08/22/2008 12:00AM

Spa Babies for 8/23

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Welcome to Spa Babies! I'll break down the statistics for every juvenile contest at the meet. Hopefully, we'll end up with a tidy profit.

Friday's result:
Race 2: Concorde's Dance finished third

Saturday, August 23, 2008

Race 2
6 Furlongs
Maiden Special Weight
2-year-olds
Purse $72,000

1. Lord Justice (A.P. Indy - Buy the Sport, by Devil's Bag)
Trainer: Todd Pletcher
- Foaled January 14, 2006 in Kentucky
- out juvenile (Adena Springs Spring March 2008)
- sire was a multiple Grade 1 winner (11-8-0-1, $2,970,815, 3-4 at two, 1-2 in main track sprints, 2-3 in mud/slop)
- sire is 36-293 (12%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 3-24 (13%, $0.71 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008 (one juvenile debut winner at this meet
- dam was a Grade 1 route winner (11-2-0-1, $321,192, 1-4 at two, won debut, unraced in main track sprints, sold for $82,000 as a yearling and $155,000 as a juvenile)
- this is dam's first runner
- Devil's Bag is 4-60 (7%, $1.81 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2008 (three juvenile debut winners)
- dam a half-sister to multiple stakes-winner Try N Sue (26-7-6-2, $236,590, 1-4 at two, 4-16 in main track sprints, 1-4 in mud/slop)
- dam a half-sister to stakes-winning sprinter Winter Dreams (11-3-1-4, $142,824, 2-6 at two, 3-7 in main track sprints, 2-2 in mud/slop)
- dam a half-sister to turf stakes-winner Haggs Castle (32-5-4-3, $296,262, 0-7 at two, 0-5 in main track sprints, 0-1 in mud/slop)
- trainer is 97-455 (21%, $1.54 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 21-110 (19%, $1.37 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners at Saratoga
- trainer is 19-100 (19%, $1.47 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008 (all winners with Lasix, one with blinkers, four at this meet, 12 juvenile debut winners, one for this owner)
- July 13 workout matches barn's juvenile Munnings (finished first in career debut at Saratoga on July 26 with 90 Beyer)

1A. Platte River (Forest Wildcat - Chenoweth, by Seattle Slew)
Trainer: Todd Pletcher
- Foaled January 26, 2006 in Kentucky
- out yearling (Keeneland September 2007)
- withdrawn juvenile (Barretts March 2008)
- sire was a multiple Grade 3 sprint winner (20-9-2-1, $478,862, 2-5 at two, 9-20 in main track sprints, 2-3 in mud/slop)
- sire is 39-286 (14%) with juvenile debut runners
-sire is 7-45 (16%, $2.94 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008 (four juvenile debut winners, one at this meet)
- dam was unraced
- dam has two runners, no winners, no juvenile runners, two main track sprint runners, no mud/slop runners
- Seattle Slew is 7-47 (15%, $2.71 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2008 (three juvenile debut winners)
- dam a half-sister to stakes-placed router Wild Notions (19-5-6-2, $127,770, unraced at two, 2-7 in main track sprints, 0-3 in mud/slop)
- trainer is 97-455 (21%, $1.54 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 21-110 (19%, $1.37 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners at Saratoga
- trainer is 19-100 (19%, $1.47 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008 (all winners with Lasix, one with blinkers, four at this meet, 12 juvenile debut winners, one for this owner)
- July 12, July 19 workouts match barn's Ryan's Comet (finished seventh in career debut at Saratoga on August 9 with 12 Beyer)
- August 1 workout went .05 slower than barn's juvenile Umbra (finished second in career debut on turf at Saratoga on August 20 with 72 Beyer)

2. Coal Baron (Mineshaft - Miss Grindstone, by Grindstone)
Trainer: David Carroll
- Foaled January 26, 2006 in Kentucky
- $100,000 yearling (Keeneland September 2007)
- sire was a multiple Grade 1 route winner (18-10-3-1, $2,283,402, unraced at two, unraced in main track sprints, 1-1 in mud/slop)
- sire is 2-32 (6%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 1-29 (3%, $0.42 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008 (juvenile debut winner at this meet)
- dam was a Grade 3 winner (26-14-3-4, $608,179, 2-3 at two, won debut, 13-21 in main track sprints, 4-4 in mud/slop, cost $25,000 as a weanling and $15,679 as a juvenile)
-this is dam's first runner
- Grindstone is 2-17 (12%, $1.07 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2008 (both juvenile debut winners)
- female family of Grade 3 winner Cool Halo
- trainer is 8-49 (16%, $3.40 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 1-1 (100%, $39.00 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners at Saratoga
- trainer is 1-8 (13%, $4.88 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008 (juvenile debut winner at Saratoga with Lasix)

3. Florentino (Jpn) (Swept Overboard - Must Be Loved, by Sunday Silence)
Trainer: Kiaran McLaughlin
- Foaled February 8, 2006 in Japan
-$1,226,120 weanling (JRHA July 2006)
- three-quarter brother to multiple Group 1 winner (Japan) Rhein Kraft (13-6-3-2, $4,613,036, 2-3 at two, won debut, all races on grass)
- sire was a multiple Grade 1 winner (20-8-5-3, $1,137,767, 1-2 at two, 5-15 in main track sprints)
- this is sire's first juvenile debut runner in North America (stands in Japan)
- dam was unplaced in Japan (3-0-0-0, $0, unraced at two, 0-2 in main track sprints
- dam has five runners, four winners, three juvenile runners, one juvenile winner
- Sunday Silence does not have a debut winner in North America as a broodmare sire
-dam a full sister to stakes-placed (Japan) Hornet Pierce (26-3-3-5, $760,672, unraced at two)
- dam a full sister to Group 3 winner (Japan) Admire Max (23-4-2-5, $3,230,850, 2-3 at two)
- trainer is 20-140 (14%, $1.77 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 5-35 (14%, $1.05 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners at Saratoga
- trainer is 8-36 (22%, $2.22 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008 (all winners with Lasix, one with front wraps, six juvenile debut winners, three at this meet, seven ridden by Alan Garcia, one for this owner)
- July 21 workout matches barn's juvenile Girolamo (finished first in career debut at Saratoga on August 16 with 87 Beyer)

4. Spaniard (Candy Ride - Shameful, by Flying Chevron)
Trainer: Bob Baffert
-Foaled April 8, 2006 in Kentucky
- half-brother to multiple Grade 1 winner Indian Blessing (9-7-2-0, $1,997,200, 3-3 at two, 4-4 in main track sprints, 2-2 in mud/slop)
- first-crop sire was a multiple Grade/Group 1 (USA/Argentina) winner (6-6-0-0, $749,149, unraced at two, 1-1 in main track sprints)
- sire is 9-39 (23%) with all juvenile runners in 2008
- dam was a stakes-winning sprinter (12-4-3-2, $241,345, unraced at two, all races in main track sprints, 0-1 in mud/slop, cost $14,000 as a weanling, and $50,000 as a yearling)
- dam has three runners, three winners, three juvenile runners, one juvenile winner, three main track sprint runners, one main track sprint winner, two mud/slop runners, one mud/slop winner
- dam a half-sister to stakes-winning router Little Matth Man (36-4-2-3, $223,166, 2-8 at two, 2-18 in main track sprints, 2-5 in mud/slop)
- trainer is 96-502 (19%, $1.57 ROI) over the past five years with juveniles
- trainer is 5-10 (50%, $2.38 ROI) over the past five years with juveniles at Saratoga

5. Something Gold (Touch Gold - Beguiled, by Relaunch)
Trainer: Steven Asmussen
- Foaled March 7, 2006 in Kentucky
- $75,000 weanling (Keeneland November 2006)
- $75,000 yearling (OBS Select August 2007)
- $145,000 RNA juvenile (OBS Select February 2008)
- withdrawn juvenile (OBS Spring April 2008)
- entered juvenile (Fasig-Tipton Spring May 2008)
- sire was a multiple Grade 1 route winner (15-6-3-1, $1,679,907, 1-4 at two, won debut, 2-3 in main track sprints)
- sire is 22-211 (10%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 3-39 (8%, $1.53 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008 (one juvenile debut winner)
- dam was a sprint winner at two (8-1-2-3, $48,850, 1-1 at two, 1-7 in main track sprints, 0-2 in mud/slop)
- dam has four runners, two winners, one juvenile runner, no juvenile winners, four main track sprint runners, two main track sprint winners, two mud/slop runners, no mud/slop winners
- Relaunch is 7-53 (13%, $1.49 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2008 (one juvenile debut winner)
- second dam is juvenile Grade 3 sprint winner Distinctive Sis (18-4-1-1, $133,100, 2-6 at two, 4-16 in main track sprints)
- trainer is 134-681 (20%, $1.88 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 8-34 (24%, $1.91 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners at Saratoga
- trainer is 39-196 (20%, $1.81 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008 (38 winners with Lasix, two at this meet, 29 juvenile debut winners, 16 with Shaun Bridgmohan aboard)
- worked one furlong in 10.1 prior to the February sale
- August 5 workout went .03 slower than barn's juvenile D C Tapit (53 Beyer)

6. Yore (Yes It's True - Married for Money, by Not For Love)
Trainer: Charles Dickey
- Foaled February 17, 2006 in Kentucky
- $60,000 yearling (OBS Select August 2007)
- sire was a Grade 1 sprint winner (22-11-2-3, $1,080,700, 5-9 at two, 11-18 in main track sprints, 1-2 in mud/slop)
- sire is 96-632 (15%) with juvenile runners
- dam was unraced (cost $22,000 as a yearling)
- dam has two runners, one winner, one juvenile runner, no juvenile winners, two main track sprint runners, one main track sprint winner
- dam a half-sister to multiple turf stakes-winner With Patience (30-7-8-5, $393,034, unraced at two, 0-2 in main track sprints)
- dam a half-sister to Grade 3 winner Lucky Afternoon (12-4-1-2, $150,076, 2-6 at two, 1-4 in main track sprints, 1-1 in mud/slop)
- trainer is 1-16 (6%, $0.72 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles

7. Strong Clue (Kafwain - Clue, by Boundary)
Trainer: Dallas Stewart
- Foaled May 12, 2006 in Kentucky
- $21,000 short yearling (Keeneland January 2007)
- $72,000 yearling (Keeneland September 2007)
- sire was a multiple Grade 2 winner (11-4-2-2, $715,848, 3-8 at two, 3-6 in main track sprints)
- sire is 5-53 (9%) with juvenile debut runners
- dam was a route winner (6-1-0-0, $10,575, 0-4 at two, 0-4 in main track sprints)
- dam has five runners, three winners, five juvenile runners, no juvenile winners, five main track sprint runners, three main track sprint winners, four mud/slop runners, three mud/slop winners
- dam a half-sister to stakes-placed Croupier (16-4-4-2, $161,426, 1-5 at two, 1-4 in main track sprints, 0-1 in mud/slop)
- dam a full sister to multiple stakes-winner Padlock (38-13-3-4, $236,937, 1-2 at two, 9-27 in main track sprints, 3-8 in mud/slop)
- trainer is 2-10 (20%, $2.20 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles adding blinkers
- trainer is 0-1 over the past five years with second-time juveniles adding blinkers at Saratoga

8. Nowhere to Hide (Vindication - Stirring, by Seeking the Gold)
Trainer: Nicholas Zito
- Foaled February 1, 2006 in Kentucky
- $200,000 weanling (Keeneland November 2006)
- $250,000 yearling (Keeneland September 2007)
- sire was a Grade 1 route winner at two (4-4-0-0, $680,950, 4-4 at two, 2-2 in main track sprints)
- sire is 27-155 (17%) with juvenile debut runners
- dam was unraced
- this is dam's first runner
- dam a half-sister to multiple stakes-winner Handpainted (12-5-2-2, $435,406, 3-4 at two, won debut, 4-7 in main track sprints, unraced in mud/slop)
- dam a half-sister to multiple stakes-placed router Serenading (11-3-6-1, $240,001, unraced at two, 0-2 in main track sprints, unraced in mud/slop)
- trainer is 33-124 (27%, $1.91 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles
- trainer is 6-28 (21%, $1.12 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles at Saratoga

9. Gone Astray (Dixie Union - Illicit, by Mr. Prospector)
Trainer: Claude McGaughey III
- Foaled April 14, 2006 in Kentucky
- half-brother to Group 3-placed (Germany) turf runner Contentious (13-2-4-2, $86,060, 0-2 at two in England, 0-1 in main track sprints)
- sire was a multiple Grade 1 route winner (15-6-3-1, $1,679,907, 1-4 at two, won debut, 2-3 in main track sprints)
- sire is 71-450 (16%) with juvenile runners
- dam was unraced
- dam has foaled three runners, one winner, three juvenile runners, no juvenile winners, three main track sprint runners, no main track sprint winners, two mud/slop runners, no mud/slop winners
- dam a three-quarter sister to multiple Grade 1 route winner Smuggler (7-5-2-0, $634,600, 2-3 at two, won debut, 1-1 in main track sprints)
- Dixie Union - Mr. Prospector 'nick' has produced Grade 3 route winner Grasshopper (14-4-6-2, $820,352, 1-2 at two, 1-3 in main track sprints, 0-1 in mud/slop)
- Dixie Union - Mr. Prospector 'nick' has produced Grade 3 juvenile winner Sensation (7-3-1-1, $181,590, 3-5 at two, won debut, 3-6 in main track sprints, 1-1 in mud/slop)
-Dixie Union - Mr. Prospector 'nick' has produced Grade 3 juvenile route winner Turf War (8-3-1-0, $524,700, 3-5 at two, 2-4 in main track sprints)
- Dixie Union - Mr. Prospector 'nick' has produced stakes-winner Straw Hat (13-3-3-2, $105,345, 1-9 at two, 0-3 in main track sprints, 0-2 in mud/slop)
- trainer is 2-9 (22%, $0.67 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles adding Lasix
- trainer is 0-3 over the past five years with second-time juveniles adding Lasix at Saratoga

Analysis:
LORD JUSTICE may want to go a bit longer than this six furlong distance as a son of Belmont Stakes and Breeders' Cup Classic hero A.P. Indy and Grade 1 Gazelle winner (nine furlongs) Buy the Sport, but the Pletcher-trained colt acts like he can run a little bit. The July 13 gate work at Belmont matches up with Munnings, a debut winner earlier in the meet with a 90 Beyer. It is a bit disconcerting that Pletcher's main rider, John Velazquez, sticks with SPANIARD, but perhaps that will keep some money away from Lord Justice.
Kiaran McLaughlin has sent out three juvenile debut winners at this meet including the impressive Girolamo, and his FLORENTINO may have worked in company with that one at Greentree on July 21. Florentino cost seven figures as a weanling in Japan, and should be respected.
SPANIARD, a half-brother to Indian Blessing, failed to take advantage of a speed-favoring main track on August 2. He should be a strong pace factor in the spot.
GONE ASTRAY ran a brave race in the slop, and now adds Lasix for McGaughey. With this pedigree, he could be any kind. YORE held gamely in his debut, but faces a quality bunch here, and may need slight improvement to reach the winner's circle. NOWHERE TO HIDE got bet hard for his debut, then had to rally over a speed-favoring surface. He can do better second out for Zito. SOMETHING GOLD makes his debut for Steve Asmussen, one of the best first-out trainers in history. STRONG CLUE attempts to become the fifth winner to emerge from the fifth race at Churchill Downs on July 2. PLATTE RIVER is by an excellent debut sire, but the works only give out mixed feelings. COAL BARON goes out for a barn that sent out a longshot debut winner earlier in the meet, but the Mineshafts usually do better with more experience and distance.

Selections:
1. Lord Justice
2. Florentino
3. Spaniard

The Play:
Lord Justice to Win and Place at 9-2 odds or more

Meet record based on starts, wins, top pick (after scratches) in the money, and profit/loss of that day's play ($2 wager):
51-11-24 (+ $82.10)