08/06/2008 11:00PM

Spa Babies for 8/7

Email

Welcome to Spa Babies! I'll break down the statistics for every juvenile contest at the meet. Hopefully, we'll end up with a tidy profit.

Wednesday's results:
Race 5: Ain't No Star finished eighth
Race 7: Royal Vindication finished third

Thursday, August 7, 2008

Race 4
1 1/16 Miles (Turf)
Maiden Special Weight (NY-Breds)
2-year-old fillies
Purse $57,000

1. Freedom Rings (Proud Citizen - Dana's Wedding, by Compliance)
Trainer: David Donk
- Foaled May 2, 2006
- half-sister to turf stakes-winner Peg's Prayer (12-2-2-0, $139,416, 0-4 at two, 2-10 on turf, 0-1 in mud/slop)
- sire was a Grade 2 route winner (16-3-2-1, $638,822, 1-4 at two, unraced on turf, 0-3 in mud/slop)
- sire is 7-56 (13%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 3-25 (12%) with first-turf runners
- sire is 3-27 (11%, $1.11 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008 (one juvenile debut winner)
- dam was a winner (36-5-3-4, $120,710, 0-3 at two, 3-18 on turf, 0-5 in mud/slop)
- dam has seven runners, six winners, five juvenile runners, no juvenile winners, seven turf runners, five turf winners, four mud/slop runners, one mud/slop winner
- Compliance is 1-13 (8%, $0.46 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut winners in 2008 (older debut winner)
- dam a half-sister to stakes-placed Papa Charlie K. (29-3-1-3, $70,290)
- dam a full sister to stakes-placed Henny B. (123-14-13-17, $90,213, 0-3 at two, 0-3 on turf, 4-17 in mud/slop)
- trainer is 0-27 over the past five years with juvenile debut runners on turf
- trainer is 0-3 over the past five years with juvenile debut runners on turf at Saratoga
- trainer is 0-8 with all debut runners in 2008

1A. Dancing Daisy (More Than Ready - Formal Dancer, by Formal Gold)
Trainer: David Donk
- Foaled March 4, 2006
- sire was a Grade 1 sprint winner (17-7-4-1, $1,026,229, 5-7 at two, unraced on turf)
- sire is 90-577 (16%) with juvenile runners
- sire is 26-166 (16%) with first-turf runners
- dam was a route winner at two (13-2-1-1, $72,670, 2-7 at two, 0-2 on turf, 1-3 in mud/slop)
- dam has two runners, no winners, one juvenile runner, one turf runner, one mud/slop runner
- dam a half-sister to multiple stakes-winner (France) Marichal (17-8-2-2, $141,679, 3-7 at two, all races on turf)
- dam a half-sister to Group 2 winner (France) Vangelis (23-4-2-6, $471,404, 1-3 at two, won debut, all races on turf)
- trainer is 2-17 (12%, $1.84 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles switching to turf
- trainer is 0-5 over the past five years with second-time juveniles switching to turf at Saratoga
- July 11 workout went .02 slower than barn's three-year-old Riptide (finished fifth in 'n1x' allowance on turf on July 18 at Belmont with 88 Beyer)
- July 17 workout went .02 faster than barn's three-year-old Alpha Dancer (finished sixth in off-the-turf maiden special weight at Saratoga on July 23 with 12 Beyer; 74 Beyer top on turf)
- July 26 workout went .01 slower than barn's juvenile Relatively Ready (24 Beyer on dirt, unraced on turf)
- August 1 workout went .02 faster than Relatively Ready

2. High Cry (Street Cry - Quiet Rumour, by Alleged)
Trainer: Todd Pletcher

- Foaled April 14, 2006
- half-sister to stakes-winner Beebe Lake (21-4-5-2, $195,375, 0-1 at two, 3-15 on turf, 0-3 in mud/slop)
- sire was a multiple Grade/Group 1 route winner (UAE/USA) (12-5-6-1, $5,160,837, 1-5 at two, unraced on turf)
- sire is 7-50 (14%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 6-49 (12%) with first-turf runners
- sire is 3-23 (13%, $1.18 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008 (one juvenile debut winner, one winner on turf)
- dam was unraced
- dam has seven runners, four winners, six juvenile runners, two juvenile winners, four turf runners, four turf winners, one first-turf winner, two mud/slop runners, no mud/slop winners
- Alleged is 3-20 (15%, $1.39 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2008 (all older debut runners)
- dam a half-sister to juvenile Grade 1 winner Only Queens (10-2-0-1, $87,420)
- dam a full sister to juvenile Grade 3 turf winner Contested Bid (10-2-1-4, $413,425, 2-4 at two, all races on turf)
- trainer is 15-73 (21%, $1.53 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners on turf
- trainer is 8-29 (28%, $2.03 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners on turf at Saratoga
- trainer is 18-90 (20%, $1.56 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008 (all winners with Lasix, one with blinkers, two on turf, three at this meet, 11 juvenile debut winners, 14 with John Velazquez aboard)
- July 25 workout matches barn's three-year-old filly Daguerreotype (finished second in 'n1x' allowance on dirt at Monmouth on August 1 with 82 Beyer; unraced on turf)

3. Lady Valiant (Catienus - Bang Up Play, by Waquoit)
Trainer: Gary Contessa
- Foaled March 29, 2006
- $18,000 yearling (Fasig-Tipton Preferred August 2007)
- $34,000 juvenile (Fasig-Tipton Spring May 2008)
- sire was a stakes-winning router (22-5-5-2, $370,386, 2-4 at two in England, 3-9 on turf, 0-1 in mud/slop)
- sire is 11-144 (8%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 8-117 (7%) with first-turf runners
- sire has no debut winners in 2008
- sire was 5-46 (11%, $2.37 ROI) with all debut runners in 2007 (one juvenile debut winner)
- dam was stakes-placed (15-4-3-2, $133,410, 0-3 at two, 2-8 on turf, 0-1 in mud/slop)
- dam has two runners, no winners, no juvenile runners, no turf runners, no mud/slop runners
- Waquoit is 1-24 (4%, $1.17 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2008 (older debut winner)
- dam a half-sister to multiple stakes-placed Beachfront Rental (35-5-6-9, $136,649, 0-2 at two, 0-1 on turf, 1-5 in mud/slop)
- trainer is 1-15 (7%, $0.45 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners on turf
- trainer is 1-5 (20%, $1.34 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners on turf at Saratoga
- trainer is 2-39 (5%, $0.59 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008 (both older winners with Lasix, one with front wraps, one with Ramon Dominguez aboard)

- worked one furlong in 10.4 prior to the May sale

4. Quietly Bold (El Prado - India Divina, by Roy)
Trainer: Michael Hushion

- Foaled March 17, 2006
- half-sister to stakes-placed router Everydayissaturday (11-3-1-0, $132,229, unraced at two, 1-2 on turf, 0-1 in mud/slop)
- half-sister to juvenile stakes-placed turf runner Grasberg (9-2-1-2, $88,898, 1-3 at two, won debut, all races on turf, first-turf winner)
- sire was a Group 1 winner (Ireland) on turf at two (9-4-1-0, $236,987, 4-6 at two in Europe, won debut, all races on turf)
- sire is 25-264 (9%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 44-428 (10%) with first-turf runners
- sire is 3-21 (14%, $1.30 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008 (all older winners, one on turf)
- dam was a Grade 1 route winner (22-4-8-5, $312,123, 2-6 at two in Chile, won debut, 1-8 on turf, 0-1 in mud/slop in North America)
- dam has three runners, two winners, one juvenile runner, one juvenile winner, one juvenile debut winner, two turf runners, two turf winners, one first-turf winner, one mud/slop runner, no mud/slop winners
- Roy does not have a debut winner as a broodmare sire in 2008
- Roy was 2-24 (8%, $0.65 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2007 (both juvenile debut winners, one on turf)
- trainer is 1-2 (50%, $5.00 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners on turf
- trainer is 1-1 (100%, $10.00 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners on turf at Saratoga
- trainer is 3-12 (25%, $2.83 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008 (all winners with Lasix, one juvenile debut winner, two with Channing Hill aboard, one for this owner)
- May 18 workout went .05 slower than barn's juvenile Chartreux (finished first in maiden special weight on dirt at Belmont on June 12 with 71 Beyer; unraced on turf)
- July 21 workout went .03 slower than barn's three-year-old filly Kokoro (finished ninth in career debut on dirt at Saratoga on July 27 with 30 Beyer)

5. She's Got Thunder (Thunder Gulch - Shesastonecoldfox, by Foxhound
Trainer: Kelly Breen
- Foaled March 3, 2006
- withdrawn yearling (Fasig-Tipton Preferred August 2007)
- $90,000 yearling (Fasig-Tipton Select October 2007)
- $100,000 juvenile (Fasig-Tipton Spring May 2008)
- half-sister to stakes-placed juvenile Elusive Fox (13-2-2-4, $95,896, 1-3 attwo, won debut, 1-5 on turf, 0-2 in mud/slop)
- sire was a multiple Grade 1 route winner (16-9-2-2, $2,915,086, 2-6 at two, unraced on turf, 0-1 in mud/slop)
- sire is 22-245 (9%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 33-323 (10%) with first-turf runners
- sire is 2-29 (7%, $0.50 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008 (both juvenile debut winners)
- dam was a multiple stakes-winning sprinter at two (10-4-1-1, $216,409, 4-5 at two, won debut, unraced on turf, 1-2 in mud/slop)
- dam has one runner, one winner, one juvenile runner, one juvenile winner, one juvenile debut winner, one turf runner, one turf winner, one mud/slop runners, no mud/slop winners
- Foxhound is 1-7 (14%, $1.71 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2008 (juvenile debut winner)
- dam a half-sister to multiple stakes-placed Always Belong (36-6-9-5, $95,571, 1-1 at two, 0-1 on turf, 1-2 in mud/slop)
- dam a half-sister to stakes-placed sprinter Raiders Bid (51-6-8-12, $75,339, unraced at two, unraced on turf, 1-10 in mud/slop)
- dam a half-sister to juvenile stakes-winning sprinter Boston Raider (42-5-7-7, $103,148, 2-5 at two, unraced on turf, 1-7 in mud/slop)
- trainer is 0-3 over the past five years with all debut runners on turf
- trainer is 3-14 (21%, $0.84 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008 (two juvenile debut winners, two with Lasix)
- worked a quarter-mile in 22.3 prior to the May sale
- June 15 workout matches barn's three-year-old filly Solera (finished second in career debut on dirt at Monmouth on July 19 with 62 Beyer)
- June 15, June 22 workouts matches barn's juvenile filly Coffee in Bed (finished second in career debut on dirt at Monmouth on July 19 with 54 Beyer)
- July 13 workout matches barn's juvenile filly Easta Monsta (finished second in maiden special weight on dirt at Monmouth on July 27 with 56 Beyer)
- July 20 workout matches barn's juvenile filly All of Her Twist (finished fourth in career debut in dirt maiden special weight at Monmouth on August 6 with 51 Beyer)
- July 20, July 27 workouts match barn's five-year-old Meadow Blue (finished fifth in Charles Hess III Handicap on dirt at Monmouth on August 3 with 80 Beyer, unraced on turf)

6. Special Detail (Johar - Special Tapestry, by Theatrical)
Trainer: Richard Dutrow Jr.
- Foaled March 28, 2006
- first-crop sire was a multiple Grade 1 winner on turf (16-6-4-2, $1,494,496, unraced at two, 6-13 on turf, first-turf winner)
- sire is 1-19 (5%) with juvenile runners in 2008
- sire is 1-3 (33%) with first-turf runners in 2008
- dam was placed on turf (9-0-1-1, $11,420, unraced at two, all races on turf, cost $150,000 as a yearling)
- this is dam's first runner
- female family of multiple Grade 1 winner Seattle Slew, Group 1 turf winner (Ireland) Lomond, and multiple Group 2 turf winner (Ireland) Seattle Dancer
- trainer is 0-3 over the past five years with second-time juveniles switching to turf
- trainer is 0-2 over the past five years with second-time juveniles switching to turf

7. Saarlandisourland (Saarland - Crypto Kate, by Tabasco Cat)
Trainer: Keith O'Brien
- Foaled February 3, 2006
- $24,000 RNA weanling (Keeneland November 2006)
- $20,000 yearling (Fasig-Tipton Preferred August 2007)
- first-crop sire was a Grade 2 route winner at two (21-5-5-1, $595,250, 2-5 at two, 0-1 on turf, 1-5 in mud/slop)
- sire is 2-18 with juvenile runners in 2008
- sire is 0-2 with first-turf runners in 2008
- dam was a route winner (16-4-3-3, $30,602, 0-2 at two, 0-3 on turf, 2-6 in mud/slop, cost $8,000 as a yearling, and $25,000 as a juvenile)
- second dam is stakes-placed juvenile Krypto Katie (17-3-2-3, $71,296, 1-4 at two, 0-1 on turf, 0-1 in mud/slop)
- dam has two runners, one winner, two juvenile runners, no juvenile winners, no turf runners, one mud/slop runner, one mud/slop winner
- trainer is 0-10 over the past five years with juveniles trying turf for the first time
- trainer is 0-3 over the past five years with juveniles trying turf for the first time

8. Justify (Alajwad - Celestial Touch, by Montbrook)
Trainer: Salvatore Campanella
- Foaled April 26, 2006
- first-crop sire was a winner on turf (6-2-2-1, $77,445, unraced at two, 2-3 on turf, 0-1 in mud/slop)
- sire is 0-16 with juvenile runners in 2008
- this is sire's first turf runner
- dam was unraced (cost $7,500 as a yearling)
- this is dam's first runner
- trainer is 0-1 over the past five years with juvenile runners

Analysis:
Experience counts in these two-turn turf races for babies, and DANCING DAISY can move forward off her learning run sprinting at Belmont. She tried to rally over an inside, speed-favoring track that day, owns a solid turf pedigree, and can be a pace factor adding blinkers. Trainer David Donk is only 1 for his last 23 with "first-time blinker" runners, but this filly looks worthy of a play at decent odds.
SHE'S GOT THUNDER goes out for a barn that does very well with young horses, but Kelly Breen is only 1 for his last 49 with turf performers. The dam was a quick one, however, and this Monmouth-based filly may show some gate speed.
HIGH CRY is a Pletcher firster with recent Belmont workouts after beginning her training over the Oklahoma Training Track up here. She draws inside, and can save valuable ground under John Velazquez.
FREEDOM RINGS has good turf pedigree, and adds some punch to the Dancing Daisy entry. QUIETLY BOLD's half-brother Grasberg won first-out on the grass here last year for these connections, and cannot be overlooked. LADY VALIANT has stamina on both sides of the pedigree, but there is a 17-day gap in the work tab. SPECIAL DETAIL is bred both sides for turf, and should improve off her dismal dirt debut. SAARLANDISOURLAND and JUSTIFY both need to improve.

Selections:
1. Dancing Daisy
2. She's Got Thunder
3. High Cry

The Play:
Dancing Daisy to Win at 5-2 odds or more

***

Due to computer error, the detailed statistical breakdown of the fifth race is unavailable.

Race 5
5 1/2 Furlongs
Maiden Special Weight
2-year-old fillies
Purse $62,000

Analysis:
UNION CITY is the first starter out of the Grade 2-placed sprinter City Sister, and trainer Anthony Dutrow shows excellent numbers with first-time starters (6-29, 21%, $3.97 ROI in 2008). The daughter of Dixie Union shows a pair of bullet workouts at Delaware Park, and should show some speed.
GEMSWICK PARK, a daughter of stakes-winner Queen's Park (104K), is a half-sister to juvenile stakes-placed sprinter Queen's College (65K). The workouts at Belmont look solid.
LITTLEPRINCESSEMMA showed good speed in her career debut at Churchill Downs, and Steve Asmussen has done great things with his second-time babies at this meet. This filly is kin to a pair of graded stakes-winning sprinters.
IN FINE FETTLE raced evenly in her debut at Belmont, but must overcome the inside post here. SEASIDE HOME is a full sister to stakes-placed sprinter Ocean Current by the great Storm Cat. Dallas Stewart usually does better with second-time runners than with firsters, however. NATURALLY NAUGHTY shows a strong recent gate work for Asmussen, but draws way outside. Her dam was a juvenile debut winner. JUSTWHISTLEDIXIE is a half-sister to Saratoga Special winner Chace City, and cost $425,000 at auction. SWEET ARIETTE is out of the multiple stakes-winner Sweet Nanette (392K), and shows a bullet work for an excellent first-out barn. SPELL CHECK is a half to the Grade 3-placed sprinter Mystery Girl, and sold very well earlier this year. IT'SALLABOUTUS enters off a pair of bullet drills. CHEROKEE GEM may need weaker.

Selections:
1. Union City
2. Gemswick Park
3. Littleprincessemma

The Play:
Union City to Win and Place at 9-2 odds or more

Meet Record:
23-5-11 (+ $24.00)