08/21/2007 11:00PM

Spa Babies for 8/23

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Welcome to Spa Babies! I'll break down the statistics for every juvenile maiden contest at the meet, and hopefully will end up with a tidy profit.

Wednesday’s results:
Race 2: Syriana’s Song finished first
Race 4: Desafinado finished sixth
Race 6: Wild Logic finished first

Race 2
6 1/2 Furlongs
Maiden Special Weight (New York Bred)
2-year-olds
Purse $56,000

1. First of Ten (Hold That Tiger – Thorette, by Affirmed)
Trainer: Leah Gyarmati
- Foaled April 15
- $45,000 weanling (Keeneland November 2005)
- $35,000 RNA yearling (Keeneland September 2006)
- $22,000 juvenile (OBS April 2007)
- half-brother to multiple stakes-placed sprinter Speed Bag (29-6-5-5, $251,959, 2-7 at two, 6-28 in dirt sprints, 1-8 in mud/slop)
- first-crop sire was a Group 1 winner on turf at two (10-3-1-1, $644,235, 3-5 at two, won debut, unraced in dirt sprints)
- sire is 1-28 (4%, $0.15 ROI) with juvenile debut runners
- sire’s debut winner came in a maiden special weight dirt sprint at Louisiana Downs
- dam was unplaced (2-0-0-0, $0, unraced at two, all races on turf, sold for $85,000 as a yearling)
- dam has five runners, four winners, three juvenile runners, two juvenile winners
- second dam is multiple juvenile stakes-winning sprinter Barbara’s Nemesis (11-3-0-1, $98,163, 3-9 at two, 3-8 in dirt sprints, 1-3 in mud/slop)
- Affirmed is 9-62 (15%, $2.64 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2007
- trainer is 2-26 (8%, $3.25 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 0-5 with debuting Spa Babies
- trainer is 2-10 (20%, $12.56 ROI) with debut runners in 2007
- of trainer’s two debut winners this year, both came in conventional dirt sprints, one in New York-bred maiden special weight, one with Lasix, both with front bandages, both were older maidens
- worked one furlong in 11.20 prior to the April sale
- July 1 workout went .02 faster than barn’s three-year-old Heartbreakin’ Love (finished fourth in maiden special weight at Monmouth on July 8 with 42 Beyer)
- July 25 workout matches barn’s juvenile The Truffle Man (finished eighth in career debut on August 11 with 36 Beyer)

2. Big Truck (Hook and Ladder – Just a Ginny, by Go for Gin)
Trainer: Barclay Tagg
- Foaled February 12
- withdrawn yearling (Keeneland September 2006)
- $90,000 juvenile (Fasig-Tipton May 2007)
- half-brother to stakes-placed turfer Logic Way (10-1-2-1, $74,100, 0-4 at two, unraced in dirt sprints, 0-3 in mud/slop)
- first-crop sire was a Grade 2 sprint winner (19-6-2-3, $388,120, 1-1 at two, 6-18 in dirt sprints)
- sire is 5-15 (33%, $5.15 ROI) with juvenile debut runners
- of sire’s five debut winners, all came in sprints, four on conventional dirt, one at this meet, three in New York-bred maiden special weights)
dam was a winner (15-3-3-4, $98,725, unraced at two, unraced in dirt sprints, 0-1 in mud/slop, cost $23,000 as a yearling)
- dam has one runner, one winner, one juvenile runner, no juvenile winners
- dam a half-sister to Grade 2-placed juvenile Goodbye Doeny (15-2-4-1, $90,770, 2-7 at two, won debut, 2-12 in dirt sprints)
- Go for Gin is 2-16 (12%, $1.42 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2007
- trainer is 7-58 (12%, $2.35 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 1-13 (8%, $0.78 ROI) with debuting Spa Babies
- trainer is 5-27 (19%, $2.19 ROI) with debut runners in 2007
- of trainer’s five debut winners this year, one came at this meet, three in conventional dirt sprints, all with Lasix, one with blinkers, one with front wraps, three juvenile debut winners
- worked a quarter-mile in 22.40 prior to the May sale

3. Bad Streak (Wheelaway – Cherokee Lady, by Cherokee Run)
Trainer: Rodrigo Ubiilo
- Foaled April 22
- $4,000 RNA (Fasig-Tipton Open August 2006)
- withdrawn juvenile (OBS April 2007)
- sire was a route stakes-winner (7-2-1-1, $249,760, unraced at two, 0-1 in dirt sprints)
- sire is 1-19 (5%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 1-20 (5%, $0.73 ROI) with debut runners in 2007
- sire’s debut winner came with an older runner in a New York-bred maiden claiming dirt sprint at Aqueduct
- dam was a sprint winner (24-1-3-1, $13,045, unraced at two, 1-20 in dirt sprints, 0-7 in mud/slop, cost $6,500 as a short yearling)
- dam has one runner, no winners, one juvenile runner
- second dam a winning half-sister to multiple stakes-placed Spring Leaf (51-4-4-11, $118,536, 0-3 at two, 1-9 in dirt sprints, 1-9 in mud/slop), stakes-placed Wise Woman (39-8-8-7, $213,208, 0-4 at two, 5-24 in dirt sprints, 0-4 in mud/slop), multiple Group 1 winner Blossoming Fields (in South Africa), and Group 2-placed Railroad Red (in South Africa)
- Cherokee Run is 1-16 (6%, $0.48 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2007
- trainer is 0-5 over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 0-1 with debuting Spa Babies

4. Cape of Storms (Cape Town – U R Theweakestlink, by Mountain Cat)
Trainer: Jamie Sanders
- Foaled February 23
- $13,500 RNA yearling (Fasig-Tipton Open August 2006)
- sire was a Grade 1 route winner (12-5-1-1, $795,817, 3-6 at two, 2-5 in dirt sprints)
- sire is 57-299 (19%) with juvenile runners
- dam was unplaced (1-0-0-0, $0, unraced at two, lost sprinting, sold for $35,000 as a yearling, and $13,000 as a juvenile, 1-2 in mud/slop)
- this is dam’s first runner
- dam a half-sister to multiple stakes-winner Mellow Roll (24-7-4-4, $555,775, 5-7 at two, 4-14 in dirt sprints)
- trainer is 7-139 (5%, $1.16 ROI) over the past five years with juveniles on dirt
- trainer is 1-23 (4%, $1.21 ROI) with Spa Babies on dirt

5. Post Exchange (Phone Trick – Lightbeam, by Rubiano)
Trainer: Kiaran McLaughlin
- Foaled April 20
- $130,000 yearling (Fasig-Tipton Preferred August 2006) (*** Tied 7th highest priced)
- withdrawn juvenile (Fasig-Tipton February 2007)
- withdrawn juvenile (Fasig-Tipton May 2007)
- half-brother to stakes-placed juvenile Mrs. Mistofelees (17-0-4-0, $69,094, 0-5 at two, 0-13 in dirt sprints, 0-2 in mud/slop)
- sire was a multiple Grade 2 sprint winner (10-9-1-0, $395,112, unraced at two, all races in dirt sprints)
- sire is 256-1560 (16%) with juvenile runners
- dam was a juvenile sprint winner (4-1-0-2, $28,215, all races sprinting at two, 0-1 in mud/slop)
- dam has seven runners, three winners, four juvenile runners, no juvenile winners
- dam a half-sister to juvenile stakes-winning sprinter Relinquish (7-2-1-0, $42,568, all races at two, 2-4 in dirt sprints)
- trainer is 13-58 (22%, $2.37 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles
- trainer is 1-7 (14%, $2.40 ROI) with second-time Spa Babies

6. Good Law (Good and Tough – Above Reproach, by Crafty Prospector)
Trainer: Richard Dutrow Jr.
- Foaled March 7
- entered yearling (Fasig-Tipton October 2006)
- half-brother to stakes-placed Regal Reproach (43-5-9-9, $150,266, unraced at two, 1-2 in dirt sprints, 0-8 in mud/slop)
- sire was a Grade 2 sprint winner (23-9-5-2, $809,341, unraced at two, 9-21 in dirt sprints, 1-1 in mud/slop)
- sire is 11-75 (15%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 2-28 (7%, $0.29 ROI) with debut runners in 2007
- of sire’s two debut winners this year, both were older runners in conventional dirt sprints, one was in a state-bred maiden special weight
- dam was a sprint winner (11-1-0-1, $27,461, unraced at two, 1-8 in dirt sprints, 1-4 in mud/slop)
- dam has seven runners, six winners, four juvenile runners, four juvenile winners, two juvenile debut winners
- dam a half-sister to stakes-placed Decora (17-4-5-5, $147,450, unraced at two, 1-3 in dirt sprints)
- Crafty Prospector is 9-58 (16%, $4.30 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2007
- trainer is 21-90 (23%, $2.63 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 3-15 (20%, $1.66 ROI) with debuting Spa Babies
- trainer is 13-30 (43%, $4.05 ROI) with debut runners this year
- of trainer’s 13 debut winners this year, all came in conventional dirt sprints, four in New York-bred maiden special weight, 10 with Lasix, four with front bandages, two with Edgar Prado aboard, two juvenile debut winners
- June 15, June 27 workouts match barn’s three-year-old Zip to the City (finished second in ‘n1x’ on turf on August 11 with 74 Beyer; 62 dirt Beyer)

7. Barossa (Langfuhr – Wee Lass, by Nostrum)
Trainer: M Anthony Ferraro
- Foaled February 10
- withdrawn yearling (Fasig-Tipton Preferred August 2006)
- sire was a multiple Grade 1 winner (23-9-7-1, $698,574, unraced at two, 8-12 in dirt sprints, 1-3 in mud/slop)
- sire is 21-229 (9%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 9-48 (19%, $4.51 ROI) with debut runners in 2007
- half-brother to sprint stakes-winner We Belong (44-8-9-5, $106,804, 1-4 at two, 8-42 in dirt sprints, 1-6 in mud/slop)
- dam was a sprint winner (48-6-7-6, $90,531, unraced at two, all races in dirt sprints, 1-5 in mud/slop)
- dam has eight runners, six winners, three juvenile runners, two juvenile winners
- second dam a winning half-sister to multiple stakes-placed Fanny’s Fox (105-24-19-11, $381,227), stakes-placed router Lord Windemere (63-7-20-5, $197,782, unraced at two, 1-11 in dirt sprints, 0-2 in mud/slop), and multiple stakes-winner Summer Tale (41-10-7-6, $328,191, unraced at two, 3-11 in dirt sprints, 0-3 in mud/slop)
- trainer is 1-31 (3%, $0.10 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 0-7 with debuting Spa Babies
- trainer is 1-9 (11%, $0.32 ROI) with debut runners in 2007
- trainer’s debut winner this year came with a juvenile in a maiden special weight dirt sprint at Finger Lakes with Lasix on
- June 26 workout matches barn’s three-year-old filly Baba Gold (finished sixth in career debut at Finger Lakes on August 7 with 0 Beyer)
- July 4 workout matches barn’s five-year-old Diamond Hard Cut (finished second in 4K ‘n2y’ claimer at Finger Lakes on July 10 with 46 Beyer)
- July 10 workout matches barn’s seven-year-old Ivan’s Song (finished eighth in 8K claimer on July 29 at Finger Lakes with 51 Beyer)
- July 23 workout matches barn’s seven-year-old Pleasant Trick (finished second in 5K ‘n1y’ claimer on August 5 with 59 Beyer)
- August 12 workout matches barn’s six-year-old Howyalikedemapples (finished second in ‘n1x’ optional claimer at Finger Lakes on August 20 with 63 Beyer)

8. Backtosquareone (Silver Ghost – Mando Commando, by Cojak)
Trainer: Michael Lauer
- Foaled March 13
- $2,300 yearling (Fasig-Tipton October 2006)
- sire was a sprint winner (6-3-1-1, $42,400, unraced at two, 3-4 in dirt sprints)
- sire is 152-949 (16%) with juvenile runners
- dam was stakes-placed sprinting at two (12-1-1-3, $17,479, 1-4 at two, 1-11 in dirt sprints)
- dam has five runners, one winner, two juvenile runners, no juvenile winners
- dam a half-sister to stakes-placed juvenile K. C.’s Treasure (52-3-2-7, $35,712, 0-4 at two, 0-17 in dirt sprints, 0-6 in mud/slop)
- trainer is 5-32 (16%, $1.02 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles
- trainer is 0-1 with second-time Spa Babies

Analysis:
BIG TRUCK makes debut for barn that sent out first-out winner Rebounded here on August 3. The first-crop sire was a quick sprinter, and he has gotten off to a hot start at stud. Big Truck shows a swift half-mile gate work over the surface, and probably doesn’t have to be a star to win at first asking.
CAPE OF STORMS looms the horse to beat after stumbling at the start, and chasing wide in first start over the track. He gets a rider switch to Rafael Bejarano, and may be more forwardly-placed in the early going. GOOD LAW is bred for speed on both sides of the pedigree, and Richard Dutrow Jr. has been lights out with his firsters in 2007.
BAROSSA shows some bullet workouts at Finger Lakes, and the half-sibling to two juvenile winners is by a hot first-out sire. POST EXCHANGE comes out of a fast race, and trainer Kiaran McLaughlin has good stats with second-time runners.

Selections:
1. Big Truck
2. Cape of Storms
3. Good Law

The play: Big Truck to win at 2-1 odds or more

Race 3
5 1/2 Furlongs (Turf)
Maiden Special Weight
2-year-olds
Purse $62,000

1. Veiled Prophet (Kingmambo – Costume Party, by Storm Cat)
Trainer: Neil Howard
- Foaled February 6 in Kentucky
- $300,000 RNA yearling (Keeneland September 2006)
- sire was a multiple Group 1 winner on turf in Europe (13-5-4-2, $733,139, 1-7 on turf, all races on turf)
- sire is 6-86 (7%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 26-205 (13%) with first-turf runners
- sire is 1-7 (14%, $1.57 ROI) with debut runners in 2007
- sire’s debut winner in 2007 came with an older runner in a turf route maiden special weight at Indiana Downs
- dam was placed routing (6-0-1-0, $6,700, unraced at two, 0-3 on turf, cost $900,000 as a weanling)
- this is dam’s first runner
- dam a half-sister to stakes-winner Akiba (17-3-1-2, $75,903, 2-3 at two, 0-4 on turf), British Group 3 turf winner Lucayan Prince (38-6-8-8, $400,040, 1-2 at two, won debut, 5-29 on turf, 0-1 in mud/slop), multiple Grade 3 winner Comic Strip (23-10-6-3, $967,474, 2-5 at two, 5-11 on turf, first-turf winner), and Grade 2 turf winner Silver Comic (9-4-1-0, $216,935, unraced at two, 4-8 on turf, first-turf winner)
- Storm Cat is 5-76 (7%, $1.28 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2007
- trainer is 2-14 (14%, $3.89 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners on turf
- trainer is 0-4 with debuting Spa Babies on grass
- trainer is 4-24 (17%, $2.32 ROI) with debut runners in 2007
- of sire's four debut winners this year, one came at this meet, three came in sprints, all in maiden special weight, two with Lasix, one with Rafael Bejarano aboard, three juvenile debut winners, two for this owner
- July 27 workout matches barn’s juvenile Working Man Blues (finished 10th in career debut on dirt on August 11 with 27 Beyer)
- August 4 workout matches barn’s juvenile filly Banner Day (finished second in career debut on dirt on August 12 with 66 Beyer), and barn’s juvenile filly Ready to Dream (finished fourth in career debut on turf on August 13 with 75 Beyer)

2. Footloose Man (War Chant – Asolare, by Gold Fever)
Trainer: Mark Hennig
- Foaled February 28 in Kentucky
- sire was a Grade 1 winner on turf (7-5-1-0, $1,130,600, 1-1 at two, 2-2 on turf, 1-1 in mud/slop)
- sire is 10-52 (19%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 15-89 (17%) with first-turf runners
- sire is 2-26 (8%, $0.87 ROI) with debut runners in 2007
- of sire’s two debut winners this year, one was a juvenile debut winner, both came on turf, one sprinting, both in maiden special weight
- dam was unplaced (2-0-0-0, $0, unraced at two, unraced on turf, 0-1 in mud/slop, cost $425,000 as a yearling)
- this is dam’s first runner
- dam a half-sister to multiple stakes-placed Summer Squeeze (21-4-1-4, $123,245, 2-8 at two, 0-3 on turf, 1-1 in mud/slop), and Grade 2 route winner Globalize (13-5-2-1, $623,650, 3-4 at two, won debut, unraced on turf, 1-2 on mud/slop)
- Gold Fever is 1-12 (8%, $0.50 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2007
- trainer is 1-15 (7%, $1.51 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut winners on turf
- trainer is 1-2 (50%, $11.30 ROI) with debuting Spa Babies on turf
- trainer is 1-26 (4%, $0.58 ROI) with debut runners in 2007
- trainer's debut winner this year came with a juvenile runner in a dirt sprint
- July 14 workout matches barn’s juvenile Second Son (finished eighth in career debut in dirt maiden special weight at Monmouth on August 3 with 33 Beyer)

3. Awakino Cat (Stormy Atlantic – Ski Racer, by Ski Chief)
Trainer: Linda Rice
- Foaled May 4 in Kentucky
- $25,000 RNA yearling (Keeneland September 2006)
- out juvenile (Keeneland April 2007)
- out juvenile (Barretts May 2007)
- $60,000 juvenile (Fasig-Tipton May 2007)
- sire was a multiple stakes-winning sprinter (15-6-2-1, $148,126, 0-1 at two, unraced on turf, 0-1 in mud/slop)
- sire is 28-233 (12%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 26-179 (15%) with first-turf runners
- sire is 9-68 (13%, $1.07 ROI) with debut runners in 2007
- of sire’s nine debut winners this year, two were juvenile debut winners, eight raced in sprints, two on turf, four in maiden special weights
- dam was a winner on turf in France (10-1-1-2, $19,227, unraced at two, all races on grass)
- dam has three runners, one winner, two juvenile runners, no juvenile winners, two turf runners, no turf winners
- dam a half-sister to multiple turf stakes-winner Bouccaneer (16-5-5-4, $429,568, 2-5 at two, all races on turf)
- trainer is 3-23 (13%, $2.72 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners on turf
- trainer is 0-9 with debuting Spa Babies on turf
- trainer is 3-24 (12%, $1.43 ROI) with debut runners in 2007
- of trainer's three debut winners this year, all were juvenile debut winners, two at this meet, all in sprints, one on turf, one in open maiden special weight, two with Lasix, one with blinkers, all with Cornelio Velasquez aboard
- worked a bullet 10.20 prior to the May sale

4. Lake Placid (Giant’s Causeway – Saranac Lake, by Smart Strike)
Trainer: Michael Matz
- Foaled January 31 in Kentucky
- sire was a multiple Group 1 winner on turf in Europe (13-9-4-0, $3,078,989, 3-3 at two, 9-12 on turf)
- sire is 9-80 (11%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 12-138 (9%) with first-time turfers
- sire is 2-28 (7%, $0.80 ROI) with debut runners in 2007
- of sire’s two debut winners this year, both were older runners, one sprinting, one on turf, both in maiden special weight
- dam was a Group 3 winner on turf in Ireland at two (13-4-1-0, $125,326, 2-3 at two, all races on turf, cost $52,000 as a yearling)
- this is dam’s first runner
- dam a half-sister to stakes-winner Alashir (in Peru)
- Smart Strike is 4-19 (21%, $3.87 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2007
- trainer is 2-11 (18%, $3.85 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners on turf
- trainer is 1-2 (50%, $12.70 ROI) with debuting Spa Babies on turf
- trainer is 1-18 (6%, $0.41 ROI) with debut runners in 2007
- trainer's debut winner this year was a juvenile debut winner in a maiden special weight turf sprint at Saratoga with Lasix on, and Edgar Prado aboard.
- June 14, June 27 workouts match barn’s juvenile Ready Set (finished third in career debut on dirt on August 4 with 69 Beyer)
- July 14 workout matches barn’s five-year-old Bee Charmer (finished fourth in Kittens Joy Stakes on turf at Colonial on July 21 with 89 Beyer), barn’s juvenile Full Charge (finished eighth in career debut on dirt on August 8 with 31 Beyer)

5. Sundaysunday (Sunday Break – Moi Moi, by St. Jovite)
Trainer: Angel Penna Jr.
- Foaled March 4 in Kentucky
- $8,000 weanling (Keeneland November 2005)
- $52,000 yearling (Keeneland September 2006)
- $150,000 juvenile (Fasig-Tipton February 2007)
- first-crop sire was a Grade 2 route winner (13-4-1-4, $451,220, 0-2 at two, 0-2 on turf)
- sire is 0-20 with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 0-2 with first-turf runners
- dam was unraced (sold for $12,000 as a yearling, and $4,000 as a juvenile)
- dam has three runners, three winners, two juvenile runners, no juvenile winners, one turf runner, no turf winners
- dam a half-sister to stakes-placed turfer Seven Sevens (17-6-3-3, $222,249, unraced at two, 5-13 on turf), and stakes-winner Chetten County (11-3-1-3, $79,675, 0-2 at two, 3-10 on turf)
- St. Jovite is 1-21 (5%, $0.27 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2007
- trainer is 1-5 (20%, $2.12 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners on turf
- trainer is 0-3 with debuting Spa Babies on turf
- worked on furlong in 10.60 prior to the February sale
- July 14 workout matches barn’s juvenile Manitowish Waters (finished sixth in career debut on turf on August 3 with 71 Beyer)
- August 11 workout matches barn’s juvenile filly Chauette (0 dirt Beyer)
- August 18 workout matches barn’s three-year-old filly Home Late (69 dirt Beyer)

6. Letsgotwosteppin (Western Expression – Let’s Dance Again, by Green Dancer)
Trainer: David Duggan
- Foaled May 1 in New York
- sire was a Grade 1-placed sprinter (16-3-2-3, $140,114, unraced at two, 0-1 on turf)
- sire is 6-64 (9%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 5-51 (10%) with first-turf runners
- dam was unraced
- this is dam’s first runner
- second dam is an unraced full sister to stakes-placed Jelly Roll Jazz (10-1-5-2, $40,892, 0-1 at two, 1-7 on turf, first-turf winner)
- Green Dancer is 3-39 (8%, $0.76 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2007
- trainer is 0-5 over the past five years with all debut runners on turf

7. Ya Think (Broken Vow - Cable News, by Known Fact)
Trainer: George Weaver
- Foaled February 7 in Kentucky
- $140,000 yearling (Keeneland September 2006)
- half-brother to stakes-placed juvenile sprinter Cut to Commercial (9-1-1-1, $19,680, 0-2 at two, 0-1 on turf, 0-1 in mud/slop), and Grade 1-placed juvenile That’s an Outrage (39-3-1-6, $242,175, 1-8 at two, 0-12 on turf)
- sire was a Grade 2 route winner (14-9-2-2, $725,296, unraced at two, unraced on turf, 2-3 in mud/slop)
- sire is 46-302 (15%) with juvenile runners
- sire is 34-230 (15%) with turf runners
- dam was unraced
- dam has six runners, five winners, three juvenile runners, one juvenile winner, four turf runners, one turf winner
- dam a half-sister to stakes-winner Laugh Track (39-8-1-5, $92,829, 2-3 at two, 1-5 on turf, 1-3 in mud/slop), multiple Grade 2 winner Channel Three (44-9-5-7, $412,548, 3-6 at two, 1-7 on turf, 0-3 in mud/slop), and juvenile stakes-winner Fretina (14-4-3-3, $141,465, 3-6 at two, 0-1 on turf, 1-1 in mud/slop)
- trainer is 3-58 (5%, $0.92 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles
- trainer is 0-18 at Saratoga with second-time juveniles
- trainer is 12-103 (12%, $2.62 ROI) over the past five years with juveniles on turf
- trainer is 1-25 (4%, $1.76 ROI) with Spa Babies on turf

8. Bull Rider (Dixieland Band – Pekeen, by Tabasco Cat)
Trainer: Jamie Sanders
- Foaled February 18 in Kentucky
- $185,000 weanling (Fasig-Tipton November 2005)
- out yearling (Keeneland September 2006)
- $75,000 juvenile (Fasig-Tipton May 2007)
- sire was a multiple Grade 2 route winner (24-8-3-4, $441,320, 3-5 at two, won debut, 0-3 on turf, 0-1 in mud/slop)
- sire is 65-347 (19%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 58-481 (12%) with first-turf runners
- sire is 3-22 (14%, $0.66 ROI) with debut runners in 2007
- of sire’s three debut winners this year, one was a juvenile debut winner, all came in sprints, one in maiden special weight
- dam was unraced (cost $205,000 as a yearling)
- dam has one runner, no winners, no juvenile runners, no turf runners
- dam a half-sister to stakes-placed router Taianna (8-3-3-1, $108,475, 0-1 at two, unraced on turf, dam of Hook and Ladder)
- trainer is 0-2 over the past five years with juvenile debut runners on turf
- trainer is 0-1 with debuting Spa Babies on turf
- worked one furlong in 10.80 prior to the May sale
- July 22 workout matches barn’s juvenile Doodleburg (finished third in career debut on turf at Ellis Park on August 2 with 49 Beyer)
- August 16 workout matches barn’s juvenile Fufty (57 dirt Beyer)

9. At Attention (Elusive Quality – Spring Meadow, by Meadowlake)
Trainer: William Mott
- Foaled February 8 in Florida
- sire was a multiple Grade 3 turf winner (20-9-3-2, $413,284, unraced at two, 2-4 on turf, first-turf winner, 3-5 on mud/slop)
- sire is 62-375 (17%) with juvenile runners
- sire is 13-153 (8%) with first-turf runners
- Elusive Quality – Meadowlake ‘nick’ produced juvenile stakes-winner Baba Gonzo (17-4-3-1, $90,410, 1-5 at two, unraced on turf, 0-1 in mud/slop)
- dam was a Grade 3 sprint winner (23-6-4-5, $496,123, unraced at two, unraced on turf, 0-2 in mud/slop, cost $13,000 as a yearling, and $200,000 as a juvenile)
- this is dam’s first runner
- second dam an unraced half-sister to Grade 3-placed juvenile turfer Daisyago (32-3-5-5, $262,589, 1-6 at two, 3-26 on turf, first-turf winner)
- trainer is 5-17 (29%, $3.45 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles switching to turf
- trainer is 0-4 with that angle with Spa Babies

10. (MTO) Mr. Shortcake (Cactus Ridge – Subtle Song, by Wavering Monarch)
Trainer: Todd Pletcher
- Foaled March 2 in Kentucky
- $100,000 weanling (Keeneland November 2005)
- $180,000 yearling (Keeneland September 2006)
- first-crop sire was a Grade 3 juvenile winner (4-4-0-0, $187,850, 4-4 at two, 3-3 in dirt sprints)
- sire is 4-31 (13%) with juvenile runners
- dam was a sprint winner (16-2-0-0, $29,874, 1-2 at two, 2-13 in dirt sprints, 1-2 in mud/slop)
- dam has two runners, one winner, two juvenile runners, no juvenile winners
- dam a full sister to stakes-winner Subtle Wave (19-4-1-1, $60,740, 2-3 at two, 2-7 in dirt sprints, 0-1 in mud/slop)
trainer is 89-281 (32%, $1.97 ROI) over the past five years with juveniles returning from 31-60 day layoff
- (16-41, 39%, $2.90 ROI with Spa Babies off 31-60 day layoff
- trainer is 9-49 (18%, $1.50 ROI) over the past five years with juveniles returning from 61-180 day layoffs
- trainer is 0-1 with that angle with Spa Babies

11. (MTO) Saratoga Seven (Forestry – Chalouchi, by Mt. Livemore)
Trainer: D. Wayne Lukas
- Foaled January 21 in Kentucky
- $340,000 yearling (Fasig-Tipton Select August 2006)
- sire was a Grade 1 sprint winner (11-7-1-2, $591,225, unraced at two, 4-7 in dirt sprints, 0-1 in mud/slop)
- sire is 58-290 (20%) with juvenile runners
- dam was a sprint winner (6-1-0-1, $15,606, 0-1 at two, 1-4 in dirt sprints, 1-1 in mud/slop, cost $410,000 as a yearling)
- this is dam’s first runner
- dam a half-sister to Grade 2-placed sprinter Bold Truth (15-2-0-6, $112,205, 0-1 at two, 2-12 in dirt sprints)
- trainer is 18-172 (10%, $0.82 ROI) with second-time juveniles
- trainer is 4-37 (11%, $0.79 ROI) with second-time Spa Babies
- trainer is 81-719 (11%, $0.98 ROI) over the past five years with juveniles on dirt
- trainer is 11-133 (8%, $0.65 ROI) with Spa Babies on dirt

Analysis:
LAKE PLACID is bred both sides for grass success as a son of top turf sire Giant’s Causeway and Irish Group winner Saranac Lake. This trainer/jockey combination sent out juvenile debut winner La Menina in a maiden special weight turf sprint on July 30.
FOOTLOOSE MAN is by a top turf sire out of a solid blacktype family. Mark Hennig sent out 10-1 juvenile firster Dinner Break to win a turf sprint at Saratoga in 2006. YA THINK showed good speed in career debut, then pitched a fit before loading into the gate on August 3. George Weaver’s barn is heating up, and they put the blinkers back on this colt. He should show tactical speed.
VEILED PROPHET will have to hustle from inside post, but has a strong turf pedigree, and the trainer sent out juvenile debut winner Morakami earlier at the meet. SUNDAYSUNDAY goes out for underrated, excellent barn, but the young sire has been very cold. AT ATTENTION goes out for dangerous connections, and looms a strong pace factor. AWAKINO CAT worked very swiftly before being sold for $60,000 in February, and trainer Linda Rice specializes with turf firsters.

Selections (Turf Only):
1. Lake Placid
2. Footloose Man
3. Ya Think

The Play (Turf Only): Lake Placid to win and place at 9-2 odds or more

Meet record based on starts, wins, top pick (after scratches) in the money, and profit/loss of that day's play ($2 wager): 44-10-22 (-$14.60)