08/25/2007 11:00PM

Spa Babies for 8/26

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Welcome to Spa Babies! I'll break down the statistics for every juvenile maiden contest at the meet, and hopefully will end up with a tidy profit.

Saturday’s result:
Race 2: Cowboy Cal finished seventh

Sunday, August 26, 2007
Race 2
6 Furlongs
Optional Claiming ($75,000/N1X)
2-year-olds
Purse $67,000

Analysis:
WAR PASS broke a beat slowly in career debut, then was rushed up to set a pressured pace while down on the rail. He put away his pace challenger in upper stretch, kept to his task nicely in the lane, and defeated a pair of next-out winners including 90 Beyer graduate Slew’s Tiznow. He figures to show strong speed again from the inside post, and may prove tough to catch.
ASCOT HALL gets class relief after facing top juvenile Ready’s Image in the Sanford. He rallied powerfully to win his career debut at Belmont, but seemed to want to bear out on the turn of the Sanford. He’s green, but promising, and should be running late. PYRO rallied strongly to outfinish Mythical Pegasus, and that one won the Travers Day maiden for Wayne Lukas. Closers seemed to do very well on July 7 at Churchill Downs, however, and Pyro may have been aided by a bias.
BUCKY CAME HOME needed weaker competition at Ellis Park to break his maiden, and will be taking a decent step up in class here. FIDELIO didn’t break a sweat in career debut over Woodbine’s polytrack, and adds Lasix for Bobby Frankel. He has some ability, but may not be able to shake clear from far outside post.

Selections:
1. War Pass
2. Ascot Hall
3. Pyro

The Play: War Pass to win at 2-1 or more

Race 5
6 Furlongs
Maiden Special Weight
2-year-old fillies
Purse $62,000

1. Phi Beta Mom (Johannesburg – St. Michele, by Devil’s Bag)
Trainer: Todd Pletcher
- Foaled March 14 in Kentucky
- $110,000 yearling (Keeneland September 2006)
- $325,000 juvenile (Fasig-Tipton February 2007)
- full sister to Grade 2 sprint winner Teuflesberg (20-5-3-2, $621,981, 3-11 at two, 4-12 in dirt sprints, 1-2 in mud/slop)
- sire was a multiple Grade/Group 1 winner at two (10-7-1-0, $1,014,585, 7-7 at two, unraced in dirt sprints)
- sire is 5-56 (9%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 3-34 (9%, $1.54 ROI) with debut runners in 2007
- dam was placed routing (7-0-0-2, $11,410, unraced at two, 0-4 in dirt sprints, 0-1 in mud/slop)
- dam has two runners, one winner, two juvenile runners, one juvenile winner
- second dam an unraced half-sister to multiple stakes-winner Northcote Road (54-12-13-9, $729,885, 1-7 at two, unraced in dirt sprints, 1-1 in mud/slop)
- Devil’s Bag is 5-60 (8%, $1.33 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2007
- trainer is 97-422 (23%, $1.64 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 23-106 (22%, $1.47 ROI) with debuting Spa Babies
- trainer is 17-113 (15%, $1.01 ROI) with debut runners in 2007
- worked one furlong in 10.80, and another furlong in 10.40 prior to the February sale
- July 21 workout went .03 faster than barn’s juvenile filly Sibley (finished fifth in career debut on turf on August 5 with 60 Beyer)
- July 28 workout matches barn’s juvenile filly Matchless Orinda (finished fourth in career debut on August 12 with 54 Beyer)
- August 12 workout matches barn’s three-year-old filly Christies Treasure (finished seventh in Grade 2 Lake Placid on turf on August 17 with 72 Beyer; 79 Beyer on polytrack)

1a. Miss General (Posse – Ghost Storm, by Silver Ghost)
Trainer: Todd Pletcher
- Foaled March 8 in Kentucky
- $300,000 yearling (Fasig-Tipton July 2006)
- half-sister to multiple stakes-winner Stormin Away (27-8-4-2, $370,431, 1-6 at two, 1-4 in dirt sprints, 0-2 in mud/slop)
- first-crop sire was a Grade 2 sprint winner (18-7-2-2, $682,841, 2-7 at two, 7-17 in dirt sprints, 4-4 in mud/slop)
- sire is 20-64 (31%) with juvenile runners
- dam was unraced (cost $14,000 as a juvenile)
- dam has two runners, one winner, two juvenile runners, one juvenile winner
- dam a half-sister to Grade 3 router Fast Decision (18-4-1-5, $191,366, unraced at two, 2-6 in dirt sprints, 1-1 in mud/slop), and Grade 2-placed sprinter City Sister (14-3-2-4, $136,490, 0-1 at two, 3-9 in dirt sprints, 1-3 in mud/slop)
- trainer is 76-284 (27%, $1.57 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles
- trainer is 17-69 (25%, $1.54 ROI) with second-time Spa Babies
- July 24, July 31 workouts match barn’s five-year-old Heat of the Night (98 turf Beyer; unraced on turf)

2. Carnival City (Cape Canaveral - Fairway Meadow, by Meadowlake)
Trainer: D. Wayne Lukas
- Foaled February 22 in Kentucky
- sire was a Grade 3 sprint winner (4-3-0-1, $128,640, 1-1 at two, all races in dirt sprints)
- sire is 50-246 (20%) with juvenile runners
- Cape Canaveral - Meadowlake ‘nick’ produced multiple stakes-winner Caruso (9-5-3-1, $228,050, 3-4 at two, 5-8 in dirt sprints)
- dam was unraced (cost $125,000 as a yearling)
- dam has two runners, no winners, two juvenile runner, one turf runner
- dam a half-sister to turf stakes-winner Michael’s Choice (in Hong Kong), and stakes-placed turfer Renaissance Fair (14-3-2-3, $44,530, unraced at two, unraced in dirt sprints)
- trainer is 17-171 (10%, $0.79 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles
- trainer is 3-38 (8%, $0.62 ROI) with second-time Spa Babies
- August 13 went .01 slower than barn’s juvenile Lord and T. (38 Beyer), and juvenile filly Spirit Line (finished fifth in August 19 maiden special weight with 57 Beyer)
- August 20 workout matches barn’s juvenile filly Cozy Mesa (79 Beyer)

3. Buona Sera (Not For Love – Wewarrenju, by Damascus)
Trainer: Thomas Bush
- Foaled May 13 in Maryland
- $50,000 yearling (Fasig-Tipton October 2006)
- $95,000 RNA juvenile (Fasig-Tipton February 2007)
- half-sister to multiple turf stakes-winner Vice On Ice (26-7-4-1, $193,430, 1-3 at two, 0-2 in dirt sprints)
- sire was stakes-placed (29-6-7-5, $178,870, 1-4 at two, 3-14 in dirt sprints, 3-6 in mud/slop)
- sire is 91-556 (16%) with juvenile runners
- dam was unplaced (3-0-0-0, $0, unraced at two, 0-2 in dirt sprints)
- dam has nine runners, seven winners, six juvenile runners, two juvenile winners
- dam a half-sister to Grade 2-placed juvenile sprinter Roy (17-3-2-3, $91,567, 1-4 at two, 2-10 in dirt sprints, 0-3 in mud/slop), stakes-winner Adira (20-10-3-2, $246,802, 1-2 at two, 1-3 in dirt sprints), and multiple Group 3-placed turfer Ivor Jewel (in France)
- trainer is 7-31 (23%, $2.76 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles
- trainer is 1-5 (20%, $2.20 ROI) with second-time Spa Babies
- worked 1 furlong in 10.60 prior to the February sale.

4. Seemingly (Orientate - Hallowed, by Holy Bull)
Trainer: Ian Wilkes
- Foaled January 22 in Kentucky
- $100,000 yearling (Keeneland September 2006)
- sire was a multiple Grade 1 sprint winner (19-10-3-0, $1,716,950, 0-2 at two, 8-11 in dirt sprints, 2-2 in mud/slop)
- sire is 29-193 (15%) with juvenile runners
- dam was stakes-placed (25-2-3-5, $75,790, 0-3 at two, 2-21 in dirt sprints, 0-5 in mud/slop, cost $40,000 as a yearling)
- this is dam’s first runner
- dam a half-sister to stakes-winner Silver Lace (19-5-3-4, $139,624, unraced at two, 4-10 in dirt sprints, 1-4 in mud/slop)
- trainer is 2-39 (5%, $1.22 ROI) over the past five years with juveniles on dirt
- trainer is 0-3 with Spa Babies on dirt

5. Elusive Lady (Van Nistelrooy – Song of Royalty, by Unbridled’s Song)
Trainer: John Kimmel
- Foaled March 28 in Florida
- $90,000 yearling (Keeneland September 2006)
- first-crop sire was a Group 2 winner on turf at two (6-3-1-1, $229,980, all races at two, won debut, unraced in dirt sprints)
- sire is 3-26 (12%, $1.96 ROI) with juvenile debut runners in 2007
- dam was unraced
- dam has one runner, one winner, one juvenile runner, one juvenile winner
- second dam is multiple stakes-winner Royal D’Or (37-12-7-3, $155,668, 0-2 at two, 7-22 in dirt sprints, 1-5 in mud/slop)
- Unbridled’s Song is 2-21 (10%, $1.88 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2007
- trainer is 16-98 (16%, $3.02 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 4-31 (13%, $2.77 ROI) with debuting Spa Babies
- trainer is 4-26 (15%, $3.51 ROI) with debut runners in 2007

6. Eightyfive S (Alphabet Soup – Breathless Charm, by Miswaki)
Trainer: Mark Hennig
- Foaled March 25 in Kentucky
- half-sister to stakes-placed juvenile Stayton (35-9-4-2, $98,606, 2-5 at two, 3-15 in dirt sprints)
- sire was a Grade 1 route winner (24-10-3-6, $2,990,270, unraced at two, 2-4 at dirt sprints, 2-2 in mud/slop)
- sire is 15-135 (11%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 3-27 (11%, $2.40) with debut runners in 2007
- dam was unraced (cost $40,000 as a yearling)
- dam has six runners, six winners, two juvenile runners, one juvenile winner
- dam a half-sister to stakes-winning sprinter Code Blum (24-7-3-2, $151,630, 1-3 at two, 7-22 in dirt sprints, 0-2 in mud/slop), stakes-winner Marsheslew (30-7-6-3, $289,233, 2-5 at two, 6-25 in dirt sprints, 1-5 in mud/slop), stakes-winner Flag on the Play (48-9-6-6, $257,458, 1-4 at two, won debut, 6-24 in dirt sprints, 1-12 in mud/slop), and multiple Grade 1 winner Left Bank (24-14-2-0, $1,402,805, 1-2 at two, 10-16 in dirt sprints, 0-2 in mud/slop)
- Miswaki is 9-55 (16%, $2.20 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2007
- trainer is 11-137 (8%, $2.09 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 3-34 (9%, $3.99 ROI) with debuting Spa Babies
- trainer is 1-27 (4%, $0.56 ROI) with debut runners in 2007
- June 14 went .04 faster than barn’s juvenile Footloose Man (finished fourth in career debut on turf on August 23 with 67 Beyer)
- June 21, June 29 workouts matches Footloose Man
- July 7 workout matches barn’s juvenile filly Dattts Zoey Baby (finished sixth in career debut on August 16 with 60 Beyer), and three-year-old Prowl by Night (won maiden special weight on turf on July 13 with 67 Beyer; 49 Beyer on dirt)
- July 14, July 21, August 4, August 11 workouts matches Dattts Zoey Baby
- July 28 workout matches barn’s juvenile Atwell (finished sixth in maiden special weight on August 4 with 36 Beyer)

7. Backseat Rhythm (El Corredor – Kiss a Miss, by Kissin Kris)
Trainer: Patrick Reynolds
- Foaled April 4 in Kentucky
- $75,000 yearling (Keeneland September 2006)
- $240,000 RNA juvenile (Barretts March 2007)
- out juvenile (Keeneland April 2007)
- sire was a Grade 1 route winner (10-7-1-0, $727,920, 1-2 at two, 4-6 in dirt sprints)
- sire is 34-246 (14%) with juvenile runners
- dam was Grade 3-placed routing (39-6-7-12, $265,486, unraced at two, 3-13 in dirt sprints, 1-3 in mud/slop, sold for $60,000 as a juvenile)
- this is dam’s first runner
- second dam is a winning half-sister to juvenile stakes-winning sprinter Mr. Villemore (35-4-4-8, $82,432, 3-10 at two, 4-22 in dirt sprints, 0-4 in mud/slop), Grade 3 juvenile turf winner Native Regent (35-6-11-3, $543,994, 3-10 at two, 0-5 in dirt sprints), and stakes-winning router Royal Fair (22-4-11-3, $395,370, 0-2 at two, 0-2 in dirt sprints, 1-2 in mud/slop)
- second dam is a full-sister to multiple stakes-winner Morriston Belle (36-5-10-4, $257,517, 2-9 at two, 1-6 in dirt sprints, 0-1 in mud/slop)
- trainer is 1-13 (8%, $2.05 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles
- worked one furlong in 10.40 prior to the March sale

8. Nightnightnight (Whywhywhy - For a Night, by Forli)
Trainer: Patrick Biancone
- Foaled May 8 in Kentucky
- $47,000 yearling (Keeneland September 2006)
- withdrawn juvenile (Keeneland April 2007)
- half-sister to multiple stakes-placed juvenile dirt sprinter Stage West (13-2-2-2, $51,193, 1-4 at two, 2-11 in dirt sprints, 0-4 in mud/slop), and stakes-placed turfer Solid Platinum (13-4-1-3, $120,010, unraced at two, 2-8 in dirt sprints, 0-1 in mud/slop)
- first-crop sire was a Grade 1 sprint winner at two (9-3-1-1, $315,015, 3-5 at two, 2-6 in dirt sprints, 2-3 in mud/slop)
- sire is 3-29 (10%) with juvenile runners
- dam was unraced (sold for $33,000 as a yearling)
- dam has five runners, four winners, two juvenile runners, one juvenile winner
- dam a half-sister to stakes-placed juvenile Morning Haze (28-6-3-7, $53,470), Grade 3 winner Small Virtue (48-9-12-6, $376,370, 0-2 at two, 1-4 in dirt sprints, 1-8 in mud/slop), and stakes-placed Saint (21-6-4-3, $114,880, unraced at two, 6-16 in dirt sprints, 0-3 in mud/slop)
- trainer is 0-3 over the past five years with second-time juveniles adding blinkers

9. Blowing Kisses (Vindication – Hookedonthefeelin, by Citidancer)
Trainer: Michael Matz
- Foaled April 18 in Kentucky
- $725,000 RNA yearling (Keeneland September 2006)
- half-sister to multiple Grade 1 winner Pussycat Doll (14-6-2-1, $734,583, 1-3 at two, 3-7 in dirt sprints, 2-2 in mud/slop)
- first-crop sire was a Grade 1 route winner at two (4-4-0-0, $680,590, all races at two, 2-2 in dirt sprints)
- sire is 6-21 (29%, $1.78 ROI) with juvenile debut runners this year
- dam was a Grade 1 winner (18-7-3-2, $488,544, 2-2 at two, 6-14 in dirt sprints, 0-2 in mud/slop, cost $38,000 as a weanling, and $110,000 as yearling)
- dam has one runner, one winner, one juvenile runner, one juvenile winner
- second dam is stakes-winning sprinter Prospective Joy (6-3-2-1, $68,620, 1-2 at two, won debut, all races in dirt sprints, 0-1 in mud/slop)
- trainer is 5-63 (8%, $1.99 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 1-10 (10%, $2.54 ROI) with debuting Spa Babies
- trainer is 1-19 (5%, $1.34 ROI) with debut runners in 2007
- June 21, July 14 workouts match barn’s juvenile Lake Placid (finished seventh in career debut on turf on August 23 with 62 Beyer)
- July 14 workout matches barn’s five-year-old Bee Charmer (finished fourth in Kitten’s Joy Stakes on turf at Colonial on July 21 with 89 Beyer; unraced on dirt)

10. Tates Queen (Distorted Humor – Charade Queen, by A.P. Indy)
Trainer: Eoin Harty
- Foaled January 30 in Kentucky
- $185,000 RNA yearling (Keeneland September 2006)
- sire was a multiple Grade 2 sprint winner (23-8-5-3, $769,964, unraced at two, 7-13 in dirt sprints, 0-2 in mud/slop)
- sire is 33-174 (19%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 6-54 (11%, $1.24 ROI) with debut runners in 2007
- Distorted Humor – A.P. Indy ‘nick’ has produced Grade 1 winner Any Given Saturday (9-5-2-1, $989,213, 2-3 at two, 1-1 in dirt sprint)
- dam was unplaced (2-0-0-0, $2,520, unraced at two, unraced in dirt sprints, cost $400,000 as a yearling)
- this is dam’s first runner
- dam a full sister to multiple Grade 3 winner Parade Queen (16-6-4-2, $419,356, 3-5 at two, 0-1 in dirt sprints, dam of Grade 3 winner Untouched Talent)
- dam a half-sister to stakes-placed King Namura (in Japan)
- A.P. Indy is 6-44 (14%, $0.84 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut winners in 2007
- trainer is 11-81 (14%, $1.10 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 3-13 (23%, $1.42 ROI) with debuting Spa Babies
- trainer is 2-16 (12%, $1.46 ROI) with debut runners in 2007
- May 26 workout matches barn’s juvenile Colonel John (finished second in career debut in maiden special weight over Del Mar polytrack on August 19 with 74 Beyer)
- July 16 workout matches barn’s juvenile Northern Pick (finished seventh in career debut on July 25 with 0 Beyer)
- July 23 workout went .01 faster than barn’s juvenile filly Stormy Blessing (finished fifth in career debut on August 22 with 58 Beyer)
- July 30 workout matches barn’s three-year-old Sahara Heat (finished sixth in Grade 2 Hall of Fame Stakes on turf on August 6 with 67 Beyer; 84 dirt Beyer), and Stormy Blessing

11. Receipt (Dynaformer – Finder’s Fee, by Storm Cat)
Trainer: Claude McGaughey III
- Foaled February 1 in Kentucky
- sire was a multiple Grade 2 winner (30-7-5-2, $671,207, 1-5 at two, 1-4 in dirt sprints, 1-3 in mud/slop)
- sire is 33-310 (11%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 2-28 (7%, $2.08 ROI) with debut runners in 2007
- Dynaformer – Storm Cat ‘nick’ has produced Grade 2 turf winner Baptize (17-7-3-2, $534,196, 3-4 at two, unraced in dirt sprints)
- dam was a multiple Grade 1 winner (27-7-4-5, $708,128, 3-8 at two, won debut, 5-17 in dirt sprints, 0-3 in mud/slop)
- dam has one runner, no winners, one juvenile runner
- dam a half-sister to stakes-placed sprinter New Way (14-5-2-2, $120,350, unraced at two, 5-12 in dirt sprints), and multiple Grade 2-placed router Treasure Island (6-2-2-1, $96,020, 1-1 at two, 1-2 in dirt sprints, 0-1 in mud/slop)
- trainer is 5-63 (8%, $1.27 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 2-24 (8%, $2.12 ROI) with debuting Spa Babies
- June 8, June 21 workouts match barn’s juvenile filly Forest Trail (finished second in career debut on July 26 with 81 Beyer)
- July 21 workout matches barn’s juvenile filly Lethal Quality (finished fifth in career debut in maiden special weight on August 2 at Monmouth with 49 Beyer)

Analysis:
BLOWING KISSES failed to reach her reserve at public auction last year when the bidding stalled at a whopping $725,000. The half-sister to Grade 1 winner Pussycat Doll is by the red-hot freshman sire Vindication out of Grade 1 winner Hookedonthefeelin. She is bred to be a quick one, and Michael Matz sent out juvenile debut winner La Menina earlier in the meet.
NIGHTNIGHTNIGHT wasn’t disgraced in career debut on grass, and trainer Pat Biancone excels with young horses. Her sire did his work on the main track, and Nightnightnight may appreciate the surface switch for her second lifetime appearance. ELUSIVE LADY goes out for a barn that’s having a big meet with their young horses. The Van Nistelrooy – Unbridled’s Song ‘nick’ has already produced a juvenile winner this year.
BACKSEAT RHYTHM faced a tigress in Irish Smoke when making her debut earlier in the meet, and the runner-up came back to earn a big number the other day. This barn does much better second-time out than with firsters so expect a good showing. BUONA SERA was saddled with a difficult inside post for her career debut, and raced greenly in the stretch. She should improve with that race under her belt. RECEIPT draws way outside, but certainly has the pedigree as a daughter of multiple Grade 1 winner Finder’s Fee. PHI BETA MOM is a full sister to Teuflesberg, and will go out for the always dangerous Pletcher barn. MISS GENERAL hasn’t run since Keeneland, but the recent works look solid, and she should show good early speed in this spot. TATES QUEEN has a classy pedigree, and trainer Eoin Harty usually has them ready to fire first out of the box.

Selections:
1. Blowing Kisses
2. Nightnightnight
3. Elusive Lady

The play: Blowing Kisses to win at 7-2 odds or more

Meet record based on starts, wins, top pick (after scratches) in the money, and profit/loss of that day's play ($2 wager): 49-12-23 (+$28.40)