GLANCE had trouble going into the first turn, then found himself far behind a glacial pace in career debut. He ran greenly in the stretch, but should come on from that effort, and you can’t knock that sexy turf pedigree. WOTAN also has strong turf bloodlines, and he whistled a half-mile over the turf with stablemate Cosmic on August 13 (that one came back to run a decent third in his career debut on grass). Shug usually gives them a race, however.
TRUST N DUSTAN comes out of the faster division of turf maiden special weights on August 6, but is stuck with an outside post position. GLOBALIZATION showed speed in both main track tries, and the two sprints to a route move is effective in maiden races. Expect Garrett Gomez to have him on the engine going into the first turn.

Selections:
1. Doctor Cal
2. Hidden Glance
3. Wotan

The play: Doctor Cal to win at 7-2 odds or more

***

Race 9
7 Furlongs
Hopeful Stakes (Grade 1)
2-year-olds
Purse $250,000

Analysis:
MAJESTIC WARRIOR doesn’t have the speed figure that both MAIMONIDES and READY’S IMAGE own, but the beautifully-bred son of A.P. Indy and Grade 1 winner Dream Supreme was a very professional winner of his debut, and seems like an up-and-comer. He stalked the pace behind the leaders going into the turn before angling out in the lane, and he kicked it into gear when asked for run in midstretch. He may work out a similar trip in this spot, and will offer some wagering value.
READY’S IMAGE earned a huge 104 Beyer in the Sanford, but outside paths ruled the day on July 26, and he stalked the pace while in the clear after breaking from post position nine. He’s obviously the one to beat, but tries seven furlongs for the first time, and will be bet hard. MAIMONIDES whistled in his career debut, and made his $4.6M yearling price look like a bargain in the process. The track was favoring speed that day, and Maimonides may face early pressure from Ready’s Image. GEORGETOWN rallied from off the pace to win a five-furlong sprint here, and should appreciate the expected hot pace up front.

Selections:
1. Majestic Warrior
2. Ready’s Image
3. Maimonides

The play: Majestic Warrior to win at 4-1 or more

Meet record based on starts, wins, top pick (after scratches) in the money, and profit/loss of that day's play ($2 wager): 68-18-33 (+$21.50)