09/02/2007 12:00AM

Spa Babies for 9/2

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Welcome to Spa Babies! I'll break down the statistics for every juvenile maiden contest at the meet, and hopefully will end up with a tidy profit.

Saturday’s results:
Race 2: Honour Above Self scratched; second choice Saada finished first
Race 4: Truth Rules scratched; second choice Tizbig finished seventh
Race 6: All three selections scratched

Sunday, September 2, 2007
Race 2
6 Furlongs
Maiden Special Weight (New York Breds)
2-year-olds
Purse $56,000

1. Judge William (Judge T C - Pretty Quick, by Crafty Prospector)
Trainer: Seth Gregory
- Foaled April 8
- $3,200 yearling (Fasig-Tipton Open August 2006)
- sire was a Grade 2 winner (28-11-6-0, $826,826, 3-6 at two, 4-9 in dirt sprints, 0-2 in mud/slop)
- sire is 12-187 (6%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 2-39 (5%, $0.87 ROI) with debut runners in 2007
- dam was a sprint winner (5-1-2-0, $14,340, unraced at two, 1-4 in dirt sprints, cost $17,000 as a weanling, and $47,000 as a yearling)
- dam has eight runners, eight winners, six juvenile runners, two juvenile winners
- second dam a placed half-sister to stakes-winner Whenyou’resmiling (19-5-6-3, $96,190)
- Crafty Prospector is 9-61 (15%, $4.09 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2007

2. Missinglisalewis (Stormin Fever - Pleasant Ghost, by Pleasant Colony)
Trainer: Michael Hushion
- Foaled April 14
- $27,000 RNA weanling (Keeneland November 2005)
- $25,000 yearling (Fasig-Tipton Preferred August 2006)
- sire was a Grade 3 winner (21-8-6-2, $484,664, 1-2 at two, 6-12 in dirt sprints, 3-7 in mud/slop)
- sire is 18-163 (11%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 5-46 (11%, $2.17 ROI) with debut runners in 2007
- Stormin Fever - Pleasant Colony ‘nick’ has produced sprint stakes-winner Dorm Fever (6-4-0-0, $145,316, 1-1 at two, 2-4 in dirt sprints)
- dam was placed routing (8-0-3-0, $31,350, 0-2 at two, 0-2 in dirt sprints, 0-1 in mud/slop, cost $295,000 as a yearling)
- this is dam’s first runner
- second dam is stakes-placed Lyrical Ghost (17-4-3-2, $128,752, 1-2 at two, won debut, 2-10 in dirt sprints, 0-1 in mud/slop)
- female family of Grade 2 winner Tap Dance, etc.
- Pleasant Colony is 4-47 (9%, $2.34 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2007
- trainer is 6-33 (18%, $2.80 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 1-9 (11%, $1.11 ROI) with debuting Spa Babies
- trainer is 3-19 (16%, $1.95 ROI) with debut runners in 2007
- July 30 workout went .04 faster than barn’s three-year-old Storm of Thunder (finished fourth in 65K maiden claiming career debut on August 31 with 63 Beyer)
- August 9 workout went .01 slower than barn’s juvenile Ten Bagger (finished eighth in career debut on August 29 with 17 Beyer)
- August 16, August 23 workouts match Storm of Thunder

3. Norlou (Doneraile Court - Coney Island Girl, by Polish Numbers)
Trainer: Christophe Clement
- Foaled February 18
- entered yearling (Fasig-Tipton Preferred August 2006)
- sire was a Grade 2 winner (16-6-3-2, $361,410, 2-5 at two, 1-4 in dirt sprints, 1-2 in mud/slop)
- sire is 16-147 (11%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 5-42 (12%, $1.30 ROI) with debut runners in 2007
- dam was a sprint winner (11-3-1-0, $41,830, 1-6 at two, 3-10 in dirt sprints, 1-1 in mud/slop, cost $160,000 as a yearling)
- dam has one runner, no winners, no juvenile runners
- dam a half-sister to stakes-winner French Hideaway (14-3-2-1, $118,879, unraced at two, 1-4 in dirt sprints, 1-6 in mud/slop), and stakes-placed router Parisparis (11-3-2-2, $97,420, unraced at two, 3-9 in dirt sprints)
- Polish Numbers is 5-42 (12%, $2.81 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2007
- trainer is 11-83 (13%, $1.51 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 1-6 (17%, $0.83 ROI) with debuting Spa Babies
- trainer is 2-28 (7%, $0.22 ROI) with debut runners in 2007

4. Wishful Tomcat (Tactical Cat – Holy Wish, by Lord At War)
Trainer: Gary Contessa
- Foaled March 10
- entered yearling (Fasig-Tipton July 2006)
- $47,000 RNA yearling (Fasig-Tipton Preferred August 2006)
- withdrawn juvenile (OBS February 2007)
- sire was a Grade 1 winner at two (12-4-3-2, $480,067, 3-9 at two, 3-8 in dirt sprints, 1-3 in mud/slop)
- sire is 48-381 (13%) with juvenile runners
- dam was a sprint winner at two (3-1-1-1, $22,830, all races sprinting at two)
- dam has six runners, four winners, three juvenile runners, no juvenile winners
- second dam is a sprint-winning half-sister to juvenile Grade 1 sprint winner Papal Power (11-3-3-2, $274,390, 2-6 at two, 3-6 in dirt sprints, 1-1 in mud/slop)
- trainer is 16-127 (13%, $1.25 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles
- trainer is 2-28 (7%, $0.88 ROI) with second-time Spa Babies

5. Good Law (Good and Tough – Above Reproach, by Crafty Prospector)
Trainer: Richard Dutrow Jr.
- Foaled March 7
- entered yearling (Fasig-Tipton October 2006)
- half-brother to stakes-placed Regal Reproach (43-5-9-9, $150,266, unraced at two, 1-2 in dirt sprints, 0-8 in mud/slop)
- sire was a Grade 2 sprint winner (23-9-5-2, $809,341, unraced at two, 9-21 in dirt sprints, 1-1 in mud/slop)
- sire is 11-75 (15%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 2-29 (7%, $0.28 ROI) with debut runners in 2007
- dam was a sprint winner (11-1-0-1, $27,461, unraced at two, 1-8 in dirt sprints, 1-4 in mud/slop)
- dam has seven runners, six winners, four juvenile runners, four juvenile winners, two juvenile debut winners
- dam a half-sister to stakes-placed Decora (17-4-5-5, $147,450, unraced at two, 1-3 in dirt sprints)
- Crafty Prospector is 9-61 (15%, $4.09 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2007
- trainer is 22-92 (24%, $2.66 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 4-17 (24%, $1.94 ROI) with debuting Spa Babies
- trainer is 14-32 (44%, $4.05 ROI) with debut runners this year
- June 15, June 27 workouts match barn’s three-year-old Zip to the City (finished second in turf ‘n1x’ allowance on August 11 with 74 Beyer; 62 dirt Beyer)
- July 10, July 22 workouts match barn’s juvenile filly Nightime Appeal (finished eighth in 100K maiden claiming career debut on August 30 with 25 Beyer)
- August 25 workout matches barn’s juvenile Dazzling Derek (68 Beyer)

6. Alexandros (Mayakovsky – Aristie, by Loustrous Bid
Trainer: Del Carroll II
- Foaled April 4, 2005
- half-brother to juvenile stakes-placed Stellianos (74-11-11-14, $413,251, 1-7 at two, 2-16 in dirt sprints, 0-16 in mud/slop), multiple stakes-placed Levendis (72-8-7-10, $338,670, 0-5 at two, 0-10 in dirt sprints, 2-14 in mud/slop), and stakes-placed Thanasi (47-3-4-5, $186,809, unraced at two, 0-6 in dirt sprints, 0-8 in mud/slop)
- first-crop sire was a Grade 3 route winner (9-3-1-0, $275,200, 1-2 at two, 1-4 in dirt sprints)
- sire is 1-10 (10%) with juvenile runners
- dam was a multiple stakes-winner at two (6-3-0-0, $116,250, all races at two, 2-5 in dirt sprints, 1-1 in mud/slop, cost $6,000 as a juvenile)
- dam has six runners, five winners, five juvenile runners, two juvenile winners
- second dam an unraced half-sister to juvenile stakes-winning sprinter Consuming Passion (4-2-1-0, $15,511, all races at two, 2-3 in dirt sprints)
- trainer is 0-14 over the past five years with second-time juveniles
- trainer is 0-3 with second-time Spa Babies

7. Winloc’s Saint Ray (Golden Missile - Winloc’s Glorious, by Anjiz)
Trainer: Michael Miceli
- Foaled March 1
- withdrawn yearling (Fasig-Tipton Preferred August 2006)
- half-brother to sprint stakes-winner Prince of Peace (20-2-1-4, $122,842, 1-3 at two, 2-14 in dirt sprints, 0-1 in mud/slop)
- sire was a Grade 1 route winner (25-7-7-4, $2,194,510, 0-1 at two, 0-1 in dirt sprints, 2-3 in mud/slop)
- sire is 8-97 (8%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 5-41 (12%, $2.59 ROI) with debut runners in 2007
- dam was a stakes-winner (26-4-5-6, $246,061, unraced at two, 3-20 in dirt sprints, 0-4 in mud/slop)
- dam has two runners, one winner, two juvenile runners, one juvenile winner
- second dam is stakes-winner Cherokee Chill (58-10-9-14, $244,032, unraced at two, 4-21 in dirt sprints, 0-8 in mud/slop)
- trainer is 2-28 (7%, $3.02 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 0-1 with debuting Spa Babies
- trainer is 1-5 (20%, $3.76 ROI) with debut runners in 2007

8. Rollers (Stormy Atlantic - Elise, by Distinctive Pro)
Trainer: Barclay Tagg
- Foaled January 19
- $60,000 yearling (Fasig-Tipton Preferred August 2006)
- $500,000 juvenile (OBS February 2007) (***second highest price)
- sire was a multiple stakes-winning sprinter (15-6-2-1, $148,126, 0-1 at two, all races in dirt sprints, 0-1 in mud/slop)
- sire is 29-238 (12%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 10-73 (14%, $1.13 ROI) with debut runners in 2007
- dam was a sprint winner at two (26-2-2-0, $64,920, 2-4 at two, 2-15 in dirt sprints, 1-5 in mud/slop)
- dam has three runners, two winners, three juvenile runners, two juvenile winners
- dam a half-sister to Grade 1 winner Without Feathers (36-12-8-5, $499,866, 6-10 at two, won debut, 4-11 in dirt sprints, 1-3 in mud/slop), multiple stakes-placed sprinter Damerelle Dancer (10-1-5-0, $31,150, all races sprinting at two ), juvenile stakes-placed sprinter Dam Shot (96-13-9-9, $121,016, 2-6 at two, won debut, 13-90 in dirt sprints, 4-13 in mud/slop), multiple route stakes-winner Copper Mount (33-9-3-3, $251,871, unraced at two, 0-6 in dirt sprints, 1-3 in mud/slop), and multiple stakes-winner Currency Arbitrage (36-6-6-4, $343,902, 2-5 at two, 0-1 in dirt sprints, 1-3 in mud/slop)
- Distinctive Pro is 2-32 (6%, $1.19 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2007
- trainer is 8-59 (14%, $2.37 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 2-14 (14%, $0.96 ROI) with debuting Spa Babies
- trainer is 6-28 (21%, $2.23 ROI) with debut runners in 2007
- worked one furlong in 10.20 prior to the February sale
- July 22 workout went .02 faster than barn’s three-year-old False I. D. (finished first in turf ‘n1x’ allowance on August 19 with 80 Beyer; 45 dirt Beyer)
- August 6, August 12, August 18 workouts match barn’s juvenile Big Truck (finished first in maiden special weight on August 23 with 80 Beyer)

9. On With It (Freud - Rosie O’Greta, by Fight Over)
Trainer: Patrick Biancone
- Foaled February 18, 2005
- $62,000 yearling (Fasig-Tipton July 2006)
- $60,000 juvenile (Fasig-Tipton February 2007)
- half-brother to Grade 3-placed Dancin Joey (20-6-5-3, $299,625, 0-2 at two, 6-15 in dirt sprints, 0-4 in mud/slop)
- sire was Group 2 placed on turf (12-1-2-1, $44,016, 0-3 at two, unraced in dirt sprints)
- sire is 9-60 (15%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 3-25 (12%, $1.32 ROI) with debut runners in 2007
- dam was a Grade 3 sprint winner at two (12-3-3-1, $132,544, 3-5 at two, won debut, 3-11 in dirt sprints, 0-1 in mud/slop, cost $5,200 as a yearling)
- dam has four runners, three winners, three juvenile runners, one juvenile winner
- dam a half-sister to multiple Grade 2 winner Surf Cat (13-7-5-0, $682,420, unraced at two, 4-8 in dirt sprints)
- trainer is 16-77 (21%, $1.44 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 5-31 (16%, $0.84 ROI) with debuting Spa Babies
- trainer is 3-26 (12%, $1.11 ROI) with debut runners in 2007
- worked one furlong in 10.60, and another furlong in 10.20 prior to the February sale

Analysis:
ROLLERS sold for a whopping $500,000 at public auction earlier this year, and his frequent workmate, Big Truck, absolutely aired in his career debut here on August 23. He’s bred for speed on both sides of the pedigree, and should make his presence felt in his unveiling.
WISHFUL TOMCAT and ALEXANDROS both had semi-difficult trips in their career debuts against impressive winner Midnight Slammer. The former raced in some traffic while making a midrace move, and Alexandros put in a wide late bid. Both should move forward with that race in the bag. MISSINGLISALEWIS has some class in the pedigree, and it’s interesting to see Leparoux land here instead of ON WITH IT. Missinglisalewis shows some solid five furlong works for underrated debut barn.
GOOD LAW goes out for Dutrow, and he is having a fantastic year with debut runners. He’s bred for speed, and has plenty of workouts so expect him to be fit enough.

Selections:
1. Rollers
2. Wishful Tomcat
3. Alexandros

The play:
Rollers - Wishful Tomcat exacta
Rollers - Alexandros exacta

***

Race 6
6 1/2 Furlongs
Maiden Special Weight
2-year-old fillies
Purse $62,000

1. Banner Day (A.P. Indy – Gold Streamer, by Forty Niner)
Trainer: George Arnold II
- Foaled January 20 in Kentucky
- sire was a multiple Grade 1 winner (11-8-0-1, $2,979,815, 3-4 at two, 1-2 in dirt sprints, 2-3 in mud/slop
-sire is 132-748 (18%) with juvenile runners
- A.P. Indy – Forty Niner ‘nick’ has produced multiple Grade 2 winner Indian Vale (12-7-0-0, $718,601, unraced at two, 1-1 in dirt sprints)
- dam was a multiple route stakes-winner (19-5-2-2, $182,385, unraced at two, 0-2 in dirt sprints, 1-2 in mud/slop)
- dam has three runners, one winner, two juvenile runners, one juvenile winner
- dam a half-sister to Grade 2-placed router A. P. Five Hundred (7-1-0-4, $122,735, 0-1 at two, 0-1 in dirt sprints, 0-2 in mud/slop)
- trainer is 1-14 (7%, $0.69 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles adding Lasix
- trainer is 0-4 with that move with Spa Babies

1a. Highest Class (Mineshaft - Classic Approval, by With Approval)
Trainer: Neil Howard
- Foaled March 30 in Kentucky
- $300,000 yearling (Keeneland September 2006)
- half-sister to multiple Grade 3 winner Gulch Approval (40-8-6-8, $593,004, 0-2 at two, 1-8 in dirt sprints, 1-2 in mud/slop), and stakes-winner Approval Rating (9-3-1-1, $191,176, 2-4 at two, won debut, 1-1 in dirt sprint)
- first-crop sire was a multiple Grade 1 route winner (18-10-3-1, $2,283,402, unraced at two, unraced in dirt sprints, 1-1 in mud/slop
- sire is 0-11 with juvenile debut runners
- dam was multiple stakes-placed (14-3-3-2, $109,430, 1-5 at two, 0-2 in dirt sprints, 0-2 in mud/slop)
- dam has five runners, five winners, three juvenile runners, one juvenile winner, one juvenile debut winner
- dam a half-sister to Grade 2 winner Class Kris (27-10-8-2, $582,129, 0-1 at two, 4-13 in dirt sprints), multiple Grade 3-placed sprinter Class on Class (34-5-9-8, $189,525, 1-3 at two, 5-29 in dirt sprints, 1-4 in mud/slop), and stakes-winning router Patriot Act (19-4-6-5, $452,252, 0-4 at two, 1-6 in dirt sprints)
- With Approval is 2-38 (5%, $0.36 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2007
- trainer is 2-53 (4%, $0.30 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 0-15 with debuting Spa Babies
- June 14, June 20, July 4, August 6 workouts match barn’s juvenile Hidden Glance (finished third in career debut on turf on August 17 with 65 Beyer)
- July 21 workout matches barn’s juvenile filly Press Leak (finished fourth in career debut on turf on July 30 with 73 Beyer)
- August 22 workout matches Press Leak (76 Beyer in second start on turf)

2. Moon de French (Malibu Moon - French Silk, by French Deputy)
Trainer: William Mott
- Foaled February 27 in Florida
- $140,000 yearling (Keeneland September 2006)
- $400,000 RNA (OBS March 2007)
- withdrawn juvenile (Keeneland April 2007)
- sire was a sprint winner at two (2-1-1-0, $33,840, all races sprinting at two)
- sire is 16-103 (16%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 6-47 (13%, $2.67 ROI) with debut runners in 2007
- dam was a turf winner (9-3-1-1, $48,070, unraced at two, 0-5 in dirt sprints, cost $55,000 as a weanling)
- this is dam’s first runner
- dam a half-sister to multiple stakes-placed Defuhr (41-7-6-10, $228,111, 1-7 at two, 0-7 in dirt sprints)
- French Deputy is 1-11 (9%, $2.38 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2007
- trainer is 25-232 (11%) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 7-67 (10%) with debuting Spa Babies
- trainer is 13-76 (17%, $1.67 ROI) with debut runners in 2007
- worked one furlong in 10.60, and another furlong in 10.20 prior to the March sale
- August 23 workout matches barn’s juvenile filly J Z Warrior (88 Beyer)

2b. Sunday Holiday (Sunday Break - Militant Maid, by Metfield)
Trainer: William Mott
- Foaled April 2 in Kentucky
- $11,000 weanling (Keeneland November 2005)
- $40,000 yearling (Keeneland September 2006)
- first-crop sire was a Grade 2 route winner (13-4-1-4, $451,220, 0-2 at two, 1-4 in dirt sprints)
- sire is 0-33 with juvenile runners
- dam was placed routing (6-0-0-1, $8,595, 0-1 at two, 0-3 in dirt sprints)
- dam has three runners, one winner, two juvenile runners, no juvenile winners
- second dam an unplaced half to stakes-winner By and Large (86-15-10-15, $97,138), multiple stakes-winner Bude (17-4-4-3, $84,685)
- second dam a full sister to juvenile stakes-winning sprinter Primarily (4-2-1-0, $63,036, 2-3 at two, all races in dirt sprints, 1-1 in mud/slop, dam of Whiskey Wisdom, Citronnade, etc.)
- trainer is 22-144 (15%, $1.32 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles
- trainer is 5-37 (14%, $1.27 ROI) with second-time Spa Babies

3. Cape Cod Bay (Cape Town – Augusta Springs, by Nijinsky II)
Trainer: Dallas Stewart
- Foaled January 22 in Kentucky
- out yearling (Keeneland September 2006)
- half-sister to Grade 2 juvenile sprint winner Buffythecenterfold (16-5-5-2, $527,685, 3-6 at two, 5-11 in dirt sprints, 0-2 in mud/slop)
- sire was a Grade 1 route winner (12-5-1-1, $795,817, 3-6 at two, 2-5 in dirt sprints)
- sire is 57-303 (19%) with juvenile runners
- dam was stakes-placed on turf (5-3-0-1, $55,600, unraced at two, unraced in dirt sprints)
- dam has eight runners, four winners, five juvenile runners, two juvenile winners
- dam is a half-sister to juvenile Grade 1 winner Cuddles (18-7-2-3, $582,996, 3-5 at two, 3-9 in dirt sprints, 1-2 in mud/slop, dam of Grade 2 winner Katz Me If You Can ), and to Nuryette (dam of multiple Grade 2 winner Northern Afleet, and Grade 1 winner Tap to Music)
- trainer is 18-92 (20%, $2.33 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles
- trainer is 3-15 (20%, $2.91 ROI) with second-time Spa Babies

4. Wickenden (Not For Love - Texas Cinema, by Mt. Livermore)
Trainer: Gary Sciacca
- Foaled May 2 in Pennsylvania
- $85,000 weanling (Fasig-Tipton December 2005)
- $75,000 RNA yearling (Keeneland September 2006)
- $120,000 juvenile (Fasig-Tipton May 2007)
- half-sister to Grade 3 winner Cinemine (29-12-5-3, $506,681, 2-3 at two, won debut, 8-15 in dirt sprints, 1-4 in mud/slop), and juvenile sprint stakes-winner Flick (5-2-1-1, $86,705, 2-4 at two, all races in dirt sprints, 1-1 in mud/slop)
- sire was stakes-placed (29-6-7-5, $178,870, 1-4 at two, 3-14 in dirt sprints, 3-6 in mud/slop)
- sire is 26-181 (14%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 6-45 (13%, $1.72 ROI) with debut runners in 2007
- dam was placed sprinting at two (6-0-1-0, $1,575, 0-5 at two, 0-5 in dirt sprints, 0-1 in mud/slop)
- dam has six runners, six winners, five juvenile runners, two juvenile winners, one juvenile debut winner
- dam a half-sister to British Group 1 juvenile turf winner Peter Davies (16-5-1-0, $397,169), and juvenile turf stakes-placed Normandy Belle (28-4-5-1, $70,139, 1-12 at two, 1-10 in dirt sprints, 0-4 in mud/slop)
- Mt. Livermore is 5-49 (10%, $2.46 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2007
- trainer is 1-32 (3%, $1.46 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 0-7 with debuting Spa Babies
- worked a quarter-mile in 23 flat prior to the May sale

5. Ma Rainey (Pulpit - Stage, by Sultry Song)
Trainer: Albert Stall Jr.
- Foaled February 23 in Kentucky
- $50,000 yearling (Keeneland September 2006)
- sire was a multiple Grade 2 route winner (6-4-1-0, $728,200, unraced at two, 1-1 in dirt sprints)
- sire is 26-165 (16%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 6-37 (16%, $2.06 ROI) with debut runners in 2007
- dam was unraced
- dam has three runners, three winners, two juvenile runners, no juvenile winners
- dam a half-sister to multiple stakes-winner Lipstick (17-6-3-2, $143,340, unraced at two, 4-13 in dirt sprints, 0-1 in mud/slop)
- Sultry Song is 2-22 (9%, $2.08 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2007
- trainer is 6-75 (8%, $1.11 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 0-6 with debuting Spa Babies
- trainer is 4-20 (20%, $1.59 ROI) with debut runners in 2007

6. Color Me Up (Aptitude - Delight U. S. A., by Quiet American)
Trainer: D. Wayne Lukas
- Foaled April 7 in Kentucky
- half-sister to multiple stakes-winner Tempus Fugit (32-8-3-2, $344,471, 0-1 at two, 0-4 in dirt sprints, 2-5 in mud/slop), and multiple stakes-placed Chippewa Trail (38-6-3-7, $268,029, 0-2 at two, 0-4 in dirt sprints, 2-3 in mud/slop)
- sire was a multiple Grade 1 winner (15-5-4-2, $1,965,410, 0-2 at two, unraced in dirt sprints, 0-1 in mud/slop)
- sire is 3-80 (4%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 1-41 (2%, $0.00 ROI) with debut runners in 2007
- dam was unplaced (4-0-0-0, $2,460, unraced at two, 0-3 in dirt sprints, cost $50,000 as a weanling)
- dam has three runners, three winners, two juvenile runners, no juvenile winners
- second dam is multiple stakes-winner Cuca’s Lady (70-24-10-11, $350,460, unraced at two, 4-22 in dirt sprints, 0-3 in mud/slop)
- Quiet American is 2-37 (5%,$0.37 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2007
- trainer is 18-207 (9%, $0.92 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 0-42 with debuting Spa Babies
- July 30 workout matches barn’s juvenile Legacy Thief (finished third in career debut on August 11 with 73 Beyer)
- August 13 workout matches barn’s juvenile filly Cape Discovery (finished seventh in career debut on August 16 with 58 Beyer)

7. Lucky Copy (Unbridled’s Song - Perfect Copy, by Deputy Minister)
Trainer: Todd Pletcher
- Foaled March 22 in Kentucky
- sire was a multiple Grade 1 route winner (12-5-4-0, $1,311,800, 2-3 at two, 2-4 in dirt sprints, 1-1 in mud/slop)
- sire is 95-483 (20%) with juvenile runners
- Unbridled’s Song - Deputy Minister ‘nick’ has produced Grade 3-placed Trendy Lady (11-3-6-1, $162,066, 0-1 at two, 1-5 in dirt sprints), and Grade 2 winner Last Song (17-5-2-2, $336,483, 1-4 at two, 1-5 in dirt sprints, 0-2 in mud/slop)
- dam was Grade 3-placed on turf (13-3-1-3, $123,383, unraced at two, unraced in dirt sprints, cost $200,000 as a weanling)
- dam has two runners, one winner, two juvenile runners, one juvenile winner
- second dam is Grade 3 turf winner Seewillo (16-3-3-1, $129,730, 0-6 at two, 0-2 in dirt sprints)
- female family of British Group 3 turf winner Trial By Error, and Grade 1 turf winner Golden Pheasant
- trainer is 5-12 (42%, $2.30 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles adding blinkers
- trainer is 1-2 (50%, $2.45 ROI) with that move with Spa Babies

8. Tenacious (Maria’s Mon - Watchfull, by Notebook)
Trainer: Harold James Bond
- Foaled March 11 in Kentucky
- $300,000 yearling (Keeneland September 2006)
- full sister to Grade 3 winner Watchmon (18-4-3-3, $317,247, 0-1 at two, 1-5 in dirt sprints, 3-7 in mud/slop)
- sire was a multiple Grade 1 winner at two (7-4-1-1, $507,140, 4-5 at two, won debut, 2-4 in dirt sprints
-sire is 26-234 (11%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 3-29 (10%, $1.94 ROI) with debut runners in 2007
- dam was a multiple stakes-winning sprinter (12-4-2-3, $143,473, 3-4 at two, won debut, all races in dirt sprints, 0-2 in mud/slop, cost $55,000 as a juvenile)
- dam has three runners, two winners, one juvenile runner, no juvenile winners
- dam a half-sister to juvenile stakes-placed sprinter Rose Bay (7-1-1-0, $49,840, 1-5 at two, won debut, all races in dirt sprints), stakes-winner Sweet Sixteen (5-3-2-0, $75,800, 2-4 in dirt sprints), and Grade 2-placed juvenile sprinter Hermione’s Magic (11-3-2-1, $151,204, 1-5 at two, won debut, 3-10 in dirt sprints, 0-2 in mud/slop)
- Notebook is 4-32 (13%, $1.63 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2007
- trainer is 1-35 (3%, $0.16 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 1-9 (11%, $0.63 ROI) with debuting Spa Babies

9. Esther Got Even (Stephen Got Even - Lady Esther, by Seeking the Gold)
Trainer: Nicholas Zito
- Foaled April 16 in Kentucky
- full sister to stakes-placed sprinter Debbie Got Even (9-3-1-1, $104,568, 2-3 at two, 2-7 in dirt sprints)
- sire was a Grade 1 route winner (11-5-1-1, $1,019,200, 0-1 at two, 0-1 in dirt sprints, 0-1 in mud/slop)
- sire is 35-256 (14%) with juvenile runners
- Stephen Got Even - Seeking the Gold ‘nick’ has produced Grade 3 winner Time to Get Even (4-2-1-0, $106,884, unraced at two, 2-3 in dirt sprints)
- dam was a route winner at two (5-1-0-1, $29,280, 1-2 at two, 0-1 in dirt sprints, 0-1 in mud/slop, cost $450,000 as a yearling)
- dam has five runners, four winners, two juvenile runners, one juvenile winner
- second dam is Grade 2 turf winner Via Borghese (22-11-5-1, $681,250, 1-2 at two, unraced in dirt sprints)
- female family of Italian Group 2 turf winner Miswaki Tern, French Group 3 juvenile turf winner Porto Varas, Grade 2 winner El Angelo, etc.
- trainer is 37-132 (28%, $2.28 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles
- trainer is 6-27 (22%, $1.86 ROI) with second-time Spa Babies

10. Hopehopehope (Whywhywhy - Roberto’s Hope, by Roberto)
Trainer: Patrick Biancone
- Foaled April 5 in Kentucky
- $85,000 yearling (Keeneland September 2005)
- first-crop sire was a Grade 1 sprint winner at two (9-3-1-1, $315,015, 3-5 at two, 2-6 in dirt sprints, 2-3 in mud/slop)
- sire is 3-36 (8%) with juvenile runners
- dam was Grade 2-placed on turf (6-3-0-1, $67,824, unraced at two, unraced in dirt sprints, 1-2 in mud/slop)
- dam has five runners, three winners, two juvenile runners, no juvenile winners
- dam a half-sister to stakes-winner Too Cool to Fool (30-6-7-1, $183,517, 1-2 at two, 1-6 in dirt sprints, 0-1 in mud/slop), multiple stakes-winner Merit Wings (11-4-2-1, $163,719, 1-3 at two, 0-1 in dirt sprints), and juvenile stakes-winner Misty Hour (9-4-1-0, $157,845, 3-4 at two, 2-2 in dirt sprints)
- trainer is 16-54 (30%, $1.74 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles
- trainer is 6-16 (38%, $2.81 ROI) with second-time Spa Babies

Analysis:
MOON DE FRENCH goes out for the potent Zayat/Mott/Desormeaux outfit, and was bought back for $400,000 when failing to meet her reserve at the OBS February 2007 sale. The August 23 workout may have went in company with the barn’s promising E Z Warrior so don’t be surprised if this Florida-bred is quick.
Kent Desormeaux is named on both halves of the Mott entry so if Moon de French scratches, then the top selection switches to CAPE COD BAY. She was compromised by a slow start and a moderate pace in her career debut on turf, and as a half to Buffythecenterfold, should appreciate switching to the dirt. Dallas Stewart has good numbers with second-time starters. BANNER DAY finished a good second at 13-1 as a “Spa Baby” selection in her career debut, and now adds Lasix for her second lifetime start. That’s a potent angle with maidens, and Rusty Arnold has been sending out live ones.
LUCKY COPY adds blinkers for Pletcher after a very green run earlier in the meet. She has a strong pedigree, and the blinks may help her focus better on the task at hand. SUNDAY HOLIDAY was bet hard for her debut, and showed good speed before weakening late. Expect similar tactics if she starts, but sire Sunday Break is still searching for his first winner. HOPEHOPEHOPE ran into J Z Warrior in her debut, and didn’t have an easy trip to boot. Wouldn’t be a surprise for the always-dangerous Biancone.

Selections:
1. Moon de French
2. Cape Cod Bay
3. Banner Day

The play:
Moon de French to win at 2-1 or more.
If she scratches, then Cape Cod Bay to win and place at 5-1 or more.

***

Race 10
7 Furlongs
Spinaway Stakes (Grade 1)
2-year-old fillies
Purse $250,000

Analysis:
IRISH SMOKE looked terrific in her career debut as she rated kindly off the pacesetters, and swept right on by with a three wide move in upper stretch. The runner-up of that race returned to post an impressive score in her own right, and Irish Smoke should benefit from the expected hot pace up front.
SALTY WAVE and PREDATE look overmatched on paper, but both have earned competitive Beyer Speed Figures this season. The former has high early speed, and goes turf to dirt after pressing the pace from a very tough outside post on the Calder green. She previously earned an 83 Beyer going gate to wire at Calder, and is one of only three multi-winners in the field (along with YONGAUCCI and MORE HAPPY). Predate rode an inside bias to victory in a weak maiden claimer, but should have received a huge confidence boost from that score. She’ll face tremendous pace pressure, however, if she adopts similar run-and-gun tactics here.
PASSION dominated her foes over Arlington’s polytrack to kick off her career, then made a solid late run in the Adirondack. She gets more ground to work with, and the quick pace works to her favor. Beware Pletcher in Grade 1 races. More Happy beat a nice bunch at Del Mar, and then showed her class by shipping cross-country, and taking the Adirondack while on the lead. She may be the speed of the speed, but the extra distance coupled with more pace pressure may work against her. BLITZING ran well in the Schuylerville in her first start against winners, and may attempt to gain first run on the pacesetters while stalking in the clear.

Selections:
1. Irish Smoke
2. Salty Wave
3. Predate

The play: Irish Smoke to win at 2-1 or more

Meet record based on starts, wins, top pick (after scratches) in the money, and profit/loss of that day's play ($2 wager): 65-15-30 (+4.40)