09/03/2008 11:00PM

Spa Babies for 9/1

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Welcome to Spa Babies! I'll break down the statistics for every juvenile contest at the meet. Hopefully, we'll end up with a tidy profit.

Monday is the last day of the meet, and it looks like we’ll show a profit for the third straight year. Thanks for reading!

Sunday's results:
Race 2: In Speight of It finished first
Race 4: Debbie H finished second
Race 6: Gold Indy finished third
Race 10: Mine All Mine scratched; second choice Mani Bhavan finished first

Monday, September 1, 2008

Race 2
5 1/2 Furlongs
Maiden Special Weight (NY-Breds)
2-year-old fillies
Purse $56,000

1. Taxadame (Artax - Madame Jumel, by D'Accord)
Trainer: Dominic Galluscio
- Foaled June 9, 2006
- sire was a multiple Grade 1 sprint winner (25-7-9-3, $1,685,540, 1-3 at two, 4-15 in main track sprints)
- sire is 7-111 (6%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire doesn't have a debut runners in 2008
- dam was stakes-placed (16-3-2-2, $75,479, 0-2 at two, 2-10 in main track sprints, 1-3 in mud/slop)
- dam has nine runners, nine winners, five juvenile runners, two juvenile winners, nine main track sprint runners, nine main track sprint winners, eight mud/slop runners, three mud/slop winners
- D'Accord is 3-23 (13%, $3.45 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2008 (two juvenile debut winners)
- trainer is 4-62 (6%, $1.20 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 3-21 (14%, $2.59 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners at Saratoga
- trainer is 4-16 (25%, $2.13 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008 (all older winners with Lasix, one with front wraps)
- June 22, July 3 workouts match barn's juvenile Early Response (finished second in career debut in $50,000 maiden claimer at Saratoga on August 11 with 41 Beyer)

2. By the Sky (Sky Mesa - Impulse Shopper, by Dr. Blum)
Trainer: Barclay Tagg
- Foaled February 20, 2006
- $120,000 yearling (Fasig-Tipton Preferred August 2007)
- sire was a Grade 1 sprint winner at two (6-3-1-1, $633,076, 3-3 at two, 2-2 in main track sprints, 1-1 in mud/slop)
- sire is 10-61 (16%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 7-45 (16%, $1.62 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008 (five juvenile debut winners)
- dam was a winner (31-4-3-2, $157,043, 0-4 at two, 1-5 in main track sprints, 1-4 in mud/slop)
- dam has four runners, two winners, one juvenile runner, one juvenile winner, two main track sprint runners, one main track sprint winner, two mud/slop runners, no mud/slop winners
- Dr. Blum is 1-12 (8%, $0.38 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2008 (juvenile debut winner)
- dam a half-sister to multiple stakes-winner Shopping for Love (25-8-7-1, $613,669, 1-2 at two, won debut, 2-4 in main track sprints, 2-5 in mud/slop)
- dam a half-sister to juvenile stakes-placed sprinter Instant Genius (14-2-0-2, $57,566, 1-3 at two, won debut, 2-10 in main track sprints, 0-2 in mud/slop)
- dam a half-sister to multiple stakes-placed Berkshire Shopper (24-4-2-5, $124,730, 1-6 at two, 3-16 in main track sprints, 0-1 in mud/slop)
- dam a half-sister to juvneile stakes-winning router Shopper's Gold (42-7-4-10, $176,314, 2-6 at two, 3-19 in main track sprints, 2-10 in mud/slop)
- trainer is 11-72 (15%, $2.17 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 4-18 (22%, $1.34 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners at Saratoga
- trainer is 3-45 (7%, $0.65 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008 (all winners with Lasix, two with Eibar Coa aboard, one juvenile debut winner at this meet)

3. A. P. Light (Cape Canaveral - Luminate, by A.P. Indy)
Trainer: Robert Ribaudo
- Foaled February 24, 2006
- $32,000 RNA yearling (Fasig-Tipton Preferred August 2007)
- sire was a Grade 3 sprint winner (4-3-0-1, $128,640, 1-1 at two, all races in main track sprints)
- sire is 25-114 (22%) with juvenile runners
- sire is 4-40 (10%, $1.30 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008 (both juvenile debut winners)
- dam was placed (5-0-2-1, $22,460, 0-4 at two, 0-2 in main track sprints, 0-1 in mud/slop)
- dam has two runners, one winner, one juvenile runner, no juvenile winners, two main track sprint runners, no main track sprint winners, two mud/slop runners, no mud/slop winners
- A.P. Indy is 4-53 (8%, $0.71 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2008 (all older winners)
- dam a half-sister to Grade 2-placed sprinter Sailor's Warning (18-5-3-4, $198,610, 0-1 at two, 5-17 in main track sprints)
- dam a half-sister to Grade 2 route winner Cielo Gold (14-4-2-0, $480,001, 1-3 at two, 1-3 at two, 0-1 in main track sprints, 0-1 in mud/slop)
- trainer is 0-10 over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 0-2 over the past five years with juvenile debut runners at Saratoga
- trainer is 0-8 with all debut runners in 2008

4. Alexandra's Halo (Changeintheweather - U R Theweakestlink, by Mountain Cat)
Trainer: Jamie Sanders
- Foaled February 26, 2006
- sire was a Grade 1 route winner at two (15-5-4-2, $441,247, 2-3 at two, 0-1 in main track sprints, 1-4 in mud/slop)
- sire is 11-110 (10%) with juvenile runners
- dam was unplaced (1-0-0-0, $0, unraced at two, ran in main track sprint, cost $35,000 as a yearling, and $13,000 as a juvenile)
- dam has two runners, one winner, two juvenile runners, no juvenile winners, two main track sprint runners, no main track sprint winners, two mud/slop runners, no mud/slop winners
- dam a half-sister to multiple stakes-winner Mellow Roll (24-7-4-4, $555,775, 5-7 at two, 4-14 in main track sprints, 1-2 in mud/slop)
- trainer is 0-44 over the past five years with juvenile runners adding blinkers
- trainer is 0-5 over the past five years with juvenile runners adding blinkers at Saratoga

5. Vintage Tough (Good and Tough - Vintage Love, by Alydeed)
Trainer: Michael Ferraro
- Foaled February 11, 2006
- $22,000 weanling (OBS Fall October 2006)
- $32,000 RNA yearling (Fasig-Tipton Preferred August 2007)
- $65,000 juvenile (OBS Spring April 2008)
- half-sister to juvenile stakes-placed sprinter (in mud) Imperial Zip (29-5-6-1, $129,430, 0-7 at two, 5-24 in main track sprints, 4-8 in mud/slop)
- sire was a Grade 2 sprint winner (23-9-5-2, $809,341, unraced at two, 9-21 in main track sprints, 1-1 in mud/slop)
- sire is 13-92 (14%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 5-28 (18%, $3.55 ROI) with all debut runners this year (one juvenile debut winner at this meet)
- dam was unraced
- dam has three runners, one winner, two juvenile runners, no juvenile winners, three main track sprint runners, one main track sprint winner, one mud/slop runner, one mud/slop winner
- Alydeed is 1-29 (3%, $0.21 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2008
- dam a half-sister to stakes-placed sprinter Well Well Well (10-0-2-4, $44,901, unraced at two, 0-9 in main track sprints, 0-3 in mud/slop)
- trainer is 4-12 (33%, $2.42 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 2-4 (50%, $3.12 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008 (both older debut winners, one with Lasix, one for this owner)
- worked a furlong in 10.1 prior to the April sale

6. Pals First Lady (Judge T C - Miss Bernstein, by Bernstein)
Trainer: Allen Iwinski
- Foaled March 13, 2006
- sire was a Grade 2 winner (28-11-6-0, $826,826, 3-6 at two, 4-9 in main track sprints, 0-2 in mud/slop)
- sire is 79-770 (10%) with juvenile runners
- dam was a route winner (4-1-2-0, $15,825, 0-1 at two, 0-2 in main track sprints)
- this is dam's first runner
- trainer is 4-23 (17%, $1.90 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles
- trainer is 1-4 (25%, $2.65 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles at Saratoga

7. Tough But Fair (Good and Tough - My Fair Lexy, by Sea Salute)
Trainer: Scott Schwartz
- Foaled May 12, 2006
- sire was a Grade 2 sprint winner (23-9-5-2, $809,341, unraced at two, 9-21 in main track sprints)
- sire is 54-307 (18%) with juvenile runners
- dam was placed sprinting (8-0-4-0, $36,490, 0-4 at two, all races in main track sprints, cost $21,000 as a yearling)
- dam has two runners, one winner, two juvenile runners, no juvenile winners, two main track sprint runners, one main track sprint winner, two mud/slop runners, no mud/slop winners)
- dam a half-sister to multiple stakes-winner (Peru) Palema
- trainer is 2-33 (6%, $1.65 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles
- trainer is 2-7 (29%, $7.80 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles at Saratoga

8. Gem for Hook (Hook and Ladder - Playdemrocks, by Fast Play)
Trainer: John Kimmel
- Foaled April 19, 2006
- sire was a Grade 2 sprint winner (19-6-2-3, $388,120, 1-1 at two, 6-18 in main track sprints)
- sire is 14-123 (11%) with juvenile runners
- dam was stakes-placed at two (29-4-4-9, $128,846, 1-5 at two, 1-11 in main track sprints, 0-6 in mud/slop, sold for $15,000 as a yearling)
- dam has two runners, one winner, two juvenile runners, no juvenile winners, two main track sprint runners, one main track sprint winner, one mud/slop runner, no mud/slop winners
- dam a half-sister to juvenile stakes-winning sprinter Shedoesrock (5-2-0-2, $52,793, all races sprinting on the main track at two, 2-2 in mud/slop)
- trainer is 9-66 (14%, $1.15 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles
- trainer is 1-12 (8%, $0.79 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles at Saratoga

9. Pay the Fare (Gold Token - Risque Revue, by Wild Again)
Trainer: Keith O'Brien
- Foaled February 23, 2006
- $3,700 yearling (Fasig-Tipton Open 2007)
- sire was a multiple stakes-winner (26-7-6-2, $320,368, unraced at two, 5-18 in main track sprints, 2-8 in mud/slop (9%) with juvenile runners
- dam was a sprint winner (11-1-0-2, $34,670, 0-3 at two, all races in main track sprints, 0-1 in mud/slop)
- dam has two runners, one winner, two juvenile runners, no juvenile winners, two main track sprint runners, no main track sprint winner, one mud/slop runner, no mud/slop winners
- dam a half-sister to stakes-placed router D's Delight (12-2-0-3, $25,000, 1-4 at two, 1-6 in main track sprints)
- trainer is 0-2 over the past five years with second-time juveniles adding blinkers
- trainer is 0-1 over the past five years with second-time juveniles adding blinkers at Saratoga

Analysis:
GEM FOR HOOK received a valuable lesson in her debut as she took dirt in her face after breaking a half-step slowly from the rail. She draws outside here, and should be in contention when they turn for home.
A.P. LIGHT is by a precocious sire, and the barn is having an excellent meet.
PALS FIRST LADY rallied for the place when in for a tag, and the barn shows confidence by immediately hiking her out of claiming ranks.
TOUGH BUT FAIR raced evenly in her debut, and this barn has had success with past juveniles at Saratoga. PAYS THE FARE gets the Lasix and blinkers makeover for her second start. TAXADAME goes out for barn that usually sends them ready to win first-out at the Spa, but the inside post can be a drawback. ALEXANDRA'S HALO drops with NY-Breds for the first time, but her races at Churchill were poor. BY THE SKY sold for six figures as a yearling, and trainer Barclay Tagg sent out a juvenile debut winner here on Saturday. VINTAGE TOUGH shows a bullet at Finger Lakes.

Selections:
1. Gem for Hook
2. A.P. Light
3. Pals First Lady

The Play:
Gem for Hook - A.P. Light Exacta;
Gem for Hook - Pals First Lady Exacta

***

Race 10
7 Furlongs
Hopeful Stakes (Grade 1)
2-year-olds
Purse $250,000

Analysis:
MUNNINGS, a seven-figure purchase earlier this year, won impressively first-out for Todd Pletcher, and shows three long workouts in preparation for the Hopeful.
BREAK WATER EDISON was game in defeat in the Saratoga Special, and should get a solid pace to properly setup his late kick. He'll have to deal with the inside post, but will likely rally smartly in the stretch.
CRIBNOTE won by the length of the track against NY-Breds, and that effort was validated when some of the horses he obliterated returned to win next-out. He can sit a good stalking trip while in the clear.
NOTONTHESAMEPAGE earned a huge Beyer winning his maiden at Churchill, then developed a fever when preparing for the Sanford. He missed that race, and then bombed at 1-10 odds at Monmouth. He's the speed of the speed, and looms a strong pace factor. DESERT PARTY's Beyer Speed Figures aren't eye-catching, but the $2.1M purchase has impressed visually. He should be moving in the latter stages of the race. COGNITO won narrowly in the slop, and may have to rate here. MEDAGLIA D'ONORE had some early trouble in the Saratoga Special, but must show improvement in order to upset these. VINEYARD HAVEN wasn't disgraced in the Sanford, and may offer value "underneath" in the exotics.

Selections:
1. Munnings
2. Break Water Edison
3. Cribnote

The Play:
Munnings - Break Water Edison Exacta;
Munnings - Cribnote Exacta

***

Meet record based on starts, wins, top pick (after scratches) in the money, and profit/loss of that day's play ($2 wager):
76-19-38 (+ $150.60)