08/03/2007 12:00AM

Spa Babies for 8/4

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Welcome to Spa Babies! I'll break down the statistics for every juvenile maiden contest at the meet, and hopefully will end up with a tidy profit.

Thursday’s results:
Race 2 – Unbridled Trip finished unplaced
Race 4 – Centerport Baby finished unplaced
Race 6 – Ya Think finished unplaced

Saturday, August 4, 2007
Race 2
6 1/2 Furlongs
Maiden Special Weight
2-year-olds
Purse $62,000

1. Majestic Warrior (A.P. Indy – Dream Supreme, by Forty Niner)
Trainer: William Mott
- Foaled April 9, 2005 in Kentucky
- full brother to route stakes-winner Crystal Current (14-2-2-2, $109,380, 1-4 at two, 0-3 in dirt sprints)
- sire was a multiple Grade 1 winner (11-8-0-1, $2,979,815, 3-4 at two, 1-2 in dirt sprints)
- sire is 31-268 (12%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire has two older debut winners this year
- A.P. Indy – Forty Niner “nick” produced multiple Grade 2 route winner Indian Vale (11-7-0-0, $678,601, unraced at two, 1-1 in dirt sprints, won debut)
- dam was a multiple Grade 1 winner (16-9-2-2, $1,007,680, 2-2 at two, 9-15 in dirt sprints)
- dam has three foals of racing age, two runners, two winners, two juvenile runners, one juvenile winner
- second dam is Grade 1 winner Spinning Round (31-8-10-5, $639,225)
- Forty Niner is the broodmare sire of four debut winners this year
- trainer is 17-204, (8%, $0.95 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 2-52 (4%, 0.42 ROI) with debuting Spa Babies
- trainer has seven debut winners this year (six with Lasix, two with blinkers, two juvenile debut winners)
- July 5, July 13, July 21 workouts match barn’s juvenile Doctor Cal (finished sixth in career debut on July 25 with 29 Beyer)

2. Web Gem (Fusaichi Pegasus – Chasing September, by Storm Boot)
Trainer: Nicholas Zito
- Foaled May 16, 2005 in Kentucky
- $170,000 yearling Keeneland September 2006)
- $600,000 RNA juvenile (Fasig-Tipton February 2007)
- out juvenile (Keeneland April 2007)
- sire was a Grade 1 route winner (9-6-2-0, $1,994,400, 0-1 at two, 1-2 in dirt sprints)
- sire is 10-81 (12%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire has two debut winners this year (one juvenile debut winner)
- dam was a sprint winner (9-1-0-0, $7,275, unraced at two, 1-8 sprinting, sold for $40,000 as a yearling)
- this is dam’s first foal
- dam a half-sister to Grade 3 winner September Secret (7-4-0-1, $181,943, 1-1 at two, all races dirt sprints)
- Storm Boot is the broodmare sire of three debut winners this year
- trainer is 21-180 (12%, $1.59 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 13-68 (19%, $2.56 ROI) with debuting Spa Babies
- trainer has three debut winners this year (allwith Lasix, one juvenile debut winner for this owner at this meet)
- worked one furlong in 10.80, and a quarter-mile in 21.80 prior to the February sale

3. Ready Set (Touch Gold – Party Cited, by Alleged)
Trainer: Michael Matz
- Foaled April 27,2006 in Kentucky
- $800,000 yearling (Keeneland September 2006)
- half-brother to multiple stakes-placed turfer Palatial Affaire (in France, won debut at two, unraced in dirt sprints, French stakes-winner hurdler Kazimierski (unraced at two, unraced in dirt sprints), and Group 2-placed juvenile turfer Scandanavia (in England)
- full brother to multiple Grade 1 winner Composure (8-4-3-0, $731,300, 2-6 at two, 1-3 in dirt sprints)
- sire was a multiple Grade 1 route winner (15-6-3-1, $1,679,907, 1-4 at two, won debut, 2-3 in dirt sprints)
- sire is 18-167 (11%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire has four debut winners this year (one juvenile debut winner)
- dam was a Grade 3 winner (24-5-3-7, $376,579, 0-4 at two, unraced in dirt sprints)
- dam has eight foals of racing age, six runners, four winners, five juvenile runners, three juvenile winners, one juvenile debut winner
- dam a half-sister to stakes-placed Milwaki (42-7-6-8, $144,146)
- Alleged is the broodmare sire of three debut winners this year
- trainer is 5-60 (8%, $2.09 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 1-7 (14%, $3.63 ROI) with debuting Spa Babies
- trainer sent out a juvenile debut winner at this meet (with Lasix and Prado on turf)

4. Anakim (Giant’s Causeway – Fleeting Fable, by Afleet)
Trainer: John Kimmel
- Foaled March 12, 2005 in Kentucky
- sire was a multiple Group 1 winner on turf in Europe (13-9-4-0, $3,078,889, 3-3 at two, unraced in dirt sprints)
- sire is 26-176 (15%) with juvenile runners
- dam was stakes-placed sprinting (17-4-5-5, $144,440, 0-1 at two, 3-13 in dirt sprints)
- dam has two foals of racing age, two runners, no winners, one juvenile runner
- trainer is 9-67 (13%, $1.11 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles
- trainer is 2-13 (15%, $1.92 ROI) with second-time Spa Babies

5. Slambino (Grand Slam – Bloomy, by Polish Numbers)
Trainer: Frank Alexander
- Foaled April 6, 2005 in Kentucky
- $205,000 yearling (Fasig-Tipton Select August 2006)
- sire was a multiple Grade 1 winner at two (15-4-5-2, $971,292, 3-5 at two, won debut, 1-4 in dirt sprints)
- sire is 30-227 (13%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire has four debut older debut winners this year (one at this meet)
- dam was stakes-placed on turf (11-4-3-2, $127,670, unraced at two, unraced in dirt sprints, won debut)
- dam has two foals of racing age, one runner, no winners, no juvenile runners
- dam a half-sister to Fred Astaire, Ends Well, etc.
- Polish Numbers is the broodmare sire of three debut winners this year
- trainer is 2-53 (4%, $0.28 ROI) with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 0-9 with debuting Spa Babies
- trainer has no debut winners this year
- July 18 workout matches barn’s three-year-old Star Studded (finished fourth in 40K turf maiden claimer on July 26 with 69 Beyer; 37 Beyer on dirt)

6. Atwell (Fusaichi Pegasus – Carafe, by Devil’s Bag)
Trainer: Mark Hennig
- Foaled April 13, 2005 in Kentucky
- $375,000 yearling (Keeneland September 2006)
- sire was a Grade 1 route winner (9-6-2-0, $1,994,400, 0-1 at two, 1-2 in dirt sprints)
- sire is 34-181 (19%) with juvenile runners
- dam was multiple stakes-placed (20-4-5-6, $215,915, 1-3 at two, 4-18 in dirt sprints, sold for $160,000 as a yearling)
- dam has three foals of racing age, two runners, one winner, two juvenile runners, no juvenile winners
- dam a half-sister to stakes-winner Strodes Creek (9-3-2-2, $430,006), stakes-placed Corker (8-1-2-2, $167,125), stakes-placed Gethsemani (25-2-3-8, $103,766), and stakes-placed Canteen (13-2-7-1, $176,920)
- trainer is 10-100 (10%, $1.22 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles
- trainer is 1-25 (4%, $0.70 ROI) with second-time Spa Babies

7. New York Holiday (Harlan’s Holiday – Sequins, by Northern Fashion)
Trainer: Dominick Schettino
- Foaled April 11, 2005 in Virginia
- $125,000 yearling (Fasig-Tipton Select August 2006)
- out yearling (Keeneland September 2006)
- half-brother to multiple stakes-winner Im Out First (56-10-10-12, $438,628, 1-10 at two, 9-28 in dirt routes), and stakes-winning router Zenith (24-4-5-6, $205,186, 0-3 at two, 4-13 in dirt routes)
- first-crop sire was a multiple Grade 1-winning dirt router (22-9-6-1, $3,632,664, 4-6 at two, 7-18 in dirt routes)
- sire is 3-15 (20%) with juvenile debut runners
- dam was a turf winner (4-1-0-1, $19,490, unraced at two, 0-1 in dirt routes)
- dam has 11 foals of racing age, nine runners, seven winners, six juvenile runners, one juvenile winner
- dam a half-sister to French Group 3-placed turfer Gleam Out.
- Northern Fashion is the broodmare sire of no debut winners this year
- trainer is 3-30 (10-%, $0.93 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 1-5 (20%, $0.72 ROI) at Saratoga with juvenile debut runners
- trainer has no debut winners this year
- July 15 workout matches barn’s three-year-old Zip’s Affair (finished eighth in Monmouth ‘n1x’ on July 21 with 52 Beyer

8. Mythical Pegasus (Fusaichi Pegasus – Lilly Capote, by Capote)
Trainer: D. Wayne Lukas
Foaled March 3, 2005 in Kentucky
- half-brother to multiple stakes-placed America’ Storm (17-3-4-3, $106,230, 0-3 at two, 0-6 in dirt sprints)
- sire was a Grade 1 route winner (9-6-2-0, $1,994,400, 0-1 at two, 1-2 in dirt sprints)
- sire is 34-181 (19%) with juvenile runners
- dam was a Grade 3 juvenile winner (13-5-1-3, $265,800, 3-6 at two, 3-7 in dirt sprints, sold for $110,000 as a yearling, and $250,000 as a juvenile)
- dam has six foals of racing age, three runners, two winners, three juvenile runners, one juvenile winner
- trainer is 0-3 over the last five years with juveniles following a trainer switch

Analysis:
MYTHICAL PEGASUS was off a beat slowly in his career debut, but he showed a good turn of foot to put himself right into the race, and he was hung out wide turning for home. He understandably tired late, but did finish ahead of Cape of Storms (a runner-up against New York-breds here on July 27. He draws outside, but this 6 1/2 furlong distance may play into the hooves of the experienced runners, and he shouldn’t be too far away when they turn for home.
ANAKIM was no match for next-out Sanford runner-up Tale of Ekati in his career debut, and he should relish this added distance. John Kimmel sent out second-out two-year-old winner Crosstown Traffic here last meet. ATWELL raced wide against a promising bunch in his debut, and should move forward with that race under his belt. NEW YORK HOLIDAY is by a sharp young sire, and he sold very well at auction last year.
WEB GEM and READY SET are firsters with sharp local half-mile works for strong connections. Neither would be a surprise. MAJESTIC WARRIOR has the pedigree, but draws a tough inside post, and may need a race.

Selections:
1. Mythical Pegasus
2. Anakim
3. Atwell

The play: Mythical Pegasus to win at 7-2 odds or more

Meet record based on starts, wins, top pick (after scratches) in the money, and profit/loss of that day's play ($2 wager): 15-2-6 (-$9.80)