08/21/2008 12:00AM

Spa Babies for 8/22

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Welcome to Spa Babies! I'll break down the statistics for every juvenile contest at the meet. Hopefully, we'll end up with a tidy profit.

Wednesday's results
Race 2: Memorized finished seventh
Race 5: Warm Springs Girl finished fourth

Thursday's result:
No juvenile races were carded

Friday, August 22, 2008

Race 2
1 1/16 Miles (Turf)
Maiden Special Weight
2-year-old fillies
Purse $63,000

1. Platinum Girl (Mineshaft - Wild and Wonderful, by Kennedy Road)
Trainer: Todd Pletcher
- Foaled February 23, 2006 in Kentucky
- half-sister to multiple Grade 3 route winner West Virginia (29-7-6-5, $1,010,938, 3-5 at two, 0-1 on turf, 2-7 in mud/slop)
- $40,000 yearling (Keeneland September 2007)
- sire was a multiple Grade 1 route winner (18-10-3-1, $2,283,402, unraced at two, 1-7 on turf, 1-1 in mud/slop)
- sire is 2-32 (6%) with juvenile debut runners
-sire is 2-13 (15%) with first-turf runners
- sire is 1-28 (4%, $0.44 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008 (juvenile debut winner at meet)
- dam was a route winner (7-1-1-1, $20,100, unraced at two, unraced on turf, cost $19,500 as a yearling)
- dam has eight runners, six winners, four juvenile runners, one juvenile winner, six turf runners, no turf winners, seven mud/slop runners, five mud/slop winners
- Kennedy Road is 1-10 (10%, $0.70 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2008 (juvenile debut winner)
- dam a half-sister to multiple stakes-winner Special Kinda Guy (35-6-5-4, $133,620)
- dam a half-sister to Grade 2 winner Pampered Star (26-5-2-5, $339,221, 0-2 at two, unraced on turf, 1-2 in mud/slop)
- trainer is 16-75 (21%, $1.58 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners on turf
- trainer is 9-31 (29%, $2.11 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners on turf at Saratoga
- trainer is 19-98 (19%, $1.49 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008 (all winners with Lasix, one with blinkers, four at this meet, three on turf, 12 juvenile winners, 15 with John Velazquez aboard)
- May 20, May 27, June 3 workouts match barn's juvenile filly Abigail's Gold (finished second in career debut on dirt at Saratoga on August 3 with 52 Beyer)
- May 27 workout went .03 faster than barn's six-year-old Carminooch (103 Beyer on dirt, 66 on turf)
- May 27 workout went .03 faster than barn's juvenile Invisible Star (finished sixth in career debut on turf at Belmont on July 11 with 45 Beyer)
- June 20 workout matches Invisible Star
- June 26 workout matches barn's juvenile filly High Cry (finished first in career debut on turf at Saratoga on August 7 with 63 Beyer)
- July 11 workout matches barn's juvenile Laver (finished fourth in maiden special weight on dirt at Saratoga on August 13 with 45 Beyer)
- July 18, August 1 workouts match barn's juvenile filly River Fancy (finished fourth in career debut on dirt at Saratoga on August 13 with 54 Beyer)
- August 9 workout went .02 faster than entrymate Weekend Strike
- August 16 workout matches barn's juvenile Silent Valor (92 Beyer on dirt)

1A. Weekend Strike (Smart Strike - Weekend Storm, by Storm Bird)
Trainer: Todd Pletcher
- Foaled April 10, 2006 in Kentucky
- half-sister to Group 2 turf winner (Hong Kong) Garcia Marquez (36-6-3-3, $804,449, 1-4 at two, 6-35 on turf, 0-1 in mud/slop)
- half-sister to stakes-placed sprinter City Weekend (28-8-3-4, $270,273, 0-1 at two, unraced on turf, 0-3 in mud/slop)
- half-sister to stakes-winning sprinter Lord Snowdon (30-8-7-4, $433,810, unraced at two, 0-1 on turf, 2-5 in mud/slop)
- half-sister to juvenile Grade 2 route winner Court Vision (9-3-2-2, $553,542, 3-4 at two, 0-2 on turf)
- $350,000 yearling (Keeneland September 2007)
- sire was a Grade 1 route winner (8-6-1-0, $337,376, unraced at two, unraced on turf)
- sire is 32-227 (14%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 31-103 (10%) with first-turf runners
- sire is 4-33 (12%, $1.36 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008 (one juvenile debut winner)
- dam was unraced
- dam has nine runners, seven winners, six juvenile runners, two juvenile winners, six turf runners, two turf winners, six mud/slop runners, two mud/slop winners
- Storm Bird is 2-27 (7%, $1.91 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2008 (both older debut winners)
- dam a full sister to multiple Grade 1 winner Summer Squall (20-13-4-0, $1,844,282, 5-5 at two, unraced on turf, 3-5 in mud/slop)
- dam a half-sister to multiple Grade 3-placed Honor Grades (24-5-3-5, $173,953, 2-5 at two, won debut, 1-6 on turf, 0-1 in mud/slop)
- dam a half-sister to multiple Grade 1 winner A.P. Indy (11-8-0-1, $2,979,815, 3-4 at two, unraced on turf)
- dam a half-sister to Grade 1-placed router Weekend in Seattle (19-3-4-5, $147,245, 1-6 at two, 0-1 on turf, 2-3 in mud/slop)
- dam a half-sister to Grade 3 winner Welcome Surprise (9-2-6-1, $143,574, 1-2 at two, unraced on turf, 1-1 in mud/slop)
- dam a half-sister to stakes-winning sprinter Eavesdropper (16-3-5-2, $167,794, 0-1 at two, 0-1 on turf, 0-3 in mud/slop)
- trainer is 16-75 (21%, $1.58 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners on turf
- trainer is 9-31 (29%, $2.11 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners on turf at Saratoga
- trainer is 19-98 (19%, $1.49 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008 (all winners with Lasix, one with blinkers, four at this meet, three on turf, 12 juvenile winners)
- July 11 workout matches barn's juvenile filly Sally's Song (finished ninth in career debut on turf at Saratoga on July 28 with 64 Beyer)
- July 17 workout went .05 slower than barn's juvenile Laver (finished fourth in maiden special weight on dirt at Saratoga on August 13 with 45 Beyer)
- July 26 workout matches Laver
- August 9 workout went .02 slower than entrymate Weekend Platinum Girl

2. Concorde's Dance (Concorde's Tune - Polish Holiday, by Danzig)
Trainer: Stanley Hough
- Foaled February 15, 2006 in Florida
- half-sister to stakes-placed Broadway Johnny (55-7-7-1, $124,150, 1-3 at two, 5-37 on turf, 1-5 in mud/slop)
- sire was a multiple stakes-winner (28-12-4-4, $242,585, 1-2 at two, 3-8 on turf, first-turf winner, 2-5 in mud/slop)
- sire is 92-739 (12% with juvenile runners
- sire is 15-164 (9%) with first-turf runners
- dam was a Grade 3 winner (17-5-2-2, $131,344, 0-2 at two, 3-8 on turf, first-turf winner, 0-2 in mud/slop, cost $190,000 as a yearling)
- dam has five runners, four winners, four juvenile runners, two juvenile winners, four turf runners, three turf winners, four mud/slop runners, two mud/slop winners
- dam a half-sister to multiple stakes-winning turf runner Lt. Pinkerton (27-4-4-0, $165,429, 1-6 at two, 4-21 on turf, first-turf winner, 0-2 in mud/slop)
- trainer is 0-7 over the past five years with second-time juveniles switching to turf
- trainer is 0-2 over the past five years with second-time juveniles switching to turf at Saratoga

3. Skip Away Belle (Skip Away - Reel Special Belle, by Reel On Reel)
Trainer: Wesley Ward
- Foaled February 8, 2006 in New York
- half-sister to stakes-winning juvenile Sea Reel (26-4-5-4, $257,693, 2-6 at two, 0-7 on turf)
- withdrawn yearling (Keeneland September 2007)
- sire was a multiple Grade 1 route winner (38-18-10-6, $9,616,360, 1-6 at two, 0-1 on turf, 2-3 in mud/slop
- sire is 67-583 (11%) with juvenile runners
- sire is 15-183 (8%) with first-turf runners
- dam was a multiple stakes-winning sprinter (19-5-6-2, $175,331, 4-7 at two, unraced on turf, 2-4 in mud/slop)
- dam has eight runners, five winners, eight juvenile runners, two juvenile winners, three turf runners, no turf winners, three mud/slop runners, three mud/slop winners
- trainer is 6-12 (50%, $7.37 ROI) with juveniles trying turf for the first time
- trainer is 1-1 (100%, $11.00 ROI) with juveniles trying turf for the first time at Saratoga

4. She's From Queens (Dixie Union - Queen's Legend, by Dynaformer)
Trainer: George Arnold II
- Foaled March 5, 2006 in Kentucky
- half-sister to stakes-winner C P West (10-2-4-0, $383,820, 1-3 at two, unraced on turf)
- sire was 70-447 (16%) with juvenile runners
- sire is 7-105 (7%) with first-turf runners
-dam was stakes-placed on turf (28-5-9-5, $247,581, 0-2 at two, 5-25 on turf, unraced in mud/slop, cost $25,000 as a weanling)
- dam has three runners, one winner, two juvenile runners, one juvenile winner, no turf runners, two mud/slop runners, no mud/slop winners
- trainer is 1-5 (20%, $4.52 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles switching to turf
- trainer is 0-2 over the past five years with second-time juveniles switching to turf at Saratoga
- August 15 workout matches barn's three-year-old filly Inceptive (62 Beyer top on dirt, unraced on turf)

5. Proven Right (Vindication - Tricky Bird, by Storm Bird)
Trainer: Mark Hennig
- Foaled May 2, 2006 in Kentucky
- half-sister to Grade 2 turf winner Stanley Park (13-4-0-2, $272,916, unraced at two, all races on grass)
- half-sister to stakes-placed Shriek (16-2-3-2, $74,150, 0-5 at two, 1-6 on turf, 0-1 in mud/slop)
- $140,000 yearling (Keeneland September 2007)
- sire was a Grade 1 route winner at two (4-4-0-0, $680,950, all races at two, unraced on turf)
- sire is 10-66 (15%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 1-21 (5%) with first-turf runners
- sire is 4-33 (12%, $1.04 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008 (one juvenile debut winner)
- dam was unplaced (1-0-0-0, $0, unraced at two, unraced on turf, cost $175,000 as a yearling)
- dam has six runners, three winners, two juvenile runners, no juvenile winners, five turf runners, two turf winners, three mud/slop runners, one mud/slop winner
- Storm Bird is 2-27 (7%, $1.91 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2008 (both older debut winners)
- dam a half-sister to multiple stakes-winning sprinter Tricky Six (17-4-0-1, $93,673, 3-7 at two, unraced on turf, 0-1 in mud/slop)
- trainer is 1-14 (7%, $1.61 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners on turf
- trainer is 1-4 (25%, $5.65 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners on turf at Saratoga
- trainer is 2-16 (13%, $1.50 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008 (both with Lasix, one winner on turf with Cornelio Velasquez aboard, one juvenile debut winner)
- June 4 workout matches barn's juvenile filly Cherokee Moonlight (finished fourth in career debut on dirt at Saratoga on August 17 with 44 Beyer)
- June 25 workout matches barn's juvenile filly Mystic Miracle (finished fourth in career debut on dirt at Saratoga on August 16 with 55 Beyer)
- July 9 workout went .04 faster than Mystic Miracle

6. Dream Empress (Bernstein - Chinese Empress, by Nijinsky II)
Trainer: Kenneth McPeek
- Foaled March 22, 2006 in Kentucky
- $60,000 yearling (Keeneland September 2007)
- sire was a multiple Group 3 winner on turf in Ireland (8-4-0-0, $173,120, 2-3 at two, all races on grass)
- sire is 57-292 (20%) with juvenile runners
- sire is 52-353 (15%) with turf runners
- dam was a stakes-winner on turf (28-5-1-7, $163,814, 1-4 at two, 5-24 on turf, 0-1 in mud/slop, cost $75,000 as a yearling)
- dam has eight runners, six winners, six juvenile runners, three juvenile winners, six turf runners, three turf winners, three mud/slop runners, two mud/slop winners
- dam a half-sister to multiple Grade 2 winner Possible Mate (29-14-4-6, $675,999
- dam a half-sister to turf stakes-winner Shy Proposal (12-2-2-1, $97,488, 0-4 at two, 2-8 on turf, 0-1 in mud/slop)
- dam a half-sister to turf stakes-placed (England) Ajaad (7-3-1-1, $54,730, unraced at two)
- trainer is 3-8 (38%, $2.80 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles adding Lasix on turf

7. Dynaslew (Dynaformer - Slews Final Answer, by Seattle Slew)
Trainer: William Mott
- Foaled April 20, 2006 in Florida
- sire was a multiple Grade 2 winner (30-7-5-2, $671,207, 1-5 at two, 2-7 on turf, 1-3 in mud/slop)
- sire is 34-333 (10%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 88-596 (15%) with first-turf runners
- sire is 3-23 (13%, $1.35 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008 (all older debut winners, two on turf)
- dam was a multiple stakes-winning sprinter (23-8-7-2, $358,567, 1-2 at two, won debut, unraced on turf, 0-4 in mud/slop, cost $500,000 as a yearling)
- this is dam's first runner
- Seattle Slew is 7-47 (15%, $2.71 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2008 (three juvenile debut winners, two on turf)
- dam a half-sister to Grade 3 route winner Palmeiro (37-9-9-3, $475,388, 1-4 at two, 0-1 on turf, 1-1 in mud/slop)
- trainer is 8-78 (10%, $0.80 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 3-24 (13%, $0.65 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners at Saratoga
- trainer is 0-45 with all debut runners in 2008

8. Cat Grace (Maria's Mon - Joyce Ann, by Pine Bluff)
Trainer: William Badgett Jr.
- Foaled March 14, 2006 in Kentucky
- $65,000 weanling (Keeneland November 2006)
- $75,000 RNA yearling (Keeneland September 2007)
- $35,000 yearling (Fasig-Tipton October 2007)
- sire was a multiple Grade 1 winner at two (7-4-1-1, $507,140, 4-5 at two, won debut, unraced on turf)
- sire is 29-254 (11%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 25-260 (10%) with first-turf runners
- sire is 2-24 (8%, $0.81 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008 (both older debut winners)
- dam was stakes-placed (39-6-9-5, $190,480, 0-3 at two, 3-12 on turf, 0-3 in mud/slop, cost $35,000 as a weanling, and $45,000 as a yearling)
- this is dam's first runner
- Pine Bluff is 2-38 (5%, $0.42 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2008 (one juvenile debut winner at this meet)
- dam a half-sister to multiple stakes-winner Halo Cat (38-14-10-5, $493,480, 0-2 at two, unraced on turf, 1-3 in mud/slop)
- trainer is 0-1 over the past five years with juvenile debut winners on turf
- trainer is 1-10 (10%, $0.94 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008 (juvenile debut winner with Lasix)

9 (AE). Banker's Choice (Canadian Frontier - Berry Blessed, by St. Jovite)
Trainer: Ian Wilkes
- Foaled March 29, 2006 in Kentucky
- $32,000 RNA weanling Keeneland November 2006)
- $100,000 yearling (Keeneland September 2007)
- first-crop sire was a Grade 3 sprint winner on the main track (13-6-1-1, $253,239, unraced at two, 0-2 on turf, unraced in mud/slop)
- sire is 0-8 with juvenile runners in 2008
- sire is 0-1 with turf runners in 2008
- dam was unplaced (3-0-0-0, $0, unraced at two, 0-2 on turf, cost $22,000 as a yearling)
-dam has three runners, two winners, two juvenile runners, no juvenile winners, three turf runners, two turf winners, two mud/slop runners, one mud/slop winner
-dam a half-sister to juvenile Grade 1 route winner (main track) Vindication (4-4-0-0, $680,950, all races at two , unraced on turf)
- dam a half-sister to Grade 3 route winner (main track) Scipion (17-2-2-2, $194,056, 1-3 at two, 0-1 on turf, 0-1 in mud/slop)
- dam a half-sister to stakes-placed (Japan) True Reason (11-2-1-3, unraced at two)
- dam a half-sister to Grade 2-placed juvenile router (main track) Blackberry Road ($167,785, 1-6 at two, 0-1 on turf, unraced in mud/slop)
-trainer is 1-2 (50%, $15.00 ROI) over the past five years with juveniles going from sprint to route on turf

10 (AE). Warm Shower (Dynaformer - Caught in the Rain, by Petionville)
Trainer: Angel Penna Jr.
- Foaled February 2, 2006 in Kentucky
- $295,000 short yearling (Keeneland January 2007)
- $700,000 yearling (Fasig-Tipton Select August 2007)
- sire was a multiple Grade 2 winner (30-7-5-2, $671,207, 1-5 at two, 2-7 on turf, 1-3 in mud/slop)
- sire is 34-333 (10%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 88-596 (15%) with first-turf runners
- sire is 3-23 (13%, $1.35 ROI) with all debut runners in 2008 (all older debut winners, two on turf)
- dam was a Grade 2 winner (27-9-0-5, $455,034, unraced at two, 6-17 on turf, first-turf winner, 1-3 in mud/slop)
- this is dam's first runner
-Petionville is 4-9 (44%, $6.27 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2008 (three juvenile debut winners
- dam a half-sister to stakes-placed router Rogers (7-1-1-1, $40,560, 0-2 at two, 0-1 on turf, 0-2 in mud/slop)
- trainer is 0-4 over the past five years with juvenile debut runners on turf
- trainer is 0-3 over the past five years with juvenile debut runners on turf at Saratoga
- trainer is 0-5 with all debut runners in 2008

11 (AE). Americas Dreaming (Ire) (Statue of Liberty - Barnabas, by Slip Anchor)
Trainer: James Toner
- Foaled March 22, 2006 in Ireland
- half-sister to stakes-placed turf runner Mighty Empire (17-3-1-1, $96,572, 1-6 at two, all races on turf)
- 7,882 Irish guineas weanling (Goffs November 2006)
- 11,583 Irish guineas yearling (Goffs October 2007)
- sire was a Group 3 winner on turf at two in England (7-2-1-0, $164,658, 2-2 at two, 2-6 on turf)
- sire is 0-2 with juvenile runners in North America
- sire is 1-7 (14%) with turf runners in North America
- dam was unraced
- dam has six runners, two winners, six juvenile runners, two juvenile winners, six turf runners, two turf winners
- dam a half-sister to Group 3-placed turf runner (France) Irish Prospector (24-3-5-3, $74,193, all races on turf)
- dam a half-sister to stakes-winner (Japan) Manic Sunday (12-2-0-2, $595,946)
- dam a half-sister to stakes-winner (Japan) Win Schneid (15-5-3-2, $900,008)
- dam a half-sister to stakes-winner (Japan) That's the Plenty (16-3-3-2, $3,664,213)
- trainer is 1-10 (10%, $3.36 ROI) over the past five years with all new acquisitions
- trainer is 1-2 (50%, $16.80 ROI) over the past five years with all new acquisitions at Saratoga

12 (MTO) Siren Serenade (Unbridled's Song - Versailles Treaty, by Danzig)
Trainer: Claude McGaughey III
- Foaled February 15, 2006 in Kentucky
- three-quarter sister to Grade 2 juvenile route winner Saarland (21-5-5-1, $595,250, 2-5 at two, 5-19 in main track routes, 1-5 in mud/slop)
- out juvenile (Keeneland April 2008)
- sire was a multiple Grade 1 route winner (12-5-4-0, $1,311,800, 2-3 at two, 3-8 in main track routes 2-4 in main track sprints)
- sire is 102-530 (19%) with juvenile runners
- dam was a multiple Grade 1 winner (20-9-9-2, $1,271,154, 1-1 at two, 5-13 in main track routes, 2-6 in mud/slop)
- dam has five runners, three winners, four juvenile runners, one juvenile winner, three main track route runners, three main track route winners, three mud/slop runners, two mud/slop winners
- Unbridled's Song - Danzig 'nick' has produced multiple stakes-winner Unbridled Sidney (23-8-4-3, $680,380, unraced at two, 1-7 in main track sprints)
- dam a half-sister to Grade 1-placed juvenile Arabian Dancer (3-2-1-0, $51,377)
- dam a half-sister to multiple stakes-winner On Retainer (60-11-8-6, $205,729, 0-2 at two, 6-25 in main track routes, 1-2 in mud/slop)
- dam a half-sister to Grade 3 winner For Kicks (16-5-2-2, $121,940, unraced at two, 2-4 in main track routes)
- dam a half-sister to multiple stakes-placed Wikki Up (10-3-2-3, $94,069, unraced at two, 3-7 in main track routes)
- trainer is 7-40 (18%, $0.89 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles
- trainer is 2-9 (22%, $1.61 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles at Saratoga

Analysis:
Stanley Hough wanted to get CONCORDE'S DANCER on the turf for her career debut, but he was stymied by rough weather. His charge ran evenly in that off-the-grass event, and the experience should serve her well as she stretches out around a route of ground. The inside post should allow this filly, kin to three turf winners, an opportuntity to save valuable ground.
BANKER'S CHOICE may finally be finding her best stride. She showed improvement in her second lifetime start - and first on grass - although she did switch back to her wrong lead in the waning stages of the contest. Trainer Ian Wilkes normally gives a horse time to develop, and this filly is from the family of champion two-year-old Vindication.
AMERICAS DREAMING, mired on the also-eligible list yet again, is kin to six grass runners, and was only beaten a nose in her debut in Ireland. She finished ahead of Heart of Fire in that race, and was flattered when that colt eventually won a listed affair at Cork on June 15.
WEEKEND STRIKE is a half-sister to several blacktype earners including Court Vision, and her dam is kin to such quality horses as Summer Squall and A.P. Indy. Pletcher gets them ready to win first-time out, but his main rider, John Velazquez sides with entrymate PLATINUM GIRL. That one has a strong route pedigree, but the workouts only give out mixed feelings. Beautifully-bred SIREN SERENADE deserves another chance if this race is washed off the turf. WARM SHOWER has been trying to get in a race this meet, but is either put off by the weather or the racing secretary (again on the AE list). Note the 17-day gap between the last two workouts. DYNASLEW has turf breeding on top with lots of stamina on the bottom of her bloodlines. Bill Mott is 0-45 with his debut runners in 2008, however. Wesley Ward has excellent numbers with his juvenile numbers, but the stats really jump off the page when he tries his babies on the turf for the first time. His SKIP AWAY BELLE may show speed under Edgar Prado. SHE'S FROM QUEENS must improve off her dull dirt debut. PROVEN RIGHT, a half-sister to Grade 2 turf winner Stanley Park, goes out for a trainer-jockey combo that already has a debut winner on grass in 2008. CAT GRACE's dam was stakes-placed, but the daughter of Maria's Mon only sold for $35,000 as a yearling after being purchased for almost twice that amount the previous year.

Selections:
1. Concorde's Dance
2. Banker's Choice
3. Americas Dreaming

The Play:
Concorde's Dance to Win at 2-1 odds or more

Meet record based on starts, wins, top pick (after scratches) in the money, and profit/loss of that day's play ($2 wager):
50-11-23 (+ $84.10)