08/07/2008 11:00PM

Spa Babies for 8/9

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Welcome to Spa Babies! I'll break down the statistics for every juvenile contest at the meet. Hopefully, we'll end up with a tidy profit.

Thursday's results:
Race 5 - Carioca was scratched
Race 6 - Early Response's race was canceled
Race 7 - Smokin Hero race was canceled

Saturday, August 9, 2008

Race 2
6 Furlongs
Maiden Special Weight
2-year-olds
Purse $62,000

1. Rocketing Returns (Gone West - Spring Meadow, by Meadowlake)
Trainer: Nicholas Zito
- Foaled March 7, 2006 in Florida
- sire was a Grade 1 route winner (17-6-4-2, $682,251, 1-4 at two, won debut, 3-5 in main track sprints, 3-5 in mud/slop)
- sire is 37-222 (17%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire does not have a debut winner in 2008
- dam was a Grade 3 sprint winner (23-6-4-5, $496,123, unraced at two, 6-20 in main track sprints, 0-2 in mud/slop, cost $13,000 as a yearling, and $200,000 as a juvenile)
- dam has one runner, one winner, one juvenile runner, no juvenile winners, one main track sprint runner, no main track sprint winners
- Meadowlake the 8-71 (11%, $0.91 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2008 (two juvenile debut winners)
- trainer is 23-175 (13%, $1.82 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 13-73 (18%, $2.40 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 2-17 (12%, $1.07 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008 (both winners with Lasix, one juvenile debut winner at this meet)
- June 11 workout matches barn's entrymate Miami Hammer
- June 11 workout matches barn's juvenile They're Late (finished sixth in career debut at Saratoga on August 6 with 46 Beyer)

1A. Miami Hammer (Include - Value Added, by Far Out East)
Trainer: Nicholas Zito
- Foaled February 7, 2006 in Kentucky
- $32,000 weanling (Keeneland November 2006)
- $100,000 yearling (Keeneland September 2007)
- half-brother to juvenile stakes-placed sprinter Diablo's Addition (12-4-2-0, $91,362, 1-2 at two, won debut, all races in main track sprints, 0-1 in mud/slop)
- sire was a Grade 1 route winner (20-10-1-4, $1,659,560, 0-2 at two, 1-3 in main track sprints, 1-2 in mud/slop)
- sire is 8-80 (10%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 4-26 (15%, $1.55) with all debut runners in 2008 (all older debut winners)
- dam was a winner (38-5-6-5, $112,508, 0-6 at two, 0-11 in main track sprints, 0-2 in mud/slop, cost $25,000 as a yearling)
- dam has seven runners, six winners, five juvenile runners, three juvenile winners, one juvenile debut winner, seven main track sprint runners, four main track sprint winners, seven mud/slop runners, two mud/slop winners
- Far Out East is 1-14 (7%, $2.66 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2008 (older debut winner)
- dam a half-sister to stakes-placed Quick and Near (42-1-4-1, $29,179)
- dam a full sister to stakes-winning juvenile In the East (33-4-9-5, $181,602, 1-9 at two, 2-14 in main track sprints, 0-5 in mud/slop)
- trainer is 23-175 (13%, $1.82 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 13-73 (18%, $2.40 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 2-17 (12%, $1.07 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008 (both winners with Lasix, one juvenile debut winner at this meet)
- July 11 workout went .03 slower than barn's juvenile They're Late (finished sixth in career debut at Saratoga on August 6 with 46 Beyer)
- July 11 workout went .01 faster than barn's three-year-old filly Overandabeauty (finished second in 'n2L' allowance at Saratoga on August 3 with 77 Beyer)
- July 19 workout matches barn's three-year-old Tonsina (finished eighth in career debut in $50,000 maiden claimer at Saratoga on August 1 with 48 Beyer)

2. Flying Private (Fusaichi Pegasus - Beautiful Treasure, by Unbridled
Trainer: D. Wayne Lukas
- Foaled March 7, 2006 in Kentucky
- $700,000 yearling (Keeneland September 2007)
- sire was a Grade 1 route winner (9-6-2-0, $1,994,400, 0-1 at two, 1-2 in main track sprints, 1-2 in mud/slop)
- sire is 52-330 (16%) with all juvenile runners
- dam was stakes-placed sprinting at two (18-1-1-0, $65,025, 1-5 at two, 1-9 in main track sprints, 0-3 in mud/slop, cost $500,000 as a yearling)
- dam has two runners, one winner, two juvenile runners, no juvenile winners, two main track sprint runners, one main track sprint winner, two mud/slop runners, one mud/slop winner
- dam a half-sister to stakes-placed sprinter Saturday Hero (16-3-1-2, $84,488, 1-2 at two, 3-15 in main track sprints)
- trainer is 67-712 (9%, $1.07 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile runners
- trainer is 12-137 (9%, $1.13 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile runners at Saratoga

3. Proud Ruler (Posse - Corporate Spirit, by Corporate Report)
Trainer: William Mott
- Foaled March 18, 2006 in Kentucky
- $75,000 weanling (Keeneland November 2006)
- $165,000 yearling (Fasig-Tipton Summer July 2007)
- withdrawn juvenile (Fasig-Tipton February 2008)
- withdrawn juvenile (Barretts March 2008)
- $375,000 juvenile (OBS March 2008)
- withdrawn juvenile (Keeneland March 2008)
- sire was a Grade 2 sprint winner (18-7-2-2, $662,841, 2-7 at two, won debut, 7-17 in main track sprints, 4-4 in mud/slop)
- sire is 5-58 (9%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 3-26 (12%, $1.13 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008 (one juvenile debut winner)
- dam was unraced (cost $40,000 as a yearling)
- dam has five runners, three winners, four juvenile runners, no juvenile winners, four main track sprint runners, one main track sprint winner, three mud/slop runners, one mud/slop winner
- Corporate Report is 1-11 (9%, $7.13 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2008 (juvenile debut winner)
- dam a half-sister to stakes-placed sprinter Deputy Em (20-2-3-5, $88,355, unraced at two, 2-16 in main track sprints, 0-2 in mud/slop)
- trainer is 27-245 (11%, $1.05 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 8-76 (11%, $0.84 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners at Saratoga
- trainer is 0-34 with all debut runners in 2008
- worked a quarter-mile in 21.2 prior to the March sale
- June 4 workout went .05 faster than barn's three-year-old filly Freakstein (finished fourth in off-the-turf 'n1x' allowance on July 24 on 67 Beyer)

4. In Speight of It (Speightstown - Honest Deceiver, by Is It True)
Trainer: Timothy Ritvo
- Foaled February 21, 2006 in Kentucky
- $65,000 yearling (Fasig-Tipton Summer July 2007)
- withdrawn juvenile (Fasig-Tipton Select February 2008)
- $140,000 juvenile (OBS Open March 2008)
- sire was a Grade 1 sprint winner (16-10-2-2, $1,258,256, 0-1 at two, 10-15 in main track sprints, 2-3 in mud/slop)
- first-crop sire is 4-17 (24%) with juvenile runners in 2008
- dam was a multiple stakes-winning sprinter (19-4-4-4, $150,958, 2-5 at two, 4-14 in main track sprints, 0-1 in mud/slop, cost $400,000 as a yearling)
- dam has two runners, no winners, one juvenile runner, two main track sprint runners, two mud/slop runners
- dam a full sister to Grade 1 sprint winner Yes It's True (22-11-2-3, $1,080,700, 5-9 at two, won debut, 11-18 in main track sprints
- trainer is 12-133 (9%, $0.76 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles
- trainer is 0-5 over the past five years with second-time juveniles at Saratoga
- worked one furlong in 10.20 prior to the March sale

5. Ryan's Comet (Mineshaft - Cosmic Wing, by Halo)
Trainer: Todd Pletcher
- Foaled January 27, 2006 in Kentucky
- sire was a multiple Grade 1 route winner (18-10-3-1, $2,283,402, unraced at two, unraced in main track sprints, 1-1 in mud/slop)
- sire is 2-27 (7%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 1-22 (5%, $0.55 ROI with all debut runners in 2008 (juvenile debut winner at Saratoga)
- dam was multiple stakes-placed (12-2-3-4, $114,106, 1-3 at two, 0-3 in main track sprints, 0-1 in mud/slop)
- dam has three runners, three winners, three juvenile runners, two juvenile winners, one juvenile debut winner, three main track sprint runners, three main track sprint winners, one mud/slop runner, one mud/slop winner
- Halo is 3-28 (11%, $2.18 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2008 (one juvenile debut winner)
- dam a half-sister to turf stakes-winner Charley Tango (27-5-6-5, $196,823, 2-5 at two, won debut, 1-4 in main track sprints, 0-3 in mud/slop)
- trainer is 98-453 (22%, $1.57 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 22-107 (21%, $1.47 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners at Saratoga
- trainer is 19-92 (21%, $1.59 ROI) with all debut runners this year (all winners with Lasix, one with blinkers, 12 juvenile debut winners, four at this meet)
- July 26 workout matches barn's four-year-old Sam P. (99 Beyer top, entered later on today's card)
- August 2 workout matches barn's juvenile Speed Limit (finished second in career debut at Saratoga on August 6 with 69 Beyer)

6. Solidify (Alajwad - Kali Dearest, by Dearest Doctor)
Trainer: Salvatore Campanella
- Foaled March 27, 2006 in Florida
- out short yearling (OBS Winter January 2007)
- $6,500 RNA yearling (OBS Open August 2007)
- $13,500 juvenile (OBS Spring April 2008)
- half-brother to Grade 3 winner Grooms Derby (31-7-3-3, $232,206, unraced at two, 4-16 in main track sprints, 1-2 in mud/slop)
- half-brother to stakes-winning sprinter I'mnaughtyandnice (16-5-1-4, $36,348, 1-5 at two, 5-15 in main track sprints, 4-6 in mud/slop)
- first-crop sire was a turf winner (6-2-2-1, $77,445, unraced at two, unraced in main track sprints, 0-1 in mud/slop)
- sire is 0-8 with juvenile debut runners in 2008
- dam was a sprint winner (19-1-0-2, $3,992, 0-2 at two, all races in main track sprints, 0-3 in mud/slop)
- dam has nine runners, eight winners, six juvenile runners, three juvenile winners, one juvenile debut winner, nine main track sprint runners, eight main track sprint winners, seven mud/slop runners, six mud/slop winners
- Dearest Doctor does not have a debut winner as a broodmare sire in 2008
- dam a half-sister to stakes-placed Song Music (33-7-5-5, $16,722)
- dam a full sister to stakes-placed juvenile Sing My Tune (17-1-5-0, $23,946, 1-5 at two, 1-15 in main track sprints, 0-2 in mud/slop)
- trainer is 0-1 over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 0-1 over the past five years with juvenile debut runners at Saratoga
- trainer is 0-1 with all debut runners in 2008
- worked a quarter-mile in 22.3 prior to the April sale
- July 26 workout matches barn's juvenile filly Justify (finished sixth in maiden special weight on turf on August 7 with 48 Beyer; 31 Beyer on dirt)

7. Florentino (Jpn) (Swept Overboard - Must Be Loved, by Sunday Silence)
Trainer: Kiaran McLaughlin
- Foaled February 8, 2006 in Japan
- $1,226,120 weanling (JRHA July 2006)
- three-quarter brother to multiple Group 1 winner (Japan) Rhein Kraft (13-6-3-2, $4,613,036, 2-3 at two)
- sire was a multiple Grade 1 winner (20-8-5-3, $1,137,767, 1-2 at two, 5-15 in main track sprints)
- this is sire's first juvenile debut runner in North America (stands in Japan)
- dam was unplaced in Japan (3-0-0-0, $0, unraced at two, 0-2 in main track sprints
- dam has five runners, four winners, three juvenile runners, one juvenile winner
- Sunday Silence does not have a debut winner in North America as a broodmare sire
-dam a full sister to stakes-placed (Japan) Hornet Pierce (26-3-3-5, $760,672, unraced at two)
- dam a full sister to Group 3 winner (Japan) Admire Max (23-4-2-5, $3,230,850, 2-3 at two)
- trainer is 18-135 (13%, $1.74 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 3-30 (10%, $0.78 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners at Saratoga
trainer is 6-31 (19%, $2.14 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008 (all winners with Lasix, four juvenile debut winners, one at this meet, five ridden by Alan Garcia)

8. Yore (Yes It's True - Married for Money, by Not For Love)
Trainer: Charles Dickey
- Foaled February 17, 2006 in Kentucky
- $60,000 yearling (OBS Select August 2007)
- sire was a Grade 1 sprint winner (22-11-2-3, $1,080,700, 5-9 at two, won debut, 11-18 in main track sprints, 1-2 in mud/slop)
- sire is 33-191 (17%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 3-37 (8%, $0.71 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008 (two juvenile debut winners, one at Saratoga)
- dam was unraced (cost $22,000 as a yearling)
- dam has one runner, one winner, no juvenile runners, one main track sprint runners, one main track sprint winner, no mud/slop runners
- Not For Love is 1-13 (8%, $0.92 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2008 (older debut winner)
- dam a half-sister to multiple turf stakes-winner With Patience (30-7-8-5, $393,034, unraced at two, 0-2 in main track sprints)
- dam a half-sister to Grade 3 winner Lucky Afternoon (12-4-1-2, $150,076, 2-6 at two, 1-4 in main track sprints, 1-1 in mud/slop)
- trainer is 0-15 over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 0-3 with all debut runners in 2008

Analysis:
RYAN'S COMET shows some solid five-furlong workouts in preparation for his debut, and Todd Pletcher is a wizard with first-time juvenile starters. With John Velazquez at Arlington for Million Day, Ramon Dominguez takes the mount on this son of Mineshaft. The second dam was a graded winner on turf.
YORE is bred both sides for speed, and should offer value in this spot. Breaking from the outside, he should be free of traffic trouble going into the turn.
PROUD RULER worked quickly prior to selling for $375,000 earlier this year. Bill Mott is way overdue to send out a juvenile debut winner.
IN SPEIGHT OF IT has powerful speed breeding, and he was an even fourth in his debut after breaking slowly. Expect usual second-out improvement as he switches to Prado. MIAMI HAMMER worked a bullet three furlongs 12 days ago, but may do better with added ground. FLYING PRIVATE, a $700,000 yearling purchase, shows trouble lines in both starts, and probably deserves another chance. ROCKETING RETURNS must deal with a difficult inside draw. SOLIDIFY may need a bit weaker. FLORENTINO is the x-factor. The seven-figure weanling purchase makes his debut for dangerous connections. If this one takes a good deal of early money, then it indicates he's very live.

Selections:
1. Ryan's Comet
2. Yore
3. Proud Ruler

The Play: Ryan's Comet to Win at 2-1 or more.

Meet Record:
25-5-12 (+ $18.00)