08/05/2008 12:00AM

Spa Babies for 8/3

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Welcome to Spa Babies! I'll break down the statistics for every juvenile contest at the meet. Hopefully, we'll end up with a tidy profit.

Saturday's result:
Race 2: Nowhere to Hide finished fourth

Sunday, August 3, 2008

Race 2
6 1/2 Furlongs
Maiden Special Weight
2-year-old fillies
Purse $62,000

1. Abundantia (Alex's Pal - Ogygian's Louise, by Ogygian)
Trainer: John Terranova II
- Foaled March 19, 2006 in Florida
- $6,500 weanling (OBS Fall October 2006)
- $25,000 yearling (OBS Open August 2007)
- withdrawn juvenile (OBS Spring April 2008)
- three-quarter sister to stakes-winner Lou's Expectation (43-14-11-5, $308,914, unraced at two, 11-30 in main track sprints, 1-5 in mud/slop)
- first-crop sire was a sprint winner (19-6-1-3, $163,680, unraced at two, all races in main track sprints, 2-5 in mud/slop)
- sire is 0-3 with juvenile debut runners in 2008
- dam was a winner (26-2-2-2, $38,488, 0-2 at two, 1-15 in main track sprints, 0-3 in mud/slop, cost $40,000 as a yearling, and $16,000 as a juvenile)
- dam has four runners, three winners, two juvenile runners, two juvenile winners, two mud/slop runners, one mud/slop winner
- Ogygian is 2-21 (10%, $0.62 ROI) as the broodmare sire of all debut runners in 2008 (both older debut winner)
- dam a half-sister to multiple stakes-placed sprinter Lalou (12-5-1-3, $151,402, unraced at two, 5-10 in main track sprints, 1-2 in mud/slop)
- dam a half-sister to stakes-winner (India) Waves of Glory (10-4-0-0, unraced at two)
- trainer is 2-35 (6%, $0.26 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 0-5 over the past five years with juvenile debut runners at Saratoga
- trainer is 0-4 with all debut runners in 2008
- June 6, June 20 workouts match barn's juvenile Master (finished fifth incareer debut at Belmont on July 3 with 37 Beyer)
- June 13 workout went .01 faster than Master
- July 3, July 9 workouts match barn's juvenile Stomp (finished second in career debut at Saratoga on July 25 with 70 Beyer)

2. Outside (Out of Place - Hello Fanny, by Hello Gorgeous)
Trainer: Charles Dickey
- Foaled March 14, 2006 in Kentucky
- $35,000 yearling (Fasig-Tipton Summer July 2007)
- full sister to stakes-winner Ricardo A (71-16-10-9, $495,788, unraced at two, 0-7 in main track sprints, 1-3 in mud/slop)
- sire was a Grade 3 route winner (25-8-6-7, $733,450, unraced at two, 2-4 in main track sprints, 1-3 in mud/slop)
- sire is 143-1068 (13%) with juvenile runners
- dam was multiple stakes-placed (19-3-5-2, $111,188, 2-8 at two, 1-10 in main track sprints, 1-2 in mud/slop, cost $3,500 as short yearling, and $46,000 as a juvenile)
- dam has eight runners, six winners, three juvenile runners, one juvenile winner, seven mud/slop runners, four mud/slop winners
- dam a half-sister to stakes-winning juvenile Bel Ray (43-10-6-9, $303,451, 2-4 at two, 4-18 in main track sprints, 0-3 in mud/slop)
- dam a half-sister to stakes-winner Silver Screen Girl (29-6-9-5, $127,121, 0-2 at two, 4-23 in main track sprints, unraced in mud/slop)
- trainer is 1-10 (10%, $2.08 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile runners returning from 31-60 day layoffs
- trainer is 0-2 over the past five years with juvenile runners returning from 31-60 day layoffs at Saratoga

3. Abigail's Gold (Mineshaft - Love Or Money, by Coronado's Quest)
Trainer: Todd Pletcher
- Foaled January 27, 2006 in Kentucky
- $300,000 yearling (Keeneland September 2007)
- sire was a multple Grade 1 route winner (18-10-3-1, $2,283,402, unraced at two, unraced in main track sprints, 1-1 in mud/slop)
- sire is 2-25 (8%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 1-20 (5%, $0.61 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008 (juvenile debut winner at this meet)
- dam was unplaced (6-0-0-2, $8,910, 0-1 at two, 0-1 in main track sprints, unraced in mud/slop)
- this is dam's first runner
- Coronado's Quest is 1-9 (11%, $1.84 ROI) as the broodmare sire of all debut runners in 2008 (juvenile debut winner)
-dam a half-sister to multiple stakes-winner Threshold (89-20-13-14, $286,339, 3-6 at two, won debut, 11-45 in main track sprints, 1-6 in mud/slop)
- dam a half-sister to Grade 2 route winner Broken Vow (14-9-2-2, $725,296, unraced at two, 1-2 in main track sprints, 0-1 in mud/slop)
- trainer is 96-448 (21%, $1.52 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 21-105 (20%, $1.42 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners at Saratoga
- trainer is 16-83 (19%, $1.52 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008 (all winners with Lasix, one with blinkers, nine juvenile debut winners, two debut winners this meet)
- July 10 workout matches barn's juvenile filly Smarty Marty (finished seventh in career debut at Saratoga on July 24 with 34 Beyer)
- July 26 workout went .04 slower than barn's juvenile filly Royal Card (winner at Keeneland, best Beyer of 44)

4. Wickedly Spicey (Speightstown - Star of Wicklow, by Fast Play)
Trainer: Steven Asmussen
- Foaled February 20, 2006 in Kentucky
- $200,000 yearling (Fasig-Tipton Select August 2007)
- out yearling (Keeneland September 2007)
- out juvenile (Keeneland April 2008)
- half-sister to Grade 2 turf winner Wild Heart Dancing (25-9-1-5, $597,641, 3-8 at two, won debut, 1-5 in main track sprints, 0-1 in mud/slop)
- half-sister to Grade 1 turf winner Man From Wicklow (31-6-4-5, $609,395, 0-3 at two, 0-1 in main track sprints, unraced in mud/slop)
- first-crop sire was a Grade 1 sprint winner (16-10-2-2, $1,258,256, 0-1 at two, 10-15 in main track sprints, 2-3 in mud/slop)
- sire is 3-10 (30%, $1.71 ROI) with juvenile debut runners in 2008 (one at this meet)
- dam was unraced
- dam has nine runners, five winners, eight juvenile runners, three juvenile winners, two juvenile debut winners, five mud/slop runners, two mud/slop winners
- Fast Play is 1-16 (6%, $0.44 ROI) as the broodmare sire of all debut runners in 2008 (older debut winner)
- dam a half-sister to Grade 2-placed router Tiger Tiger (24-3-4-4, $103,387, 0-4 at two, 0-3 in main track sprints, 1-4 in mud/slop)
- trainer is 132-671 (20%, $1.80 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 7-32 (22%, $1.40 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners at Saratoga
- trainer is 35-178 (20%, $1.56 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008 (34 winners with Lasix, 25 juvenile debut winners, 14 with Shaun Bridgmohan aboard, one for this owner)
- June 7 workout matches barn's four-year-old Got the Last Laugh (finished seventh in the Presque Isle Downs Mile on July 4 over the Tapeta surface with a 63 Beyer)

5. Tapitha (Tapit - Witchful Saint, by Saint Ballado)
Trainer: Ian Wilkes
- Foaled March 14, 2006 in Kentucky
- entered weanling (Fasig-Tipton December 2006)
- $47,000 RNA short yearling (OBS Winter January 2007)
- $60,000 yearling (Keeneland September 2007)
- $25,000 RNA juvenile (OBS Open March 2008)
- out juvenile (Keeneland April 2008)
- half-sister to stakes-placed juvenile How Bout Tonight (8-2-3-0, $80,740, 1-3 at two, won debut, 1-5 in main track sprints, 0-2 in mud/slop)
- first-crop sire was a Grade 1 route winner (6-3-0-0, $557,300, 2-2 at two, unraced in main track sprints, 0-1 in mud/slop)
- sire is 1-17 (6%, $0.46 ROI) with juvenile debut runners in 2008
- dam was a winner on turf (18-2-0-3, $55,870, 0-3 at two, 0-2 in main track sprints, 0-1 in mud/slop)
- dam has one runner, one winner, one juvenile runner, one juvenile debut winner, one mud/slop runner, no mud/slop winners
- Saint Ballado is 10-58 (17%, $3.12 ROI) as the broodmare sire of all debut runners in 2008 (five juvenile debut winners)
- dam a half-sister to Grade 3-placed juvenile sprinter Hobgoblin (44-8-8-6, $234,856, 1-8 at two, 7-27 in main track sprints, 1-6 in mud/slop)
- trainer is 0-33 over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 0-1 over the past five years with juvenile debut runners at Saratoga
- trainer is 1-22 (5%, $0.39 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008 (older debut winner with Lasix and front bandages)
- worked a quarter-mile in 22 flat, and another quarter mile in 22 flat prior to the March sale

6. Miss Bodine (Vindication - Guilded Times, by Crafty Prospector)
Trainer: Bob Baffert
- Foaled April 23, 2006 in Kentucky
- half-sister to juvenile stakes-placed sprinter Inexcessivelylucky (6-1-2-1, $50,035, all races sprinting on the main track at two, 0-1 in mud/slop)
- half-sister to juvenile stakes-winning sprinter Inexcessive Speed (5-2-1-0, $92,000, all races at two, 2-4 in main track sprints, unraced in mud/slop)
- half-sister to multiple stakes-winning sprinter Controlled (7-5-0-1, $325,248, 4-5 at two, 5-6 in main track sprints, unraced in mud/slop)
- half-sister to juvenile Grade 2 sprint winner Icecoldbeeratreds (5-3-0-1, $353,800, all races at two, 3-4 in main track sprints, unraced in mud/slop)
- sire was a Grade 1 route winner at two (4-4-0-0, $680,950, 4-4 at two, 2-2 in main track sprints, unraced in mud/slop)
- sire is 25-145 (17%) with juvenile runners
- dam was a sprint winner (11-3-3-2, $74,075, 0-3 at two, 3-10 in main track sprints, 1-2 in mud/slop, cost $16,500 as a yearling, and $105,000 as a juvenile)
- dam has 12 runners, seven winners, seven juvenile runners, five juvenile winners, six mud/slop runners, two mud/slop winners
- trainer is 25-122 (20%, $1.21 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juvenile runners
- trainer is 1-4 (25%, $1.62 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juvenile runners at Saratoga

Analysis:
WICKEDLY SPICEY is bred for speed on top as a son of champion sprinter Speightstown, and trainer Steve Asmussen excels with first-time starters. There is a lot of stamina on the bottom of the pedigree, and that may help Wickedly Spicey successfully navigate the elongated sprint distance of 6 1/2 furlongs.
OUTSIDE showed good speed at Churchill Downs, but the track seemed to play to front-runners on June 22. She should be one of the pacesetters here, but must stretch out 1 1/2 furlongs.
MISS BODINE wouldn't be a surprise. She boasts a classy pedigree, and was running hard in the late stages of her debut at Belmont for Bob Baffert.
ABUNDANTIA has been working steadily since late April, but must deal with the often-intimidating inside post position. ABIGAIL'S GOLD makes debut for Todd Pletcher, but the barn's go-to rider, John Velazquez, leaps to Miss Bodine. TAPITHA may need more distance and experience before she struts her best stuff.

Selections:
1. Wickedly Spicey
2. Outside
3. Miss Bodine

The Play:
Wickedly Spicey - Outside Exacta;
Wickedly Spicey - Miss Bodine Exacta

***

Race 4
5 1/2 Furlongs
Maiden Special Weight (NY-Breds)
2-year-olds
Purse $56,000

1. Gold Prospect (Goldminers Gold - Splashing Fancy, by Bucksplasher)
Trainer: Enrique Arroyo
- Foaled April 27, 2006
- $40,000 juvenile (OBS Spring April 2008)
- half-brother to multiple stakes-winning router Shuffling Maddnes (30-5-8-5, $394,617, 0-1 at two, unraced in main track sprints, 0-4 in mud/slop)
- sire was a multiple stakes-winning sprinter (11-5-4-0, $205,109, 0-1 at two, all races in main track sprints, 0-1 in mud/slop)
- sire is 0-11 with juvenile debut runners
- dam was a multiple stakes-winner (11-4-2-2, $119,430, 1-2 at two, won debut, 3-8 in main track sprints, unraced in mud/slop, cost $19,000 as a yearling, and $25,000 as a juvenile)
- dam has five runners, four winners, two juvenile runners, no juvenile winners, three mud/slop runners, no mud/slop winners
- dam a half-sister to stakes-winner Sal Bruno (19-5-3-4, $121,959, 1-3 at two, 4-10 in main track sprints, unraced in mud/slop)
- trainer is 0-1 over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 0-1 over the past five years with juvenile debut runners at Saratoga
- trainer is 0-1 with all debut runners in 2008
- worked one furlong in 10.2 prior to the April sale
- May 24, July 4, July 12, July 19 workouts went .02 slower than barn's juvenile Sweet Groom (finished eighth in career debut on turf at Saratoga on July 30 with 29 Beyer)
- June 14 workout matches Sweet Groom
- July 26 workout went .03 slower than Sweet Groom

2. J T Moore (Mayakovsky - Daring Colors, by Dare and Go)
Trainer: Stanley Hough
- Foaled March 18, 2006
- sire was a Grade 3 route winner (9-3-1-0, $275,200, 1-2 at two, won debut, 1-4 in main track sprints, unraced in mud/slop)
- sire is 0-10 with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 1-9 (11%, $1.29 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008 (older debut winner)
- dam was placed (14-0-1-3, $8,070, 0-1 at two, 0-6 in main track sprints, 0-1 in mud/slop, cost $12,000 as a yearling)
- this is dam's first runner
- Dare and Go is 1-5 (20%, $1.44 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2008 (older debut winner)
- dam a half-sister to multiple stakes-placed Nevis (25-5-3-5, $92,135, unraced at two, 0-4 in main track sprints, 1-1 in mud/slop)
- dam a half-sister to multiple stakes-winner Blazing Colors (59-16-8-5, $266,602, 1-5 at two, 4-20 in main track sprints, 3-6 in mud/slop)
- trainer is 11-61 (18%, $1.34 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 3-18 (17%, $1.83 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners at Saratoga
- trainer is 2-8 (25%, $2.24 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008 (both older debut winners with Lasix)

3. Pazzesco (Mayakovsky - Tu Z Potts, by Gold Case)
Trainer: Del Carroll II
- Foaled February 19, 2006
- $14,000 RNA (OBS Spring April 2008)
- sire was a Grade 3 route winner (9-3-1-0, $275,200, 1-2 at two, won debut, 1-4 in main track sprints, unraced in mud/slop)
- sire is 0-10 with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 1-9 (11%, $1.29 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008 (older debut winner
- dam was a sprint winner (18-5-0-0, $123,752, unraced at two, 5-17 in main track sprints, 0-3 in mud/slop, cost $11,000 as a yearling)
- this is dam's first runner
- Gold Case is 1-3 (33%, $5.33 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2008 (juvenile debut winner)
- dam a half-sister to stakes-winning sprinter Basic Concern (45-5-5-5, $126,204, 0-3 at two, 5-32 in main track sprints, 0-7 in mud/slop)
- dam a half-sister to stakes-placed New York Gold (39-11-8-5, $157,676, unraced at two, 4-23 in main track sprints, 1-4 in mud/slop)
- trainer is 1-22 (5%, $1.44 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 1-8 (13%, $3.95 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners at Saratoga
- trainer is 0-7 with all debut runners in 2008
- worked one furlong in 10.3 prior to the April sale
- June 7 workout went .02 slower than barn's nine-year-old Quantum Merit (finished third in 'n2x' optional claimer on turf on June 13 at Belmont with 80 Beyer, unraced on dirt)

4. Dancin' Deacon (Hennessy - Serene Ditty, by Unbridled's Song)
Trainer: Philip Serpe
- Foaled May 4, 2006
- sire was a Grade 1 sprint winner at two (10-5-3-0, $1,390,800, 3-3 at two, 2-2 in main track sprints, 0-1 in mud/slop)
- sire is 29-232 (13%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 3-29 (10%, $0.68 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008 (all juvenile debut winners)
- dam was a route winner (12-1-3-1, $51,130, unraced at two, 0-1 in main track sprints, 0-2 in mud/slop, cost $155,000 as a yearling)
- dam has three runners, one winner, one juvenile runner, no juvenile winners, one mud/slop runner, no mud/slop winners
- Unbridled's Song is 5-23 (22%, $1.81 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2008 (three juvenile debut winners)
- dam a half-sister to juvenile Group 2 winner (England) Mutaahab (60-8-10-5, $173,138, 4-6 at two)
- dam a half-sister to stakes-winner Covering Ground (27-3-2-1, $77,109, 0-3 at two, 0-1 in main track sprints, 0-2 in mud/slop)
- dam a half-sister to stakes-winning router Courtly Jazz (33-4-4-6, $258,985, 0-2 at two, 0-2 in main track sprints, 1-1 in mud/slop)
- trainer is 2-45 (4%, $0.95 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 0-12 over the past five years with juvenile debut runners at Saratoga
- trainer is 0-8 with all debut runners in 2008
- June 2 workout went .03 slower than barn's juvenile The Cuff Shooter (finished sixth in career debut at Belmont on July 10 with 0 Beyer)
- June 16 workout matches The Cuff Shooter
- June 30 workout went .02 slower than The Cuff Shooter
- July 6 workout went .01 slower than The Cuff Shooter

5. Aoja (Lion Heart - Mandy Jud, by Judge T C)
Trainer: Patrick Kelly
-Foaled March 20, 2006
- $15,000 yearling (Fasig-Tipton Preferred August 2007)
- first-crop sire was a multiple Grade 1 winner (10-5-3-0, $1,390,800, 3-3 at two, 2-2 in main track sprints, 0-1 in mud/slop)
- sire is 7-26 (27%, $4.81 ROI) with juvenile debut runners in 2008
- dam was a winner (33-8-2-8, $92,415, 1-5 at two, 2-17 in main track sprints, 1-5 in mud/slop)
- dam has one runner, one winner, one juvenile runner, no juvenile winners, one mud/slop runner, no mud/slop winners
- dam a full sister to multiple Grade 3 winner The Judge Sez Who (36-8-6-6, $953,059, 4-9 at two, 5-7 in main track sprints, 2-3 in mud/slop)
- trainer is 3-44 (7%, $1.86 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 0-9 over the past five years with juvenile debut runners at Saratoga
-trainer is 0-10 with all debut runners in 2008

6. Rereadthefootnotes (Read the Footnotes - Re Re Be Be, by Sheikh Albadou)
Trainer: Kiaran McLaughlin
- Foaled January 17, 2006
- $82,000 weanling (OBS Fall October 2006)
- $75,000 yearling (Fasig-Tipton Summer July 2007)
- $80,000 RNA juvenile (OBS Open March 2008)
- first-crop sire was a multiple Grade 2 route winner (8-5-0-0, $450,660, 4-5 at two, won debut, 2-2 in main track sprints, 0-1 in mud/slop)
- sire is 0-8 with juvenile debut runners in 2008
- dam was a sprint winner at two (9-1-0-0, $14,195, 1-8 at two, 1-7 in main track sprints, 0-2 in mud/slop
- dam has three runners, three winners, two juvenile runners, two juvenile winners, three mud/slop runners, three mud/slop winners
- Sheikh Albadou was 1-25 (4%, $0.56 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2007 (older debut winner)
- dam a half-sister to stakes-placed Space Above (85-12-18-16, $233,750, 2-9 at two, 1-16 in main track sprints, 0-8 in mud/slop)
- dam a half-sister to multiple stakes-placed sprinter Nowhere Man (60-10-8-11, $183,588, 0-1 at two, 10-59 in main track sprints, 3-11 in mud/slop)
- dam a half-sister to Grade 2 sprint winner Parlay (17-6-3-1, $237,400, 2-3 at two, won debut, all races in main track sprints, 1-1 in mud/slop)
- trainer is 17-133 (13%, $1.73 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 2-28 (7%, $0.65 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners at Saratoga
- trainer is 5-29 (17%, $2.12 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008 (all winners with Lasix, three juvenile debut winners, four with Alan Garcia aboard)
-worked a quarter-mile in 21.4 prior to the March sale
- May 30 workout went .02 faster than barn's juvenile Tapit's Brew (finished fifth in career debut at Saratoga on July 31 with 44 Beyer)
- June 19 workout went .02 slower than Tapit's Brew
- June 19 workout went .05 faster than barn's three-year-old Open Fly (finished second in $20,000 maiden claimer at Belmont on June 26 with 62 Beyer)
- June 26 workout matches barn's four-year-old Great Emperor (finished first in $45,000 maiden claimer at Belmont on July 5 with 73 Beyer)

7. Rubinstein (Lion Hearted - Tickles, by Cure the Blues)
Trainer: Richard Schosberg
- Foaled February 2, 2006
- sire was Grade 2-placed sprinting (18-4-6-3, $191,630, 1-3 at two, all races in main track sprints, 2-4 in mud/slop)
- sire is 17-89 (19%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 6-37 (16%, $1.85 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008 (three juvenile debut winners)
- dam was a winner (11-2-0-0, $56,730, unraced at two, 1-4 in main track sprints, 0-2 in mud/slop)
-this is dam's first runner
- Cure the Blues is 7-56 (12%, $1.50 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2008 (two juvenile debut winners)
- dam a full sister to Grade 3 winner Pentatonic (29-9-5-5, $601,860, unraced at two, 2-7 in main track sprints, 0-2 in mud/slop)
- trainer is 3-27 (11%, $2.31 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 1-6 (17%, $5.10 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners at Saratoga
- trainer is 0-7 with all debut runners in 2008
- May 5, July 2 workouts went .02 faster than barn's juvenile Bitabaz (finished fourth in career debut at Belmont on July 10 with 46 Beyer)
- May 11, May 18, June 22 workouts went .02 slower than Bitabaz
- June 1 workout went .01 slower than Bitabaz
- June 14, July 28 workouts match Bitabaz

Analysis:
REREADTHEFOOTNOTES is out of a half-sister to Grade 2 sprint winner Parlay, and trainer Kiaran McLaughlin is having an excellent season with first-time starters. This seems to be a good spot for the early foal (January 17).
RUBINSTEIN is out of a full sister to Grade 3 winner Pentatonic, and he shows a series of company workouts for underrated barn. He draws outside, and may show some speed.
DANCIN' DEACON has a solid pedigree, and attract John Velazquez for the debut run.
J T MOORE goes out for excellent win-early connections. AOJA is by a very hot first-crop sire, but the bottom side is pretty route heavy. GOLD PROSPECT shows quick gate drills, but is saddled with the rail. PAZZESCO's barn has been known to win with a longshot firster or two, and the gelding is bred both sides for speed.

Selections:
1. Rereadthefootnotes
2. Rubinstein
3. Dancin' Deacon

The play:
Rereadthefootnotes - Rubinstein Exacta;
Rereadthefootnotes - Dancin' Deacon Exacta

Record based on starts, wins, top pick (after scratches) in the money, and profit/loss of that day's play ($2 wager):
16-3-7 (+ $6.60)