08/02/2007 11:00PM

Spa Babies for 8/3

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Welcome to Spa Babies! I'll break down the statistics for every juvenile maiden contest at the meet, and hopefully will end up with a tidy profit.

Thursday’s results:
Race 2 – Syriana’s Song finished second ($14.00 to place)

Friday, August 3, 2007
Race 3
1 1/16 Miles
Maiden Special Weight
2-year-olds
Purse $63,000

1. Western Dynamo (Dyanaformer – Western Wind, by Gone West)
Trainer: George Weaver
- Foaled April 6, 2005 in Kentucky
- $250,000 yearling (Keeneland September 2006)
- half-brother to Grade 3 turf winner Western Ransom (9-4-3-1, $229,290, 0-2 at two, 3-6 on turf, first-turf winner)
- sire was a multiple Grade 2 winner (30-7-5-2, $671,207, 1-5 at two, 2-7 on turf)
- sire is 33-308 (11%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 83-551 (15%) with first-time turf runners
- sire has two older debut winners this year (both on turf)
- dam was a multiple turf winner (8-2-3-1, $50,230, unraced at two, all races on grass)
- dam has four foals of racing age, three runners, three winners, one juvenile runner, no juvenile winners, three turf runners, three turf winners, two first-turf winners, one older debut winner on grass.
- dam a half-sister to British Group 3 turf winner Pharian, stakes-placed turf Jangada (15-3-1-4, $79,421, unraced at two, 2-11 on turf, first-turf winner), and multiple turf winner Aletta Maria (dam of Grade 2-placed turfer Bryntirion, French Group 1-placed turfer Fort Nottingham, multiple Grade 1 turf winner Cetewayo, multiple Grade 3-placed turfer De Aar, Grade 2 turf winner Bowman Mill, etc.)
- dam a full sister to British Group 2 turf winner Raah Algharb (3-9 at two, all wins on grass)
- Gone West is the broodmare sire of seven debut winners this year
- trainer is 2-31 (6%, $1.57 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners on turf
- trainer is 0-12 at Saratoga with juvenile debut runners on turf
- trainer has one juvenile debut winner this year (Lasix on for this owner)
- July 23, July 30 workouts match barn’s three-year-old Truth Or Dare (71 Beyer top on turf)

1a. Beat the Heat (Hold That Tiger – Haven, by Forty Niner)
Trainer: George Weaver
- Foaled April 8, 2005 in Florida
- $50,000 yearling (OBS August 2006)
- withdrawn juvenile (OBS March 2007)
- first-crop sire was a Group 1 winner on grass at two (10-3-1-1, $644,235, 3-5 at two, 3-6 on grass)
- sire is 2-26 (8%) with juvenile runners
- sire is 1-3 (33%) with turf runners
- dam was unplaced (1-0-0-0, $0, 0-1 at two, unraced on turf)
- dam has seven foals of racing age, six runners, two winners, four juvenile runners, one juvenile winner, two turf runners, no turf winners
- dam a half-sister to stakes-winner Rail (71-15-14-6, $255,736, 2-7 at two, 3-10 on turf)
- dam a full sister to multiple Grade 2-placed Tourney (11-3-1-1, $119,717, 1-5 at two, unraced on turf)
- trainer is 3-58 (5%, $0.92 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles
- trainer is 0-18 at Saratoga with second-time juveniles

2. Ready for May (More Than Ready – Maybe in May, by Miswaki)
Trainer: Todd Pletcher
- Foaled March 22, 2005 in Florida
- sire was a Grade 1-winning sprinter on dirt (17-7-4-1, $1,026,229, 5-7 at two, unraced on turf)
- sire is 70-443 (16%) with juvenile runners
- sire is 20-119 (17%) with first-time turf runners
- full brother to Group 3-placed juvenile turfer Ready for Spring (in England, 2-4 at two on grass, all wins on turf)
- dam was unplaced (2-0-0-0, $1,620, unraced at two, unraced on turf, cost $60,000 as a yearling)
- dam has five foals of racing age, four runners, three winners, four juvenile runners, one juvenile winner, three turf runners, three turf winners, two first-turf winners
- dam a half-sister to stakes-placed First Violin (18-2-3-4, $54,823, unraced at two, 0-1 on turf), and multiple stakes-placed Chitchat Chitchat (30-4-7-5, $148,460, 0-2 at two, 3-22 on turf)
- trainer is 6-24 (25%, $2.02 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles switching to grass
- trainer is 3-9 (33%, $2.81 ROI) with that move at Saratoga

2b: Strike It Ritz (Smart Strike – Miss Ritz, by Spend a Buck)
Trainer: Todd Pletcher
- Foaled January 15, 2005 in Texas
- $160,000 yearling (Keeneland September 2006)
- sire was a Grade 1-winning router on dirt (8-6-1-0, $337,376, unraced at two, unraced on turf)
- sire is 31-173 (18%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 25-239 (10%) with first-time turf runners
- sire has eight debut winners this year (two juvenile debut winners, two on turf, one for Pletcher barn)
- dam was a multiple stakes-winning sprinter on dirt (17-7-5-1, $260,673, 3-8 at two, won debut, 0-3 on turf)
- this is dam’s first foal
- second dam a half-sister to stakes-placed dirt sprinter Bellewood (11-3-3-2, $72,810, 0-1 at two, unraced on turf), and multiple stakes-winner Trapped Again (40-8-9-8, $441,489, 0-3 at two, 0-1 on turf)
- Spend a Buck is the broodmare sire of one debut winner this year
- trainer is 13-63 (21%, $1.53 ROI) over the last five years with juvenile debut runners on turf
- trainer is 7-24 (29%, $2.03 ROI) at Saratoga with juvenile debut runners on turf
- trainer has 15 debut winners this year (two on turf, all with Lasix, 10 juvenile debut winners)
- May 30 workout matches barn’s juvenile filly Just Seventeen (finished fifth in lone career start on June 29 in dirt maiden special weight with 39 Beyer)
- June 10 workout matches barn’s juvenile filly Return to Paradise (finished fifth in lone career start on July 4 in turf maiden special weight with 58 Beyer)
- June 24 workout matches barn’s juvenile filly Rap Tale (finished third in career debut on dirt at Monmouth on July 4 with 51 Beyer)
- July 13 workout matches barn’s juvenile filly Alachua (finished fourth in lone career start on July 26 in dirt maiden special weight with 53 Beyer)

3. Caravel (Aljabr – Crazy Canard, by Woodman)
Trainer: William Mott
- Foaled March 8, 2005 in Florida
- sire was a multiple Group 1 winner on turf in Europe (9-5-1-0, $593,796, 3-3 at two, all races on turf)
- sire is 3-24 (13%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 5-25 (20%) with first-time turf runners
- sire has one older debut winner this year (on turf in a maiden claimer at Philadelphia Park)
- Aljabr – Woodman ‘nick’ produced Phantom Gray (16-2-1-0, $19,260, unraced at two, 0-6 on turf)
- dam was unplaced in France (1-0-0-0, $0, unraced at two, started on turf)
- dam has five foals of racing age, four runners, four winners, two juvenile runners, no juvenile winners, three turf runners, two turf winners, one first-turf winner)
- dam a half-sister to stakes-winning turfer Newton’s Law (1-5 at two in Europe, all wins on grass), and Italian Group 1 turf winner Close Conflict
- Woodman is the broodmare sire of eight debut winners this year
- trainer is 6-72 (8%, $0.71 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners on turf
- trainer is 1-17 (6%, $0.26 ROI) at Saratoga with juvenile debut runners on turf
- trainer has seven debut winners this year (four on turf, six with Lasix, two with blinkers, two with Prado, two juvenile debut winners)

4. Rebounded (Boundary – Merry Joyce, by Royal Academy)
Trainer: Barclay Tagg
- Foaled February 5, 2005 in Kentucky
- sire was a multiple Grade 3-winning sprinter on dirt (8-6-1-1, $217,777)
- sire is 31-128 (24%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 22-160 (14%) with first-time turf runners
- sire has two debut winners this year (one juvenile debut winner)
- dam was placed on turf (4-0-0-1, $4,040, 0-3 at two, 0-3 on turf)
- this is dam’s first foal
- second dam is turf stakes-placed Rejoyced (18-5-2-0, $111,990, unraced at two, 5-17 on turf, won debut)
- female family of multiple Grade 3 turf winner Highland Springs, Grade 1 turf winner Miss Josh, Grade 3 turf winner Highland Crystal, and Grade 1 turf winner Royal Mountain Inn
- Royal Academy is the broodmare sire of no debut winners this year
- trainer is 0-8 over the past five years with juvenile debut runners on turf
- trainer is 0-1 at Saratoga with juvenile debut runners on turf
- trainer has four debut winners this year (all with Lasix, one with blinkers and front bandages, one with Coa, two juvenile debut winners)
- June 2, June 7, June 17 workouts match barn’s three-year-old Talleyrand (finished eighth in lone career start on July 14 in Delaware Park dirt maiden special weight with 1 Beyer)
- June 12 workout matches barn’s four-year-old filly Hot Property (finished second in July 1 ‘n2x’ optional claimer on Delaware dirt with 72 Beyer; 14 Beyer on turf)

5. Furlong Baby (Smart Strike – Dancingthruseattle, by Seattle Slew)
Trainer: Jamie Sanders
- March 17, 2005 in Kentucky
- $30,000 yearling (Keeneland September 2006)
- withdrawn juvenile (Fasig-Tipton May 2007)
- sire was a Grade 1-winning router on dirt (8-6-1-0, $337,376, unraced at two, unraced on turf)
- sire is 87-478 (18%) with juvenile runners
- sire is 25-239 (10%) with first-time turf runners
- dam was unraced (sold for $105,000 as a yearling)
- dam has two foals of racing age, one runner, no winners, one juvenile runner, no turf runners
- second dam a half-sister to stakes-winning dirt router Dance Account (19-5-2-4, $132,026, 1-4 at two, 0-1 on turf)
- trainer is 1-8 (13%, $11.88 ROI) over the past five years with juveniles trying turf for the first time
- trainer is 1-4 (25%, $23.75 ROI) at Saratoga with juveniles trying turf for the first time

6. Unbridled Trip (Trippi – Unbridled Bliss, by Unbridled)
Trainer: Stanley Hough
- Foaled March 15, 2005 in Florida
- withdrawn juvenile (OBS March 2007)
- $410,000 juvenile (OBS April 2007, ***sale-topper)
- sire was a Grade 1 sprint winner on dirt (14-7-1-2, $666,220, unraced at two, unraced on turf)
- sire is 20-85 (24%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 4-49 (8%) with first-time turf runners
- sire has six debut winners this year (five juvenile debut winners)
- dam was unraced
- dam has five foals of racing age, three runners, one winner, one juvenile runner, no juvenile winners, one turf runner, no turf winners
- dam a half-sister to stakes-winner Debbie’s Bliss (19-3-4-2, $83,560, 2-7 at two, 0-4 on turf), Grade 3 dirt sprint winner Blissful State (38-7-9-5, $346,851, 1-1 at two, unraced on turf), and stakes-placed juvenile dirt sprinter Blissful Trip (9-2-1-2, $61,839, 1-5 at two, won debut, 0-1 on turf)
- Unbridled is the broodmare sire of three debut winners this year
- trainer is 1-9 (11%, $1.49 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners on turf
- trainer is 1-4 (25%, $3.35 ROI) at Saratoga with juvenile debut runners on turf
- trainer has two juvenile debut winners this year (both with Lasix, one with blinkers, both with Castellano, one for this owner at this meet)
- worked a quarter-mile in 22 seconds prior to the April sale
- June 22 workout matches barn’s three-year-old Gold Trippi (finished second in ‘n1x’ turf allowance here on July 27 with 87 Beyer)
- July 6, July 13, July 21 workouts match barn’s juvenile Sargent Seattle (won career debut on dirt here on July 25 with 92 Beyer)

7. Smarteralex (Volponi – Little Cupcake, by Hansel)
Trainer: Heriberto Cedano

- Foaled February 4, 2005 in New York
- first-crop sire was a Grade 1 route winner on dirt (31-7-12-5, $3,187,232, 1-5 at two, 2-10 on turf)
- sire is 2-21 (10%) with juvenile runners
- sire is 1-2 (50%) with turf runners
- dam was a turf winner (13-1-1-2, $50,440, 0-2 at two, 1-6 on turf)
- dam has two foals of racing age, two runners, no winners, two juvenile runners, two turf runners
- dam is a half-sister to stakes-placed dirt sprinter Sam’s In Control (29-3-10-2, $131,136, 1-10 at two, unraced on turf)
- trainer is 0-7 over the past five years with juveniles going sprint to route on turf
- trainer is 0-4 using that angle with Spa Babies

8. Starbank (Fusaichi Pegasus – Brilliant Burma, by Lite the Fuse)
Trainer: D. Wayne Lukas
- Foaled April 19, 2005 in Kentucky
- $370,000 weanling (Keeneland November 2005)
- $575,000 yearling (Keeneland September 2006)
- sire was a Grade 1 route winner on dirt (9-6-2-0, $1,994,400, 0-1 at two, unraced on turf)
- sire is 10-81 (12%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 7-88 (8%) with first-time turf runners
- sire has two debut winners this year (one juvenile debut winner)
- dam was unplaced (3-0-0-0, $90, 0-1 at two, 0-1 on turf)
- this is dam’s first foal
- dam a half-sister to multiple Grade 1 winner Antespend (24-10-4-2, $1,011,953, 4-5 at two, won debut, 7-17 on turf, first-turf winner, dam of Grade 1 winner Friends Lake, and Grade 2 winner Seeking the Ante)
- Lite the Fuse is the broodmare sire of one debut winner this year
- trainer is 0-7 over the last five years with juvenile debut runners on turf
- trainer is 0-2 at Saratoga with juvenile debut runners on turf
- trainer has no debut winners this year
- July 3 workout matches barn’s three-year-old John’s Road (finished seventh in lone career start in July 25 turf maiden special weight with 72 Beyer)

9. (MTO) New York Holiday (Harlan’s Holiday – Sequins, by Northern Fashion)
Trainer: Dominick Schettino
- Foaled April 11, 2005 in Virginia
- $125,000 yearling (Fasig-Tipton Select August 2006)
- out yearling (Keeneland September 2006)
- half-brother to multiple stakes-winner Im Out First (56-10-10-12, $438,628, 1-10 at two, 9-28 in dirt routes), and stakes-winning router Zenith (24-4-5-6, $205,186, 0-3 at two, 4-13 in dirt routes)
- first-crop sire was a multiple Grade 1-winning dirt router (22-9-6-1, $3,632,664, 4-6 at two, 7-18 in dirt routes)
- sire is 3-15 (20%) with juvenile debut runners
- dam was a turf winner (4-1-0-1, $19,490, unraced at two, 0-1 in dirt routes)
- dam has 11 foals of racing age, nine runners, seven winners, six juvenile runners, one juvenile winner
- dam a half-sister to French Group 3-placed turfer Gleam Out
- Northern Fashion is the broodmare sire of no debut winners this year
- trainer is 3-32 (9%, $0.88 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 1-7 (14%, $0.51 ROI) at Saratoga with juvenile debut runners
- trainer has no debut winners this year
- July 15 workout matches barn’s three-year-old Zip’s Affair (finished eighth in Monmouth ‘n1x’ on July 21 with 52 Beyer)

Analysis:
UNBRIDLED TRIP topped the OBS April auction when the hammer dropped at $410,000 (41 times the stud fee of sire Trippi). He shows several solid morning trials for trainer Stanley Hough, the trainer of meet debut winner (and frequent workmate of Unbridled Trip) Sargent Seattle, and jockey Javier Castellano has been aboard both of Hough’s debut winners this year.
STARBANK must be a real looker as she sold for $370,000 as a weanling, and for $575,000 as a yearling. He must deal with a difficult outside post position, but is bred to appreciate this route distance, and has a classy female family. WESTERN DYNAMO has a very strong turf pedigree, and draws a cozy inside post position. The worktab is a bit light, but he wouldn’t be a surprise with a good trip. STRIKE IT RITZ may be the “other” half of the Pletcher entry with Johnny V. named to ride READY FOR MAY, but it pays to follow these Smart Strike babies, and Strike It Ritz shows a bullet work on the weeds. REBOUNDED is by an underrated win-early sire, but the workouts only give out mixed vibes

Selections:
1. Unbridled Trip
2. Starbank
3. Western Dynamo (turf only)

The play: Unbridled Trip to win at 2-1 odds or more (turf only)

Race 4
5 1/2 Furlongs
Maiden Claiming ($75,000)
2-year-old fillies
Purse $40,000

1. Cherokee Time (Yonaguska – Peridot, by Gilded Time)
Trainer: Eddie Kenneally
- Foaled January 19, 2005 in Kentucky
- $150,000 short yearling (Keeneland January 2006)
- sire was a Grade 1 sprint winner at two (18-6-1-5, $536,355, 3-7 at two, 6-15 in dirt sprints)
- sire is 39-247 (16%) with juvenile runners
- dam was unraced
- dam has two foals of racing age, one runner, no winners, one juvenile runner
- dam a full sister to Grade 2 winner Elaborate (28-6-2-8, $565,852, 0-2 at two, 4-20 in dirt sprints), and stakes-placed turfer No Malo (21-1-4-3, $93,400, unraced at two, 0-3 in dirt sprints)
- trainer is 1-7 (14%, $0.57 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles dropping into maiden claimer
- trainer is 0-1 with that angle at Saratoga

1a. Wild Logic (D’wildcat – Logical Reasoning, by Lord Avie)
Trainer: Steven Asmussen
- Foaled March 2, 2005 in Ontario
- $125,000 weanling (Fasig-Tipton November 2005)
- half-sister to multiple stakes-winner G. W.’s Skippie (17-4-2-1, $123,611, 1-2 at two, 2-10 in dirt sprints)
- first-crop sire was a Grade 1 sprint winner (18-5-2-2, $570,444, 0-1 at two, 4-14 in dirt sprints)
- sire is 3-21 (14%) with juvenile runners
- dam was a route winner (4-1-1-1, $31,846, 1-4 at two, 0-1 in dirt sprints, cost $16,000 as a weanling, $28,000 as a yearling, and $180,000 as a juvenile)
- dam has four foals of racing age, four runners, two winners, four juvenile runners, one juvenile winner
- dam a full sister to stakes-placed sprinter Avie’s World (12-3-2-3, $30,915, 2-5 at two, 3-10 in dirt sprints)
- trainer is 466-1933 (24%, $1.75 ROI) over the past five years with juveniles
- trainer is 19-60 (32%, $1.61 ROI) with Spa Babies

2. Centerport Baby (Successful Appeal – Spend a Buck Baby, by Spend a Buck)
Trainer: Peter Pugh
- Foaled March 31, 2005 in Florida
- $4,000 weanling (Keeneland November 2005)
- $9,000 yearling (Keeneland September 2006)
- sire was a multiple Grade 2 winner (22-8-2-4, $654,681, 3-6 at two, 7-13 in dirt sprints)
- sire is 18-75 (24%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire has two debut winners this year (one juvenile debut winner, both in maiden claimers)
- dam was a route winner (51-4-9-9, $124,609, 1-3 at two, 0-6 in dirt sprints, cost $7,200 as a yearling)
- dam has two foals of racing age, one runner, no winners, no juvenile runners
- Spend a Buck is the broodmare sire of one debut winner this year
- trainer is 0-7 over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 0-3 with debuting Spa Babies

3. Huge Party (Kafwain – Sutter Sutter, by Sutter’s Prospect)
Trainer: Linda Rice
- Foaled April 6, 2005 in Kentucky
- $40,000 weanling (Keeneland November 2005)
- $37,000 RNA yearling (Keeneland September 2006)
- $67,000 RNA juvenile (OBS April 2007)
- first-crop sire is a multiple Grade 2 winner (11-4-2-2, $715,848, 3-8 at two, 3-6 in dirt sprints)
- sire is 2-11 (18%) with juvenile debut runners
- dam was a multiple stakes-winning sprinter (14-4-3-0, $169,818, 4-5 at two, won debut, 4-13 in dirt sprints)
- dam has two foals of racing age, one runner, one winner, no juvenile runners
- dam a half-sister to juvenile stakes-placed sprinter Flag Dancer (9-1-1-1, $18,501, 1-4 at two, won debut, all races dirt sprints)
- Sutter’s Prospect is the broodmare sire of one debut winner this year
- trainer is 8-98 (8%, $1.19 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 1-33 (3%, $0.74 ROI) with debuting Spa Babies
- trainer has one juvenile debut winner this year (on turf without Lasix)
- worked a bullet furlong in 10.20 prior to the April sale

4. Predate (Pure Precision – Date, by Notebook)
Trainer: Richard Dutrow Jr.
- Foaled February 14, 2005 in Florida
- $50,000 claim (Churchill Downs from Steve Asmussen)
-first-crop sire was a Grade 3 sprint winner at two (8-4-2-1, $186,550, 3-4 at two, all races in dirt sprints)
- sire is 1-8 (13%) with juvenile debut runners
- dam was a sprint winner (6-1-0-0, $11,640, 1-4 at two, 1-5 in dirt sprints)
- dam has two foals of racing age, two runners, one winner, two juvenile runners, one juvenile winner
- dam a half-sister to stakes-winner Skipjack (34-7-3-5, $162,280, 1-6 at two, 0-6 in dirt sprints)
- trainer is 5-11 (45%, $2.92 ROI) over the past five years with newly-claimed juveniles
- trainer is 0-2 with that angle at Saratoga

5. Unicorn Girl (A. P. Five Hundred – Horah for Bailey, by Doneraile Court)
Trainer: Michael McDonald
- Foaled March 15, 2005 in Kentucky
- $45,000 juvenile (OBS April 2007)
- first-crop sire was a Grade 2-placed router (7-1-0-4, $122,735, 0-1 at two, 0-1 in dirt sprints)
- this is sire’s first starter
- dam was a juvenile stakes-winning sprinter (6-2-1-2, $58,550, all races at two, 2-4 in dirt sprints, cost $3,200 as a yearling)
- this is dam’s first foal
- second dam an unraced half-sister to multiple stakes-winning sprinter Comic Blush (18-8-2-1, $208,990, 0-1 at two, all races in dirt sprints), stakes-winner Starita (41-7-10-5, $241,485, 0-4 at two, 6-29 in dirt sprints, and juvenile stakes-winning sprinter Dr. Adagio (33-4-8-3, $153,442, 2-6 at two, 4-27 in dirt sprints)
- Doneraile Court is the broodmare sire of no debut winners this year
- trainer is 9-68 (13%, $1.75 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 0-1 with debuting Spa Babies
- trainer had an older maiden claiming debut winner at Gulfstream this year (Lasix on)
- worked one furlong in 10.60 prior to the April sale

6. Blairstown (Chief Seattle – Trip Around Heaven, by Halo)
Trainer: Carlos Martin
- Foaled March 4, 2005 in Kentucky
- half-sister to juvenile stakes-placed Star of Atticus (16-3-2-1, $123,971, 1-4 at two, 3-8 in dirt sprints), and juvenile stakes-placed turfer Limoncella (10-2-0-1, $68,262, 1-7 at two, 0-1 in dirt sprints)
- sire was multiple Grade 1-placed routing at two (4-1-2-0, $327,000, all races at two, won debut, 1-1 in dirt sprints)
- sire is 10-84 (12%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire has four older debut winners this year (one in maiden claimer)
- dam was a sprint winner (7-1-1-0, $14,269, 1-7 at two, 1-5 in dirt sprints)
- dam has 11 foals of racing age, 10 runners, nine winners, five juvenile runners, four juvenile winners
- dam a half-sister to Grade 2-placed sprinter Levitation (25-5-9-5, $178,188, 0-1 at two, 5-23 in dirt sprints)
- Halo is the broodmare sire of two debut winners this year
- trainer is 3-62 (5%, $1.29 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 0-9 with debuting Spa Babies
- trainer has no debut winners this year
- June 16 workout matches barn’s juvenile Canary Yellow (finished 10th in lone career start in turf maiden special weight on July 30 with 51 Beyer)
- July 20 workout went .02 faster than barn’s three-year-old filly Limoncella (83 Beyer top on turf, 34 on dirt)

7. Hot Gold (Touch Gold – Guess, by Twining)
Trainer: Scott Schwartz
- Foaled March 27, 2005 in Ontario
- out weanling (Keeneland November 2005)
- $12,000 yearling (Keeneland September 2006)
- $24,000 juvenile (Fasig-Tipton May 2007)
- sire was a multiple Grade 1 route winner (15-6-3-1, $1,679,907, 1-4 at two, won debut, 2-3 in dirt sprints)
- sire is 18-167 (11%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire has four debut winners this year (one juvenile debut winner)
- dam was a stakes-winning sprinter (30-7-8-5, $130,320, 1-2 at two, won debut, 7-29 in dirt sprints)
- dam has two foals of racing age, one runner, one winner, no juvenile runners
- dam a half-sister to stakes-winner Runaway Choice (37-6-8-8, $254,950, 1-4 at two, won debut, 1-7 in dirt sprints)
- Twining is the broodmare sire of one debut winner this year
- trainer is 1-36 (3%, $0.20 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 1-13 (8%, $0.55 ROI) with debuting Spa Babies
- worked a quarter-mile in 22.60 prior to the May sale

8. Ellie’s Buddha (Buddha – Ellie’s Mambo, by Kingmambo)
Trainer: Patrick Biancone
- Foaled March 30, 2005 in Kentucky
- $47,000 RNA weanling (Keeneland November 2005)
- sire was a Grade 1 route winner (4-3-0-0, $489,600, 0-1 at two, 1-2 in dirt sprints)
- sire is 11-119 (9%) with juvenile runners
- dam was unraced (cost $250,000 as a yearling)
- dam has two foals of racing age, two runners, no winners, two juvenile runners
- dam a half-sister to Grade 3-placed Kelly’s Olympics (in South Africa)
- trainer is 0-1 over the past five years with second-time juveniles dropping into maiden claimers

9. Justoutofthebox (Outofthebox – Just Kissing, by Kissin Kris)
Trainer: H. Allen Jerkens
- Foaled February 3, 2005 in Florida
- out juvenile (OBS April 2007)
- sire was a Grade 1 route winner (16-5-4-3, $734,008, 2-5 at two, unraced in dirt sprints)
- sire is 10-141 (7%) with juvenile runners
- dam was placed sprinting (11-0-2-0, $7,240, 0-4 at two, all races sprinting)
- dam has four foals of racing age, three runners, two winners, three juvenile runners, one juvenile winner
- dam is a half-sister to Grade 2 sprint winner Shadow Caster (47-8-6-10, $477,653, 3-11 at two, 7-35 in dirt sprints)
trainer is 1-8 (13%, $0.42 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles dropping into maiden claimers
- trainer is 0-2 with that angle at Saratoga

10. Willbegolden (Gilded Time – Mightbearuffian, by Don’s Choice)
Trainer: Jamie Sanders
- Foaled February 15, 2005 in Kentucky
- withdrawn yearling (Keeneland September 2006)
- half-sister to juvenile stakes-placed Mightbeachamp (25-1-3-0, $35,136, 1-8 at two, 0-7 in dirt sprints)
- sire was a Grade 1 route winner at two (6-4-0-1, $975,980, 4-4 at two, 2-4 in dirt sprints)
- sire is 165-1079 (15%) with juvenile runners
- dam was a winner (14-2-4-0, $16,648, 0-4 at two, 1-14 in dirt sprints, cost $4,500 as a yearling)
- dam has four foals of racing age, four runners, two winners, three juvenile runners, one juvenile winner
- second dam a winning half-sister to stakes-winner Careless Moment (33-8-2-7, $51,322), multiple stakes-winner Oats and Corn (49-12-6-6, $103,245), and Grade 3 route winner Dunham’s Gift (25-9-6-4, $266,624)
- trainer is 0-35 over the past five years with second-time juveniles
- trainer is 0-4 with second-time Spa Babies

Analysis:
CENTERPORT BABY is by a very precocious sire, and her dam won as a juvenile. She seems well-spotted in this maiden claiming event, and should offer plenty of value going out for low-profile connections.
WILD LOGIC ran an improved race in her first start for a tag, and should be a forward factor on Friday. You always have to respect this barn with babies. PREDATE makes first start for the Dutrow Jr. barn after blowing a big lead at Churchill. She may be the one to catch here, and it’s good to see Prado take the mount.
CHEROKEE TIME may have been compromised by a speed-favoring track in her Churchill Downs debut, but that was the slower division of juvenile filly maiden special weights on July 1, and several horses have returned from that race with mediocre efforts. ELLIE’S BUDDHA didn’t show much in her career debut, but it’s nice to see her wheel back on such short notice, and she has a race over the track. The Biancone barn is starting to show some life.

Selections:
1. Centerport Baby
2. Wild Logic
3. Predate

The play: Centerport Baby to win and place at 8-1 odds or more

Race 6
1 1/16 Miles (Turf)
Maiden Special Weight
2-year-olds
Purse $63,000

1. Flying Dismount (Proud Citizen - Classical Romance, by Regal Classic
Trainer: Todd Pletcher
- Foaled March 19, 2005 in Kentucky
- $12,000 weanling (Keeneland November 2005)
- $60,000 yearling (Keeneland September 2006)
- half-brother to stakes-placed Cool All Over (10-1-3-1, $34,554, 0-4 at two, 1-5 on turf, first-turf winner
- first-crop sire was a Grade 2 route winner (16-3-2-1, $638,822, 1-4 at two, unraced on turf)
- sire is 3-28 (11%) with juvenile runners
- this is sire’s first turf runner
- dam was a route stakes-winner (19-3-1-1, $196,227, 2-7 at two, 0-4 on turf, cost $32,776 as a yearling)
- dam has two foals of racing age, two runners, one winner, two juvenile runners, no juvenile winners, one turf runner, one turf winner, one first-turf winner
- dam a half-sister to stakes-placed router Eternal Halo (56-14-8-7, $86,786, 1-3 at two, unraced on turf), multiple stakes-winner Briartic Romance (61-11-5-9, $278,490, 4-8 at two, unraced on turf), and multiple Grade 3 winner Scotman (33-8-4-6, $386,068, 2-6 at two, 0-1 on turf)
- trainer is 6-24 (25%, $2.02 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles switching to grass
- trainer is 3-9 (33%, $2.81 ROI) with that move at Saratoga
- July 28 workout went .01 faster than barn’s juvenile Chitoz (finish sixth in lone career outing in maiden special weight on Belmont turf on July 13 with 48 Beyer)

1a. Il Girasole (Lemon Drop Kid - Carly’s Crown, by Wild Again)
Trainer: Todd Pletcher
- Foaled March 30, 2005 in Kentucky
- $300,000 yearling ( Keeneland September 2006)
- half-brother to juvenile stakes-winner French Assault (9-2-3-0, $141,090, 2-8 at two, 1-2 on turf, first-turf winner)
- sire was a multiple Grade 1 winner (24-10-3-3, $3,245,370, 2-6 at two, unraced on turf)
- sire is 5-78 (6%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 16-125 (13%) with first-time turf runners
- sire has two older debut winners this year (one on turf, one for the Pletcher barn)
- dam was a winner (13-3-2-2, $91,636, 0-2 at two, 0-2 on turf)
- dam has five foals of racing age, four runners, three winners, three juvenile runners, three juvenile winners, four turf runners, three turf winners, two first-turf winners
- second dam an unraced half-sister to multiple Grade 1 winner Chief’s Crown (21-12-3-3, $2,191,168, 6-9 at two, 1-2 on turf, first-turf winner), multiple Grade 1 winner Classic Crown (14-4-3-1, $535,919, 2-3 at two, won debut, unraced on turf), and Grade 1-placed router Tribunal (18-3-3-4, $315,140, 0-1 at two, 0-1 on turf)
- Wild Again is the broodmare sire of eight debut winners this year
- trainer is 13-63 (21%, $1.53 ROI) over the last five years with juvenile debut runners on turf
- trainer is 7-24 (29%, $2.03 ROI) at Saratoga with juvenile debut runners on turf
- trainer has 15 debut winners this year (two on turf, all with Lasix, 10 juvenile debut winners, eight with John Velazquez)
- July 27 workout matches barn’s juvenile Strike It Ritz (scheduled to debut in Race 2)

2. Adriano (A.P. Indy - Gold Canyon, by Mr. Prospector)
Trainer: H. Graham Motion
- Foaled May 20, 2005 in Kentucky
- sire was a multiple Grade 1 winner (11-8-0-1, $2,979,815, 3-4 at two, 1-2 in dirt sprints
- sire is 31-268 (12%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 36-345 (10%) with first-time turf runners
- sire has two older debut winners this year
- A.P. Indy - Mr. Prospector ‘nick’ has produced Grade 3 route winner A.P. Arrow (19-4-4-5, $643,549, unraced at two, unraced on turf), multiple Grade 1 route winner Mineshaft (18-10-3-1, $2,283,402, unraced at two, 1-7 on turf), juvenile Grade 1 route winner Tempera (7-3-2-2, $770,240, 3-5 at two, unraced on turf), Grade 1 route winner Tomisue’s Delight (20-7-5-4, $1,207,537, 1-2 at two, unraced on turf), Grade 2 route winner Congrats (26-7-3-5, $998,960, 1-2 at two, won debut, unraced on turf), multiple Grade 2 route winner Pulpit (6-4-1-0, $728,200, unraced at two, unraced on turf), etc.
- dam was a route winner (6-1-0-2, $27,740, unraced at two, 0-1 on turf, cost $400,000 as a yearling)
- dam has two foals of racing age, one runner, one winner, no juvenile runners, one turf runner, no turf winners
- dam is a three-quarter sister to sprint stakes-winner Double Scoop (16-6-2-2, $257,494, unraced at two, unraced on turf)
- Mr. Prospector is the broodmare sire of four debut winners this year
- trainer is 1-14 (7%, $0.77 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners on turf
- trainer is 1-2 (50%, $5.40 ROI) at Saratoga with Spa Babies debuting on grass
- trainer has six debut winners this year (one on turf, all with Lasix, one juvenile debut winner)
- July 19 workout matches barn’s juvenile filly Silver Glade (finished fourth in lone career start in July 30 dirt maiden special weight at Delaware with 52 Beyer)
- July 26 workout matches barn’s three-year-old Go Ahead Run (finished seventh in lone career outing on July 10 in $25,000 maiden claimer on Colonial turf with 28 Beyer)

3. Celestial Comet (Smart Strike - Danzig’s Edge, by Danzig)
Trainer: William Mott
- Foaled March 7, 2005 in Kentucky
- sire was a Grade 1 route winner (8-6-1-0, $337,376, unraced at two, unraced on turf)
- sire is 31-173 (18%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 25-239 (10%) with first-time turf runners
- sire has eight debut winners this year (two on turf, one for the Pletcher barn)
- Smart Strike - Danzig ‘nick’ has produced Grade 1 turf winner Soaring Free (27-15-4-0, $2,110,371, unraced at two, 11-18 on turf), and Grade 3 winner High Strike Zone (46-14-13-9, $656,810, 1-4 at two, won debut, 0-1 on turf)
- dam was stakes-placed on turf at two (10-2-0-2, $62,760, 2-6 at two, 2-8 on turf, first-turf winner, cost $350,000 as a yearling)
- dam has two foals of racing age, one runner, no winners, one juvenile runner, one turf runner
- dam a half-sister to stakes-placed sprinter Eaves (9-3-1-2, $51,036, 0-2 at two, unraced on turf), and multiple Grade 3 turf winner Boundary (8-6-1-1, $217,777, unraced at two, unraced on turf)
- Danzig is the broodmare sire of six debut winners this year
- trainer is 6-72 (8%, $0.71 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners on turf
- trainer is 1-17 (6%, $0.26 ROI) at Saratoga with juvenile debut runners on turf
- trainer has seven debut winners this year (four on turf, six with Lasix, two with blinkers, two with Desormeaux, two juvenile debut winners)
- June 14 workout matches barn’s juvenile Beach Deputy (finished fourth in career debut on Ellis Park turf on August 2 with 41 Beyer)
- June 22 workout matches barn’s juvenile He’s the Commander (finished fourth in career debut on turf on July 13 at Belmont with 59 Beyer)
- June 29 work matches barn’s juvenile Always a Believer (won career debut on turf on July 22 at Belmont with 69 Beyer), and went .01 slower than Mott juvenile Commandeered (finished second in career debut here on dirt on July 28 with 76 Beyer) and juvenile filly Namaste’s Wish (finished fourth in career debut on dirt on July 6 with 33 Beyer)
- July 10 work matches Commandeered

4. Big Al (Repent - Alphabulous, by Alphabatim)
Trainer: Timothy Hills
- Foaled April 8, 2005 in Florida
- $42,000 weanling (OBS October 2005)
- $29,000 RNA yearling (OBS August 2006)
- $23,000 juvenile (OBS February 2007)
- $25,000 juvenile (Fasig-Tipton May 2007)
- half-brother to stakes-winner Fabulous Broad (6-4-0-0, $96,640, unraced at two, unraced on turf)
- first-crop sire was a multiple Grade 2 route winner (10-5-3-1, $1,255,660, 3-5 at two, unraced on turf)
- sire is 0-18 with juvenile runners
- this is sire’s first turf runner
- dam was a Grade 3 winner (35-6-8-8, $262,938, 1-1 at two, 0-4 on turf, cost $8,000 as a yearling)
- dam has eight foals of racing age, six runners, five winners, three juvenile runners, one juvenile winner, four turf runners, one turf winner
- dam a half-sister to multiple stakes-placed Bugsy (in Venezuela)
- trainer is 0-8 over the past five years with second-time juveniles switching to turf
- trainer is 0-1 at Saratoga with that move
- worked a furlong in 11 seconds prior to the February sale.
- worked a quarter-mile in 22.40 prior to the May sale

5. Stormtalk (Storm Cat - Phone Chatter, by Phone Trick
Trainer: D. Wayne Lukas
- Foaled April 28, 2005 in Kentucky
- $800,000 yearling (Keeneland September 2006)
- full brother to Grade 2 sprint winner Cat Chat (7-3-1-1, $154,040, 1-1 at two, unraced on turf)
- sire was a Grade 1 route winner at two (8-4-3-0, $570,610, 3-6 at two, unraced on turf)
- sire is 67-341 (20%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 59-347 (17%) with first-time turf runners
- sire has no debut winners this year
- dam was a multiple Grade 1 route winner at two (15-5-3-1, $838,742, 4-6 at two, 0-3 on turf)
- dam has five foals of racing age, three runners, two winners, one juvenile runner, one juvenile winners, one juvenile debut winner, one turf runner, one turf winner
- second dam is an unraced half-sister to multiple Group 3 turf winner Auction Ring (in England), Grade 2 winner Alias Smith (49-11-9-8, $286,337, Grade 1 winner Afifa (35-6-8-5, $194,875, French Group 1–placed juvenile turfer Northern Walker (dam of multiple Grade 2 turf winner Passagere du Soir), and multiple route stakes-winner Whow (25-7-2-6, $171,096, unraced at two, 0-3 on turf, dam of Grade 2-placed router Jack Flash, and Grade 3 route winner Second of June)
- Phone Trick is the broodmare sire of four debut winners this year
- trainer is 0-7 over the last five years with juvenile debut runners on turf
- trainer is 0-2 at Saratoga with juvenile debut runners on turf
- trainer has no debut winners this year
- May 31, June 8 workouts match barn’s juvenile Lord and T. (finished 10th in lone career start on dirt on July 28 with 38 Beyer)
- June 17, June 24 works match barn’s juvenile In Orbit (finished seventh in career debut on dirt at Churchill on June 30 with 31 Beyer)
- July 23 workout matches barn’s juvenile Starbank (scheduled to debut in Race 2)

6. Ya Think (Broken Vow - Cable News, by Known Fact)
Trainer: George Weaver
- Foaled February 7, 2005 in Kentucky
- $140,000 yearling (Keeneland September 2006)
- half-brother to stakes-placed juvenile sprinter Cut to Commercial (9-1-1-1, $19,680, 0-2 at two, 0-1 on turf), and Grade 1-placed juvenile That’s an Outrage (39-3-1-6, $242,175, 1-8 at two, 0-12 on turf)
- sire was a Grade 2 route winner (14-9-2-2, $725,296, unraced at two, unraced on turf)
- sire is 45-291 (15%) with his juvenile runners
- sire is 31-212 (15%) with his turf runners
- dam was unraced
- dam has six foals of racing age, six runners, five winners, three juvenile runners, one juvenile winner, four turf runners, one turf winner
- dam a half-sister to stakes-winner Laugh Track (39-8-1-5, $92,829, 2-3 at two, 1-5 on turf), multiple Grade 2 winner Channel Three (44-9-5-7, $412,548, 3-6 at two, 1-7 on turf), and juvenile stakes-winner Fretina (14-4-3-3, $141,465, 3-6 at two, 0-1 on turf)
- trainer is 3-58 (5%, $0.92 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles
- trainer is 0-18 at Saratoga with second-time juveniles

7. Harbinger (Arg) (Incurable Optimist - Danzig Eden, by Danzig Connection)
Trainer: David Donk
- Foaled January 22, 2005 in Argentina
- sire was a multiple Grade 3 turf winner at two (6-4-1-1, $271,310, all races at two, 4-4 on turf)
- sire is 1-15 (7%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 1-23 (4%) with first-time turf runners
- sire has an older debut winner this year (for the Donk barn)
- dam was unraced
- dam has two foals of racing age, one runner, one winner, no juvenile runners, one turf runner, one turf winner
- Danzig Connection is the broodmare sire of one debut winner this year
- trainer is 1-27 (4%, $0.31 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners on turf
- trainer is 0-4 with debuting Spa Babies on grass
- trainer has one older debut winner this year (by Incurable Optimist with Lasix for this owner)
- July 4 workout went .02 slower than barn’s five-year-old Crown Point (won turf ‘n2x’ optional claimer on July 13 with 93 Beyer)
- July 9 workout matches barn’s juvenile Revealer (finished fourth in lone career start on dirt on July 27 with 52 Beyer)

8. Trust N Dustan (Trust N Luck - Lorraine, by Western Playboy)
Trainer: Stanley Hough
- Foaled April 8, 2005 in Kentucky
- first-crop sire was a Grade 1 route winner (12-5-3-1, $727,484, 4-8 at two, won debut, unraced on turf)
- sire is 1-9 (11%) with juvenile debut runners
- this is sire’s first turf runner
- dam was stakes-placed (29-5-6-6, $180,990, 0-2 at two, 0-1 on turf)
- this is dam’s first foal
- Western Playboy is the broodmare sire of no debut winners this year
- trainer is 1-9 (11%, $1.49 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners on turf
- trainer is 1-4 (25%, $3.35 ROI) at Saratoga with juvenile debut runners on turf
- trainer has two juvenile debut winners this year (both with Lasix, one with blinkers, both with Castellano, one at this meet)
- July 11 workout matches barn’s five-year-old Deputy Indy (finished fourth in dirt ‘n2x’ with 92 Beyer on July 30; 68 turf Beyer top; 79 Polytrack top)

9. Manitowish Waters (Doneraile Court - Playing Games, by Phone Trick)
Trainer: Angel Penna Jr.
- Foaled January 29, 2005 in Kentucky
- $150,000 yearling (Fasig-Tipton July 2006)
- sire was a Grade 2 route winner (16-6-3-2, $361,410, 2-5 at two, unraced on turf)
- sire is 14-134 (10%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 3-70 (4%) with first-time turf runners
- sire has two juvenile debut winners this year
- dam was stakes-placed sprinting at two (11-2-2-1, $113,329, 1-5 at two, unraced on turf)
- dam has two foals of racing age, one runner, no winners, one juvenile runner, one turf runner
- second dam is multiple stakes-winner First Stage (15-3-1-4, $67,260, unraced at two, 1-8 on turf)
- Phone Trick is the broodmare sire of four debut winners this year
- trainer is 1-4 (25%, $2.65 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners on turf
- trainer is 0-2 with Spa Babies debuting on turf
- trainer has no debut winners this year
- June 13 workout matches barn’s juvenile filly Chauette (finished fifth in lone start on dirt on July 6 with 0 Beyer)

10 (MTO) Working Man Blues (Colony Light - Taint True, by Saint Ballado)
Trainer: George Arnold II
- Foaled April 2, 2005 in Florida
- sire was a Grade 1-placed router (10-2-3-1, $136,966, 0-2 at two, 1-2 in dirt sprints)
- sire is 11-143 (8%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire has no debut winners this year
- dam was unplaced (3-0-0-0, $440, 0-2 at two, 0-2 in dirt sprints)
- dam has two foals of racing age, one runner, one winner, no juvenile runners
- second dam is a placed half-sister to stakes-placed Daytime Friend (63-8-11-10, $117,677, 0-4 at two, 1-19 in dirt sprints), stakes-winner Kafiristan (33-6-4-6, $96,326, 0-2 at two, 2-13 in dirt sprints), and multiple Grade 1-placed router Future Pretense (16-5-4-1, $234,262, 0-1 at two, 1-3 in dirt sprints)
- Saint Ballado is the broodmare sire of one debut winner this year
- trainer is 11-69 (16%, $2.82 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 1-20 (5%, $2.37 ROI) with debuting Spa Babies
- trainer has two debut winners this year (one juvenile debut winner, one with Lasix)
- June 23 workout matches barn’s three-year-old filly Sirocco Dream (finished fourth in lone career start on Ellis Park turf on July 5 with 49 Beyer), and juvenile Wicked Style (won debut on July 21 at Arlington with 62 Beyer)
- July 7, July 14 works match Wicked Style

Analysis:
Experience counts when babies run on the turf, and YA THINK should benefit from solid pacesetting try at Belmont. He was passed in the stretch, but came back gamely to grab the place in the shadow of the wire. Trainer George Weaver removes the hood, and perhaps Ya Think will relax just a bit better on or near the lead here.
HARBINGER shows some intriguing workouts leading up to his debut, and should loom a price for David Donk. His sire loved the lawn. STORMTALK has a beautiful pedigree. He and IL GIRASOLE should both be upgraded if their workmates run well in today’s first division (Race 2).
TRUST N DUSTAN also shows some solid works for his debut, but the gelding must avoid a wide trip. CELESTIAL COMET seems to be improving with each workout, but he may need a race before putting his best hoof forward. FLYING DISCOUNT was pretty dull on the toteboard for his debut considering he is trained by Todd Pletcher. The barn’s main rider opts for mate Il Girasole. ADRIANO is the result of one of the best breeding ‘nicks’ in the business (A.P. Indy - Mr. Prospector), and Graham Motion has had some success with Spa Babies over the past few years.

Selections:
1. Ya Think
2. Harbinger
3. Stormtalk (turf only)

The play: Ya Think to win at 2-1 odds or more (turf only)

Meet record based on starts, wins, top pick (after scratches) in the money, and profit/loss of that day's play ($2 wager): 12-2-6 (-$1.80)