08/20/2007 11:00PM

Spa Babies for 8/22

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Welcome to Spa Babies! I'll break down the statistics for every juvenile maiden contest at the meet, and hopefully will end up with a tidy profit.

Monday’s results:
Race 2: Rising Dream finished fifth
Race 5: Stand Pat finished first

First week recap: A combination of mediocre handicapping and conservative betting led to a small loss. Time to get back in the black: 9-2-4 (-$5.80)

Second week recap: Hideous handicapping put me further behind. It only takes one winner to turn things around, however, and there are three more chances on Wednesday alone. Let’s get back on track: 19-2-7 (-$15.80)

Third week recap: A couple of chalky winners, and a longshot runner-up got the confidence back somewhat: 27-5-12 (-$14.40)

Fourth week recap: The Saratoga Special exacta got us back within striking range, but basically it was an even-placed week: 41-8-20 (-$14.60)

Wednesday, August 22, 2007
Race 2
5 Furlongs
Maiden Special Weight
2-year-old fillies
Purse $62,000.

1. Armonk (Mizzen Mast – Flaming Satan, by Java Gold)
Trainer: Kiaran McLaughlin
- Foaled May 1, 2005 in Kentucky
- $45,000 yearling (OBS August 2006)
- $400,000 juvenile (Keeneland April 2007) (*** T8th highest price)
- half-sister to juvenile stakes-winner Ashbecca (16-2-1-2, $63,181, 2-6 at two, 1-5 in dirt sprints)
- sire was a Grade 1 sprint winner (11-5-2-0, $554,146, 1-3 at two, won debut, 1-1 in dirt sprints)
- sire is 3-46 (7%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 6-39 (15%, $1.29 ROI) with debut runners in 2007
- of sire’s six debut winners this year, two were juvenile debut runners, three came in conventional dirt sprints, all raced in maiden special weight
- dam was a winner (27-3-3-7, $76,143, unraced at two, 1-11 in dirt sprints, 0-6 in mud/slop)
- dam has five runners, four winners, three juvenile runners, one juvenile winner
- dam a half-sister to multiple stakes-placed King and Hart (88-29-10-5, $313,552, 1-1 at two, 10-25 in dirt sprints, 4-8 in mud/slop), and stakes-winner Code Satan (47-10-6-7, $227,390, 1-2 at two, 3-14 in dirt sprints, 3-6 in mud/slop)
- Java Gold is 1-13 (8%, $0.40 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2007
- trainer is 9-100 (9%, $1.53 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 2-24 (8%, $0.76 ROI) with debuting Spa Babies
- trainer is 4-27 (15%, $1.70 ROI) with debut runners this year
- of trainer’s four debut runners this year, all were older runners, three came over conventional dirt tracks, all in maiden special weight, all with Lasix, two with Alan Garcia aboard
- worked a quarter-mile in 20.60 prior to the April sale
- June 24 workout went .02 faster than barn’s juvenile Big Stick (finished sixth in career debut on August 11 with 65 Beyer)
- July 2 workout went .01 slower than Big Stick
- July 17 workout matches barn’s three-year-old Feastorfamine (31 Beyer)
- July 25 workout went .05 faster than barn’s three-year-old filly Cammy’s Choice (finished second in Lady D’Accord Stakes on August 9 with 88 Beyer)

2. Shop Glack (Smoke Glacken – Shopping, by Private Account)
Trainer: H. Allen Jerkens
- Foaled March 22, 2005 in Florida
- half-sister to stakes-winning sprinter Bought in Dixie (47-7-6-11, $319,183, 0-1 at two, 7-46 in dirt sprints, 0-9 in mud/slop), Grade 2-placed juvenile sprinter Bulling (69-4-3-12, $203,302, 2-9 at two, 4-47 in dirt sprints, 0-8 in mud/slop), stakes-winner Shop Again (21-4-2-4, $122,374, 0-6 at two, 3-14 in dirt sprints, 1-4 in mud/slop), and Grade 2 route winner Miss Shop (24-8-2-4, $814,038, 2-3 at two, won debut, 1-3 in dirt sprints, 1-3 in mud/slop)
- sire was a Grade 1 sprint winner at two (14-10-2-1, $759,560, 4-6 at two, 9-10 in dirt sprints, 2-3 in mud/slop)
- sire is 35-196 (18%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 3-35 (9%, $1.51 ROI) with debut runners in 2007
- of sire’s three debut winners this year, two were juvenile debut winners, all came in conventional dirt sprints, one at this meet, one open maiden special weight
- dam was a winner (10-3-1-2, $61,375, unraced at two, 2-6 in dirt sprints, 1-2 in mud/slop)
- dam has seven runners, seven winners, six juvenile runners, three juvenile winners, one juvenile debut winner
- dam a half-sister to Grade 3-placed Boyish Charm (23-4-7-6, $147,957, unraced at two, 1-4 in dirt sprints), multiple Grade 2 winner Lay Down (29-11-2-2, $539,423, unraced at two, 2-3 in dirt sprints, 2-3 in mud/slop), and multiple stakes-winner Karly’s Harley (35-7-4-5, $248,943, 2-5 at two, 1-7 in dirt sprints, 0-4 in mud/slop)
- Private Account is 4-23 (17%, $1.79 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2007
- trainer is 7-55 (13%, $2.91 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 2-12 (17%, $7.61 ROI) with debuting Spa Babies
- trainer is 2-10 (20%, $1.79 ROI) with debut runners in 2007
- of trainer’s two debut runners this year, both were older runners in maiden special weight dirt sprints, one raced with Lasix, one for this owner

3. Little Miss Julien (Is It True – Cielo’s Dance, by Danzig)
Trainer: Wesley Ward
- Foaled March 4, 2005 in Florida
- $170,000 juvenile (OBS April 2007)
- sire was a Grade 1 route winner at two (15-5-2-2, $819,999, 2-6 at two, 3-7 in dirt sprints, 1-1 in mud/slop)
- sire is 17-143 (12%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 1-8 (12%, $0.65 ROI) with debut runners in 2007
- sire’s 2007 debut winner came with a juvenile runner in a maiden claiming dirt sprint at Pimlico
- dam was unraced (sold for $335,000 as a yearling, and $150,000 as a juvenile)
- dam has two runners, two winners, two juvenile runners, one juvenile winner, one juvenile debut winner
- dam a half-sister to multiple stakes-winner Junior Deputy (22-6-0-3, $185,645, unraced at two, 4-13 in dirt sprints)
- Danzig is 6-44 (14%, $1.75 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2007
- trainer is 28-99 (28%, $2.00 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- this is trainer’s first debuting Spa Baby
- trainer is 10-29 (34%, $2.04 ROI) with debut runners in 2007
- of trainer’s 10 debut winners this year, six came on conventional dirt, nine in sprint races, three in open maiden special weights, nine with Lasix, three with blinkers, eight juvenile debut winners
- worked a furlong in 10.40 prior to the April sale

4. Smokin’ Stephanie (Smoke Glacken – Frolic Away, by Pentelicus)
Trainer: Todd Pletcher
- Foaled February 18, 2005 in Kentucky
- $37,000 yearling (Fasig-Tipton July 2006)
- $165,000 juvenile (Barretts March 2007)
- out juvenile (Keeneland April 2007)
- entered juvenile (Fasig-Tipton May 2007)
- sire was a Grade 1 sprint winner at two (14-10-2-1, $759,560, 4-6 at two, 9-10 in dirt sprints, 2-3 in mud/slop)
- sire is 35-196 (18%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 3-35 (9%, $1.51 ROI) with debut runners in 2007
- of sire’s three debut winners this year, two were juvenile debut winners, all came in conventional dirt sprints, one at this meet, one for Todd Pletcher, one in open maiden special weight
- dam was unplaced (3-0-0-0, $2,390, 0-1 at two, unraced in dirt sprints, 0-1 in mud/slop, cost $57,000 as a yearling, and $25,000 as a juvenile)
- this is dam’s first runner
- dam a half-sister to multiple Grade 2 winner Smok’n Frolic (33-9-8-2, $1,534,720, 4-9 at two, 2-11 in dirt sprints, 0-2 in mud/slop), and juvenile stakes-winner Cherokee Chase (34-3-2-9, $109,590, 2-9 at two, 1-10 in dirt sprints)
- Pentelicus is 6-36 (17%, $3.21 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2007
- trainer is 97-418 (23%, $1.66 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 23-104 (22%, $1.49 ROI) with debuting Spa Babies
- trainer is 17-110 (15%, $1.04 ROI) with debut runners in 2007
- of trainer’s 17 debut winners this year, 11 came on conventional dirt, 15 in sprint races, 12 in open maiden special weight, one by Smoke Glacken, one at this meet, all with Lasix, nine with John Velazquez aboard, 12 juvenile debut winners)
- worked a furlong in 10.40, and a quarter-mile in 21.60 prior to the March sale
- August 3 workout matches barn’s juvenile filly Crosswater (41 Beyer)
- August 12 workout matches barn’s juvenile Tanganyika (finished fourth in career debut on turf on August 19 with 63 Beyer)

5. Syriana’s Song (Indian Charlie – K. O. Kitty, by Tale of the Cat)
Trainer: Dallas Stewart
- Foaled March 27, 2005 in Kentucky
- $13,000 short yearling (Keeneland January 2006)
- $70,000 yearling (Keeneland September 2006)
- sire was a Grade 1 route winner (5-4-0-1, $616,120, 1-1 at two, 2-2 in dirt sprints, 1-1 in mud/slop)
- sire is 64-411 (16%) with juvenile runners
- dam was unraced (sold for $4,500 as a juvenile)
- this is dam’s first runner
- second dam an unraced half-sister to Grade 3 juvenile stakes-winning sprinter K. O. Punch (6-3-2-1, $212,870, all races at two, 3-5 in dirt sprints, 0-1 in mud/slop)
- trainer is 16-91 (18%, $2.13 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles
- trainer is 2-15 (13%, $2.53 ROI) with second-time Spa Babies

6. Tazarine (Cat Thief – Doppio Espresso, by Java Gold)
Trainer: D. Wayne Lukas
- Foaled January 30, 2005 in Kentucky
- entered yearling (Fasig-Tipton October 2006)
- half-sister to multiple stakes-winning sprinter Resplendency (16-5-5-2, $329,217, 1-3 at two, 5-12 in dirt sprints, 1-3 in mud/slop)
- sire was a multiple Grade 1 route winner (30-4-9-8, $3,951,012, 2-7 at two, 1-7 in dirt sprints, 0-5 in mud/slop)
- sire is 51-314 (16%) with juvenile runners
- dam was Grade 3-placed sprinting at two (5-1-2-1, $47,755, all races at two, 1-4 in dirt sprints, 1-2 in mud/slop, sold for $60,000 as a yearling)
- dam has four runners, two winners, three juvenile runners, one juvenile winner
- dam a half-sister to multiple Grade 2 route winner Hero’s Tribute (27-8-3-4, $860,485, 2-4 at two, won debut, 4-6 in dirt sprints, 1-4 in mud/slop)
- trainer is 17-172 (10%, $0.79 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles
- trainer is 3-39 (8%, $0.60 ROI) with second-time Spa Babies

7. Stormy Blessing (Storm Cat – Bless, by Mr. Prospector)
Trainer: Eoin Harty
- Foaled March 22, 2005 in Kentucky
- full sister to turf stakes-winner Brave Tin Soldier (5-1-2-0, $67,606, 1-4 at two, unraced in dirt sprints)
- sire was a Grade 1 route winner at two (8-4-3-0, $570,610, 3-6 at two, 3-4 in dirt sprints, 1-1 in mud/slop)
- sire is 68-344 (11%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 1-22 (5%, $0.68 ROI) with debut runners in 2007
- sire’s debut winner of 2007 came with a juvenile in a maiden special weight dirt sprint at Ellis Park
- Storm Cat – Mr. Prospector ‘nick’ has produced multiple juvenile Group 1 turf winner One Cool Cat (10-5-0-1, $568,086, 4-5 at two, unraced in dirt sprints), Group 1 juvenile turf winner Denebola (10-2-2-2, $338,742, 2-4 at two, unraced in dirt sprints), multiple Grade 1 winner Finder’s Fee (27-7-4-5, $708,126, 3-8 at two, won debut, 5-17 in dirt sprints, 0-3 in mud/slop), stakes-winner Serena’s Cat (11-4-2-0, $130,979, 1-3 at two, 0-2 in dirt sprints), Group 2-placed juvenile turfer One Great Cat (3-1-0-2, all races on turf at two), etc.
- dam was unraced
- dam has two runners, two winners, one juvenile runner, one juvenile winner
- dam is a full sister to Grade 1 winner Fusaichi Pegasus (9-6-2-0, $1,994,400, 0-1 at two, 1-2 in dirt sprints)
- Mr. Prospector is 4-52 (8%, $0.68 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2007
- trainer is 11-80 (14%, $1.11 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 3-12 (25%, $1.53 ROI) with debuting Spa Babies
- trainer is 2-15 (13%, $1.56 ROI) with debut runners in 2007
- of trainer’s two debut winners in 2007, both were older runners in maiden special weight sprints on conventional dirt for this owner, both raced with Lasix
- July 30 workout matches barn’s three-year-old Sahara Heat (finished sixth in Grade 2 Hall of Fame Stakes on turf on August 6 with 67 Beyer; 84 dirt Beyer)

Analysis:
SYRIANA’S SONG was dismissed at 25-1 for her career debut here three weeks ago, but showed high early speed, and put away a pair of pace rivals before faltering in the late stages. She is bred to be precocious on both sides of the pedigree, and Dallas Stewart is strong second-time out. She should be a very strong pace factor in here.
STORMY BLESSING has all the pedigree in the world as a daughter of Storm Cat out of a full sister to Kentucky Derby winner Fusaichi Pegasus. She shows some solid drills for a barn that likes to win first-out here. TAZARINE chased Syriana’s Song in vain on August 2, but came back with a bullet workout eight days later. Mr. Lukas is a bit cold at the meet, but his charge should move forward off her debut.
ARMONK worked very swiftly before selling for 26 times the stud fee of her sire in April. Must deal with the demanding inside post, but don’t be surprised if she has some early zip. SMOKIN’ STEPHANIE will try to break the Pletcher schneid with juvenile debut runners on dirt at this meet. She is bred for speed.

Selections:
1. Syriana’s Song
2. Stormy Blessing
3. Tazarine

The play: No Play

Race 4
7 Furlongs
Maiden Special Weight (New York Breds)
2-year-old fillies
Purse $56,000

1. Madam Commander (Deputy Commander - Pennant Dreams, by Grand Slam)
Trainer: Ramon Hernandez
- Foaled April 7, 2005
- $12,000 RNA yearling (Keeneland September 2006)
- $37,000 RNA juvenile (OBS April 2007)
- sire was a multiple Grade 1 route winner (13-4-3-2, $1,906,640, unraced at two, 0-2 in dirt sprints, 0-1 in mud/slop)
- sire is 56-526 (11%) with juvenile runners
- dam was unplaced (1-0-0-0, $1,290, unraced at two, 0-1 in dirt sprints, cost $100,000 as a yearling, and $175,000 as a juvenile)
- this is dam’s first runner
- second dam Americarr was stakes-placed on turf in Ireland
- trainer is 2-29 (7%, $2.43 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles
- trainer is 1-6 (17%, $5.70 ROI) with second-time Spa Babies
- worked a quarter-mile in 23.20 prior to the April sale

2. Staid (Successful Appeal - Tuesday Edition, by Gold Alert)
Trainer: Steven Asmussen
- Foaled February 13, 2005
- entered yearling (Fasig-Tipton July 2006)
- $42,000 yearling (Keeneland September 2006)
- half-sister to multiple sprint stakes-winner Sea Span (32-9-6-6, $272,657, 2-7 at two, 9-29 in dirt routes, 1-4 in mud/slop), Japanese Group 3 dirt sprint winner Agnes Wing (16-6-2-2, $1,203,110, 0-1 at two, 6-14 in dirt sprints), and stakes-placed My Interpretation (11-1-5-1, $93,174, 1-6 at two, 0-2 in dirt sprints, 0-1 in mud/slop)
- sire was a multiple Grade 2 winner (22-8-2-4, $654,681, 3-6 at two, 7-13 in dirt sprints, 0-2 in mud/slop)
- sire is 69-268 (26%) with juvenile runners
- dam was a sprint winner (33-6-4-5, $117,068, 0-1 at two, 6-31 in dirt sprints, 0-9 in mud/slop, cost $9,700 as a yearling)
- dam has eight runners, six winners, six juvenile runners, four juvenile winners
- dam a half-sister to juvenile stakes-winner Cutlass Envoy (58-11-15-7, $129,875, 2-6 at two, 9-52 in dirt sprints, 0-3 in mud/slop)
- trainer is 469-1897 (25%, $1.78 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile runners on dirt
- trainer is 20-69 (29%, $1.52 ROI) with Spa Babies on dirt

3. Beam of Love (Prime Timber - Love Destiny, by Silver Deputy)
Trainer: Gary Contessa
- Foaled February 28, 2005
- $50,000 juvenile (OBS March 2007)
- half-sister to multiple sprint stakes-winning sprinter Accurate (25-5-0-2, $184,788, 2-6 at two, 5-18 in dirt sprints, 1-3 in mud/slop)
- sire was a Grade 2 route winner (17-4-4-0, $621,238, 2-3 at two, 2-5 in dirt sprints)
- sire is 15-119 (13%) with juvenile runners
- dam was unraced
- dam has six runners, four winners, five juvenile runners, three juvenile winners
- dam a half-sister to multiple sprint stakes-winner Meadowminer (39-10-5-5, $283,812, 3-3 at two, 10-34 in dirt sprints, 2-2 in mud/slop)
- trainer is 16-127 (13%, $1.18 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juvenile runners
- trainer is 1-26 (4%, $0.45 ROI) with second-time Spa Babies
- worked a furlong in 10.80, and another furlong in 10.40 prior to the March sale

4. Sand and Song (Desert Warrior – My Gypsy Rose, by Groomstick)
Trainer: Timothy Hills
- Foaled April 7, 2005
- first-crop sire was multiple Grade 3-placed (16-4-1-2, $171,783, 2-8 at two, 4-11 in dirt sprints, 1-5 in mud/slop)
- sire is 2-18 (11%) with juvenile runners
- dam was unraced (cost $10,000 as a juvenile)
- dam has three runners, no winners, one juvenile runner
- dam is a half-sister to multiple stakes-placed (Puerto Rico) Sue Kat Fly (103-13-27-20, $138,414, 0-5 at two)
- trainer is 46-337 (14%, $1.40 ROI) over the past five years with juveniles on dirt
- trainer is 0-11 with Spa Babies racing on dirt

5. Valentina’s Grace (Vicar - But, by Unaccounted For)
Trainer: Richard Dutrow Jr.
- Foaled January 27, 2005
- $75,000 yearling (Fasig-Tipton Preferred August 2006)
- entered juvenile (Fasig-Tipton May 2007)
- sire was a multiple Grade 1 route winner (17-4-2-3, $835,142, 2-3 at two, won debut, 1-6 in dirt sprints, 0-2 in mud/slop)
- sire is 9-82 (11%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 4-22 (18%, $2.13 ROI) with debut runners in 2007
- of sire’s four debut winners this year, one was a juvenile debut winner, all were in conventional dirt sprints)
- dam was a route winner (24-3-5-9, $175,300, unraced at two, 0-6 in dirt sprints)
- this is dam’s first foal
- trainer is 21-90 (23%, $2.63 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 3-15 (20%, $1.66 ROI) with debuting Spa Babies
- trainer is 13-29 (45%, $4.19 ROI) with debut runners in 2007
- of trainer’s 13 debut winners this year, all came in conventional dirt sprints, four were in New York-bred maiden special weights, 11 raced with Lasix, four with front bandages, two with Edgar Prado aboard, two were juvenile debut winners)
- June 7 workout went .05 slower than barn’s juvenile filly Expect the End (finished second in the Colleen Stakes at Monmouth on July 29 with 78 Beyer)

6. Gullible Gal (Hook and Ladder - Guilty Pleasure, by Pine Bluff)
Trainer: William Mott
- Foaled February 18, 2005
- $310,000 yearling (Fasig-Tipton July 2006) (*** 10th highest priced)
- half-sister to Grade 2 winner Ready to Please (15-4-3-2, $342,258, 0-2 at two, 3-8 in dirt sprints), and multiple stakes-winning juvenile sprinter Chief Officer (4-3-0-1, $262,076, all races sprinting at two, 1-1 on mud/slop)
- first-crop sire was a Grade 2 sprint winner (19-6-2-3, $388,120, 1-1 at two, 6-18 in dirt sprints)
- sire is 5-20 (25%) with juvenile runners
- dam was unraced (cost $115,000 as a yearling)
- dam has three runners, two winners, three juvenile runners, one juvenile winner
- dam a half-sister to multiple stakes-winner Go Scotty (53-17-10-5, $210,676, unraced at two, 10-28 in dirt sprints, 2-4 in mud/slop), stakes-placed Chastity Belle (18-2-2-10, $103,400, 1-2 at two, 2-11 in dirt sprints, 0-1 in mud/slop), and Grade 2 winner Ready’s Gal (17-7-2-1, $609,959, 2-3 at two, 2-4 in dirt sprints)
- trainer is 21-138 (15%, $1.32 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles
- trainer is 4-33 (12%, $1.22 ROI) with second-time Spa Babies

7. Desafinado (Pulpit – Irving’s Girl, by Badger Land)
Trainer: Todd Pletcher
- Foaled April 26, 2005
- half-sister to Grade 3 winner Irving’s Baby (29-9-6-5, $763,022, unraced at two, 0-1 in dirt sprints, 1-2 in mud/slop), and Grade 2 turf winner Deeliteful Irving (13-5-2-1, $479,472, 1-2 at two, unraced in dirt sprints, 0-1 in mud/slop)
- sire was a multiple Grade 2 route winner (6-4-1-0, $728,200, unraced at two, 1-1 in dirt sprints)
- sire is 68-406 (17%) with juvenile runners
- dam was a stakes-winner (39-7-6-7, $272,077, 1-4 at two, 0-1 in dirt sprints, cost $30,000 as a yearling, and $68,000 as a juvenile)
- dam has six runners, four winners, two juvenile runners, one juvenile winner
- second dam is Grade 3 winner Card Table (18-4-2-2, $59,500)
- trainer is 75-280 (27%, $1.53 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles
- trainer is 18=67 (27%, $1.65 ROI) with second-time Spa Babies
- August 18 workout went .03 faster than barn’s four-year-old Mr Sam I Am (83 Beyer top)

8. Wise Choice (Wiseman’s Ferry - Senorita Constanza, by His Majesty)
Trainer: Sal Iorio Jr.
- Foaled March 27, 2005
- $10,000 RNA yearling (Fasig-Tipton Preferred August 2006)
- $30,000 RNA juvenile (Fasig-Tipton May 2007)
- first-crop sire was a multiple Grade 3 route winner (16-4-3-2, $825,266, 1-6 at two, 0-2 in dirt sprints, 1-3 in mud/slop)
- sire is 2-17 (12%) with juvenile runners
- dam was placed routing (15-0-0-1, $6,010, unraced at two, 0-3 in dirt sprints, 0-3 in mud/slop)
- dam has eight runners, five winners, two juvenile runners, no juvenile winners
- dam a full sister to multiple stakes-winner Serene Nobility (62-9-5-11, $264,778, unraced at two, 1-9 in dirt sprints, 0-5 in mud/slop)
- dam a half sister to stakes-winner Corax (15-4-3-2, $143,260, 1-3 at two, 3-12 in dirt sprints, 0-2 in mud/slop)
- trainer is 0-13 over the past five years with second-time juvenile runners
- trainer is 0-1 with second-time Spa Babies
- worked a furlong in 11.20 prior to the May sale

Analysis: DESAFINADO faced a tough challenge trying two turns for her career debut on the weeds, but she still passed a few tired horses late. She should benefit from a conditioning standpoint following that run, and the half-sister to Delaware Handicap winner Irving’s Baby may not mind switching to dirt. Expect her to be running late for the potent Pletcher-Velazquez combination.
VALENTINA’S GRACE goes out for dangerous debut barn, and she was scratched out of a similar spot on August 8 to await this. It’s nice to see Prado take the mount, and the sire, Vicar, is having a nice year with debut runners. STAID figures to show stretchout speed from her inside post, and she finished ahead of a pair of next-out winners on July 29. She’s the one to beat, but may not offer much wagering value.
MADAM COMMANDER broke poorly in debut, and was forced to circle the field. She was making up a good amount of ground, and the barn has sent out live horses at the meet. GULLIBLE GAL goes out for red-hot connections, and she sold very well last year. Expect better speed in this spot.

Selections:
1. Desafinado
2. Valentina’s Grace
3. Staid

The play: Desafinado to win and place at 4-1 or more

Race 6
6 Furlongs
Maiden Claiming ($50,000)
2-year-old fillies
Purse $32,000

1. Cherokee Time (Yonaguska – Peridot, by Gilded Time)
Trainer: Eddie Kenneally
- Foaled January 19, 2005 in Kentucky
- $150,000 short yearling (Keeneland January 2006)
- sire was a Grade 1 sprint winner at two (18-6-1-5, $536,355, 3-7 at two, 6-15 in dirt sprints)
- sire is 42-267 (16%) with juvenile runners
- dam was unraced
- dam has one runner, no winners, one juvenile runner
- dam a full sister to Grade 2 winner Elaborate (28-6-2-8, $565,852, 0-2 at two, 4-20 in dirt sprints)
- dam a half-sister to stakes-placed turfer No Malo (21-1-4-3, $93,400, unraced at two, 0-3 in dirt sprints)

- trainer is 24-187 (13%, $1.60 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile runners on dirt
- trainer is 1-8 (13%, $1.60 ROI) with Spa Babies on dirt

1a. Wild Logic (D’wildcat – Logical Reasoning, by Lord Avie)
Trainer: Steven Asmussen
- Foaled March 2, 2005 in Ontario
- $125,000 weanling (Fasig-Tipton November 2005)
- half-sister to multiple stakes-winner G. W.’s Skippie (17-4-2-1, $123,611, 1-2 at two, 2-10 in dirt sprints)
- first-crop sire was a Grade 1 sprint winner (18-5-2-2, $570,444, 0-1 at two, 4-14 in dirt sprints, 1-3 in mud/slop)
- sire is 4-29 (14%) with juvenile runners
- dam was a route winner at two (4-1-1-1, $31,846, all races at two, 0-1 in dirt sprints, 1-3 in mud/slop, cost $16,000 as a weanling, $28,000 as a yearling, and $180,000 as a juvenile)
- dam has four runners, two winners, four juvenile runners, one juvenile winner
- dam a full sister to stakes-placed sprinter Avie’s World (12-3-2-3, $30,915, 2-5 at two, 3-10 in dirt sprints, 1-2 in mud/slop)
- trainer is 109-439 (25%, $1.55 ROI) over the past five years with juveniles returning from a 31-60 day layoff
- trainer is 7-22 (32%, $1.58 ROI) with that angle with Spa Babies

2. Centerport Baby (Successful Appeal – Spend a Buck Baby, by Spend a Buck)
Trainer: Peter Pugh
- Foaled March 31, 2005 in Florida
- $4,000 weanling (Keeneland November 2005)
- $9,000 yearling (Keeneland September 2006)
- sire was a multiple Grade 2 winner (22-8-2-4, $654,681, 3-6 at two, 7-13 in dirt sprints, 0-2 in mud/slop)
- sire is 69-268 (26%) with juvenile runners
- sire has two debut winners this year (one juvenile debut winner, both in maiden claimers)
- dam was a route winner (51-4-9-9, $124,609, 1-3 at two, 0-6 in dirt sprints, 0-5 in mud/slop, cost $7,200 as a yearling)
- dam has two runners, no winners, one juvenile runner
- trainer is 1-6 (17%, $1.25 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles
- trainer is 0-2 with second-time Spa Babies

3. Vesper (Black Tie Affair – She’s a Storm, by Storm Boot)
Trainer: Richard Violette Jr.
- Foaled April 18, 2005 in Pennsylvania
- $18,000 yearling (Keeneland September 2006)
- $34,000 juvenile (Fasig-Tipton May 2007)
- sire was multiple Grade 1 route winner (45-18-9-6, $3,370,694, 3-8 at two, won debut, 7-22 in dirt sprints, 2-8 in mud/slop)
- sire is 18-216 (8%) with juvenile debut runners
- dam was a stakes-winning sprinter (14-5-2-1, $115,975, 2-4 at two, 5-13 in dirt sprints, cost $35,000 as a yearling and $37,000 as a juvenile)
- dam has four runners, four winners, three juvenile runners, no juvenile winners
- dam a half-sister to juvenile stakes-placed sprinter Waltzing Amigo (31-6-7-3, $49,178, 2-5 at two, won debut, 4-19 in dirt sprints, 0-3 in mud/slop), stakes-placed Marycrispa (in Mexico), stakes-placed Last No Break (24-4-3-6, $152,532, 1-2 at two, 0-6 in dirt sprints, 0-2 in mud/slop), and stakes-placed sprinter Honey Hawk (20-3-1-3, $45,610, 1-6 at two, won debut, 3-18 in dirt sprints, 0-2 in mud/slop)
- Storm Boot is 3-19 (16%, $1.40 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2007
- trainer is 20-117 (17%, $2.19 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 10-40 (25%, $2.31 ROI) with debuting Spa Babies
- trainer is 4-25 (16%, $2.42 ROI) with debut runners in 2007
- of trainer’s four debut winners this year, one came at this meet with a juvenile in a maiden claimer, all were in conventional dirt sprints, all with Lasix, three juvenile debut winners overall
- worked a quarter-mile in 22.80 prior to the May sale

4. Panthera Tigre (Hold That Tiger – Pressed and Ready, by Woodman)
Trainer: Philip Serpe
- Foaled February 7, 2005 in Kentucky
- $42,000 yearling (Fasig-Tipton July 2006)
- first-crop sire was a Group 1 turf winner in France at two (10-3-1-1, $644,235, 3-5 at two, won debut, unraced in dirt sprints)
- sire is 1-28 (4%, $0.15 ROI) with debut runners
- sire’s lone debut winner came in a maiden special weight dirt sprint at Louisiana Downs
- dam was placed routing at two (3-0-0-2, $4,760, all races at two, unraced in dirt sprints, 0-1 in mud/slop)
- dam has three runners, two winners, three juvenile runners, no juvenile winners
- dam a half-sister to multiple stakes-winning router Sneaky Quiet (25-5-5-6, $290,857, 2-6 at two, 0-4 in dirt sprints, 1-4 in mud/slop), multiple stakes-winner Ironman Dehere (36-6-6-6, $158,807, 0-2 at two, 0-6 in dirt sprints, 1-1 in mud/slop), and multiple stakes-placed Whiletheiron’shot (16-4-2-2, $202,946, unraced at two, 4-10 in dirt sprints, 1-1 in mud/slop)
- Woodman is 8-62 (13%, $1.23 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2007
- trainer is 2-47 (4%, $0.91 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 0-13 with debuting Spa Babies
- trainer is 1-7 (14%, $1.63 ROI) with debut runners in 2007
- trainer’s debut winner this year came with an older runner at this meet in a maiden claiming dirt sprint with Prado aboard, and Lasix on

5. Hot Gold (Touch Gold – Guess, by Twining)
Trainer: Scott Schwartz
- Foaled March 27, 2005 in Ontario
- out weanling (Keeneland November 2005)
- $12,000 yearling (Keeneland September 2006)
- $24,000 juvenile (Fasig-Tipton May 2007)
- sire was a multiple Grade 1 route winner (15-6-3-1, $1,679,907, 1-4 at two, 2-3 in dirt sprints)
- sire is 62-444 (14%) with juvenile runners
- sire has four debut winners this year (one juvenile debut winner)
- dam was a stakes-winning sprinter (30-7-8-5, $130,320, 1-2 at two, 7-29 in dirt sprints, 1-5 in mud/slop)
- dam has two runners, one winner, one juvenile runner, no juvenile winners
- dam a half-sister to stakes-winner Runaway Choice (37-6-8-8, $254,950, 1-4 at two, 1-7 in dirt sprints)
- trainer is 2-29 (7%, $2.09 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles
- trainer is 2-6 (33%, $10.10 ROI) with second-time Spa Babies
- worked a quarter-mile in 22.60 prior to the May sale

6. Lovely Isle (Double Honor – Eleven Islands, by Island Whirl)
Trainer: Gary Contessa
- Foaled January 17, 2005 in Florida
- $15,000 yearling (OBS August 2006)
- $20,000 juvenile (OBS April 2007)
- sire was a Grade 3 sprint winner at two (8-2-2-1, $251,612, all races at two, won debut, 2-5 in dirt sprints)
- sire is 18-186 (10%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 3-35 (9%, $1.70 ROI) with debut runners this year
- of sire’s three debut runners this year, two were juvenile debut winners, all in sprints, two on conventional dirt tracks, all in maiden claimers
- dam was a winner (14-5-1-1, $65,545, 0-1 at two, 4-10 in dirt sprints, 0-2 in mud/slop, cost $28,000 as a yearling, and $65,000 as a juvenile)
- dam has six runners, five winners, four juvenile runners, three juvenile winners
- dam a half-sister to multiple stakes-winner Fast Lane Gal (23-10-2-2, $91,385), and stakes-placed Milady Marie (16-3-6-2, $39,240, 0-3 at two, 1-11 in dirt sprints, 0-1 in mud/slop)
- Island Whirl is 3-21 (14%, $1.71 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2007
- trainer is 15-159 (9%, $1.06 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 3-42 (7%, $1.10 ROI) with debuting Spa Babies
- trainer is 6-43 (14%, $1.58 ROI) with debut runners this year
- of trainer’s six debut winners this year, one came at this meet, five were in conventional dirt sprints, five with Lasix on, two with front wraps, one with Eibar Coa aboard, one juvenile debut winner
- worked a furlong in 10.80 prior to the April sale

7. Stormy Miracle (Hennessy – Miramar Miracle, by Affirmed)
Trainer: Michael Trombetta
- Foaled February 9, 2005 in Florida
- $45,000 RNA juvenile (OBS April 2007)
- sire was a Grade 1 sprint winner at two (9-4-3-0, $580,400, all races at two, 4-6 in dirt sprints, 0-1 in mud/slop)
- sire is 25-205 (12%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 3-35 (9%, $1.02 ROI) with juvenile runners in 2007
- of sire’s three debut winners this year, all were juvenile debut winners in sprints, one on conventional dirt, one at this meet on turf, all in maiden special weights)
- Hennessy – Affirmed ‘nick’ has produced Grade 3 sprint winner Primary Suspect (19-6-2-2, $241,283, unraced at two, 6-18 in dirt sprints)
- dam was unraced
- this is dam’s first runner
- dam a half-sister to Japanese stakes-winner Eishin Hampton (21-4-5-1, $1,219,016, unraced at two, 4-18 on dirt), and Grade 2-placed router Level Red (9-2-2-1, $114,849, 1-3 at two, 0-1 in dirt sprints)
- Affirmed is 9-62 (15%, $2.64 ROI) as the broodmare sire of debut runners in 2007
- trainer is 10-47 (21%, $2.00 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 1-1 (100%, $14.40 ROI) with debuting Spa Babies
- trainer is 11-27 (41%, $3.50 ROI) with debut runners in 2007
- of trainer’s 11 debut winners this year, one came at this meet, all were in sprints, nine on conventional dirt tracks, three in maiden claimers, nine with Lasix on, two with Ramon Dominguez aboard, two juvenile debut winners
- worked one furlong in 11 seconds prior to the April sale
- August 2 workout matches barn’s three-year-old Telescope (18 dirt Beyer; 69 on turf)

8. Justoutofthebox (Outofthebox – Just Kissing, by Kissin Kris)
Trainer: H. Allen Jerkens
- Foaled February 3, 2005 in Florida
- out juvenile (OBS April 2007)
- sire was a Grade 1 route winner (16-5-4-3, $734,008, 2-5 at two, unraced in dirt sprints, 2-3 in mud/slop)
- sire is 14-156 (9%) with juvenile runners
- dam was placed sprinting (11-0-2-0, $7,240, 0-4 at two, all races sprinting)
- dam has three runners, two winners, three juvenile runners, one juvenile winner
- dam is a half-sister to Grade 2 sprint winner Shadow Caster (47-8-6-10, $477,653, 3-11 at two, 7-35 in dirt sprints, 1-1 in mud/slop)
trainer is 1-7 (14%, $0.49 ROI) over the past five years with second-time juveniles dropping into maiden claimers
- trainer is 0-2 with that angle at Saratoga

9. Reata’s Rose (Kafwain – Art’s Prospector, by Mr. Prospector)
Trainer: Joseph Orseno
- Foaled May 7, 2005 in Kentucky
- $35,000 weanling (Keeneland November 2005)
- $50,000 yearling (Keeneland September 2006)
- $50,000 juvenile (OBS March 2007)
- half-sister to stakes-placed Garve (12-4-4-2, $143,695, 1-6 at two, 0-3 in dirt sprints)
- first-crop sire was a multiple Grade 2 winner (11-4-2-2, $715,948, 3-8 at two, 3-6 in dirt sprints)
- sire is 6-29 (21%) with juvenile runners
- dam was a stakes-winning router (15-3-2-1, $95,850, 0-5 at two, 0-6 in dirt sprints)
- dam has nine runners, six winners, three juvenile runners, one juvenile winner
- second dam is Grade 1-placed router No Duplicate (26-4-1-3, $50,848)
- female family of multiple Grade 2 winner No Bias
- trainer is 2-16 (13%, $0.59 ROI) over the past five years with all second-time starters dropping into a maiden claimers
- worked one furlong in 10.20 prior to the March sale

10. Georgie’s Lady (Eltish – I Did It, by Ide)
Trainer: Dale Romans
- Foaled January 16, 2005 in Florida
- sire was a Group 2 winner on turf at two in England (25-5-5-5, $704,186, 3-6 at two, 1-5 in dirt sprints, 0-1 in mud/slop)
- sire is 17-91 (19%) with juvenile debut runners
- sire is 3-21 (14%, $1.30 ROI) with debut runners in 2007
- of sire’s three debut winners this year, all were juvenile debut winners, two came in conventional dirt sprints, two in maiden claimers
- dam was unplaced (3-0-0-0, $2,950, unraced at two, all races in dirt sprints)
- this is dam’s first runner
- trainer is 26-192 (14%, $1.51 ROI) over the past five years with juvenile debut runners
- trainer is 3-18 (17%, $1.92 ROI) with debuting Spa Babies
- trainer is 6-48 (12%, $1.75 ROI) with debut runners in 2007
- of trainer’s six debut winners this year, one came at this meet, all in sprint races, five on conventional dirt tracks, one in maiden claimer, all with Lasix on, four juvenile debut winners

Analysis:
WILD LOGIC showed excellent gate speed in first start at this level, and was very game in the stretch behind favored winner Who’s Counting. She finished just ahead of next-out 77 Beyer Speed Figure graduate (at Ellis Park) Word Gets Around, and should be a handful for the always-dangerous Asmussen barn.
ANTHERA TIGRE goes out for the same owner/trainer combination as Pennant Race, a debut winner for a $35,000 tag earlier in the meet. The sire has gotten off to a slow start at stud, but there is some quality in the female family. She seems well-spotted at this level. CHEROKEE TIME was no match for heavily-favored Predate in local debut after breaking awkwardly. She draws a tough inside post position, but has never been this cheap, and gives some pop to entrymate Wild Logic.
HOT GOLD was dull in career debut, but it’s possible she needed the run, and the barn is doing very well at this meet. JUSTOUTOFTHEBOX adds blinkers for master trainer, and is eligible to show improved speed dropping in class. VESPER goes out for Richard Violette Jr., who sent out a maiden claiming winner here on Monday. GEORGIE’S LADY and STORMY MIRACLE both debut for good barns. Take special note if they receive heavy early action.

Selections:
1. Wild Logic
2. Panthera Tigre
3. Cherokee Time

The play: No play