08/28/2007 11:00PM

Spa Babies for 8/29

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Welcome to Spa Babies! I'll break down the statistics for every juvenile maiden contest at the meet, and hopefully will end up with a tidy profit.

Monday’s results:
Race 4: Expect the End finished first
Race 5: Meredith Bay finished seventh

First week recap: A combination of mediocre handicapping and conservative betting led to a small loss. Time to get back in the black: 9-2-4 (-$5.80)

Second week recap: Hideous handicapping put me further behind. It only takes one winner to turn things around, however, and there are three more chances on Wednesday alone. Let’s get back on track: 19-2-7 (-$15.80)

Third week recap: A couple of chalky winners, and a longshot runner-up got the confidence back somewhat: 27-5-12 (-$14.40)

Fourth week recap: The Saratoga Special exacta got us back within striking range, but basically it was an even-placed week: 41-8-20 (-$14.60)

Fifth week recap: The handicapping improved drastically, and Cato Major’s debut win at 18-1 sent us into the black. Hopefully, we’ll stay there for the final week of racing: 53-14-26 (+22.40)

Wednesday, August 29, 2007
Race 2
5 1/2 Furlongs
Maiden Special Weight
2-year-olds
Purse $62,000

1. Tools for the Job (Forest Wildcat – Take the Cake, by Fly So Free)
Trainer: Barclay Tagg
- Foaled February 3 in Kentucky
- sire was a multiple Grade 3 sprint winner (20-9-2-1, $478,862, 2-5 at two, all races sprinting, 2-3 in mud/slop)
- sire is 137-770 (18%) with juvenile runners
- dam was a Grade 3 sprint winner (9-3-2-0, $256,333, 2-2 at two, 3-6 in dirt sprints)
- dam has two runners, no winners, one juvenile runner
- second dam a route-winning half-sister to Grade 3 winner Omi (16-7-4-1, $319,718, unraced at two, 2-5 in dirt sprints, 2-3 in mud/slop), multiple stakes-placed Flying Lauren (13-4-3-3, $171,516, 2-6 at two, 2-7 in dirt sprints 1-1 in mud/slop), Grade 3 router Ground Storm (40-11-11-8, $628,599, unraced at two, 1-2 in dirt sprints, 1-4 in mud/slop), Grade 1 winner Pompeii (22-9-6-1, $717,288, unraced at two, 1-3 in dirt sprints), and multiple stakes-placed router Palaestra (16-3-3-2, $127,965, unraced at two, unraced in dirt sprints, 0-1 in mud/slop)
- trainer is 6-42 (14%, $1.61 ROI) over the past five years second-time juveniles
- trainer is 1-10 (10%, $0.78 ROI) with second-time Spa Babies

2. Ten Bagger (Montbrook - Meadow Silk, by Meadowlake)
Trainer: Michael Hushion
- Foaled March 24 in Florida
- $75,000 short yearling (OBS January 2006)
- half-brother to multiple stakes-placed sprinter Bay Head King (15-6-1-1, $210,713, 1-1 at two, 5-12 in dirt sprints, 0-1 in mud/slop), juvenile sprint stakes-winner Run Production (5-3-0-0, $75,600, all races sprinting at two, 1-1 in mud/slop), and Grade 2 winner route winner Star Dabbler (7-3-3-1, $319,936, unraced at two, 1-5 in dirt sprints, 0-2 in mud/slop)
- sire was a multiple Grade 3 winner (8-5-0-1, $373,728, unraced at two, 5-7 in dirt sprints)
- sire is 30-251 (12%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 9-49 (18%, $2.24 ROI) with debut runners in 2007
- dam was a sprint stakes-winner (25-13-0-2, $80,162, unraced at two, all races sprinting)
- dam has four runners, four winners, three juvenile runners, three juvenile winners, two juvenile debut winners
- dam a half-sister to stakes-placed Raven Red (42-8-10-2, $112,709, 0-4 at two, 3-27 in dirt sprints, 0-6 in mud/slop), Group 1-placed juvenile turfer Juyush (26-5-4-5, $122,903, 1-5 at two, unraced in dirt sprints), and stakes-winner Silken Cat (4-3-0-1, $102,120, 3-3 at two, 2-2 in dirt sprints)
- Meadowlake is 4-70 (6%, $0.77 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2007
- trainer is 6-34 (18%, $2.72 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 1-10 (10%, $1.00 ROI) with debuting Spa Babies
- trainer is 3-16 (19%, $2.32 ROI) with debut runners in 2007

3. Saratoga Seven (Forestry – Chalouchi, by Mt. Livemore)
Trainer: D. Wayne Lukas
- Foaled January 21 in Kentucky
- $340,000 yearling (Fasig-Tipton Select August 2006)
- sire was a Grade 1 sprint winner (11-7-1-2, $591,225, unraced at two, 4-7 in dirt sprints, 0-1 in mud/slop)
- sire is 58-292 (20%) with juvenile runners
- dam was a sprint winner (6-1-0-1, $15,606, 0-1 at two, 1-4 in dirt sprints, 1-1 in mud/slop, cost $410,000 as a yearling)
- this is dam’s first runner
- dam a half-sister to Grade 2-placed sprinter Bold Truth (15-2-0-6, $112,205, 0-1 at two, 2-12 in dirt sprints)
- trainer is 83-718 (12%, $1.04 ROI) over the past five years with juveniles on dirt
- trainer is 13-131 (10%, $1.01 ROI) with Spa Babies on dirt

4. Artytheonemanparty (Put It Back – Classy Distinction, by Distinctive)
Trainer: Richard Violette Jr.
- Foaled April 1 in Florida
- $47,000 yearling (OBS August 2006)
- $60,000 juvenile (OBS March 2007)
- half-brother to Grade 3-placed sprinter Classy Migration (11-3-4-1, $142,370, 1-3 at two, all races in dirt sprints)
- sire was a Grade 2 sprint winner (7-5-1-1, $232,895, 0-2 at two, all races in dirt sprints, 1-1 in mud/slop)
- sire is 7-45 (17%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 5-25 (20%, $3.13 ROI) with debut runners in 2007
- dam was unplaced (1-0-0-0, $0, unraced at two, 0-1 in dirt sprints)
- dam has four runners, three winners, two juvenile runners, one juvenile winner
- trainer is 20-118 (17%, $2.17 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 10-41 (24%, $2.25 ROI) with debuting Spa Babies
- trainer is 4-26 (15%, $2.33 ROI) with debut runners in 2007
- worked a quarter-mile in 22.20, and another quarter-mile in 21.60 prior to the March sale

5. I’m So Lucky (Langfuhr - Pettit, by A.P. Indy)
Trainer: John Ward Jr.
- Foaled March 10 in Kentucky
- $240,000 yearling (Keeneland September 2006)
- sire was a multiple Grade 1 winner (23-9-7-1, $698,574, unraced at two, 8-12 in dirt sprints, 1-3 in mud/slop)
- sire is 21-230 (9%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 9-50 (18%, $4.33 ROI) with debut runners in 2007
- dam was unraced
- dam has one runner, one winner, no juvenile runners
- dam a half-sister to Grade 2 winner Concerto (21-10-4-2, $1,308,118, 3-6 at two, 0-1 in dirt sprints, 1-3 in mud/slop), Grade 1-placed router Wondertross (11-4-2-2, $254,339, 2-4 at two, 2-3 in dirt sprints, 1-1 in mud/slop), Grade 3-placed Granting (44-9-6-4, $232,660, 3-7 at two, 1-5 in dirt sprints, 2-7 in mud/slop), Grade 3 sprint winner Illusioned (9-5-2-1, $335,726, unraced at two, 5-7 in dirt sprints, 1-1 in mud/slop), and Grade 2 winner Sweet Fervor (10-5-2-0, $302,108, 1-1 at two, 4-9 in dirt sprints)
- A.P. Indy is 6-45 (13%, $0.82 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2007
- trainer is 3-38 (8%, $0.46 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 1-15 (7%, $0.28 ROI) with debuting Spa Babies
- July 27 workout matches barn’s juvenile Storm Catch (finished fifth in career debut on August 18 with 61 Beyer)

6. Fierce Wind (Dixie Union - Post Parade, by A.P. Indy)
Trainer: Nicholas Zito
- Foaled April 24 in Kentucky
- $90,000 yearling (Keeneland September 2006)
- $300,000 RNA juvenile (Fasig-Tipton February 2007)
- full brother to stakes-winner Rebel Yeller (7-2-0-2, $63,917, 0-1 at two, 1-3 in dirt sprints)
- out juvenile (Keeneland April 2007)
- sire was a multiple Grade 1 winner (12-7-3-0, $1,233,190, 4-6 at two, won debut, 5-7 in dirt sprints)
- sire is 10-113 (9%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 3-29 (10%, $1.81 ROI) with debut runners in 2007
- Dixie Union - A.P. Indy ‘nick’ has produced Grade 3 winner High Cotton (17-4-3-2, $462,574, 1-5 at two, 1-3 in dirt sprints)
- dam was a turf winner at two (10-1-2-2, $49,990, 1-6 at two, 0-1 in dirt sprints, cost $400,000 as a yearling)
- dam has four runners, four winners, three juvenile runners, one juvenile winner
- dam a full sister to multiple Grade 3 winner Parade Queen (16-6-4-2, $419,356. 3-5 at two, 0-1 in dirt sprints)
- dam a half-sister to Japanese stakes-placed King Namura (juvenile winner)
- A.P. Indy is 6-45 (13%, $0.82 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2007
- trainer is 23-186 (12%, $1.67 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 14-72 (19%, $2.72 ROI) with debuting Spa Babies
- trainer is 5-35 (14%, $2.20 ROI) with debut runners in 2007
- worked one furlong in 10.80, and a quarter-mile in 21.40 prior to the February sale

7. Mr. Shortcake (Cactus Ridge – Subtle Song, by Wavering Monarch)
Trainer: Todd Pletcher
Foaled March 2 in Kentucky
- $100,000 weanling (Keeneland November 2005)
- $180,000 yearling (Keeneland September 2006)
- first-crop sire was a Grade 3 juvenile winner (4-4-0-0, $187,850, 4-4 at two, 3-3 in dirt sprints)
- sire is 5-40 (13%) with juvenile runners
- dam was a sprint winner (16-2-0-0, $29,874, 1-2 at two, 2-13 in dirt sprints, 1-2 in mud/slop)
- dam has two runners, one winner, two juvenile runners, no juvenile winners
- dam a full sister to stakes-winner Subtle Wave (19-4-1-1, $60,740, 2-3 at two, 2-7 in dirt sprints, 0-1 in mud/slop)
- trainer is 9-51 (18%, $1.44 ROI) over the past five years with juveniles returning from a 61-180 day layoff)
- trainer is 0-3 with that move with Spa Babies

8. Born to Glory (Honour and Glory - Miss Glitter, by Glitterman)
Trainer: Olan Scheff
- Foaled April 20 in Kentucky
- $9,000 RNA yearling (Fasig-Tipton October 2006)
- sire was a Grade 1 router (17-6-5-2, $1,202,942, 2-4 at two, won debut, 3-8 in dirt sprints, 0-1 in mud/slop)
- sire is 33-253 (13%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 7-49 (14%, $4.96 ROI) with debut runners this year
- dam was unraced
- this is dam’s first foal
- second dam a sprint-winning half-sister to stakes-placed Beholdtheprincess (20-7-2-3, $132,105, unraced at two, 5-15 in dirt sprints, 1-4 in mud/slop), and juvenile stakes-placed Improviser (30-3-9-2, $89,009, 0-5 at two, 1-23 in dirt sprints, 0-2 in mud/slop)
- Glitterman is 1-21 (5%, $0.25 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2007

9. Exotic Story (Songandaprayer - Pride of Yoda, by Time for a Change)
Trainer: Eoin Harty
- Foaled January 8 in Florida
- $225,000 yearling (Fasig-Tipton Select August 2006)
- sire was a Grade 1 route winner (8-3-1-1, $380,480, 2-2 at two, 2-3 in dirt sprints, 2-3 in mud/slop)
- sire is 11-67 (16%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 4-29 (14%, $1.12 ROI) with debut runners in 2007
- dam was a sprint winner (15-1-0-1, $11,889, 0-2 at two, 1-12 in dirt sprints, 0-2 in mud/slop, cost $60,000 as a weanling, and $87,000 as a yearling)
- dam has two runners, two winners, one juvenile runner, no juvenile winners
- dam a half-sister to stakes-placed juvenile Mighty Force (33-7-3-8, $62,701, 2-4 at two, won debut, 7-26 in dirt sprints, 4-7 in mud/slop), Grade 3-placed Roman Avie (30-3-5-6, $127.023, 1-2 at two, 2-21 in dirt sprints, 0-1 in mud/slop), and juvenile stakes-winning sprinter Don’tcallmeacowboy (50-6-12-6, $112,631, 2-2 at two, all races in dirt sprints, 2-8 in mud/slop)
- Time for a Change is 5-32 (16%, $1.59 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2007
- trainer is 11-84 (13%, $1.06 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 3-14 (21%, $1.31 ROI) with debuting Spa Babies
- trainer is 2-19 (11%, $1.23 ROI) with debut runners in 2007
- August 5 workout matches barn’s juvenile filly Stormy Blessing (finished fifth in career debut on August 22 with 58 Beyer)

10. J Be K (Silver Deputy - Major Wager, by Valid Wager)
Trainer: Bob Baffert
- Foaled March 28 in Kentucky
- $125,000 yearling (Keeneland September 2006)
- $350,000 juvenile (Fasig-Tipton February 2007)
- out juvenile (Keeneland April 2007)
- sire was a sprint stakes-winner at two (2-2-0-0, $41,820, all races sprinting at two)
- sire is 41-312 (13%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 5-45 (11%, $2.42 ROI) with debut runners in 2007
- dam was Grade 2-placed sprinting at two (11-4-5-1, $189,616, 2-7 at two, 4-10 in dirt sprints, 2-2 in mud/slop, cost $150,000 as a juvenile), and stakes-winning juvenile router Atoned (4-2-1-0, $65,087, all races at two, 0-2 in dirt sprints)
- dam has one runner, no winners, no juvenile runners
- trainer is 30-185 (16%, $1.73 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 1-1 (100%, $3.10 ROI) with debuting Spa Babies
- trainer is 8-33 (24%, $2.53 ROI) with debut runners in 2007
- worked a furlong in 10.20 prior to the February sale.

Analysis:
FIERCE WIND goes out for a Zito barn that sent out juvenile debut winner Paint earlier this meet (also with a half-mile bullet workout on the tab). The colt was bought back for $300,000 in February, and Dixie Union crosses very well with A.P. Indy.
MR. SHORTCAKE has the experience edge over his opponents, but was scratched out of a spot earlier in the meet by cold barn, and of the nine runners to emerge from the June 16 maiden special weight at Churchill, none have won. TEN BAGGER has lots of blacktype in his female family, and the sire has been very hot with debut runners this year. This barn wins with firsters, and Ten Bagger may offer some value.
TOOLS FOR THE JOB was hustled up on the rail to make the front turning for home in his debut before tiring in the late stages. He should benefit from that outing, and seems comfortable on the inside. While Tools for the Job rode the rail, SARATOGA SEVEN raced wide, and was only beaten a neck by that foe. The Lukas barn is beginning to heat up. I’M SO LUCKY shows a bullet workout from the gate, but may do better with a race under his belt. J BE K goes out for top debut barn, and he sold for $350,000 earlier this year. He’ll have to hustle from the far outside post.

Selections:
1. Fierce Wind
2. Mr. Shortcake
3. Ten Bagger

The play: Fierce Wind to win and place at 4-1 or more

***

Race 4
1 1/16 Miles (Turf)
Maiden Special Weight
2-year-olds
Purse $63,000

1. Tre Cool (Grindstone - Saucy Mademoiselle, by Sauce Boat)
Trainer: Patrick Kelly
- Foaled March 18 in Kentucky
- half-brother to multiple stakes-winner Tim Finnegan (51-7-10-7, $78,530, 1-5 at two, 0-1 on turf, 3-13 in mud/slop)
- sire was a Grade 1 route winner (6-3-2-0, $1,224,510, 1-2 at two, unraced on turf)
- sire is 52-356 (15%) with juvenile runners
- sire is 5-107 (5%) with first-turf runners
- dam was a sprint winner (28-3-4-5, $33,382, unraced at two, unraced on turf, 0-6 in mud/slop)
- dam has seven runners, four winners, five juvenile runners, one juvenile winner, four turf runners, no turf winners
- dam a half-sister to Grade 3-placed juvenile sprinter Ruling Gold (6-2-2-0, $35,594), stakes-placed Ruling Top (61-10-12-7, $81,690, 0-1 at two, 4-21 on turf, 3-9 in mud/slop), and multiple stakes-winner Slewonderful (24-6-3-4, $100,953, unraced at two, 0-1 on turf, 0-1 in mud/slop)
- trainer is 0-6 over the past five years with second-time juveniles switching to turf
- trainer is 0-2 with that angle with Spa Babies

2. Celestial Comet (Smart Strike - Danzig’s Edge, by Danzig)
Trainer: William Mott
- Foaled March 7 in Kentucky
- sire was a Grade 1 route winner (8-6-1-0, $337,376, unraced at two, unraced on turf)
- sire is sire is 88-499 (18%) with juvenile runners
- sire is 179-1207 (15%) with turf runners
- Smart Strike - Danzig ‘nick’ has produced Grade 1 turf winner Soaring Free (27-15-4-0, $2,110,371, unraced at two, 11-18 on turf), and Grade 3 winner High Strike Zone (46-14-13-9, $656,810, 1-4 at two, won debut, 0-1 on turf)
- dam was stakes-placed on turf at two (10-2-0-2, $62,760, 2-6 at two, 2-8 on turf, cost $350,000 as a short yearling)
- dam has two runners, no winners, two juvenile runners, two turf runners
- dam a half-sister to stakes-placed sprinter Eaves (9-3-1-2, $51,036, 0-2 at two, unraced on turf), and multiple Grade 3 sprint winner Boundary (8-6-1-1, $217,777, unraced at two, unraced on turf)
- trainer is 22-145 (15%, $1.31 ROI) with second-time juveniles
- trainer is 5-38 (13%, $1.24 ROI) with second-time Spa Babies

3. Jump Commander (Jump Start - Society Commander, by Deputy Commander)
Trainer: D. Wayne Lukas
- Foaled January 24 in Kentucky
- sire was a Grade 2 sprint winner at two (5-2-1-0, $221,265, all races at two, won debut, unraced on turf)
- sire is 6-74 (8%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 3-32 (9%) with first-turf runners
- sire is 4-40 (10%, $1.64 ROI) with debut runners in 2007
- dam was placed routing (4-0-1-0, $5,400, unraced at two, unraced on turf, cost $60,000 as a weanling, and $135,000 as a yearling)
- this is dam’s first runner
- dam a half-sister to juvenile stakes-winning sprinter Sea Twister (10-2-2-1, $96,682, 2-4 at two, won debut, 0-3 on turf)
- trainer is 0-10 over the past five years with juvenile debut runners on turf
- trainer is 0-5 with debuting Spa Babies on turf
- June 3, June 10 workout match barn’s juvenile In Orbit (finished seventh in career debut on dirt on June 30 at Churchill Downs with 31 Beyer)
- June 10 workout matches barn’s three-year-old Del Castillo Diaz (81 Racing Post Rating on turf)
- June 18 workout matches barn’s juvenile Saratoga Seven (finished seventh in career debut on dirt at Churchill Downs on June 30 with 34 Beyer)
- June 26, July 3 workouts match barn’s three-year-old John’s Road (finished seventh in career debut on turf on July 25 with 74 Beyer)
- July 3, July 11 workouts match barn’s juvenile Starbank (finished fourth in career debut on turf on August 4 with 54 Beyer)
- July 22 workout matches barn’s juvenile Hidden Bay (finished sixth in career debut on dirt on August 8 with 39 Beyer)
- July 31 workout went .02 faster than Hidden Bay
- August 25 workout went .05 faster than barn’s juvenile Lord and T. (38 dirt Beyer)

4. Nullify (Yes It’s True - Disclaimed, by Affirmed)
Trainer: Todd Pletcher
- Foaled March 10 in Florida
- $80,000 yearling (Keeneland September 2006)
- $150,000 juvenile (OBS February 2007)
- sire was a Grade 1 sprint winner (22-11-2-3, $1,080,700, 5-9 at two, won debut, unraced on turf, 1-2 in mud/slop)
- sire is 27-144 (19%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 3-78 (4%) with first-turf runners
- sire is 6-46 (13%, $2.84 ROI) with debut runners in 2007
- dam was unraced
- dam has eight runners, seven winners, seven juvenile runners, four juvenile winners, one juvenile debut winner, seven turf runners, two turf winners
- dam a half-sister to stakes-placed sprinter Crafty Josie (12-1-0-3, $18,777, 1-6 at two, unraced on turf, 0-1 in mud/slop), and multiple stakes-placed Martha’s Terms (51-5-6-7, $144,262, 1-5 at two, 2-18 on turf, first-turf winner, 1-8 in mud/slop)
- Affirmed is 10-66 (15%, $2.83 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2007
- trainer is 14-65 (22%, $1.56 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners on turf
- trainer is 8-26 (31%, $2.05 ROI) with debuting Spa Babies on turf
- trainer is 17-116 (15%, $0.98 ROI) with debut runners in 2007
- worked one furlong in 10.40 prior to the February sale

5. Ship’s Piano (Storm Boot – Strictly Ballroom, by Fred Astaire)
Trainer: Neil Howard
- Foaled March 25 in Kentucky
- sire was a stakes-placed sprinter (14-4-3-1, $70,510, unraced at two, 0-1 on turf)
- sire is 156-1046 (10%) with juvenile runners
- sire is 17-215 (8%) with first-turf runners
- dam was a turf winner (6-1-4-1, $40,381, unraced at two, 1-5 on turf)
- dam has three runners, one winner, two juvenile runners, no juvenile winners, two turf runners, one turf winner, one first-turf winner
- dam a half-sister to multiple stakes-winner Powerjay (13-5-0-4, $139,282, unraced at two, 4-6 on turf, first-turf winner, 0-1 in mud/slop)
- trainer is 1-2 (50%, $5.00 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles switching to turf

6. Big Al (Repent - Alphabulous, by Alphabatim)
Trainer: Timothy Hills
- Foaled April 8 in Florida
- $42,000 weanling (OBS October 2005)
- $29,000 RNA yearling (OBS August 2006)
- $23,000 juvenile (OBS February 2007)
- $25,000 juvenile (Fasig-Tipton May 2007)
- half-brother to stakes-winner Fabulous Broad (6-4-0-0, $96,640, unraced at two, unraced on turf)
- first-crop sire was a multiple Grade 2 route winner (10-5-3-1, $1,255,660, 3-5 at two, unraced on turf)
- sire is 3-40 (8%) with juvenile runners
- this is sire’s only turf runner
- dam was a Grade 3 winner (35-6-8-8, $262,938, 1-1 at two, 0-4 on turf, 2-12 in mud/slop, cost $8,000 as a yearling)
- dam has seven runners, five winners, three juvenile runners, one juvenile winner, five turf runners, one turf winner
- dam a half-sister to multiple stakes-placed Bugsy (in Venezuela)
- trainer is 2-25 (8%, $1.06 ROI) over the past five years with juveniles on turf
- trainer is 0-3 with Spa Babies on turf
- worked a furlong in 11 flat prior to the February sale
- worked a quarter-mile in 22.40 prior to the May sale

7. Yacout (Arg) (Interprete - Creation, by Parade Marshal)
Trainer: David Donk
- Foaled January 15 in Argentina
- sire was a multiple Group 1 winner in Argentina (5-5-0-0, $205,067, 2-2 on turf)
- sire is 1-9 (11%) with juvenile runners in North America
- sire is 6-70 (9%) with turf runners in North America
- dam was unplaced in Argentina (2-0-0-0, $0, 0-1 on turf)
- dam has three foals of racing age, two winners, two juvenile runners, no juvenile winners, two turf runners
- trainer is 2-53 (4%, $0.78 ROI) over the past five years with juveniles returning from a 31-60 day layoff
- trainer is 0-4 with that angle with Spa Babies

8. Adriano (A.P. Indy - Gold Canyon, by Mr. Prospector)
Trainer: H. Graham Motion
- Foaled May 20 in Kentucky
- sire was a multiple Grade 1 winner (11-8-0-1, $2,979,815, 3-4 at two, unraced on turf, 2-3 in mud/slop)
- sire is 131-747 (18%) with juvenile runners
- sire is 214-1552 (14%) with turf runners
- A.P. Indy - Mr. Prospector ‘nick’ has produced Grade 3 route winner A.P. Arrow (19-4-4-5, $643,549, unraced at two, unraced on turf), multiple Grade 1 route winner Mineshaft (18-10-3-1, $2,283,402, unraced at two, 1-7 on turf), juvenile Grade 1 route winner Tempera (7-3-2-2, $770,240, 3-5 at two, unraced on turf), Grade 1 route winner Tomisue’s Delight (20-7-5-4, $1,207,537, 1-2 at two, unraced on turf), Grade 2 route winner Congrats (26-7-3-5, $998,960, 1-2 at two, won debut, unraced on turf), multiple Grade 2 route winner Pulpit (6-4-1-0, $728,200, unraced at two, unraced on turf), etc.
- dam was a route winner (6-1-0-2, $27,740, unraced at two, 0-1 on turf, 0-1 in mud/slop, cost $400,000 as a yearling)
- dam has two runners, one winner, one juvenile runner, no juvenile winners, one turf runner, no turf winners
- dam is a three-quarter sister to sprint stakes-winner Double Scoop (16-6-2-2, $257,494, unraced at two, unraced on turf, 0-3 in mud/slop)
- trainer is 8-14 (57%, $6.36 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles adding Lasix
- trainer is 1-3 (33%, $10.20 ROI) with that angle with Spa Babies

9. Honour Above Self (With Approval - Shareholder Vote, by Two Punch)
Trainer: H. Allen Jerkens
- Foaled March 25 in Kentucky
- sire was a Grade 2 winner on turf (23-13-5-1, $2,863,540, 2-2 at two, 7-11 on turf, first-turf winner)
- sire is 15-249 (6%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 46-426 (11%) with first-turf runners
- sire is 3-24 (12%, $1.25 ROI) with debut runners in 2007
- dam was a sprint winner at two (3-1-0-0, $26,445, 1-2 at two, unraced on turf, 0-1 in mud/slop, cost $50,000 as a yearling, and $45,000 as a juvenile)
- this is dam’s first runner
- dam a half-sister to multiple stakes-placed Xtra Heart (14-2-2-1, $120,456, 2-6 at two, unraced on turf, 0-2 in mud/slop), and stakes-placed Honour Old Glory (12-4-1-3, $84,107, unraced at two, unraced on turf)
- Two Punch is 4-49 (8%, $0.80 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2007
- trainer is 1-4 (25%, $5.90 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners on turf
- trainer is 0-1 with debuting Spa Babies on turf
- trainer is 2-12 (17%, $1.49 ROI) with debut runners in 2007

10. Sensational View (Distant View - Am Sensational, by Deputy Minister)
Trainer: Carl Domino
- Foaled April 30 in Kentucky
- half-brother to multiple sprint stakes-winner Erlton (27-8-2-5, $352,339, 5-7 at two, won debut, 0-2 on turf, 1-5 in mud/slop)
- sire was a Group 1 winner on turf in England (7-2-2-0, $238,374, unraced at two, all races on turf)
- sire is 6-60 (10%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 14-106 (13%) with first-turf runners
- sire is 1-14 (7%, $1.27 ROI) with debut runners in 2007
- dam was placed (9-0-1-2, $11,400, unraced at two, 0-1 on turf, 0-1 in mud/slop, cost $47,000 as yearling, and $86,000 as a juvenile)
- dam has six runners, four winners, five juvenile runners, four juvenile winners, three juvenile debut winners, five turf runners, one turf winner
- dam a half-sister to multiple Grade 3 winner Am Capable (28-12-6-5, $410,733), and Grade 2 juvenile winner Rue de Palm (6-2-2-0, $289,000, all races at two, unraced on turf)
- Deputy Minister is 8-85 (9%, $0.85 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2007
- trainer is 0-2 over the past five years with juvenile debut runners on turf
- trainer is 0-1 with debuting Spa Babies on turf

11. Trust N Dustan (Trust N Luck - Lorraine, by Western Playboy)
Trainer: Stanley Hough
- Foaled April 8 in Kentucky
- first-crop sire was a Grade 1 route winner (12-5-3-1, $727,484, 4-8 at two, unraced on turf)
- sire is 3-31 (10%) with juvenile runners
- this is sire’s only turf runner- dam was stakes-placed (29-5-6-6, $180,990, 0-2 at two, 0-1 on turf, 0-7 in mud/slop)
- this is dam’s first runner
- trainer is 10-61 (16%, $1.31 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles
- trainer is 1-10 (10%, $0.55 ROI) with second-time Spa Babies

Analysis:
CELESTIAL COMET was rated well off the pace in career debut, and put in a nice four wide move on the turn to reach contention. He raced evenly in the stretch, should benefit from the experience, and goes out for the dangerous trainer-jockey combination of Bill Mott and Kent Desormeaux.
ADRIANO finished ahead of the top pick (as well as two more of today’s rivals, and next-out graduate Ya Think) in the faster division of turf maiden special weights on August 3. Graham Motion shows super stats when adding Lasix to second-time juveniles, and his beautifully-bred colt looms the horse to beat. BIG AL showed drastic improvement in first start on turf, and may have a bit more tactical speed than the top two selections. He may get the jump on them turning for home.
TRUST N DUSTAN finished evenly in career debut, but will have to deal with the outside post if able to draw in from the also-eligible list. JUMP COMMANDER shows solid works for Lukas, but is giving up valuable experience to several of his rivals.

Selections (Turf Only):
1. Celestial Comet
2. Adriano
3. Big Al

The play: Celestial Comet to win at 2-1 odds or more (Turf Only)

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